Guinea vs Algeria (1:1): African Nations Championship 15/08/2025

August 15, 2025
Status: Finished
1-1
African Nations Championship
Guinea
Algeria
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The African Nations Championship (CHAN) group stage heats up as Guinea face Algeria at Nelson Mandela National Stadium on August 15, 2025, with both teams vying for crucial points to secure a quarter-final spot. Guinea, trailing by one point, aim to upset the odds, while Algeria, buoyed by their unbeaten start, look to maintain their group dominance in this high-stakes clash.

Scheduled for 14:00 GMT+0 on August 15, 2025, at the 45,202-capacity Nelson Mandela National Stadium in Kampala, this CHAN group stage match will be refereed by an official yet to be confirmed. Guinea leverage their home advantage in this neutral venue, while Algeria, under Madjid Bougherra, aim to extend their strong historical edge.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

Get ready for the Guinea vs Algeria prediction today with our expert breakdown. Guinea’s attacking potential meets Algeria’s defensive solidity, promising a competitive encounter. Algeria’s historical dominance, winning three of four recent meetings, adds intrigue. Recent performances and head-to-head stats offer key clues for your bets. Let’s unpack the numbers for your Guinea vs Algeria betting tips.

Guinea Results

Guinea, under Souleymane Camara, have struggled in their CHAN campaign, losing two of three matches but showing flashes of attacking promise. Their recent form reflects inconsistency across competitions. Here’s a look at their last five matches across all competitions.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
11/08/25ANCSouth Africa vs Guinea2-1L
08/08/25ANCGuinea vs Uganda0-3L
04/08/25ANCNiger vs Guinea0-1W
27/07/25FIGuinea vs Central Africa1-1D
07/07/25FISenegal vs Guinea1-0L

Guinea’s form shows one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five, with a 1-0 win over Niger highlighting defensive resilience. Their 3-0 loss to Uganda exposed defensive frailties, conceding 1.2 goals per game. Mohamed Bangoura’s goal against South Africa offers attacking hope, averaging 0.6 goals. Home games at neutral venues saw no wins, a concern. The team needs sharper finishing to challenge Algeria.

Algeria Results

Algeria, led by Madjid Bougherra, remain unbeaten in CHAN with a win and a draw, showcasing attacking flair. Their recent form across competitions is strong, with only one loss. Here’s their last five matches across all competitions.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
08/08/25ANCAlgeria vs South Africa1-1D
04/08/25ANCUganda vs Algeria0-3W
29/07/25FIAlgeria vs Mauritania2-2D
10/06/25FISweden vs Algeria4-3L
09/06/25FIAlgeria vs Rwanda2-0W

Algeria’s form is robust, with three wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five, averaging 2.4 goals per game. Their 3-0 win over Uganda, led by Ayoub Ghezala, highlights attacking depth. The 1-1 draw against South Africa shows resilience, conceding 1 goal per game. Away form, with five wins in eight, is a strength. Abderrahmane Meziane Bentahar’s form makes them dangerous.

Who will win Friday’s African Nations Championship clash between Guinea and Algeria?
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Guinea
18%
Draw
26%
Algeria
56%
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Guinea vs Algeria Head-to-Head

Algeria have a slight edge over Guinea, winning three of their last four meetings, though Guinea pulled off an upset in 2024. Their encounters are often low-scoring but competitive. Here’s a look at their last five head-to-head results.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
06/06/24WCAlgeria vs Guinea1-2
23/09/22FIAlgeria vs Guinea1-0
07/07/19ACNAlgeria vs Guinea3-0
06/06/17FIAlgeria vs Guinea2-1
09/10/15FIAlgeria vs Guinea1-2

Algeria’s three wins to Guinea’s two in five games show a balanced rivalry, with a 5-2 goal difference favoring Algeria. Guinea’s 2-1 win in 2024 proves they can upset, but Algeria’s clean sheets in two of four games suggest defensive strength. Expect a tight, competitive clash with goals likely.

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Predicted Starting Lineups for Guinea vs Algeria

The African Nations Championship group stage clash on August 15, 2025, at Nelson Mandela National Stadium will see Guinea and Algeria field their strongest available domestic-based squads, with these predicted lineups showcasing their tactical approaches. Guinea aim to upset Algeria’s momentum, while Algeria look to leverage their attacking depth to secure a quarter-final spot. Below are the expected starting XIs, with player positions based on the latest team news.

Guinea Predicted Lineup

Moussa Camara (GK), Mohamed Boke Camara (DF), Kouyate (DF), Cisse (DF), Mohamed Bangoura (DF), Ismael Camara (MF), Drame (MF), Youla (MF), Alhassane Bangoura (MF), Aboubacar Bangoura (MF), Moussa Camara F. (FW)

Algeria Predicted Lineup

Bouhalfaya (GK), Halaimia (DF), Alilet (DF), Ghezala (DF), Boukerchaoui (DF), Merbah (MF), Draoui (MF), Belhocini (MF), Chetti (MF), Bentahar (MF), Mahious (FW)

Key Factors to Watch

To craft a precise Guinea vs Algeria match prediction, focus on the elements that could sway this CHAN group stage clash. Injuries, form, and tactical battles will shape the outcome at Nelson Mandela National Stadium. Here are eight critical points to consider.

  • Algeria are unbeaten in their two CHAN matches;
  • Guinea’s Mohamed Bangoura scored in their last game;
  • Algeria’s Ayoub Ghezala is their top CHAN scorer;
  • Guinea’s Cheick Conde is out with an injury;
  • Algeria won three of their last four against Guinea;
  • Guinea have no home wins in CHAN this season;
  • Algeria’s Abderrahmane Meziane Bentahar won Player of the Match;
  • Guinea conceded six goals in their last three CHAN games.

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Free Tips on Guinea vs Algeria

To place smart bets on the Guinea vs Algeria African Nations Championship clash, rely on the stats from their recent performances and Algeria’s slight head-to-head edge. This August 15, 2025, group stage matchup at Nelson Mandela National Stadium sees Guinea’s attacking spark tested by Algeria’s defensive solidity. Here are five betting tips, drawn from statistical insights, to guide your wagers.

  • Study Head-to-Head Trends: Algeria won three of four recent meetings, with 50% of games under 2.5 goals; consider betting on under 2.5 goals for value.
  • Check Nelson Mandela Stadium’s Pitch: The grass surface, if rain-affected, could slow Algeria’s attacks, favoring Guinea’s compact setup; monitor weather updates.
  • Factor in Neutral Venue Dynamics: With no true home crowd, Guinea’s motivation may dip; bets on a low-scoring first half hold potential.
  • Assess Algeria’s Away Form: Algeria won five of eight away games; they may control possession against Guinea’s defense.
  • Evaluate Match Intensity: The high-stakes CHAN clash may lead to cautions; explore prop bets on bookings with an unconfirmed referee.
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Guinea vs Algeria Prediction 2025

For the Guinea vs Algeria prediction 2025, I’m backing Algeria to win 2-0. Algeria’s unbeaten CHAN run, with a 3-0 win over Uganda and a 1-1 draw against South Africa, showcases their attacking prowess, averaging 2.4 goals per game, led by Ayoub Ghezala and Abderrahmane Meziane Bentahar. Guinea’s 2-1 loss to South Africa and 3-0 defeat to Uganda highlight defensive frailties, conceding 1.2 goals per game, despite Mohamed Bangoura’s scoring threat. The Guinea vs Algeria odds, with Algeria at 1.62 and Guinea at 4.75, reflect Algeria’s edge, having won three of four head-to-heads. Guinea’s upset 2-1 win in 2024 offers hope, but their lack of home wins and Cheick Conde’s injury weaken them. Algeria’s away form, with five wins in eight, and two clean sheets in four against Guinea suggest they’ll dominate. With 70% of Guinea’s games and 50% of Algeria’s under 2.5 goals, expect a controlled, low-scoring win for Algeria, securing their quarter-final push.

Our Prediction: Guinea 1-2 Algeria

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultAlgeria Win1.56
Both Teams to ScoreNo1.61
Total GoalsUnder 2.51.64

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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