The UEFA Champions League Round of 16 second leg pits Lille against Borussia Dortmund in a crucial clash set for March 12, 2025, at 17:45 GMT+0. Hosted at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy in Villeneuve d’Ascq, France, with a capacity of 50,186, this match will be officiated by Swiss referee Sandro Schärer, adding an experienced eye to this high-stakes encounter.
After a 1-1 draw in the first leg in Germany, Lille have a rare shot at reaching the quarter-finals for only the second time in their history, while Dortmund, the 1997 champions, aim to reclaim European glory. Lille’s strong home form and Dortmund’s attacking prowess promise a tight contest in this knockout stage of Europe’s premier tournament.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
Get ready for a deep dive into the Lille vs Dortmund matchup with our betting tips and match insights. We’ll break down the teams’ recent performances and historical clashes to guide your predictions. Expect key stats and trends that matter, all tailored to sharpen your Lille vs Dortmund prediction today. This section sets the stage for understanding form, head-to-head records, and critical factors. Let’s cut through the noise and focus on what drives the outcome.
Current UEFA Champions League standings for Lille vs Dortmund March 12, 2025
As the UEFA Champions League Round of 16 heats up, Lille and Dortmund face off in a pivotal second-leg clash on March 12, 2025, with progression on the line. Their current standings in the competition reflect their form and stakes, setting the stage for a tense battle at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
Lille Results
Lille head into this Champions League showdown with confidence at home, where they’ve lost just twice in their last 16 matches across all competitions. Their latest outing, a 1-0 win over Montpellier, showcased defensive grit, a trait they’ll need against Dortmund’s attack. Manager Bruno Génésio will look to build on this momentum as they chase a historic quarter-final berth.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 08/03/25 | L1 | Lille vs Montpellier | 1-0 | W |
| 04/03/25 | CL | Dortmund vs Lille | 1-1 | D |
| 01/03/25 | L1 | PSG vs Lille | 4-1 | L |
| 22/02/25 | L1 | Lille vs Monaco | 2-1 | W |
| 16/02/25 | L1 | Rennes vs Lille | 0-2 | W |
Lille’s home form stands out, with three wins in their last five, including two clean sheets. The 4-1 loss to PSG exposes vulnerabilities against top-tier attacks, but their resilience in the 1-1 draw with Dortmund shows adaptability. Scoring first in 12 of 13 UCL games this season is a massive edge at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Defensive lapses remain a concern, with only two shutouts in 13 attempts. Génésio’s side thrives when they dictate the tempo early.
Dortmund Results
Dortmund arrive in France reeling from a 1-0 Bundesliga loss to Augsburg, a result that dents their domestic campaign. Yet, their Champions League pedigree and attacking output second only to Barcelona in the league phase keep them dangerous. Niko Kovač’s men will lean on their away scoring form to turn the tie in their favor.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 08/03/25 | BUN | Dortmund vs Augsburg | 0-1 | L |
| 04/03/25 | CL | Dortmund vs Lille | 1-1 | D |
| 01/03/25 | BUN | St. Pauli vs Dortmund | 0-2 | W |
| 22/02/25 | BUN | Dortmund vs Union Berlin | 6-0 | W |
| 19/02/25 | CL | Dortmund vs Sporting CP | 0-0 | D |
Dortmund’s inconsistency is glaring: three wins in their last four away games, but a shaky 4-2-7 record against French sides on the road. Scoring at least twice in each away victory signals firepower, yet failing to net before half-time in three of those four suggests slow starts. The Augsburg loss highlights defensive frailty under pressure. Their UCL scoring record keeps them in contention. Kovač must ignite an early spark to break Lille’s home resolve.
Lille vs Dortmund Head-to-Head (Last 5 Matches)
The history between Lille and Dortmund is sparse but balanced, with their latest meeting ending in a 1-1 stalemate. Neither side has dominated, setting up an unpredictable second leg. Past encounters hint at low-scoring, cagey affairs.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 04/03/25 | CL | Dortmund vs Lille | 1-1 |
| 28/02/02 | EL | Dortmund vs Lille | 0-0 |
| 21/02/02 | EL | Lille vs Dortmund | 1-1 |
Three draws in three meetings underline how evenly matched these teams are. Goals have been scarce, with no game exceeding two strikes. This trend favors a tight, tactical battle on March 12.
Lille Possible Starting Lineup
Lille are expected to field a balanced side, blending defensive solidity with attacking threat to capitalize on their home advantage.
Chevalier (GK), Meunier (DF), Diakite (DF), Alexsandro (DF), Bakker (DF), Gomes (MF), Bouaddi (MF), Cabella (MF), Andre (MF), Haraldsson (FW), David (FW).
Dortmund Possible Starting Lineup
Dortmund will likely lean on their attacking flair to overturn the tie, with Kovač opting for pace and creativity to test Lille’s backline.
Kobel (GK), Couto (DF), Can (DF), Schlotterbeck (DF), Bensebaini (DF), Ozcan (MF), Gross (MF), Adeyemi (MF), Brandt (FW), Gittens (FW), Guirassy (FW).
Injury and Availability Updates
Injuries and doubtful statuses could sway the dynamics of this crucial tie. Below is a comprehensive table of players from both squads who are confirmed out or questionable, based on the latest reports.
| Player | Team | Status | Reason |
| Bentaleb N. | Lille | Will Not Play | Inactive |
| Santos T. | Lille | Will Not Play | Knee Injury |
| Umtiti S. | Lille | Will Not Play | Knee Injury |
| Zhegrova E. | Lille | Will Not Play | Groin Injury |
| Chukwuemeka C. | Dortmund | Will Not Play | Thigh Injury |
| Jessen N. | Dortmund | Will Not Play | Muscle Injury |
| Lotka M. | Dortmund | Will Not Play | Shoulder Injury |
| Mane F. | Dortmund | Will Not Play | Muscle Injury |
| Nmecha F. | Dortmund | Will Not Play | Knee Injury |
| Svensson D. | Dortmund | Will Not Play | Knee Injury |
| Bakker M. | Lille | Questionable | Muscle Injury |
| Sahraoui O. | Lille | Questionable | Hip Injury |
| Azhil A. | Lille | Questionable | Injury |
Lille face challenges with key absences like Zhegrova and Umtiti, though Bakker’s questionable status offers hope he’s in the predicted lineup but could be a game-time decision. Dortmund’s list is heavier, with Nmecha and Svensson out long-term, potentially thinning their attacking depth. These absences could force both managers to adapt, making the predicted lineups a critical guide for anticipating the match’s flow.
Key Factors to Watch
Both teams bring distinct strengths and weaknesses into this Champions League clash. Pinpointing the decisive elements requires digging into form, injuries, and trends. Here’s what will shape the outcome:
- Lille’s home advantage: Unbeaten in 10 of their last 16 home games across all competitions;
- Dortmund’s scoring threat: Second-highest goal tally in the UCL league phase;
- Injuries: Lille hope Hákon Arnar Haraldsson stays fit after scoring in the first leg; Dortmund sweat over key absences post-Augsburg;
- Defensive form: Lille’s two clean sheets in 13 games vs. Dortmund’s one in five;
- Early goals: Lille score first in 12 of 13 UCL matches this season;
- Away struggles: Dortmund’s 4-2-7 record against French teams on the road;
- Fatigue: Dortmund’s third game in eight days could sap their energy;
- Key duel: Haraldsson’s finishing vs. Nico Schlotterbeck’s tackling (18 UCL tackles won).
Free Tips on Lille vs Dortmund
Breaking down the Lille vs Dortmund clash on March 12, 2025, requires more than just gut instinct it’s about leveraging hard data and trends. This section offers free tips rooted in statistics, past encounters, and team dynamics to help you navigate this Champions League Round of 16 second leg. Here’s how to approach this matchup with a sharp edge.
- Lean on Head-to-Head Trends: Lille and Dortmund have met three times since 2002, all ending in draws (1-1 twice, 0-0 once), suggesting a low-scoring, deadlock-prone affair consider betting on under 2.5 goals.
- Factor in Home vs. Away Splits: Lille’s 10 wins and 4 draws in their last 16 home games contrast with Dortmund’s shaky 4-2-7 record against French teams away, tilting the advantage toward the Mastiffs at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
- Check Player Hot Streaks: Lille’s Hákon Arnar Haraldsson, who scored in the first leg, boasts a 13-3-1 record when he finds the net his form could be decisive against Dortmund’s backline.
- Mind the Schedule Crunch: Dortmund’s third match in eight days, following a 1-0 loss to Augsburg, hints at potential fatigue, while Lille’s lighter load (one game since the first leg) keeps them fresher.
- Assess Pitch and Weather Impact: Stade Pierre-Mauroy’s pristine natural grass favors Lille’s controlled style, and with no heavy rain forecast for March 12, expect a steady pace that suits their early scoring habit.
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Lille vs Dortmund Match Prediction 2025
Lille hold the edge heading into this second leg on March 12, 2025. Their formidable home record 10 wins and 4 draws in the last 16 pairs with Dortmund’s patchy away form against French sides (4 wins in 13). The 1-1 first-leg draw gives Lille a slight advantage; a clean sheet secures progression, and their knack for scoring first (12 of 13 UCL games) could stifle Dortmund early. Dortmund’s attack, lethal in the league phase, remains a threat, but their slow starts away (no first-half goals in three of four recent trips) and the Augsburg loss suggest vulnerability. Lille’s defense, while leaky, showed steel in the 1-0 Montpellier win, and Génésio’s pragmatic style suits a knockout tie. Dortmund’s reliance on late goals might not cut it against a side that’s lost just twice at home since October. Lille vs Dortmund odds will likely reflect this balance, but the Mastiffs’ home tenacity tips the scales. We predict a narrow 1-2 Dortmund victory, advancing them on aggregate.
Our Prediction: Lille 1-2 Dortmund
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Dortmund to Win | 2.56 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.68 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.86 |
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