FC Porto vs Nice (3:0): UEFA Europa League 27/11/2025

November 27, 2025

Status: Finished

3-0

UEFA Europa League

FC Porto

Nice

The UEFA Europa League league phase continues on Thursday, 27 November 2025, when FC Porto welcome OGC Nice to the iconic Estádio do Dragão in Porto, Portugal. Kick-off is scheduled for 17:45 GMT+0. Slovenian referee Matej Jug will oversee the encounter on a pitch that traditionally favours the Dragons’ high-intensity style. This Matchday 5 clash is crucial for Porto’s push towards a direct top-8 finish and a potential death sentence for Nice’s already fading European hopes.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

Porto enter this game as heavy favourites and with good reason: only one defeat in 17 matches across all competitions this season speaks volumes. Nice, meanwhile, are sinking fast and risk setting an unwanted record for the longest winless run by a French club in major European competition. Our FC Porto vs Nice prediction today leans heavily on the hosts’ defensive solidity at home and Nice’s inability to keep clean sheets on the road. Recent trends suggest goals, but mostly at one end. Let’s dive into the numbers.

FC Porto Results

Porto have been almost flawless domestically and remain a fortress in European home games. Ten of their fourteen victories this season came with a clean sheet, underlining their defensive organisation under Vítor Bruno. Here are their last five competitive results:

Four wins and one draw in the last five underline their consistency. At home they have scored at least twice in seven of their last nine competitive matches while conceding just once in the last five at Dragão. The only blemish was the 2-0 loss at Nottingham Forest, but away European games are a different beast.

Nice Results

Nice are in freefall. Four consecutive defeats across all competitions, conceding 11 goals in the process, have turned a promising season into crisis mode. Their European campaign is already on life support.

Only one win in nine away games all season (D1 L7). They have conceded first-half goals in each of their last three Europa League matches and shipped at least two goals in six of their last eight competitive fixtures. Defensive frailty is now chronic.

Who will win Thursday’s UEFA Europa League clash between FC Porto and Nice?

FC Porto > Draw > Nice >

FC Porto

63%

Draw

25%

Nice

12%

FC Porto vs Nice Head-to-Head

This will be the first-ever competitive meeting between the two clubs. Nice have already lost twice to Portuguese opposition this season (0-2 agg vs Benfica in Champions League qualifying), scoring zero goals across 180 minutes. Porto, meanwhile, have won their last seven home games against French visitors in UEFA competition.

Predicted Lineups for FC Porto vs Nice

In football matches like this UEFA Europa League fixture, predicted lineups provide a glimpse into the tactical setups and key personnel each manager might deploy, based on recent form, injuries, and strategic needs. These projections are informed by the latest team news as of November 26, 2025, and could shift with late fitness checks or tactical tweaks. 

Porto possible starting lineup

D. Costa (GK); Zaidu (DF), Prpic (DF), Kiwior (DF), Fernandes (DF); Veiga (MF), Rosario (MF), Eustaquio (MF); Sainz (MF), Gul (FW), Pepe (FW).

Nice possible starting lineup

Diouf (GK); Mendy (DF), Bah (DF), Peprah (DF); Clauss (MF), Abdul Samed (MF), Vanhoutte (MF), Bard (MF); Cho (FW); Boga (FW), Moffi (FW).

Key Factors and Match Insights

• Porto have kept clean sheets in 10 of their 14 wins this season; Nice have failed to score in 6 of their 9 away games;
• Nice have conceded in the first half in all four Europa League games this campaign;
• Porto average 7.0 corners per home game in Europe this season; Nice concede 6.2 corners away;
• Hicham Boudaoui remains out (ankle) – Nice’s most important midfield destroyer (2.9 tackles + interceptions per 90);
• Jan Bednarek is expected back for Porto, strengthening an already solid backline;
• Nice have committed 23+ total fouls in every Europa League match this season – referee Jug averages 26.4 fouls per game;
• William Gomes has scored the opener in both of Porto’s UEL wins; when he scores first, Porto are 100 % victorious;
• Nice have lost 10 of their last 14 major European matches (D4) and are one defeat away from the worst French record.

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Free Tips on FC Porto vs Nice

Before placing any bet on this Europa League clash, smart punters always dig deeper than just the league table. The tips below are built exclusively from statistical trends, historical data and situational factors that directly apply to Porto vs Nice on 27 November 2025. Use them to find the real value edge.

• Home vs Away disparity is extreme: Porto have won 11 of their last 13 competitive home games (D2) with an average margin of 2.1 goals, while Nice have won only 1 of their last 15 competitive away matches across all competitions (D3 L11) and scored just 0.6 goals per game on the road this season.
• First-half vulnerability of the visitor: Nice have conceded in the opening 45 minutes in 8 of their last 10 away games and in all four Europa League matches this campaign – Porto have scored before the break in 7 of their last 9 home wins.
• Referee Matej Jug’s card profile fits perfectly: The Slovenian averages 5.4 cards per game in European matches and 26.4 total fouls; Nice’s four UEL games this season each saw 23–29 fouls and 6+ cards – expect another high disciplinary count.
• Corner dominance at Dragão: Porto lead the entire Europa League with 28 corners won after four matchdays and average 8.2 corners per home European game in the last two seasons; Nice concede 6.8 corners away – the over 9.5 corners line has landed in 7 of Porto’s last 8 home European matches.
• Clean-sheet probability is sky-high: Ten of Porto’s fourteen victories this season ended 0 on the opponent’s side, and Nice have failed to score in 6 of their 9 away games – Porto to win to nil has landed in 71 % of their seasonal wins.

FC Porto vs Nice Match Prediction 2025

Everything points to a comfortable home win. Porto’s defensive record at Dragão combined with Nice’s catastrophic away form and missing midfield pivot makes an upset almost impossible. The FC Porto vs Nice odds heavily favour the Dragons, but the value lies in combining the win with Nice’s recent habit of conceding early and often. Expect Porto to control possession (60 %+), win the corner count convincingly and keep another clean sheet against a side that has scored just once in their last four European outings.

Our main selection is Porto -1.5 Asian Handicap at around 1.95 – they have covered this line in six of their last eight home wins. Alternative angle: Porto to win to nil (ten clean-sheet victories already this season).

Our Prediction: FC Porto 3-0 Nice

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