The highly anticipated second leg of the Copa Betano do Brasil quarterfinals between Fluminense and Bahia is set to take place on September 10, 2025, at 22:00 GMT+0 at the iconic Maracanã Stadium in Rio de Janeiro, with a capacity of 78,838. The match, officiated by referee Wilton Pereira Sampaio, known for his strict approach (averaging 4.8 cards per game in 2025), promises a tense battle as Fluminense aim to overturn a 1-0 deficit from the first leg.
This Copa Betano do Brasil clash is critical for both teams, with Fluminense leveraging their home advantage and Bahia riding high on recent form. The quarterfinal stage heightens the stakes, as the winner advances closer to the coveted title, making tactical discipline and key player performances pivotal.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
To craft an informed Fluminense vs Bahia prediction today, we dive into recent performances and historical data. Both teams have shown resilience in domestic and cup competitions, with Bahia holding a slight edge in their latest head-to-head. This section sets the stage for a detailed look at form, key players, and tactical matchups. Understanding recent results and direct encounters is crucial for spotting betting value. Let’s break down the data to guide your Fluminense vs Bahia betting tips.
Fluminense Results
Fluminense’s recent performances have been a mixed bag, reflecting their struggle for consistency in the 2025 season. Their home form at Maracanã remains a strong point, but losses in key matches raise concerns. Below is a summary of their last five matches across all competitions.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 31/08/2025 | SA | Santos vs Fluminense | 0-0 | D |
| 29/08/2025 | COP | Bahia vs Fluminense | 1-0 | L |
| 23/08/2025 | SA | Bragantino vs Fluminense | 4-2 | L |
| 20/08/2025 | COP | Fluminense vs America De Cali | 2-0 | W |
| 16/08/2025 | SA | Fluminense vs Fortaleza | 2-1 | W |
Fluminense’s home win against Fortaleza (2-1) shows their attacking potential at Maracanã, with an xG of 1.8. However, their away losses to Bragantino (4-2) and Bahia (1-0) highlight defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average xGA of 1.5 in these games. The draw against Santos (0-0) suggests struggles in breaking down low-block defenses. Their Copa win over America De Cali (2-0) boosts confidence, but inconsistency remains a concern. To advance, Fluminense must capitalize on home advantage and tighten their backline.
Bahia Results
Bahia have been in scintillating form, particularly in the Copa Betano do Brasil, where they’ve showcased attacking prowess. Their recent results indicate a team peaking at the right time, with strong performances across competitions. Below are their last five matches.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 06/09/2025 | COP | Bahia vs Confianca | 5-0 | W |
| 04/09/2025 | COP | Confianca vs Bahia | 1-4 | W |
| 01/09/2025 | SA | Mirassol vs Bahia | 5-1 | L |
| 29/08/2025 | COP | Bahia vs Fluminense | 1-0 | W |
| 24/08/2025 | SA | Bahia vs Santos | 2-0 | W |
Bahia’s emphatic 5-0 and 4-1 wins over Confianca in the Copa demonstrate their attacking depth, generating an average xG of 2.3 per game. Their 2-0 league win over Santos reinforces their home strength, but the 5-1 loss to Mirassol exposes defensive frailties on the road (xGA of 2.1). The 1-0 victory over Fluminense in the first leg shows tactical discipline. Bahia’s ability to score in bursts makes them dangerous, but away form remains a question mark.
Fluminense vs Bahia Head-to-Head Results
The head-to-head history between Fluminense and Bahia is tightly contested, with both teams trading blows in recent encounters. Their matchups often produce goals, reflecting open, attacking playstyles. Below are the last five head-to-head results.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 29/08/2025 | COP | Bahia vs Fluminense | 1-0 |
| 10/08/2025 | SA | Bahia vs Fluminense | 3-3 |
| 04/08/2024 | SA | Fluminense vs Bahia | 1-0 |
| 17/04/2024 | SA | Bahia vs Fluminense | 2-1 |
| 01/11/2023 | SA | Bahia vs Fluminense | 1-0 |
Bahia hold a slight edge, winning three of the last five, though Fluminense’s 1-0 home win in 2024 shows their Maracanã resilience. The 3-3 draw in August 2025 suggests potential for high-scoring games. Both teams average 2.4 goals per game in these matchups, with Bahia’s defense proving tougher to break down recently.
Fluminense Possible Starting Lineup
Fluminense are expected to field a strong side at Maracanã, leaning on experienced players and home advantage.
Fabio (GK), Guga (DF), Silva (DF), Freytes (DF), Rene (DF), Hercules (MF), Martinelli (MF), Canobbio (MF), Nonato (MF), Serna (FW), Cano (FW)
Bahia Possible Starting Lineup
Bahia’s lineup is likely to balance their recent attacking flair with a cautious approach on the road to protect their first-leg lead.
Ronaldo (GK), Arias (DF), Duarte (DF), Mingo (DF), Juba (DF), Acevedo (MF), Lucas (MF), Kayky (MF), Ribeiro (MF), Pulga (FW), Tiago (FW)
Key Factors to Watch
To make an accurate Fluminense vs Bahia match prediction, several critical elements must be considered. These factors, ranging from injuries to recent form, will shape the outcome at Maracanã. Below are the key points to monitor.
- Injuries: Fluminense are without key midfielder André (knee injury, expected return October 2025), reducing their midfield control (pass success rate drops by 8%); Bahia’s striker Everaldo is doubtful (hamstring, 50% chance to play), potentially lowering their xG by 0.4;
- Fluminense’s Home Form: Undefeated in their last three home games (2W, 1D), with an average xG of 1.7;
- Bahia’s Away Struggles: Only one win in their last five away matches, conceding an average xGA of 1.9;
- Recent Successes: Bahia’s 9-1 aggregate over Confianca in the Copa shows their attacking depth;
- Fluminense’s Defensive Issues: Conceded in three of their last five matches, with an xGA of 1.4;
- Bahia’s Scoring Streak: Scored in all five recent matches, averaging 2.8 goals per game;
- Tactical Matchup: Fluminense’s high-press (PPDA 9.2) could exploit Bahia’s slower build-up (pass completion 82% away);
- Referee Influence: Wilton Pereira Sampaio’s strict officiating may lead to over 4.5 cards (70% probability based on 2025 data).
Free Tips on Fluminense vs Bahia
For the Fluminense vs Bahia match prediction, understanding statistical trends and team dynamics is key to identifying betting value. This section provides actionable tips based on historical data and current trends, tailored to this crucial Copa Betano do Brasil quarterfinal. These insights will help bettors make informed decisions for the September 10, 2025, clash.
- Player Form: Focus on Fluminense’s Keno, who has scored or assisted in 60% of his last five home games, increasing the likelihood of a goal contribution (odds around 2.20 for anytime scorer).
- Stadium & Fan Influence: Maracanã’s passionate crowd boosts Fluminense’s win rate by 15% in cup matches, making them a strong bet to at least avoid defeat.
- Pitch Condition: Maracanã’s natural grass, expected to be in top condition, favors Fluminense’s quick passing game (85% pass accuracy at home) over Bahia’s slower build-up.
- Upcoming Fixtures: Bahia face a tough league match three days later, potentially leading to squad rotation and reduced intensity, tilting the advantage to Fluminense.
- Betting Odds Value: Look for value in Fluminense to qualify (odds around 1.90), as their home xG and Bahia’s away xGA align with a narrow home win.
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Fluminense vs Bahia Match Prediction 2025
For the Fluminense vs Bahia prediction 2025, we lean towards a narrow Fluminense victory at home, likely 2-1, allowing them to overturn the 1-0 first-leg deficit and advance on aggregate. Fluminense’s strong home form at Maracanã, where they’ve won 60% of their 2025 matches, gives them an edge, especially with an average xG of 1.7 in front of their fans. Bahia’s potent attack (2.8 goals per game recently) is a threat, but their away defensive frailties (xGA 1.9) suggest vulnerability against Fluminense’s high-press, led by Keno and Arias. The Fluminense vs Bahia odds reflect a tight contest, with Fluminense at 1.85 to win and over 2.5 goals at 2.00, offering value given the 3.3 average goals in their head-to-heads. Bahia’s potential absence of Everaldo further tilts the balance, as their xG drops significantly without him. Historical data shows Fluminense winning 70% of home games when trailing by one goal in cup ties, supporting our prediction. Expect a high-intensity match with Fluminense capitalizing on home advantage and Bahia struggling to maintain their first-leg lead.
Our Prediction: Fluminense 2-1 Bahia
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Fluminense to Win | 2.04 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 Goals | 2.36 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 2.06 |
Place your bet on the match – Fluminense vs Bahia at bc.game to capitalize on these insights. With Fluminense’s home strength and Bahia’s away struggles, this match offers intriguing betting opportunities for savvy punters.
