France vs Portugal Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – UEFA Futsal EURO 04/02/2026

UEFA Futsal Euro
France vs Portugal
Wed, 4 Feb 2026 – 19:30
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6.0
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5.8
Draw
1.32
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France face Portugal in the semi-final of UEFA Futsal EURO 2026 on February 4, 2026, at 19:30 GMT+0. The match takes place at Arena Stožice in Ljubljana, Slovenia. Referees include Nikola Jelić (CRO) as main referee, with Aleš Močnik Perič (SVN) as second referee, alongside other officials from Switzerland and Finland.

This clash pits the rapid rise of France against the established dominance of Portugal, the holders chasing a third consecutive title. France have reached their first EURO semi-final after strong showings in the group stage and a gritty extra-time win over Ukraine in the quarters. Portugal dismantled Belgium 8-2 in their quarter-final, powered by Pany Varela’s hat-trick, underlining their attacking depth and experience in knockout ties.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

This semi-final promises intensity as France seek to upset the odds against a Portugal side unbeaten in their last 15 EURO finals matches. France vs Portugal prediction today focuses on Portugal’s historical edge and current momentum against France’s emerging threat led by in-form players like Souheil Mouhoudine. Recent results show both teams in scoring form, yet defensive lapses could decide the outcome. Key tactical battles, particularly in transitions, will shape the game. Readers should weigh Portugal’s pedigree against France’s hunger for a breakthrough result.

France Results

France enter this semi-final with growing confidence after their best-ever EURO run. They topped their group unbeaten and showed resilience in extra time against Ukraine. The side has blended youth and experience effectively in this tournament.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
31.01.26UEFA Futsal EUROFrance vs Ukraine4-2W
28.01.26UEFA Futsal EUROGeorgia vs France1-3W
25.01.26UEFA Futsal EUROFrance vs Latvia5-0W
21.01.26UEFA Futsal EUROCroatia vs France2-2D
15.01.26FriendlyFrance vs Belgium5-5D

France have won three of their last five, scoring freely while conceding in most games. The extra-time victory over Ukraine highlighted their fighting spirit, especially with Mouhoudine’s hat-trick. Defensive issues persist away from home setups, yet attacking output remains consistent. Draws in tougher fixtures suggest they can hold firm under pressure. Overall momentum builds toward this high-stakes encounter.

Portugal Results

Portugal arrive as clear favorites, carrying the weight of back-to-back titles. Their quarter-final demolition of Belgium showcased ruthless finishing. The team continues to blend veterans with emerging talent seamlessly.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
01.02.26UEFA Futsal EUROPortugal vs Belgium8-2W
29.01.26UEFA Futsal EUROPortugal vs Poland3-2W
27.01.26UEFA Futsal EUROHungary vs Portugal1-5W
24.01.26UEFA Futsal EUROItaly vs Portugal2-6W
18.01.26FriendlyPortugal vs Bosnia & Herzegovina3-0W

Portugal have secured five straight wins, outscoring opponents heavily in recent outings. Their attack flows through experienced figures like Pany Varela, who thrives in big moments. Defensive solidity holds even when conceding, as seen against Poland. The side maintains high intensity across tournaments. This run reinforces their status as the team to beat.

Who will win Wednesday’s UEFA Futsal Euro clash between France and Portugal?
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France
14%
Draw
15%
Portugal
71%
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France vs Portugal Head-to-Head (Last 5 Matches)

Portugal hold a perfect record against France across all meetings. Historical dominance includes convincing wins and tight friendlies. France have yet to claim a victory in these encounters.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
04.12.19FriendlyFrance vs Portugal3-4
03.12.19FriendlyFrance vs Portugal1-2
16.12.11World CupPortugal vs France6-0

Portugal won all three recorded recent matches, often by narrow margins in friendlies or comfortably in major tournaments. France scored in two of the last three but failed to secure points. The pattern favors Portugal’s composure in decisive phases. This history weighs heavily on expectations.

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Predicted Lineups for France vs Portugal

The following are the projected starting lineups for the France vs Portugal semi-final at UEFA Futsal EURO 2026. These selections draw from recent tournament appearances, current player form, tactical setups observed in previous matches, and squad availability. Futsal lineups tend to feature five starters with frequent early changes to keep energy high throughout the game.

France Projected Starting Lineup

Lokoka (Goalkeeper), Mouhoudine (Fixo), Guirio (Ala), Mamadou Touré (Ala), Abdessamad Mohammed (Pivot)

Portugal Projected Starting Lineup

Bernardo Paçó (Goalkeeper), André Coelho (Fixo), Pany Varela (Ala), Diogo Santos (Ala), Lúcio Jr (Pivot)

Key Match Factors to Watch

Both teams bring strong form into this semi-final, yet specific elements could tip the balance. Portugal’s experience clashes with France’s momentum. Attention turns to individual battles and set-piece execution.

  • Abdessamad Mohammed’s suspension weakens France’s defensive options after his red card against Ukraine;
  • Souheil Mouhoudine leads the goalscoring charts with six strikes and remains France’s main threat;
  • Pany Varela’s hat-trick in the quarters highlights Portugal’s reliance on veteran firepower;
  • Portugal maintain a 15-match unbeaten streak in EURO finals tournaments;
  • France reached their first EURO semi-final, showing rapid progress since their 2018 debut;
  • High-scoring games dominate recent outings for both sides, with over 5.5 goals common;
  • Set-piece routines favor Portugal due to aerial strength and organized pressing;
  • Motivation runs high for France to end Portugal’s head-to-head supremacy.

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Free Tips on France vs Portugal

This section delivers practical, match-specific free tips drawn from detailed statistics, head-to-head patterns, current team momentum, and other influencing elements ahead of the France vs Portugal semi-final. These pointers help identify potential edges without repeating the core factors already covered. Focus remains squarely on this high-stakes UEFA Futsal EURO encounter in Ljubljana.

  • Portugal’s perfect 10-0 head-to-head record against France includes high-scoring affairs in recent friendlies, suggesting the holders often find ways to break down French resistance even when the scoreline tightens late;
  • France have scored in every EURO game this tournament while conceding in four out of five, pointing toward matches that regularly produce goals from both ends;
  • Pany Varela’s explosive form, with a hat-trick in the quarters, combined with Portugal’s 15-match EURO finals winning run, gives the Portuguese clear psychological and tactical confidence entering knockout stages;
  • Souheil Mouhoudine leads the tournament scoring charts with six goals and thrives in transition moments, offering France their best route to exploit any Portuguese defensive lapses on the counter;
  • Both teams feature in recent high-goal outputs, with Portugal averaging over six goals scored in their last four EURO matches and France involved in several open contests, supporting expectations of an attacking, entertaining semi-final.
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France vs Portugal Match Prediction 2026

Portugal hold the edge through superior experience, flawless head-to-head record, and devastating attack displayed against Belgium. France impress with resilience and Mouhoudine’s form, yet absences and historical struggles suggest they fall short. Expect Portugal to control possession and exploit transitions for a comfortable win. France vs Portugal odds reflect this favoritism, with value in Portugal covering any spread. The holders advance to defend their crown.

Our Prediction: France 2-3 Portugal

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultPortugal Win1.33
Both Teams to ScoreYes1.12
Total GoalsOver 4.51.4

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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