The UEFA Champions League second qualifying round second leg features a crucial clash between Kairat Almaty and KuPS, set to take place on July 29, 2025, at 15:00 GMT+0 at the Almaty Central Stadium (capacity 23,804) in Almaty, Kazakhstan. With referee R. Gidzhenov (Bulgaria) overseeing the match, Kairat face the challenge of overturning a 2-0 deficit from the first leg to advance, while KuPS aim to protect their lead and progress to the third qualifying round.
Kairat Almaty, the Kazakh champions, are known for their attacking flair but must address defensive vulnerabilities exposed in the first leg. KuPS, the Finnish titleholders, have shown defensive resilience and clinical finishing, making this Kairat Almaty vs KuPS match prediction a compelling study of contrasting styles.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
This section prepares readers for a detailed look at the Kairat Almaty vs KuPS prediction today, focusing on recent form and head-to-head encounters. Both teams have displayed strong performances in their domestic leagues and European qualifiers, setting the stage for a competitive battle. Kairat’s home advantage could be pivotal, but KuPS’s disciplined approach makes them a tough opponent. The following sections break down each team’s recent results and historical matchups. Expect insights into key factors that could shape Kairat Almaty vs KuPS betting tips.
Kairat Almaty Results
Kairat Almaty have been a dominant force in the Kazakhstan Premier League and have shown resilience in European qualifiers. Their recent performances reflect a mix of strong home displays and challenges on the road. Below is a summary of their last five matches across all competitions.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 26.07.25 | PL | Tobol vs Kairat Almaty | 1-3 | W |
| 22.07.25 | CL | KuPS vs Kairat Almaty | 2-0 | L |
| 19.07.25 | PL | Kairat Almaty vs Kaisar | 1-1 | D |
| 15.07.25 | CL | Kairat Almaty vs O. Ljubljana | 2-0 | W |
| 08.07.25 | CL | O. Ljubljana vs Kairat Almaty | 1-1 | D |
Kairat’s 3-1 victory over Tobol highlights their attacking potency, with young striker Dastan Satpayev in fine form. However, the 2-0 loss to KuPS exposed defensive frailties, particularly in dealing with set-pieces. Their home form remains a strength, with a 2-0 win over Olimpija Ljubljana showcasing their ability to dominate at Almaty Central Stadium. The draw against Kaisar suggests occasional lapses in concentration. Kairat’s high shot volume (64 in five games) indicates they’ll push hard to overturn the deficit.
KuPS Results
KuPS, reigning Veikkausliiga champions, have maintained an impressive unbeaten streak, blending defensive solidity with opportunistic attacking. Their recent matches show consistency across domestic and European competitions. Below are their last five results.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 22.07.25 | CL | KuPS vs Kairat Almaty | 2-0 | W |
| 19.07.25 | VEI | VPS vs KuPS | 1-1 | D |
| 15.07.25 | CL | Milsami vs KuPS | 0-0 | D |
| 08.07.25 | CL | KuPS vs Milsami | 1-0 | W |
| 04.07.25 | VEI | AC Oulu vs KuPS | 2-2 | D |
KuPS’s 2-0 win over Kairat in the first leg underlines their clinical finishing, with Mohamed Toure and Jaakko Oksanen scoring. Their three clean sheets in three UCL qualifiers this season highlight defensive discipline. Draws against VPS and AC Oulu suggest occasional struggles to convert dominance into wins. The goalless draw against Milsami shows their ability to hold firm away. KuPS’s high possession (1,483 passes in five games) reflects their patient build-up play.
Kairat Almaty vs KuPS Head-to-Head Results
The head-to-head history between Kairat Almaty and KuPS is limited, with only one prior meeting. Below is the record of their most recent encounter.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 22.07.25 | CL | KuPS vs Kairat Almaty | 2-0 |
KuPS’s 2-0 victory in the first leg gives them a clear advantage heading into the return match. Their ability to capitalize on Kairat’s defensive errors was decisive, with second-half goals proving the difference. Kairat struggled to convert possession into clear chances, a trend they must reverse at home.
Kairat Almaty Predicted Lineup
Zarutskiy (GK), Kasabulat (DF), Martynovich (DF), Sorokin (DF), Mata (DF), Sanojev (MF), Glazar (MF), Bagdat (MF), Gromyko (MF), Jorginho (FW), Satpayev (FW)
KuPS Predicted Lineup
Kreidl (GK), Savolainen (DF), Cisse (DF), Miettinen (DF), Antwi (DF), Arifi (MF), Oksanen (MF), Pennanen (MF), Ruoppi (MF), Luyeye-Lutumba (FW), Sadiku (FW)
Key Factors to Watch
To craft accurate Kairat Almaty vs KuPS betting tips, several critical elements must be considered. Both teams bring distinct strengths and weaknesses to this high-stakes encounter. Below are the key aspects influencing the Kairat Almaty vs KuPS prediction 2025.
- Kairat’s Home Form: Kairat have won 12 of their last 14 home matches across all competitions, making them formidable at Almaty Central Stadium;
- KuPS’s Defensive Record: KuPS have kept three clean sheets in three UCL qualifiers, showcasing their ability to neutralize attacks;
- Injuries and Absences: Kairat are without Elder Santana and Joao Paulo due to injuries, potentially weakening their attack;
- KuPS’s Unbeaten Run: KuPS are unbeaten in eight matches, with a balanced approach of defensive solidity and clinical finishing;
- Kairat’s Shot Volume: Kairat’s 64 shots in five games suggest they’ll create chances but need to improve conversion;
- KuPS’s Set-Piece Threat: KuPS scored from set-pieces in the first leg, exploiting Kairat’s high yellow card count (17 in five games);
- Player Form: Kairat’s Dastan Satpayev and KuPS’s Mohamed Toure are in-form strikers, likely to influence the scoreline;
- Referee Impact: R. Gidzhenov’s strict style could lead to cards, especially given Kairat’s tendency for tactical fouls.
Free Tips on Kairat Almaty vs KuPS
To enhance your Kairat Almaty vs KuPS prediction 2025, consider these practical betting tips derived from team and player statistics, historical matchups, and contextual factors. These tips focus on unique aspects not covered in the key factors section, offering additional insights for informed betting decisions. Below are five carefully selected pointers tailored to this specific Champions League qualifier.
- Pitch Surface Impact: Almaty Central Stadium uses natural grass, which suits Kairat’s fast-paced, direct style but may challenge KuPS, who often play on artificial turf in Finland, potentially affecting their ball control and passing accuracy.
- Weather Conditions: Forecasts for Almaty on July 29, 2025, suggest clear weather, favoring Kairat’s high-tempo game, as rain could slow the pitch and benefit KuPS’s compact, counter-attacking approach.
- Recent Schedule Fatigue: Kairat’s congested schedule, with three matches in 10 days, could lead to fatigue, potentially impacting their high-pressing game, while KuPS’s lighter recent fixture list gives them a fresher squad.
- Fan Influence: The passionate 23,804-capacity crowd at Almaty Central Stadium could boost Kairat’s intensity, especially as they chase a two-goal deficit, creating pressure on KuPS’s less experienced players.
- Betting Odds Value: Kairat Almaty vs KuPS odds show value in betting on a high card count, as referee
$ 0.00
$ 0.00
Kairat Almaty vs KuPS Match Prediction
For the Kairat Almaty vs KuPS match prediction, Kairat are favored to win at home but face a steep challenge to overturn the 2-0 deficit. Kairat’s strong home record (12 wins in 14 matches) and aggressive attacking style (1.5 goals per game average) give them the edge in creating chances. Dastan Satpayev’s form and Kairat’s high shot volume suggest they can score at least twice. However, KuPS’s defensive resilience, with no goals conceded in three UCL qualifiers, makes it unlikely they’ll collapse. Their counter-attacking threat, led by Mohamed Toure, could exploit Kairat’s defensive gaps, especially with injuries to key players like Elder Santana.
The Kairat Almaty vs KuPS odds reflect a tight contest, with Kairat at 1.45 for a win, a draw at 4.8, and a KuPS victory at 7.9. KuPS’s disciplined 4-2-3-1 setup and high possession game (1,483 passes in five matches) allow them to control tempo and frustrate opponents. However, Kairat’s home crowd and attacking intent should lead to a narrow victory, likely 2-1, though it may not be enough to overturn the aggregate score. A low-scoring game is probable, given KuPS’s defensive strength and Kairat’s need for precision. We predict Kairat to win but KuPS to advance on aggregate.
Our Prediction: Kairat Almaty 2-1 KuPS
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Full-Time Score | Kairat Almaty Win | 1.45 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.77 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.99 |
Stake your bets wisely, as the Kairat Almaty vs KuPS prediction today hinges on fine margins. Place your bet on the match – Kairat Almaty vs KuPS at bc.game to capitalize on the competitive odds and enjoy the thrill of this Champions League qualifier.
