Flamengo RJ vs Vasco (2:1): Carioca 08/03/2025

March 8, 2025
Status: Finished
2-1
Carioca
Flamengo RJ
Vasco
match decor

The matchup between Flamengo RJ and CR Vasco da Gama looks to be an exciting event in the Carioca Serie A. Set for March 8, 2025, at 20:45 GMT+0, this game will take place at Rio de Janeiro’s famous Maracanã Stadium, with a capacity of 78,838 spectators expected to generate an electric environment. This game has great weight for both sides fighting for regional bragging rights and vital points as part of the Taca Guanabara stage of the competition.

Although formal referee details are not yet known, the great stakes of the match point to an experienced official supervising events. While Vasco hopes to overcome the odds in this venerable contest, Flamengo comes as the favourite with a significant historical edge and current form. Given both teams entrenched in history, this game is more than simply a fight; it’s a struggle for dominance in Rio.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

Get ready for a deep dive into the Flamengo RJ vs Vasco prediction today. This section sets the stage for understanding the teams’ recent performances and their head-to-head history. We’ll break down key trends and stats to guide your betting decisions. Both sides have shown distinct strengths and weaknesses this season, making this matchup a fascinating puzzle to solve. Stick with us as we unpack the numbers and insights that matter.

Flamengo RJ Results

Flamengo RJ has been a dominant force in the Carioca Serie A this season, showcasing their attacking prowess and defensive solidity. With a roster packed with talent, they’ve consistently delivered results, especially at home. Their recent outings provide a clear picture of a team in top gear, ready to take on any challenge.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
01/03/25CARVasco vs Flamengo RJ0-1W
23/02/25CARFlamengo RJ vs Marica5-0W
16/02/25CARFlamengo RJ vs Vasco2-0W
13/02/25CARFlamengo RJ vs Botafogo RJ1-0W
08/02/25CARFluminense vs Flamengo RJ0-0D

Flamengo’s run of four wins in their last five matches underlines their consistency. The 5-0 thrashing of Marica highlights their lethal attack, while shutouts against Vasco and Botafogo RJ show defensive resilience. Their only stumble was a goalless draw against Fluminense, suggesting rare vulnerability. At home, they’ve scored in 80% of games this season, averaging a goal every 42.4 minutes. This form makes them a formidable opponent on March 8.

Vasco Results

CR Vasco da Gama has had a mixed bag of results in the Carioca Serie A, with flashes of brilliance tempered by inconsistency. Their away form remains a concern, but recent victories hint at potential improvement. Let’s examine their last five games to gauge their readiness for this showdown.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
06/03/25COPNova Iguacu vs Vasco0-3W
01/03/25CARVasco vs Flamengo RJ0-1L
23/02/25CARVasco vs Botafogo RJ1-0W
19/02/25COPUniao Rondonopolis vs Vasco0-3W
16/02/25CARFlamengo RJ vs Vasco2-0L

Vasco’s recent 3-0 cup wins showcase their ability to capitalize on weaker opposition. However, back-to-back losses to Flamengo in the Carioca reveal a struggle against top-tier teams. Their lone league win against Botafogo RJ is a bright spot, but a -2 goal difference away from home signals defensive issues. It takes them 67.5 minutes to score on average, a sluggish pace that could haunt them at the Maracanã.

Who will win Saturday’s Carioca clash between Flamengo RJ and Vasco?
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Flamengo RJ
65%
Draw
15%
Vasco
20%
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Flamengo RJ vs Vasco Head-to-Head (Last 5 Matches)

The rivalry between Flamengo RJ and Vasco is steeped in history, with their encounters often producing tight, competitive battles. Looking at their last five meetings offers insight into the current balance of power. Here’s how they’ve fared against each other recently.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
01/03/25CARVasco vs Flamengo RJ0-1
16/02/25CARFlamengo RJ vs Vasco2-0
16/09/24SAFlamengo RJ vs Vasco1-1
02/06/24SAVasco vs Flamengo RJ1-6
05/02/24CARVasco vs Flamengo RJ0-0

Flamengo holds a clear edge, winning three of the last five, including a 6-1 rout in June 2024. Vasco has managed just one draw and no victories in this stretch, underscoring their underdog status.

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Flamengo RJ Possible Starting Lineup

Flamengo RJ is expected to field a strong XI, leveraging their depth and attacking flair at the Maracanã. 

Rossi (GK), Varela (DF), Leo Pereira (DF), Leo Ortiz (DF), Wesley Franca (DF), Gerson (MF), Pulgar (MF), Luiz Araujo (MF), Giorgian (MF), Plata (FW), Bruno Henrique (FW).

Predicted starting lineup for Flamengo RJ in their Carioca Serie A match against Vasco.

Vasco Possible Starting Lineup

Vasco will likely counter with a mix of experience and grit, aiming to disrupt Flamengo’s rhythm. 

Leo Jardim (GK), Coutinho (DF), Hugo Moura (DF), Joao Victor (DF), Lucas Freitas (DF), Lucas Piton (MF), Moreira N. (MF), Paulinho Paula (MF), Paulo Henrique (MF), Rayan (FW), Vegetti P. (FW).

Predicted starting lineup for Vasco in their Carioca Serie A match against Flamengo RJ.

Key Factors to Watch

As we approach this Flamengo RJ vs Vasco clash, several elements will shape the outcome. Beyond raw stats, the intangibles often decide these heated derbies. Here’s what to keep an eye on:

  • Flamengo’s Home Form: Undefeated in their last five home league games, scoring 13 goals;
  • Vasco’s Away Struggles: Only one win in five away matches this season, with a -2 goal difference;
  • Injuries: No confirmed absences yet, but Flamengo’s depth could offset any late scratches;
  • Recent Success: Flamengo’s four wins in five contrast with Vasco’s patchy record;
  • Scoring Trends: Both teams scored in just 25% of Flamengo’s home games, hinting at a potential shutout;
  • Defensive Solidity: Flamengo conceded only four goals in 10 matches, while Vasco leaked five away;
  • Rivalry Intensity: Derbies often see more cards Flamengo vs Vasco averages 4.2 per game in the last five meetings;
  • Pace of Play: Flamengo’s quick transitions could exploit Vasco’s slower build-up.

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Free Tips on Flamengo RJ vs Vasco

As we gear up for the Flamengo RJ vs Vasco showdown on March 8, 2025, at the Maracanã, a smart betting approach hinges on dissecting the numbers and trends from past encounters. This section offers practical, data-driven tips tailored to this specific matchup, drawing from team and player statistics, head-to-head records, and performance patterns. Here’s how to sharpen your betting edge for this Carioca Serie A clash.

  • Leverage Head-to-Head Dominance: Flamengo has won three of the last five meetings with Vasco, including a 6-1 thrashing and two clean-sheet victories in 2025, pointing to a clear historical advantage that could tilt the scales again.
  • Focus on Home vs. Away Disparity: Flamengo’s 80% scoring rate at home (13 goals in 10 games) contrasts sharply with Vasco’s single away win and three goals in five road matches, making the Maracanã a tough fortress for the visitors.
  • Check Player Scoring Trends: A Flamengo striker netting every 42.4 minutes at home could exploit Vasco’s defense, which has conceded in both recent losses to their rivals watch for key attackers in form.
  • Consider Match Context and Fatigue: With Vasco playing a midweek cup game on March 6, potential tiredness could hamper their effort against a fresher Flamengo, who’ve had a lighter schedule leading up to this date.
  • Account for Stadium Impact: The Maracanã’s passionate crowd has fueled Flamengo’s unbeaten run in their last five home league games, a factor that often unnerves Vasco, as seen in their 2-0 defeat here in February 2025.

These tips, rooted in the teams’ recent stats and historical clashes, offer a solid foundation for predicting this Rio derby’s outcome. Use them to spot value where the numbers tell the real story.

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Flamengo RJ vs Vasco Match Prediction 2025

Flamengo RJ enters this match as the clear favorite, backed by superior form, home advantage, and a dominant head-to-head record. Their attack, averaging a goal every 42.4 minutes at the Maracanã, should overwhelm Vasco’s shaky defense, which has conceded in both recent losses to Flamengo. Vasco’s recent cup wins against lesser sides don’t mask their struggles against elite competition two losses to Flamengo in 2025 alone tell the story. The Flamengo RJ vs Vasco odds reflect this disparity, likely offering short prices on the hosts. A low-scoring affair is possible given Flamengo’s stingy defense (four goals conceded in 10 games) and Vasco’s blunt attack (three goals in five away matches). However, Flamengo’s firepower, demonstrated by their 5-0 and 6-1 wins, suggests they could pull away if Vasco falters early. The Maracanã crowd will amplify Flamengo’s intensity, making it tough for Vasco to find rhythm. We predict a 2-0 victory for Flamengo, with their control of possession and clinical finishing sealing the deal. This aligns with their pattern of clean sheets against Vasco and their 80% scoring rate at home.

Our Prediction: Flamengo RJ 2-0 Vasco

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultFlamengo RJ Win1.52
Both Teams to ScoreNo1.66
Total GoalsUnder 2.5 Goals1.74

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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