Lithuania vs Great Britain (105:85): Europe World Cup Qualification 02/07/2026

July 02, 2026
Status: Finished
105-85
Europe World Cup
Lithuania
Great Britain
match decor

Lithuania will host Great Britain on Wednesday, July 2, 2026, at Svyturio Arena in Klaipeda. The match is scheduled for the evening session as part of the Europe World Cup Qualification campaign. Officials have assigned an experienced referee crew for this important qualification fixture, ensuring standard FIBA procedures are followed throughout the game.

This encounter represents a key stage in the ongoing European qualifying process for the FIBA World Cup. Lithuania enters as the home side looking to build on recent results, while Great Britain aims to secure vital points on the road against stronger opposition in the group.

Lithuania vs Great Britain prediction 2026 favors the hosts based on recent H2H dominance and home advantage. Lithuania defeated Great Britain 89-88 away in their last meeting on November 27, 2025, and also won convincingly 94-70 in an earlier 2025 encounter. Historical data shows Lithuania winning the majority of previous clashes, including 90-80 and 63-61 in 2012 friendlies and 80-69 in EuroBasket 2011.

Lithuania vs Great Britain Last Matches

Lithuania
• Last 5 matches •
L
W
L
L
W
Wins
2/5 (40%)
Draw
0/5 (0%)
Losses
3/5 (60%)
173.4
Total points
60%
Over 165.5
88.6
Points scored
84.8
Points conceded
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
Recent results
28.06.26 — FI
Lithuania 92 : 96 Ukraine
02.03.26 — WC
Lithuania 99 : 82 Iceland
27.02.26 — WC
Iceland 86 : 85 Lithuania
30.11.25 — WC
Lithuania 81 : 82 Italy
27.11.25 — WC
Great Britain 88 : 89 Lithuania
Show all 5 ▼
Great Britain
• Last 5 matches •
L
L
W
L
W
Wins
2/5 (40%)
Draw
0/5 (0%)
Losses
3/5 (60%)
167.8
Total points
40%
Over 165.5
79.0
Points scored
88.8
Points conceded
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
Recent results
02.03.26 — WC
Italy 84 : 75 Great Britain
27.02.26 — WC
Great Britain 57 : 93 Italy
30.11.25 — WC
Iceland 84 : 90 Great Britain
27.11.25 — WC
Great Britain 88 : 89 Lithuania
03.09.25 — EB
Montenegro 83 : 89 Great Britain
Show all 5 ▼

Lithuania vs Great Britain: Head to Head (H2H)

Head-to-Head
• Lithuania vs Great Britain • 02/07/2026 (Europe World Cup Qualification)
Lithuania
Lithuania
5
wins (last 5 H2H)
W
W
W
W
W
Great Britain
Great Britain
0
wins (last 5 H2H)
L
L
L
L
L
Lithuania win
Draw
Great Britain win
Lithuania Win (5/5)
85%
Draw (0/5)
5%
Great Britain Win (0/5)
10%
156.8
Total points / game
40%
Over 165.5
60%
Under 165.5
83.2
Lithuania points
73.6
Great Britain points
80%
Lithuania led at half
H2H recent meetings
27.11.25 — WC
Great Britain 88 : 89 Lithuania
27.08.25 — EB
Great Britain 70 : 94 Lithuania
30.06.12 — FI
Lithuania 90 : 80 Great Britain
24.06.12 — FI
Lithuania 63 : 61 Great Britain
31.08.11 — EB
Lithuania 80 : 69 Great Britain
Show all 5 ▼

Lithuania: Team News

Lithuania head into the July 2, 2026 qualifier against Great Britain with a solid home record but inconsistent recent form. The team suffered a narrow 92-96 loss to Ukraine on June 28, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities in transition, though they remain competitive in most matches. A strong 99-82 victory over Iceland earlier in March demonstrated their offensive potential when shooting efficiently from beyond the arc and controlling the paint. Key contributors include experienced big men who dominate rebounding and interior scoring, as well as perimeter players capable of creating mismatches.

Injuries appear minimal heading into this matchup, with the core rotation expected to be available. Lithuania will look to leverage home-court advantage at Svyturio Arena in Klaipeda, where they have historically performed well. Focus will be on tightening defense against Great Britain’s guards and exploiting their size advantage inside. Recent H2H dominance (winning the last five encounters) gives them confidence, but they must address late-game execution after close losses to Italy and Iceland. Overall, Lithuania aim to secure a comfortable win to boost their qualification standing through improved ball movement and rebounding margins.

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Great Britain: Team News

Great Britain enter this away fixture on July 2, 2026, against Lithuania facing significant challenges after a string of difficult results. Heavy defeats to Italy (75-84 and 57-93) exposed weaknesses in interior defense and perimeter shooting consistency. Positive moments include a solid road win over Iceland (90-84) and an earlier victory against Montenegro, showing the team can compete when they share the ball effectively and limit turnovers.

The squad relies on athletic guards and versatile forwards to create scoring opportunities, but they have struggled against stronger frontcourts. No major new injuries have been reported, though fatigue from travel and a tough schedule could impact rotation depth. Great Britain will need strong defensive efforts to contain Lithuania’s key scorers and capitalize on any transition chances. Historically, they have found it difficult against Lithuania, losing the last five meetings by varying margins. Success on the road depends on improved three-point shooting and rebounding battles to keep the game close and stay in contention for qualification points.

Key Stats and Performance Indicators

Team ranking
A score reflecting the team’s overall strength, based on their league position, historical results, goals scored and conceded, and the competitive level of their division.
1.3
2.5
Assessment of form
Reflects the team’s current momentum based on recent matches. Accounts for results, goals, and expected goals over the last several games.
2.5
3.0
xG Expected Goals
The statistical volume of scoring chances created and conceded. Calculated from shot quality and quantity, a higher value indicates more dangerous attacking play.
26%
22%
xG Predictability
Shows how consistently the team’s actual in-game xG aligns with pre-match xG forecasts. A higher value means the team’s matches tend to follow expected patterns.
7%
5%

Lithuania vs Great Britain: Predicted Starting Lineups

The following are predicted starting lineups for the Europe World Cup Qualification match between Lithuania and Great Britain on July 2, 2026. These are based on recent team trends, typical rotations, and available player form. Basketball lineups can shift due to injuries, coaching decisions, or tactical adjustments, so they remain provisional until tip-off.

Lithuania PlayerPositionGreat Britain PlayerPosition
BuzelisSFBeloPG
JakunionisPGEllisSG
SergiunasSGHessonSF
TubelisPFWheatlePF
ValanciunasCYeboahC

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Lithuania vs Great Britain Match Prediction

Lithuania are expected to secure a home victory in this Europe World Cup Qualification clash, leveraging their superior size, recent H2H dominance, and home-court energy at Svyturio Arena. While Great Britain has shown flashes of competitiveness on the road, their struggles against stronger frontcourts and inconsistent shooting make it difficult to overcome Lithuania’s experience. Lithuania vs Great Britain odds reflect the hosts as clear favorites, with Lithuania’s ability to control the paint through Valanciunas and efficient perimeter play likely proving decisive. Great Britain may keep it close early through guard penetration, but fatigue from travel and defensive lapses against Lithuania’s rolling attack should tilt the game in the second half. Lithuania’s 5-0 H2H record in recent years further supports their edge in execution and motivation.

1.04
Result
Home Win
41 Votes
77
2.1
Total Goals
Over 175.5
25 Votes
21
1.32
First quarter
1×2
8 Votes
58
1.5
1st half
handicap -2.5 Valencia
48 Votes
49

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About the Author

Born in Chicago in 1985, Alex Thompson, a renowned betting expert, obtained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Michigan in 2011. From 2012 to 2018, he collaborated with several NBA teams, specializing in play pattern recognition and player efficiency evaluations. Thompson has contributed to 14 peer-reviewed papers, emphasizing the importance of transitional play and on-court decision-making. In 2019, he shifted his focus to journalism. Thompson currently writes analytical pieces on basketball and is a regular contributor to various sports platforms, employing his expertise to dissect game dynamics and player performance.

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