On March 16, 2025, at 17:30 GMT+0, Fenerbahce will challenge Samsunspor in a pivotal Turkey Super Lig game. Referenced by referee Aydin C. from Turkey, the game will take place at the Ulker Stadium Şükrü Saracoğlu in Istanbul with a capacity of 50,530. This Round 28 is a turning point in the football season for both sides since it sets the title-chasing Yellow Canaries against a shocking Samsunspor squad looking for European qualifying.
Fresh off a Europa League loss against Rangers, Fenerbahce is resolved to cut the seven-point gap to league leaders Galatasaray; Samsunspor, sitting third with 50 points, looks to keep up their outstanding record. Fenerbahce will have to direct their frustrations into this domestic game, where they have the greatest home record in the league against a Samsunspor squad yet to land a major away win this season, while the refereeing controversies from their European defeat remain.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
This part provides important information to guide your betting decisions and prepares you for a closer examination of the approaching fight. To offer a clear picture, we will explore both teams’ recent results as well as their past interactions. The Fenerbahce vs Samsunspor prediction today hinges on current form, head-to-head trends, and critical factors like injuries. Expect a breakdown that highlights what’s at stake for each side in this Turkish Super Lig showdown. Stay tuned for the data-driven details that could shape your next wager.
Current Super Lig Standings for Fenerbahce vs Samsunspor March 16, 2025
It’s important to consider how close the race is at the top and how Samsunspor’s surprising ascent has thrown off the league table before diving into the standings.
Fenerbahce Results
Although Fenerbahce has been a major player at home this season, their recent European exit could affect their perspective before this game. Unbeatable in their last 11 Super Lig games, the Yellow Canaries under Jose Mourinho demonstrate tenacity. Their most recent league game, a 3-0 hammering of Antalyaspor, highlights their offensive ability in spite of defensive injury problems.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 13.03.25 | EL | Rangers vs Fenerbahce | 0-2 | W/L (after penalties) |
| 06.03.25 | EL | Fenerbahce vs Rangers | 1-3 | L |
| 02.03.25 | SL | Fenerbahce vs Antalyaspor | 3-0 | W |
| 27.02.25 | CUP | Gaziantep vs Fenerbahce | 1-4 | W |
| 24.02.25 | SL | Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce | 0-0 | D |
With 11 wins in 12 league games at Sukru Saracoglu, Fenerbahce’s home form still forms their pillar. Though the Europa League loss to Rangers revealed weaknesses in high-stakes games, the 3-0 victory against Antalyaspor highlights their ability to rule smaller sides. Their performance against Galatasaray indicates they can hold their own against elite clubs; consistency will be vital against Samsunspor. Though with rotation, the 4-1 cup victory over Gaziantep illustrates their depth. Count on their attacking stars to guard the points here.
Samsunspor Results
As of March 2025, Samsunspor are third in the Super Lig with 50 points, defying predictions this season. Although their current record shows signs of tiredness, a 3-2 triumph over Adana Demirspor points to still having fight left. Following two concessions in each of their last three games, manager Thomas Reis will insist on more defensive firmness.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 09.03.25 | SL | Samsunspor vs Adana Demirspor | 3-2 | W |
| 03.03.25 | SL | Goztepe vs Samsunspor | 2-2 | D |
| 22.02.25 | SL | Samsunspor vs Rizespor | 2-3 | L |
| 16.02.25 | SL | Konyaspor vs Samsunspor | 0-1 | W |
| 07.02.25 | SL | Samsunspor vs Hatayspor | 2-0 | W |
Although Samsunspor’s recent victory against Adana Demirspor marked the end of a mini-slump, their defensive blunders cause increasing worry. Particularly away from home, the 2-2 draw at Goztepe and 2-3 loss to Rizespor point to challenges closing off games. Their 1-0 victory at Konyaspor indicates they can produce results; yet, facing Fenerbahce’s firepower will be a different challenge. The 2-0 victory over Hatayspor earlier in February shows their promise when fresh. In Istanbul, their undoing could be tiredness.
Head-to-Head: Fenerbahce vs Samsunspor
The past between these two sides adds mystery to this game since Samsunspor has shown a tenacious opponent in previous times. Traditionally dominant at home, Fenerbahce won 24 of 36 games at Sukru Saracoglu; nevertheless, their past two matches with Samsunspor resulted in draws. This pattern implies that once more the guests could irritate the hosts.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 20.10.24 | SL | Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce | 2-2 |
| 21.01.24 | SL | Fenerbahce vs Samsunspor | 1-1 |
| 21.08.23 | SL | Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce | 0-2 |
| 21.03.12 | CUP | Fenerbahce vs Samsunspor | 3-0 |
| 02.02.12 | SL | Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce | 3-1 |
Fenerbahce’s home supremacy is obvious, but Samsunspor’s recent tenacity holding the Yellow Canaries to draw in their last two Super Lig games stands out. While past results like the 3-1 loss in 2012 remind us of Samsunspor’s upset capabilities, the 2-0 triumph in August 2023 indicates Fenerbahce’s tendency to overwhelm.
Predicted Lineups for Fenerbahce vs Samsunspor Football Match
Predicting the course of this football match depends on an awareness of the expected starting XIs. Projected lineups based on current team news, injuries, and suspensions below provide tactical perspective.
Fenerbahce Possible Starting Lineup: Egribayat (GK), Akcicek (DF), Skriniar (DF), Djiku (DF), Aydin (MF), Fred (MF), Talisca (MF), Szymanski (MF), Kostic (MF), En-Nesyri (FW), Dzeko (FW)
Samsunspor Possible Starting Lineup: Kocuk (GK), Yavru (DF), Cift (DF), Van Drongelen (DF), Bola (DF), Ait Bennasser (MF), Aydogdu (MF), Ntcham (MF), Schindler (MF), Mouandilmadji (MF), Kilinc (FW)
Unavailable Players
Injuries and suspensions play a significant role in shaping team selections here’s who’ll miss out for both sides.
| Team | Player | Reason |
| Fenerbahce | Diego Carlos | Injury (Defensive) |
| Fenerbahce | Caglar Soyuncu | Injury (Defensive) |
| Fenerbahce | Jayden Oosterwolde | Injury (Season-ending) |
| Fenerbahce | Rodrigo Becao | Injury (Season-ending) |
| Fenerbahce | Levent Mercan | Injury |
| Fenerbahce | Ismail Yuksek | Injury |
| Samsunspor | Lubomir Satka | Injury |
| Samsunspor | Alper Pazar | Suspension (Yellow cards) |
Key Factors to Watch
Both teams enter this match with distinct strengths and challenges that could dictate the outcome. From injuries to form, these elements will be decisive in Istanbul. Here’s what to focus on as the game approaches.
- Fenerbahce’s Home Dominance: 11 wins in 12 Super Lig home games make them favorites;
- Samsunspor’s Fatigue: Conceding twice in three straight matches suggests waning energy;
- En-Nesyri’s Form: With 16 goals, he’s a constant threat to close the scoring gap;
- Defensive Injuries: Fenerbahce’s backline is depleted, potentially exposing them to counters;
- Recent H2H Draws: Samsunspor held Fenerbahce twice recently, hinting at a tight contest;
- Mourinho’s Motivation: Post-Europa League exit, he’ll demand a response from his squad;
- Samsunspor’s Away Struggles: No big away wins this season could haunt them here;
- Title Race Pressure: A slip-up for Fenerbahce could widen the gap to Galatasaray.
Free Tips on Fenerbahce vs Samsunspor
Looking for an edge in this matchup? This section offers practical betting advice tailored to Fenerbahce vs Samsunspor, drawn from deeper trends and data. Here are five reimagined tips to guide your decisions.
- Focus on Fenerbahce’s Scoring Patterns: The Yellow Canaries average over 2 goals per home game consider betting on them to net at least twice, especially with Samsunspor’s recent defensive leaks;
- Monitor Samsunspor’s Late-Game Resilience: They’ve conceded in the second half in their last three matches, so a bet on Fenerbahce scoring after the break could pay off;
- Leverage En-Nesyri’s Hot Streak: With 16 goals already, backing him to score anytime is a solid option against a tiring Samsunspor backline;
- Account for Referee Aydin C.’s Style: If he’s card-happy, as some Turkish refs are, over 3.5 cards could be a smart play given the stakes;
- Explore Corner Markets: Fenerbahce’s attacking style at home often yields 6+ corners check this stat against Samsunspor’s defensive setup.
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Fenerbahce vs Samsunspor Prediction 2025
Fenerbahce are poised to capitalize on their formidable home advantage and Samsunspor’s visible fatigue in this Super Lig clash. The Yellow Canaries’ 11-1 home record in the league, combined with the firepower of Youssef En-Nesyri and Edin Dzeko, gives them a clear edge. Samsunspor’s recent defensive struggles conceding twice in three consecutive games suggest they’ll struggle to contain Fenerbahce’s attack, especially after a grueling season that’s exposed their lack of depth. While their two draws against Fenerbahce this season show grit, replicating that away against a motivated Mourinho side is a tall order. The Fenerbahce vs Samsunspor odds likely reflect this disparity, with the hosts favored heavily, though Samsunspor could nick a goal on the counter. Historical data backs Fenerbahce too, with 24 home wins in 36 meetings. Expect the Yellow Canaries to push hard early, exploiting Samsunspor’s weary legs, and secure a convincing victory. We predict a 3-1 win for Fenerbahce, with En-Nesyri likely on the scoresheet and Samsunspor’s resistance fading late.
Our Prediction: Fenerbahce 3-1 Samsunspor
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Fenerbahce to Win | 1.42 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.67 |
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