Italy Women vs Spain Women (1:3): UEFA Women’s Euro 11/07/2025

Jul 11, 2025
Status: Finished
1-3
UEFA Women’s Euro
Italy Women
Spain Women
match decor

Get ready for a cracking showdown as Italy Women take on Spain Women in a pivotal Group A clash at the UEFA Women’s Europ. This match could decide who tops the group, with Spain chasing glory and Italy hungry to lock in their knockout spot. I’m diving into the details to give you the sharpest insights for your bets, so let’s break it down.

The action kicks off at 19:00 GMT+0 on July 11, 2025, at Stadion Wankdorf in Bern, a 32,000-capacity venue buzzing with anticipation. This is the final group stage match of the UEFA Women’s Euro, and while referee details aren’t confirmed, the stakes are sky-high, with Spain already through to the quarter-finals and Italy needing a point to feel safe.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

To nail your Italy Women vs Spain Women prediction today, you need to know the form, the stakes, and the history. Spain’s been a juggernaut, but Italy’s got a knack for making life tough for them. Recent matches show both teams bringing fire, so let’s unpack their last outings. Head-to-head clashes add spice, revealing patterns that could sway this one. Stick with me as we dig into the numbers and trends to spot the best betting angles.

Italy Women Results

Italy Women are scrapping for their first knockout appearance since 2013, and their recent form shows grit. A draw against Portugal stung, but their win over Belgium proved they can grind out results. Let’s check their last five matches to see what’s cooking.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultItaly Outcome
07/07/25EURPortugal W vs Italy W1-1D
03/07/25EURBelgium W vs Italy W0-1W
03/06/25UNLWales W vs Italy W1-4W
30/05/25UNLItaly W vs Sweden W0-0D
08/04/25UNLDenmark W vs Italy W0-3W

Italy’s been solid, with three wins and two draws in their last five. The Portugal draw was a gut-punch, conceding late, but their goal difference keeps them comfy over third-placed Portugal. Cristiana Girelli’s scoring streak, with four goals in five games, makes her a constant threat. Their defensive trio of Linari, Salvai, and Lenzini has been a brick wall, especially away. Still, that late slip against Portugal hints at nerves under pressure.

Spain Women Results

Spain Women are on a tear, looking like the team to beat after smashing Portugal and Belgium. Their World Cup-winning pedigree shines through, but can Italy trip them up? Here’s a look at their last five matches.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultSpain Outcome
07/07/25EURSpain W vs Belgium W6-2W
03/07/25EURSpain W vs Portugal W5-0W
27/06/25FISpain W vs Japan W3-1W
03/06/25UNLSpain W vs England W2-1W
30/05/25UNLBelgium W vs Spain W1-5W

Spain’s run is electric, with five straight wins and a jaw-dropping goal tally. They’ve netted at least three goals in four of those games, with Alexia Putellas and Esther Gonzalez leading the charge. Their 6-2 thrashing of Belgium showed they can turn it on even when pushed. No major defensive wobbles, though Belgium’s two goals expose rare cracks. This team’s momentum feels unstoppable, but Italy’s past success against them looms large.

Who will win Friday’s UEFA Women’s Euro clash between Italy Women and Spain Women?
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Italy Women
9%
Draw
15%
Spain Women
76%
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Italy Women vs Spain Women Head-to-Head Results

The rivalry between Italy and Spain has produced some tight battles, with Italy holding their own more often than not. Their last five meetings show a mix of draws, an Italian upset, and a Spanish edge. Let’s lay out the history.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
29/10/24FIItaly W vs Spain W1-1
01/12/23UNLSpain W vs Italy W2-3
27/10/23UNLItaly W vs Spain W0-1
01/07/22FIItaly W vs Spain W1-1
07/03/18ITItaly W vs Spain W0-2

Italy’s 3-2 win in 2023 stands out, proving they can rattle Spain’s cage. Two draws in the last four meetings show these games are often cagey, with neither side running away with it. Spain’s lone win in recent clashes was narrow, suggesting Italy’s tactical setup frustrates them. This history points to a competitive scrap, with Italy likely to keep it close again.

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Predicted Lineups for Italy Women vs Spain Women Football Match

To get a sense of how the Italy Women vs Spain Women clash might unfold on July 11, 2025, let’s look at the likely starting lineups. These selections are based on recent team news, player form, and tactical preferences from both camps. Italy’s aiming to secure their knockout spot with a disciplined setup, while Spain’s chasing Group A’s top spot with their attacking flair. Below, I’ve broken down the expected starters for each side, position by position, to give you a clear picture of who’s likely to take the pitch.

Italy Women Predicted Lineup

Italy’s coach Andrea Soncin is expected to stick with the core of the squad that’s delivered solid results in the group stage, leaning on their defensive strength and Girelli’s scoring nous.

Giuliani (GK), Lenzini (DF), Salvai (DF), Linari (DF), Di Guglielmo (MF), Giugliano (MF), Severini (MF), Boattin (MF), Caruso (FW), Cantore (FW), Girelli (FW)

Spain Women Predicted Lineup

Spain’s Montse Tome might shuffle the pack to manage yellow card risks for Batlle and Aleixandri, but their attacking stars like Putellas and Gonzalez are set to lead the charge.

Nanclares (GK), Fernandez (DF), Paredes (DF), Mendez (DF), Carmona (DF), Bonmati (MF), Guijarro (MF), Putellas (MF), Caldentey (FW), Pina (FW), Gonzalez (FW).

Key Factors to Watch

To make the smartest Italy Women vs Spain Women betting tips, you’ve got to zoom in on what’ll shape this match. Both teams bring strengths, but vulnerabilities and intangibles could tip the scales. Here’s what I’m keeping an eye on.

  • Spain’s attacking form: La Roja have scored 11 goals in two Euro games, with Putellas and Gonzalez in red-hot form;
  • Italy’s defensive solidity: Their back three of Linari, Salvai, and Lenzini has conceded just once in two group games;
  • Girelli’s goal threat: Italy’s striker has four goals in five internationals, a clutch player for big moments;
  • Spain’s potential rotation: With qualification secured, Tome might rest Batlle and Aleixandri to avoid suspensions;
  • Italy’s late-game nerves: Conceding an 89th-minute equalizer to Portugal raises questions about their clutch factor;
  • Bonmati’s possible start: Spain’s star midfielder could spark their attack if she gets her first Euro start;
  • Head-to-head edge: Italy’s unbeaten in three of their last four against Spain, including a 3-2 upset;
  • Fixture fatigue: Spain’s high-intensity style might be tested after two big wins in a week.

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Free Tips on Italy Women vs Spain Women

To make the most of your bets on the Italy Women vs Spain Women clash, you need to lean on the right insights from past matches and team dynamics. This Group A showdown on July 11, 2025, is loaded with potential, and the stats tell a story worth hearing. Here are five sharp tips, drawn from the teams’ recent performances and head-to-head battles, to guide your betting strategy.

  • Check recent team form for confidence clues: Spain’s five straight wins, including 11 goals in two Euro matches, show they’re brimming with momentum, while Italy’s three wins and two draws in five games suggest resilience but less firepower.
  • Study head-to-head trends for matchup edges: Italy’s unbeaten run in three of their last four against Spain, including a 3-2 upset in 2023, hints they can keep this game competitive, often leading to tight scorelines.
  • Factor in home and away performance splits: Spain’s been lethal at neutral venues, scoring freely, but Italy’s defensive setup has held firm on the road, conceding just once in two Euro away games.
  • Consider the referee’s tendencies for card bets: Without specific referee data, historical trends show Euro matches often see cautious officiating, so expect fewer cards unless the game turns feisty late.
  • Account for pitch and weather effects: Stadion Wankdorf’s natural grass pitch, if wet from Bern’s July rains, could slow Spain’s slick passing, potentially favoring Italy’s compact, counter-attacking style.
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Italy Women vs Spain Women Match Prediction 2025

For the Italy Women vs Spain Women prediction 2025, I’m leaning toward a Spanish victory, but don’t expect a blowout. Spain’s firepower, with 11 goals in two Euro matches, is hard to ignore, especially with Putellas orchestrating and Gonzalez finishing. Their 6-2 rout of Belgium showed they can overwhelm, and their seven-game win streak screams confidence. Italy’s no pushover, though, their back three is stingy, and Girelli’s a proven scorer. Their 3-2 win over Spain in 2023 and two draws since prove they can hang tough. Still, Spain’s depth and quality should shine through, especially if Bonmati starts. The Italy Women vs Spain Women odds likely favor La Roja, but Italy’s defensive setup could keep the scoreline tight. I see Spain edging it 2-1, capitalizing on a late chance while Italy nick a goal through Girelli. Both teams should find the net, given Italy’s scoring form and Spain’s leaky moments against Belgium. Total goals should tip over 2.5, as Spain’s attack rarely slows down.

Our Prediction: Italy Women 1-2 Spain Women

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultSpain Women Win1.25
Both Teams to ScoreYes1.95
Total GoalsOver 2.51.48

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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