The clash between Jordan and Iraq in the FIFA Arab Cup quarterfinals promises a tense, tactical battle rooted in regional rivalry and recent contrasting fortunes. As both sides chase a semifinal spot, expect a low-scoring affair where defensive discipline could define the outcome. Jordan vs Iraq prediction 2025 highlights the hosts’ unbeaten group stage run against Iraq’s resilient recovery from a key loss.
This quarterfinal match kicks off at 14:30 GMT+0 on Friday, 12 December 2025, at the iconic Education City Stadium in Al Rayyan, Qatar a venue known for its pristine pitch and capacity to host 44,667 passionate fans. Hosted as part of the FIFA Arab Cup 2025, this knockout stage encounter follows a grueling group phase, with no specific referee details confirmed yet, though AFC officials typically emphasize fair play in high-stakes ties. The tournament’s neutral ground adds intrigue, as both teams adapt to Qatar’s controlled climate, minimizing weather disruptions.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
Delving into the Jordan vs Iraq match prediction reveals layers of form, tactics, and history that could sway this quarterfinal. Bettors should eye defensive metrics and set-piece efficiency as key differentiators. Recent results underscore Jordan’s attacking fluency against Iraq’s counter-threat, setting up a preview of vulnerabilities. In the broader Jordan vs Iraq betting tips, value lies in under markets given their cautious head-to-heads. As we unpack the last matches and rivalries ahead, patterns emerge that sharpen our Jordan vs Iraq prediction today.
Jordan Results
Jordan enters this quarterfinal on a high, having topped Group C with maximum points from three win, showcasing clinical finishing and solid defending. Their momentum from the group stage has built confidence, with key forwards firing on all cylinders. This form positions them as slight favorites in a neutral venue. Recent outings highlight a team that’s hard to break down, conceding just once in the tournament.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Jordan |
| 09/12/2025 | ARC | Egypt vs Jordan | 0-3 | W |
| 06/12/2025 | ARC | Kuwait vs Jordan | 1-3 | W |
| 03/12/2025 | ARC | Jordan vs UAE | 2-1 | W |
| 18/11/2025 | FI | Jordan vs Mali | 0-0 | D |
| 14/11/2025 | FI | Tunisia vs Jordan | 3-2 | L |
Jordan’s flawless group stage run demonstrates offensive potency, netting eight goals across three wins while keeping clean sheets in two. The lone friendly loss to Tunisia exposed transitional frailties, but tournament adaptation has been swift. Draws like the Mali stalemate underline resilience under pressure. Overall, this streak signals a side peaking at the right moment for knockout football.
Iraq Results
Iraq’s path to the quarters was bumpier, securing second in Group D via gritty wins but stumbling against Algeria in a decisive finale. Their blend of experience and youth has fueled comebacks, though defensive lapses linger from earlier qualifiers. Arriving off a rest day, they aim to leverage counter-attacks in this neutral setup. The recent defeat serves as a tactical reset for coach Jesus Casas.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Iraq |
| 09/12/2025 | ARC | Algeria vs Iraq | 2-0 | L |
| 06/12/2025 | ARC | Sudan vs Iraq | 0-2 | W |
| 03/12/2025 | ARC | Iraq vs Bahrain | 2-1 | W |
| 18/11/2025 | WC | Iraq vs UAE | 2-1 | W |
| 13/11/2025 | WC | UAE vs Iraq | 1-1 | D |
Iraq’s mixed bag shows efficiency in victories, scoring five in the group without reply in two, but the Algeria blank exposed midfield frailties. World Cup qualifiers provided backbone, with unbeaten runs building squad cohesion. The loss halted momentum, yet it highlighted areas for set-piece improvement. This form suggests a team capable of grinding results in tight contests.
Jordan vs Iraq Head-to-Head
Head-to-heads between Jordan and Iraq often deliver cagey, low-goal thrillers, with defenses dominating in recent years. Spanning qualifiers and friendlies, these clashes evoke intense Arab derby vibes. Iraq holds a slight historical edge, but Jordan’s home-soil upsets add spice. As they reconvene in Qatar’s spotlight, patterns of draws point to a tactical chess match.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 10/06/2025 | WC | Jordan vs Iraq | 0-1 |
| 14/11/2024 | WC | Iraq vs Jordan | 0-0 |
| 29/01/2024 | AC | Iraq vs Jordan | 2-3 |
| 17/10/2023 | FI | Jordan vs Iraq | 2-3 |
| 12/11/2020 | FI | Jordan vs Iraq | 0-0 |
These encounters average under 2.5 goals, with Iraq edging narrow wins through counters. Jordan’s sole victory came via late drama, underscoring their threat on the break. Draws dominate, reflecting mutual respect and tactical parity.
Jordan vs Iraq Predicted Lineups – FIFA Arab Cup Quarterfinal
Official lineups will be confirmed 60–75 minutes before kick-off (around 13:30 GMT), but based on the group-stage selections, latest training sessions, and pre-match press conferences as of 11 December, the expected starting XIs are clear. Both managers stick to their trusted systems with no forced changes.
Jordan predicted starting lineup
Yazeed Attiah (GK), Abdallah Hourani – Yazan Obaid – Saad Hajabi – Mohammad Smeeri, Raja’i Ayed – Ibrahim Saadeh, Mohannad Hasheesh – Mohammad Shararh, Saleh Fakhouri, Yazan Ersan
Iraq predicted starting lineup
Hassan Talib (GK), Rebin Younis – Ali Natiq – Mustafa Jabbar – Allan Maknzi, Amir Saedi – Sajjad Jasim, Hassan Nabeel – Ali Attwan – Aymen Muhsin, Meme Ghadbane
Key Factors to Watch
Several pivotal elements could tip this quarterfinal, from squad fitness to motivational edges in the Arab Cup’s high-pressure knockout phase. Jordan’s group dominance contrasts Iraq’s recovery narrative, amplifying stakes. Recent successes fuel optimism, but underlying issues like injuries demand scrutiny. Protracted series and off-field noise add layers to the buildup. Here’s what stands out:
- Jordan’s Unbeaten Streak: Three straight ARC wins with 8 goals scored, signaling peak attacking form led by Ali Olwan’s late heroics;
- Iraq’s Defensive Reset: Conceded just once in group wins but exposed vs. Algeria; expect tighter marking from Mohanad Ali;
- Key Injury Concerns: Jordan misses midfielder N. Al-Rawabdeh (hamstring strain from training); Iraq’s A. Sher doubtful with ankle knock;
- Set-Piece Threat: Both netted 30% of group goals from dead balls—watch for Abu Zraiq’s deliveries vs. Iraq’s aerial duels;
- Form of Star Players: Jordan’s Mohammad Abuhasheen (2 goals) in red-hot streak; Iraq’s Sajjad Jasim seeks redemption post-WC qualifier winner;
- Winning Series Momentum: Jordan’s perfect group run vs. Iraq’s two-win spurt before Algeria slip—knockout pressure tests resolve;
- No Major Scandals: Clean camps, but Iraq’s coaching whispers post-loss could unsettle; Jordan’s unity shines;
- Prolonged Low-Scoring H2H: Last five averaged 1.8 goals, favoring under bets in this neutral venue;
- Tournament Context: Semifinal berth on line; Jordan chases first-ever deep run, Iraq builds on WC progress;
- Weather/Neutral Edge: Qatar’s mild 22°C aids stamina, but Education City’s quick pitch favors Jordan’s quick transitions.
Free Tips on Jordan vs Iraq
Smart betting on this Arab Cup quarterfinal isn’t about guessing — it’s about exploiting the exact edges that statistics and history give us. The data from group stage performances, head-to-head meetings and deeper metrics reveal clear patterns that most casual punters miss. Below are five high-value, data-backed tips specifically tailored to Jordan vs Iraq on 12 December 2025.
- Under 2.5 Goals is the strongest historical trend — The last five head-to-heads averaged only 1.8 goals per match, and four of them finished Under 2.5. In the current tournament both teams played three matches each: six out of six stayed Under 3.5, five out of six Under 2.5. Neutral venue + knockout pressure = even more caution.
- Bet on low corner count (Under 9.5 corners) — Jordan averaged 4.3 corners for and 3.7 against in the group stage, Iraq 4.0 for and 4.3 against. Their last three H2H produced 7, 6 and 8 corners respectively. Education City Stadium’s wide pitch encourages wing play but both teams prefer central overloads and quick switches instead of endless crossing.
- Iraq to receive the most booking points — Iraq picked up 7 yellow cards in three group games (2.33 per match) against Jordan’s 4 (1.33). Coach Casas pushes aggressive midfield pressing; Jordan’s quick transitions with Olwan and Al-Naimat force opponents into tactical fouls. In World Cup qualifiers this year Iraq averaged 2.8 cards per game away/neutral game.
- Half With Most Goals = Second Half — In Jordan’s three Arab Cup matches 7 of their 8 goals came after the break; Iraq scored 4 out of 4 after halftime. Recent H2H trend is identical: 8 of the last 11 goals in this fixture arrived in the second 45 minutes. Expect cagey first halves (average 0.6 goals) followed by more open football when legs tire and substitutes enter.
- Jordan to win most possession but Iraq to create higher xG from counters — Jordan held 58–64 % possession in the group stage but Iraq’s average xG per shot (0.14) was higher than Jordan’s (0.11). Classic scenario for “Jordan Draw No Bet” or “Jordan Win + Under 3.5 Goals” combo at enhanced prices.
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Jordan vs Iraq Match Prediction
In our Jordan vs Iraq prediction 2025, we back a narrow Jordan victory, 1-0, to edge this tactical showdown and advance. Their group-stage mastery unbeaten with superior xG (7.2 created vs. Iraq’s 4.8) outweighs Iraq’s resilience, especially after Algeria’s humbling exposed midfield gaps. Jordan’s counters, led by Olwan’s pace (1.2 dribbles/game), exploit Iraq’s high line, which conceded 1.4 xGA per match lately. Iraq’s away qualifiers showed grit (unbeaten in four), but Jordan’s set-piece edge (40% goals from corners) tips it. The Jordan vs Iraq odds list hosts at 2.10, value given 55% win probability per models. Draws haunt H2H (40% rate), yet Jordan’s motivation for a historic semi trumps Iraq’s fatigue from a tougher group. Expect under 2.5 goals (70% likelihood), with clean sheets key Jordan kept two in three. This isn’t blind favoritism; metrics like PPDA (Jordan 9.2 vs. Iraq 11.4) confirm pressing dominance. Bettors, target Jordan +0.5 Asian handicap at evens for safety.
Our Prediction: Jordan 1-0 Iraq
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Jordan Win | 2.6 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.4 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.56 |
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