The long-awaited football match between Flamengo and Sao Paulo will take place on July 12, 2025, at 19:30 GMT+0 at the famous Maracanã Stadium in Rio de Janeiro, which can hold 78,838 people. This game is part of the 13th round of the Brazilian Serie A Betano. It features the league leaders against a team in the middle of the table that is desperate to move up in the standings. It should be an exciting struggle under the lights.
There is no precise information about the referee, but the electrifying atmosphere at Maracanã and Flamengo’s strong home record make for an exciting match. Flamengo is trying to win the Serie A title, and Sao Paulo is under new management with Hernan Crespo. This game is very important for both teams’ goals in the 2025 season.
BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS
To make an informed Flamengo vs Sao Paulo prediction today, understanding the teams’ recent performances and historical encounters is essential. This meeting is important since Flamengo has been playing well at home and Sao Paulo has been having trouble on the road. The hosts’ strong offense is different from the visitors’ injury-ridden team, which sets expectations. Head-to-head results show patterns in their rivalry and add another level. We will go into more detail about these aspects below to help you make your betting judgments.
Flamengo Results
Flamengo has been strong in the 2025 season, especially at home, where they haven’t lost a game and their defense is strong. Their recent games in different competitions show that they are in great shape, even though they have problems in the middle of the field. Here is a summary of their last five documented games.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 29/06/25 | CWC | Flamengo RJ vs Bayern Munich | 2-4 | L |
| 25/06/25 | CWC | Los Angeles FC vs Flamengo RJ | 1-1 | D |
| 20/06/25 | CWC | Flamengo RJ vs Chelsea | 3-1 | W |
| 17/06/25 | CWC | Flamengo RJ vs Esperance Tunis | 2-0 | W |
| 02/06/25 | SA | Flamengo RJ vs Fortaleza | 5-0 | W |
Flamengo’s 5-0 win over Fortaleza shows how dangerous their offense is, with Pedro and Everton Cebolinha leading the way. They have five straight clean sheets at home in Serie A, which is great. The loss to Bayern Munich in the Club World Cup showed that the midfield isn’t very strong, but the wins over Chelsea and Esperance Tunis demonstrate that they can bounce back. The tie with Los Angeles FC shows that they might have trouble with tight defenders. Flamengo has been consistent in Maracanã, so they are the favorites versus Sao Paulo.
Sao Paulo Results
Sao Paulo’s 2025 campaign has been marred by inconsistency and injuries, with only one win in their last seven league games. Hernan Crespo’s return offers hope, but their away form remains a concern. Below are their last five recorded matches.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 13/06/25 | SA | Sao Paulo vs Vasco | 1-3 | L |
| 01/06/25 | SA | Bahia vs Sao Paulo | 2-1 | L |
| 28/05/25 | COP | Sao Paulo vs Talleres Cordoba | 2-1 | W |
| 25/05/25 | SA | Sao Paulo vs Mirassol | 0-2 | L |
| 21/05/25 | COP | Nautico vs Sao Paulo | 1-2 | W |
Sao Paulo’s recent losses to Vasco and Bahia expose defensive frailties, conceding five goals in two games. Their Copa do Brasil wins show some fight, but the 0-2 home loss to Mirassol underscores their lack of attacking fluency. Only one league win in seven matches suggests low confidence. The 6-0 friendly win over their U20s indicates potential, but it’s unlikely to translate against Flamengo’s defense. Their away struggles make an upset challenging.
Flamengo vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head Results
The rivalry between Flamengo and Sao Paulo has produced competitive matches, with recent encounters showing mixed results. Historical data provides insight into their dynamic, often favoring the home side. Below are the last five head-to-head meetings.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 19/01/25 | CF | Sao Paulo vs Flamengo RJ | 0-0 |
| 04/08/24 | SA | Sao Paulo vs Flamengo RJ | 1-0 |
| 18/04/24 | SA | Flamengo RJ vs Sao Paulo | 2-1 |
| 07/12/23 | SA | Sao Paulo vs Flamengo RJ | 1-0 |
| 24/09/23 | COP | Sao Paulo vs Flamengo RJ | 1-1 |
Sao Paulo have had the edge in recent meetings, winning two of the last five, but Flamengo’s 2-1 home win in 2024 shows their Maracanã strength. The 0-0 draw in January 2025 suggests defensive battles are possible. Sao Paulo’s away loss in 2024 indicates vulnerability at Maracanã. Both teams have scored sparingly in these clashes, hinting at a low-scoring affair. Flamengo’s home advantage could tip the scales.
Predicted Football Lineups for Flamengo vs Sao Paulo
To guess how this football game will go, you need to know what the likely starting lineups are. Flamengo’s depth and home form are different from Sao Paulo’s injury-riddled team, which affects how they play. Here are the expected lineups for each side.
Flamengo Predicted Lineup
Flamengo’s lineup is built around their attacking trio and solid defense: Rossi (GK), Varela (DF), Leo Ortiz (DF), Leo Pereira (DF), Alex Sandro (DF), Jorginho (MF), Evertton Araujo (MF), Luiz Araujo (MF), de Arrascaeta (MF), Everton (MF), Plata (FW).
Sao Paulo Predicted Lineup
Sao Paulo’s depleted squad relies on youth and experience: Rafael (GK), Soares C. (DF), Robert Arboleda (DF), Franco A. (DF), Diaz E. (DF), Pablo Maia (MF), Alisson (MF), Lucas Ferreira (MF), Wendell (MF), Andre Silva (FW), Ryan Francisco (FW).
Unavailable Players
Injuries and suspensions significantly impact both teams’ strategies. Below is a table of players confirmed to miss the match.
| Team | Player | Reason |
| Flamengo | Erick Pulgar | Foot Surgery |
| Flamengo | Gerson | Transferred |
| Sao Paulo | Jonathan Calleri | Knee Injury |
| Sao Paulo | Ferreira | Foot Injury |
| Sao Paulo | Lucas Moura | Knee Injury |
| Sao Paulo | Luciano | Yellow Cards |
| Sao Paulo | Luiz Gustavo | Contusion |
| Sao Paulo | Oscar | Thigh Injury |
| Sao Paulo | Ruan Tressoldi | Unspecified |
Flamengo’s midfield is weakened without Pulgar and Gerson, but their depth mitigates the impact. Sao Paulo’s extensive injury list, including key attackers Calleri and Moura, severely limits their offensive threat.
Key Factors to Watch
Several elements will shape the outcome of this crucial Serie A clash. Flamengo’s home dominance and Sao Paulo’s injury crisis are pivotal, alongside tactical and motivational factors. Here are the key points to consider:
- Flamengo’s Home Form: Unbeaten in 10 league games at Maracanã with five consecutive clean sheets;
- Sao Paulo’s Injury Crisis: Missing key players like Calleri, Moura, and Luciano, weakening their attack;
- Flamengo’s Midfield Concerns: Absences of Pulgar and Gerson force reliance on Jorginho and Allan;
- Sao Paulo’s Poor Away Record: Only three wins in their last 21 league away games;
- Flamengo’s Attacking Firepower: Pedro and Everton Cebolinha are in top form, likely to exploit Sao Paulo’s defense;
- Crespo’s Return: His second stint may boost Sao Paulo’s morale, but tactical adjustments are untested;
- Defensive Solidity: Flamengo’s backline, led by Leo Pereira and Leo Ortiz, has been impenetrable at home;
- Schedule Density: Flamengo’s six matches in July could lead to fatigue, though their depth is robust.
Free Tips on Flamengo vs Sao Paulo
If you want to bet on this match, you need to think carefully about the teams’ current form, injuries, and past tendencies. These Flamengo vs. Sao Paulo betting tips can help you make smart bets. Here are five important things to think about when betting:
- Home Team Advantage: Flamengo’s unbeaten run at Maracanã, combined with a passionate crowd, makes them likely to dominate possession and create more chances. Their control at home often leads to comfortable wins against struggling sides.
- Low-Scoring Game Potential: Sao Paulo’s injury-hit attack and Flamengo’s five straight home clean sheets suggest a game with few goals. Historical head-to-heads also lean toward tight, low-scoring affairs.
- Player Performance Focus: Flamengo’s Pedro is in scintillating form and likely to score against a depleted Sao Paulo defense. His goal-scoring record at Maracanã makes him a strong bet for an anytime goal.
- Sao Paulo’s Defensive Vulnerabilities: Conceding 14 goals in 12 matches, Sao Paulo’s backline struggles, especially away. Flamengo’s high press could exploit this, increasing the likelihood of a multi-goal margin.
- The effect of new management: Crespo’s return might give Sao Paulo a boost, but they can’t take advantage of it because they don’t have all of their best players. Flamengo should take advantage of the early chaos in Sao Paulo’s setup.
- Set-Piece Chances: Leo Pereira and Flamengo’s aerial dominance could help them score from free kicks or corners. Because of their weaker defense, Sao Paulo may have trouble with these kinds of circumstances.
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Flamengo vs Sao Paulo Match Prediction 2025
Flamengo’s commanding home form and Sao Paulo’s depleted squad make the Flamengo vs Sao Paulo odds heavily favor the hosts. Flamengo’s unbeaten streak at Maracanã, coupled with five consecutive clean sheets, showcases their defensive solidity and attacking ruthlessness. Players like Pedro and Everton Cebolinha are in great shape and ready to take advantage of Sao Paulo’s weak defense, which has let in 14 goals in 12 games. Sao Paulo has a tough job ahead of them because they are missing important players like Calleri, Moura, and Luciano, which makes their assault less dangerous. Their terrible road record of three wins in 21 league games makes the balance much worse. Crespo’s return may help morale, but their recent league losses of 1-3 and 2-1 show that they are still having problems. Even though Pulgar and Gerson are out, Flamengo should still be in control because Jorginho and Allan are in charge of the midfield. The loud fans at Maracanã will make Flamengo play even harder, which will probably lead to an easy win. The score of 2-0 seems fair because Flamengo is better than Sao Paulo and their offense isn’t very good.
Our Prediction: Flamengo 2-0 Sao Paulo
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Full-Time Result | Flamengo to Win | 1.43 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 Goals | 1.7 |
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