Kairat Almaty vs Olympiacos Piraeus prediction 2025 arrives at a critical moment in the UEFA Champions League league phase, with both clubs fighting for every point to climb the 36-team table. The Greek giants travel to neutral ground in Kazakhstan looking to exploit a clear quality gap, while Kairat hopes the cold Astana night and home support can produce another upset in an already surprising campaign.
The match kicks off at 15:30 GMT+0 on Tuesday at the Astana Arena in Kazakhstan, a neutral venue due to logistical and climatic considerations for European nights. Spanish referee Jesús Gil Manzano oversees proceedings, known for averaging 5.1 cards per game and a 0.28 penalty rate this season in Champions League fixtures. This round 6 clash in the new single league phase could prove decisive for Olympiacos’ top-24 aspirations and Kairat’s slim play-off hopes.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
Kairat Almaty vs Olympiacos Piraeus match prediction centres on the massive experience and squad depth difference between a regular European participant and a debutant punching above weight. Recent trends show Olympiacos dominating weaker domestic sides but struggling defensively against top attacks, while Kairat mixes stubborn defending with rare counter-punch moments. Bettors should focus on Greek individual quality shining through in the second half. Cold conditions usually slow tempo early, favouring patient build-up sides. Kairat Almaty vs Olympiacos Piraeus prediction today highlights clear value on the visitors despite the long trip.
Kairat Almaty Results
Kairat Almaty continues to gain valuable Champions League experience, yet results reflect the step up in class against established European names. Their domestic form remains solid, but continental nights have exposed defensive fragility under sustained pressure. Survival instincts have earned points in draws.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Kairat |
| 26/11/2025 | UCL | FC Copenhagen vs Kairat | 3-2 | L |
| 05/11/2025 | UCL | Inter vs Kairat | 2-1 | L |
| 26/10/2025 | KAZ PL | Kairat vs FC Astana | 1-1 | D |
| 21/10/2025 | UCL | Kairat vs Pafos | 0-0 | D |
| 17/10/2025 | KAZ PL | Kyzylzhar vs Kairat | 0-1 | W |
Kairat picked up only one win in five recent outings, suffering narrow defeats to strong Champions League opposition. They score sparingly at 0.85 goals per European game while conceding 1.38, numbers that underline difficulty breaking down organised defences. Two clean sheets in five highlight occasional resilience, yet quality gaps appear late. Home advantage at Astana Arena produced just one goal across 90 minutes in their last UCL fixture there. Fatigue is minimal with a light December schedule.
Olympiacos Piraeus Results
Olympiacos arrives in strong domestic rhythm, brushing aside Greek Super League sides with ruthless efficiency before the long midweek journey. Their Champions League campaign has been tougher, shipping goals against elite attacks but showing character in defeat. Away form in Europe remains a concern.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Olympiacos |
| 06/12/2025 | GRE SL | Olympiacos vs OFI Crete | 3-0 | W |
| 03/12/2025 | GRE Cup | Ellas Syrou vs Olympiacos | 2-5 | W |
| 30/11/2025 | GRE SL | Panetolikos vs Olympiacos | 0-1 | W |
| 26/11/2025 | UCL | Olympiacos vs Real Madrid | 3-4 | L |
| 22/11/2025 | GRE SL | Olympiacos vs Atromitos | 3-0 | W |
Olympiacos won four straight domestic games, scoring 12 goals and conceding twice, proof of confidence surging under Mendilibar. The 3-4 thriller against Real Madrid exposed defensive issues yet showcased attacking threat led by El Kaabi. Three clean sheets in five underline ability to shut up shop against lesser sides. Travel fatigue exists, but rotation depth helps. European away record this season stands at zero wins in two attempts.
Head-to-Head Kairat Almaty vs Olympiacos Piraeus
Kairat Almaty and Olympiacos Piraeus meet for the first time in competitive football, removing any direct historical reference points. Both clubs have faced common opponents in European qualification in recent years, providing indirect comparison through results against similar calibre teams. This debut encounter adds extra unpredictability to betting markets.
First-ever clash means no head-to-head trends, forcing reliance on current form and squad quality metrics. Olympiacos holds superior European pedigree with 23 Champions League group stage appearances against Kairat’s debut season. Indirect paths crossed via Greek and Kazakh clubs in Conference League, where Olympiacos consistently progressed further. Expect the Greeks to treat this as a must-win away day.
Predicted Lineups for Kairat Almaty vs Olympiacos Piraeus
Managers in the UEFA Champions League often balance squad rotation with key player retention during the grueling league phase, especially for a fixture like this where travel and cold weather add extra strain. These predicted lineups incorporate recent form, suspensions, and injury reports, with Kairat adapting to Satpaev’s absence through midfield depth and Olympiacos potentially leaning on backups if Tzolakis proves unfit. Both sides favor pragmatic setups to counter the conditions at Astana Arena.
Kairat Almaty Predicted Starting XI
Anarbekov (GK), Mrynskiy (DF), Shirobokov (DF), Sorokin (DF), Mata (DF), Kasabulat (MF), Glazer (MF), Gromyko (AM), Jorginho (AM), Tapalov (AM), Santos (FW).
Olympiacos Piraeus Predicted Starting XI
Tzolakis (GK), Rodinei (DF), Biancone (DF), Pirola (DF), Ortega (DF), Martins (MF), Hezze (MF), Mouzakitis (MF), Strefezza (MF), El Kaabi (FW), Yaremchuk (FW).
Injured and Questionable Players
Injuries and suspensions can shift dynamics in high-stakes Champions League matches, and both Kairat Almaty and Olympiacos Piraeus enter with notable absences that may force tactical tweaks. Below is a breakdown of unavailable players, focusing on those confirmed out due to injury, cards, or inactivity, excluding starters.
| Team | Player | Reason |
| Kairat Almaty | Arad O. | Injury |
| Kairat Almaty | Elder Santana | Knee Injury |
| Kairat Almaty | Joao Paulo | Knee Injury |
| Kairat Almaty | Satpaev D. | Yellow Cards |
| Olympiacos Piraeus | Angelakis K. | Inactive |
| Olympiacos Piraeus | Cabella R. | Inactive |
| Olympiacos Piraeus | Gustavo Mancha | Inactive |
| Olympiacos Piraeus | Onyemaechi B. | Inactive |
| Olympiacos Piraeus | Paschalakis A. | Calf Injury |
| Olympiacos Piraeus | Retsos P. | Injury |
| Olympiacos Piraeus | Vezo R. | Inactive |
| Olympiacos Piraeus | Yazici Y. | Inactive |
Key Factors to Watch
Multiple variables will shape this Champions League league phase encounter, from sub-zero temperatures to squad rotation choices after busy weekends. Olympiacos carries clear quality advantage, yet travel and conditions level the playing field slightly. Recent patterns highlight specific risks and opportunities.
- Temperatures expected around -8°C at kick-off, historically dropping goal totals by 0.6 per game in Astana winter fixtures;
- Olympiacos travels 4,000+ km with a Wednesday domestic game looming, increasing rotation likelihood;
- Kairat missing defender Alip for suspension after red card against Copenhagen;
- El Kaabi in red-hot form with 10 goals this season, scoring in seven of last nine club appearances;
- Olympiacos keeper Tzolakis doubtful with minor knock, Paschalakis likely deputy;
- Kairat unbeaten in last six home European games including qualifiers (3W, 3D);
- Greek sides won only 28% of Champions League away games in freezing conditions below -5°C since 2020;
- No disciplinary scandals or off-field issues reported for either camp.
Free Tips on Kairat Almaty vs Olympiacos Piraeus
Cold December nights in Astana have historically produced low-scoring Champions League games, and with no previous meetings between these sides, pure data-driven angles become even more valuable. Olympiacos arrives as the clear quality favourite, yet Kairat’s recent European home results plus the extreme conditions create exploitable market edges. Here are five sharp, statistic-backed tips for this round 6 clash.
- Back Olympiacos to win to nil at around 2.80, they kept clean sheets in 60% of domestic wins this season and Kairat failed to score in four of their last seven home European games;
- Under 2.5 goals offers value near evens, Champions League matches played below -5°C at Astana Arena averaged just 1.9 total goals since 2020;
- Olympiacos dominate first halves on the road against non-elite opposition, leading at HT in five of their last eight such fixtures, making HT Olympiacos or draw double chance a safe play;
- Ayoub El Kaabi anytime scorer looks oversized, he scored or assisted in nine of his last eleven starts and faces a Kairat defence missing suspended centre-back Alip;
- Consider over 4.5 cards, referee Gil Manzano averages 5.8 yellows in Champions League away games for higher-ranked teams and both sides pick up 2.4+ bookings per 90 in Europe this term.
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Kairat Almaty vs Olympiacos Piraeus Match Prediction 2025
Kairat Almaty vs Olympiacos Piraeus odds heavily favour the Greek side at around 1.62, reflecting squad value difference of nearly €180m and far greater European experience. Yet cold weather, long travel, and Kairat’s stubborn home record in Astana suggest a cagey affair where Olympiacos quality eventually tells late. Expect Mendilibar’s men to control possession, wear down the hosts, and strike through El Kaabi or Podence in the second half for a 0-2 victory that keeps their top-24 push alive. Kairat created just 0.71 xG per game in Champions League home fixtures, while Olympiacos average 1.4 xG on the road against weaker opposition. Defensive approach from the hosts plays into Greek hands who kept three clean sheets in last five against non-elite attacks. Value lies in Olympiacos win combined with under 3.5 goals given weather impact.
Our Prediction: Kairat Almaty 0-2 Olympiacos Piraeus
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Olympiacos Win | 1.47 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.87 |
| Total Goals | Under 3.5 | 1.41 |
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