France face Portugal in the semi-final of UEFA Futsal EURO 2026 on February 4, 2026, at 19:30 GMT+0. The match takes place at Arena Stožice in Ljubljana, Slovenia. Referees include Nikola Jelić (CRO) as main referee, with Aleš Močnik Perič (SVN) as second referee, alongside other officials from Switzerland and Finland.
This clash pits the rapid rise of France against the established dominance of Portugal, the holders chasing a third consecutive title. France have reached their first EURO semi-final after strong showings in the group stage and a gritty extra-time win over Ukraine in the quarters. Portugal dismantled Belgium 8-2 in their quarter-final, powered by Pany Varela’s hat-trick, underlining their attacking depth and experience in knockout ties.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
This semi-final promises intensity as France seek to upset the odds against a Portugal side unbeaten in their last 15 EURO finals matches. France vs Portugal prediction today focuses on Portugal’s historical edge and current momentum against France’s emerging threat led by in-form players like Souheil Mouhoudine. Recent results show both teams in scoring form, yet defensive lapses could decide the outcome. Key tactical battles, particularly in transitions, will shape the game. Readers should weigh Portugal’s pedigree against France’s hunger for a breakthrough result.
France Results
France enter this semi-final with growing confidence after their best-ever EURO run. They topped their group unbeaten and showed resilience in extra time against Ukraine. The side has blended youth and experience effectively in this tournament.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 31.01.26 | UEFA Futsal EURO | France vs Ukraine | 4-2 | W |
| 28.01.26 | UEFA Futsal EURO | Georgia vs France | 1-3 | W |
| 25.01.26 | UEFA Futsal EURO | France vs Latvia | 5-0 | W |
| 21.01.26 | UEFA Futsal EURO | Croatia vs France | 2-2 | D |
| 15.01.26 | Friendly | France vs Belgium | 5-5 | D |
France have won three of their last five, scoring freely while conceding in most games. The extra-time victory over Ukraine highlighted their fighting spirit, especially with Mouhoudine’s hat-trick. Defensive issues persist away from home setups, yet attacking output remains consistent. Draws in tougher fixtures suggest they can hold firm under pressure. Overall momentum builds toward this high-stakes encounter.
Portugal Results
Portugal arrive as clear favorites, carrying the weight of back-to-back titles. Their quarter-final demolition of Belgium showcased ruthless finishing. The team continues to blend veterans with emerging talent seamlessly.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 01.02.26 | UEFA Futsal EURO | Portugal vs Belgium | 8-2 | W |
| 29.01.26 | UEFA Futsal EURO | Portugal vs Poland | 3-2 | W |
| 27.01.26 | UEFA Futsal EURO | Hungary vs Portugal | 1-5 | W |
| 24.01.26 | UEFA Futsal EURO | Italy vs Portugal | 2-6 | W |
| 18.01.26 | Friendly | Portugal vs Bosnia & Herzegovina | 3-0 | W |
Portugal have secured five straight wins, outscoring opponents heavily in recent outings. Their attack flows through experienced figures like Pany Varela, who thrives in big moments. Defensive solidity holds even when conceding, as seen against Poland. The side maintains high intensity across tournaments. This run reinforces their status as the team to beat.
France vs Portugal Head-to-Head (Last 5 Matches)
Portugal hold a perfect record against France across all meetings. Historical dominance includes convincing wins and tight friendlies. France have yet to claim a victory in these encounters.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 04.12.19 | Friendly | France vs Portugal | 3-4 |
| 03.12.19 | Friendly | France vs Portugal | 1-2 |
| 16.12.11 | World Cup | Portugal vs France | 6-0 |
Portugal won all three recorded recent matches, often by narrow margins in friendlies or comfortably in major tournaments. France scored in two of the last three but failed to secure points. The pattern favors Portugal’s composure in decisive phases. This history weighs heavily on expectations.
Predicted Lineups for France vs Portugal
The following are the projected starting lineups for the France vs Portugal semi-final at UEFA Futsal EURO 2026. These selections draw from recent tournament appearances, current player form, tactical setups observed in previous matches, and squad availability. Futsal lineups tend to feature five starters with frequent early changes to keep energy high throughout the game.
France Projected Starting Lineup
Lokoka (Goalkeeper), Mouhoudine (Fixo), Guirio (Ala), Mamadou Touré (Ala), Abdessamad Mohammed (Pivot)
Portugal Projected Starting Lineup
Bernardo Paçó (Goalkeeper), André Coelho (Fixo), Pany Varela (Ala), Diogo Santos (Ala), Lúcio Jr (Pivot)
Key Match Factors to Watch
Both teams bring strong form into this semi-final, yet specific elements could tip the balance. Portugal’s experience clashes with France’s momentum. Attention turns to individual battles and set-piece execution.
- Abdessamad Mohammed’s suspension weakens France’s defensive options after his red card against Ukraine;
- Souheil Mouhoudine leads the goalscoring charts with six strikes and remains France’s main threat;
- Pany Varela’s hat-trick in the quarters highlights Portugal’s reliance on veteran firepower;
- Portugal maintain a 15-match unbeaten streak in EURO finals tournaments;
- France reached their first EURO semi-final, showing rapid progress since their 2018 debut;
- High-scoring games dominate recent outings for both sides, with over 5.5 goals common;
- Set-piece routines favor Portugal due to aerial strength and organized pressing;
- Motivation runs high for France to end Portugal’s head-to-head supremacy.
Free Tips on France vs Portugal
This section delivers practical, match-specific free tips drawn from detailed statistics, head-to-head patterns, current team momentum, and other influencing elements ahead of the France vs Portugal semi-final. These pointers help identify potential edges without repeating the core factors already covered. Focus remains squarely on this high-stakes UEFA Futsal EURO encounter in Ljubljana.
- Portugal’s perfect 10-0 head-to-head record against France includes high-scoring affairs in recent friendlies, suggesting the holders often find ways to break down French resistance even when the scoreline tightens late;
- France have scored in every EURO game this tournament while conceding in four out of five, pointing toward matches that regularly produce goals from both ends;
- Pany Varela’s explosive form, with a hat-trick in the quarters, combined with Portugal’s 15-match EURO finals winning run, gives the Portuguese clear psychological and tactical confidence entering knockout stages;
- Souheil Mouhoudine leads the tournament scoring charts with six goals and thrives in transition moments, offering France their best route to exploit any Portuguese defensive lapses on the counter;
- Both teams feature in recent high-goal outputs, with Portugal averaging over six goals scored in their last four EURO matches and France involved in several open contests, supporting expectations of an attacking, entertaining semi-final.
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France vs Portugal Match Prediction 2026
Portugal hold the edge through superior experience, flawless head-to-head record, and devastating attack displayed against Belgium. France impress with resilience and Mouhoudine’s form, yet absences and historical struggles suggest they fall short. Expect Portugal to control possession and exploit transitions for a comfortable win. France vs Portugal odds reflect this favoritism, with value in Portugal covering any spread. The holders advance to defend their crown.
Our Prediction: France 2-3 Portugal
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Portugal Win | 1.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.12 |
| Total Goals | Over 4.5 | 1.4 |
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