FC Goa vs NorthEast United FC (1:2): Indian Super Cup 01/11/2025

November 01, 2025
Status: Finished
1-2
Indian Super Cup
FC Goa
NorthEast United FC
match decor

FC Goa and NorthEast United FC meet in a pivotal Group B fixture of the Indian Super Cup, where both sides carry four points from two unbeaten outings and eye semi-final security with a win. The Gaurs have impressed with clean-sheet victories, while the Highlanders have shown resilience in draws that kept them competitive. This encounter at Goa’s fortress-like stadium promises tactical intrigue, as the hosts leverage home advantage against visitors adept at grinding results on the road. Supporters anticipate a contest blending flair and fight, with implications for continental qualification hanging in the balance. As the group stage nears its climax, every pass and tackle carries added weight for these ambitious outfits.

The match kicks off at 14:00 GMT+0 on November 1, 2025, at Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium in Margao, a venue holding 19,000 fans and known for its electric atmosphere during cup ties. Officials include a central referee averaging 3.2 cards per game this season, favoring disciplined play without excessive stoppages, alongside assistants focused on quick restarts. As part of the Indian Super Cup’s group stage, this clash determines progression in Group B, where a victory propels the winner toward the knockouts while testing squad depth amid a congested calendar. Weather forecasts suggest humid conditions around 28°C with possible light showers, potentially influencing ball control on the compact pitch.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

Delving into the FC Goa vs NorthEast United FC prediction today requires examining recent performances to uncover patterns in scoring, defending, and momentum shifts. Bettors gain an edge by spotting value in markets shaped by these trends, from outright results to goal totals. The upcoming analysis of last matches and head-to-heads reveals how form influences outcomes in high-stakes cup games. Understanding these layers helps frame informed FC Goa vs NorthEast United FC betting tips that align with statistical realities. Ultimately, this groundwork sets the stage for spotting opportunities where bookmakers may undervalue key dynamics.

FC Goa Results

FC Goa enters this tie riding a wave of domestic success after continental setbacks, showcasing clinical finishing in cup play while rebuilding defensive solidity at home. Their recent run highlights a squad blending experience with emerging talent, though fixture congestion has tested rotation options. Supporters have witnessed a team that converts chances efficiently, averaging 1.8 goals per game across competitions.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultFC Goa
29/10/2025Indian Super CupFC Goa vs Inter Kashi3-0W
26/10/2025Indian Super CupFC Goa vs Jamshedpur FC2-0W
22/10/2025ACL2FC Goa vs Al Nassr1-2L
01/10/2025ACL2Istiqlol vs FC Goa2-0L
17/09/2025ACL2FC Goa vs Al Zawraa0-2L

Goa’s back-to-back Super Cup triumphs underline their home potency, with six goals netted from open play and set pieces in those outings. The clean sheets reflect improved organization under Manolo Marquez, limiting opponents to under 0.9 xGA per match domestically. Yet, the three straight ACL2 defeats exposed vulnerabilities against elite pressing, conceding 1.5 xG on average away. Dejan Drazic’s form, with three goals in two games, signals attacking threat, but fatigue from travel could prompt midfield tweaks. Overall, these results position Goa as favorites, provided they sustain defensive focus against counters.

NorthEast United FC Results

NorthEast United FC arrives bolstered by Durand Cup glory earlier this year, yet their Super Cup draws reveal a side strong in transitions but prone to late concessions. Coach Juan Pedro Benali has instilled grit, with the team winning 52% of duels away, though finishing remains a work in progress at 1.4 xG per game. Recent fixtures demonstrate adaptability, blending cup dominance with league resilience.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultNEUFC
29/10/2025Indian Super CupJamshedpur vs NorthEast Utd2-2D
26/10/2025Indian Super CupNorthEast Utd vs Inter Kashi2-2D
23/08/2025Durand CupNorthEast Utd vs Diamond Harbour6-1W
19/08/2025Durand CupLajong vs NorthEast Utd0-1W
16/08/2025Durand CupBodoland vs NorthEast Utd0-4W

NorthEast’s pair of Super Cup stalemates highlight scoring consistency, with four goals from counters despite trailing at halftime in both. The Durand Cup romp, yielding 11 goals across three wins, underscores Alaaeddine Ajaraie’s influence, netting four in five starts. However, the lack of victories in group play points to over-reliance on individual brilliance, as duels won dip below 50% when possession exceeds 45%. Guillermo Fernandez’s return from suspension adds midfield steel, yet away xGA of 1.1 suggests exposure to Goa’s width. These outcomes paint a resilient unit chasing a breakthrough, leaning on set-piece threats for breakthroughs.

Who will win Saturday’s Indian Super Cup clash between FC Goa and NorthEast United FC?
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FC Goa
52%
Draw
26%
NorthEast United FC
22%
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Head-to-Head Between FC Goa and NorthEast United FC

Head-to-head battles between FC Goa and NorthEast United FC often deliver end-to-end action, with recent ties favoring shared spoils amid tactical familiarity. These encounters typically feature over 2.5 goals in 60% of cases, driven by open midfields and wing exploits. Both coaches respect the opponent’s strengths, leading to probing first halves that explode post-interval.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
14/01/2025ISLNorthEast Utd vs FC Goa1-1
04/10/2024ISLFC Goa vs NorthEast Utd3-3
21/02/2024ISLFC Goa vs NorthEast Utd0-2
29/12/2023ISLNorthEast Utd vs FC Goa1-1
12/08/2023Durand CupNorthEast Utd vs FC Goa2-2

This ledger screams parity, with eight goals across the last three draws averaging 3.1 total, often from late equalizers. Goa’s home edge yields four wins in eight, but NorthEast’s counters have stung, as in the 2024 0-2 upset. Draws dominate 60% of meetings, suiting the Highlanders’ absorption tactics. Expect a similar script, though Goa’s current sharpness tilts the scale slightly.

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Predicted Starting Lineups for FC Goa vs NorthEast United FC

Lineups remain subject to late fitness checks and tactical tweaks, but these projected elevens reflect recent selections, injury updates, and manager preferences heading into this Indian Super Cup Group B fixture. Goa leans on continuity from their midweek rout, while NorthEast reintegrates key returnees to counter the hosts’ press.

FC Goa 

Tiwari (GK), Kharbudon (DF), Jhingan (DF), Sangwan (DF), Tavora (DF), Rabeeh (MF), Copovi (MF), Patre (AM), Herrera (AM), Drazic (AM), Valiyattil (FW)

NorthEast United FC

Singh (GK), Singh (DF), Zabaco (DF), Singh (DF), Tlang (DF), Mayakkannan (MF), Nunez (MF), Samperio (MF), Andy (MF), Gogoi (FW), Ajaraie (FW)

Key Factors to Watch in FC Goa vs NorthEast United FC

Several elements could sway this Super Cup showdown, from personnel availability to motivational edges in a group tied on points. Both teams prioritize progression, yet squad management amid injuries and form streaks adds layers of intrigue. Recent successes fuel confidence, while lapses in focus have cost dearly in past ties.

  • FC Goa’s two-win streak in Super Cup group play, conceding zero goals, highlights defensive cohesion led by Sandesh Jhingan;
  • NorthEast United’s three consecutive clean sheets in Durand Cup wins earlier this year, though recent draws saw 1.3 xGA conceded late;
  • Dejan Drazic’s hot form with four goals in three games positions him as Goa’s focal threat in transitions;
  • Alaaeddine Ajaraie’s isolation up top for NorthEast, averaging 2.1 key passes but needing support to breach compact lines;
  • Pol Moreno’s hamstring doubt forces David Timor into central defense for Goa, potentially weakening aerial duels;
  • No major NorthEast injuries reported, with Guillermo Fernandez back from suspension to anchor midfield;
  • Goa’s 40% set-piece goals this season exploit NorthEast’s 1.2 xGA from dead balls away;
  • The Highlanders’ 40% draw rate in 2025, including three straight H2H stalemates, suggests value in low-scoring affairs;
  • Marquez’s high press (PPDA 9.5) could disrupt NorthEast’s build-up, averaging 12 seconds per possession;
  • Rain risk in Margao, historically trimming totals by 0.4 goals, favors under bets in humid conditions.

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Free Tips on FC Goa vs NorthEast United FC

Unlocking value in the FC Goa vs NorthEast United FC clash starts with dissecting their intertwined histories and current rhythms, where Goa’s home mastery meets NorthEast’s knack for snatching draws. These pointers draw from granular stats on scoring patterns, venue edges, and squad dynamics to sharpen your approach ahead of this Group B decider. By weaving in how past meetings often spill into high-event affairs, alongside the Gaurs’ unbeaten streak at Margao, you spot angles overlooked in raw odds.

  • Goa’s fortress status shines through with an unbeaten run in eight Super Cup home games, averaging 2.1 goals scored, so lean toward backing them on the Asian handicap minus half against NorthEast’s 40% draw rate on the road;
  • Historical ties lean toward fireworks, as 60% of the last five head-to-heads cleared 2.5 goals with 3.1 average total, making over bets appealing given both sides’ 1.4 xG in recent cup outings;
  • NorthEast’s counter specialists like Jithin MS rack up 2.1 key passes per 90 away, but Goa’s high press disrupts slow builds, favoring wagers on corners over 9.5 in a projected 58% possession tilt;
  • With monsoon echoes risking slick turf at Nehru Stadium, where rain has shaved 0.4 goals off totals historically, target under 3.5 goals if forecasts hold for humid 28°C evenings;
  • Dejan Drazic’s blistering streak, bagging four in three, exploits NorthEast’s 1.2 xGA from set pieces, positioning anytime scorer markets at value for the Serbian’s movement in transitions.
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FC Goa vs NorthEast United FC Match Prediction 2025

In our FC Goa vs NorthEast United FC prediction 2025, we back a narrow home win, projecting 2-1 to the Gaurs in a match blending control and counters. Goa’s superior home metrics, generating 1.8 xG at Nehru Stadium, overwhelm NorthEast’s road resilience, where they concede 1.1 xGA despite 52% duel wins. Drazic’s movement exploits Ajaraie’s hold-up limitations, while Jhingan’s presence neutralizes Fernandez’s runs, limiting transitions that fueled past draws. The FC Goa vs NorthEast United FC odds list the hosts at 1.85 for victory, undervaluing their 52% implied probability against models pegging 48% due to H2H ties; yet, recent clean sheets and motivation for ACL2 spots tip the balance. NorthEast grabs a consolation via MS’s cross, but Goa’s depth, with Siverio as Sadiku backup, seals progression. This setup echoes October’s 3-3 thriller, but refined pressing curbs leaks, delivering a cagey triumph with under 3.5 goals at evens value. Expect possession at 58% for Goa, cards under 4.5 given the referee’s leniency, and both sides contributing in an open second half. 

Our Prediction: FC Goa 2-1 NorthEast United FC

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultFC Goa Win1.75
Both Teams to ScoreYes1.80
Total GoalsOver 2.51.90

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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