Everton vs Southampton (1:2 – after penalties): EFL Cup 17/09/2024

Match prediction for the Everton vs Southampton game at EFL Cup 2024.

Everton and Southampton’s scheduled game for September 17, 2024 at 18:45 at Goodison Park in Liverpool The EFL Cup will feature this clash, where both sides hope to leave behind their underperformance from the Premier League. Goodison Park, with 39,572 stadium capacity, will see two struggling sides square off in the Round of 16 of the competition. Although a referee yet to be chosen will officiate the game, this could be very important for managers to get momentum and confidence restored.

Currently ranking at the bottom of the Premier League, both teams have not had a win. Under Sean Dyche, Everton has come under fire for bad defense and point drop from winning positions. Southampton, on the other hand, is looking for form under Russell Martin, who misses possibilities and has poor attack quality. As they gather in this knockout event, supporters of both teams will be hoping for a different fate.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

Examining the present form and the stakes of this cup tie helps one to take previous performance of both teams into account. Given both sides require a morale boost, Everton against Southampton prediction today points to a fierce and competitive game. While Southampton has battled to score despite generating opportunities, Everton has been delicate defensively, losing several points after leading. Anticipate changes in the starting line-ups as both teams strive forward. This fixture has been hotly contested historically, thus a clear winner is not easily predictable.

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Everton Results

Everton has been struggling in their recent fixtures, with disappointing results, especially in the Premier League. Their most recent encounters have shown vulnerabilities in defense, particularly in the closing stages of games. Below are their last five matches:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
14/09/2024PLAston Villa vs Everton3-2L
31/08/2024PLEverton vs Bournemouth2-3L
27/08/2024EFLEverton vs Doncaster Rovers3-0W
24/08/2024PLTottenham vs Everton4-0L
17/08/2024PLEverton vs Brighton0-3L

As seen against Aston Villa and Bournemouth, Everton’s poor defensive form has seen them lose several games following early leads. Though they defeated Doncaster Rovers in the EFL Cup with a great margin, their Premier League performance is still worrisome. Sean Dyche and his team are under increasing pressure to perform given only one victory in their last five games.

Southampton Results

Southampton’s recent form has been similarly underwhelming, with the team struggling to find the back of the net and failing to capitalize on chances. Below are their last five matches:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
14/09/2024PLSouthampton vs Manchester Utd0-3L
31/08/2024PLBrentford vs Southampton3-1L
28/08/2024EFLCardiff vs Southampton3-5W
24/08/2024PLSouthampton vs Nottingham0-1L
17/08/2024PLNewcastle vs Southampton1-0L

With just one goal scored in their past four Premier League games, Southampton’s attack has been a big problem. Still, they proved tenacious in the EFL Cup against Cardiff, netting five goals. Though the team’s league performance raises questions going into this game, Russell Martin will be looking to expand on that cup success.

Everton vs Southampton Head-to-Head

Here’s a look at the last five meetings between these two teams:

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
14/01/2023PLEverton vs Southampton1-2
01/10/2022PLSouthampton vs Everton1-2
19/02/2022PLSouthampton vs Everton2-0
14/08/2021PLEverton vs Southampton3-1
01/03/2021PLEverton vs Southampton1-0

In their recent encounters, Southampton has the upper hand, winning three out of the last five matches. Everton has been inconsistent in this fixture, but home advantage at Goodison Park could be a significant factor.

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Everton Probable Lineup

As Everton prepares to face Southampton in the EFL Cup, they are likely to rotate their squad due to upcoming Premier League fixtures. Here’s a probable starting lineup for Everton, considering their recent form and available players:


Pickford (GK), Garner (RB), Tarkowski (CB), O’Brien (CB), Young (LB); Lindstrom (RM), Iroegbunam (CM), Doucoure (CM), McNeil (LM); Ndiaye (ST), Beto (ST)

Probable starting lineup for Everton in the EFL Cup match against Southampton.

Southampton Probable Lineup

Southampton may also rotate their lineup for this match, with a focus on cup performance while managing league commitments. Based on the latest team news, here is a likely starting XI for Southampton:


McCarthy (GK); Bree (RB), Harwood-Bellis (CB), Edwards (CB), Taylor (LB); Aribo (RM), Lallana (CM), Mateus Fernandes (CM); Fraser (LM); Armstrong (ST), Amo-Ameyaw (ST)

Probable starting lineup for Southampton in the EFL Cup match against Everton.

INJURED AND QUESTIONABLE PLAYERS

Injuries or suspensions will cause several players from both teams to miss the game, so affecting the team strategies and lineup. Key players can influence the performance on the field, thus it’s important to be aware of these changes while forecasting the result of a match. The absent players for this game are shown below.

Everton PlayerReasonSouthampton PlayerReason
Vitalii MykolenkoIllnessJack StephensSuspension
Dominic Calvert-LewinInjuryKamaldeen SulemanaInjury
Jarrad BranthwaiteRecoveryGavin BazunuInjury
Jesper LindstromRotationWill SmallboneInjury

Key Factors to Watch

This section highlights the key factors that could influence the outcome of this match:

  • Injury Concerns: Everton’s key players like Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Vitalii Mykolenko are doubts for this match, which could impact their ability to perform at full strength;
  • Form: Both teams are on losing streaks in the Premier League, which may affect their morale;
  • Manager Pressure: Sean Dyche is under immense pressure due to Everton’s poor start, while Russell Martin has slightly more leeway, but his tactical approach has been questioned;
  • Recent Performances: Everton has struggled to hold onto leads, while Southampton has failed to convert key chances, including missed penalties;
  • Defensive Frailties: Everton has lost 23 points from winning positions since the start of last season, highlighting defensive concerns;
  • Southampton’s Cup Form: Southampton has a strong record in the EFL Cup, often progressing to the later stages of the competition;
  • Historical Rivalry: Southampton has won on their last two visits to Goodison Park;
  • Squad Rotation: Both managers may opt for squad rotation to rest key players for crucial upcoming Premier League fixtures.
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Free Tips on Everton vs Southampton

Examining the forthcoming game between Everton and Southampton calls for considering several important elements that could affect the result. Examining past performance, current form, and other important factors will help you decide more wisely. Based on the teams’ past experiences and present form, the following insightful advice should assist you to more precisely forecast the game.

  • Recent Form: Recent performances often provide a clear indication of how a team will perform in their next game. Everton has struggled to secure wins in the Premier League, while Southampton has had similar issues. A team in poor form, like both of these clubs, may struggle with confidence, affecting their gameplay and chances of success in this fixture.
  • Head-to-Head Record: The history of encounters between Everton and Southampton reveals some interesting trends. Southampton has won three of the last five meetings, including their last visit to Goodison Park. Such a head-to-head advantage can boost the confidence of Southampton heading into this cup clash.
  • Injuries and Suspensions: Both teams are dealing with injuries and suspensions that could heavily influence the match. Southampton will be without Jack Stephens, while Everton might miss key players like Vitalii Mykolenko and Dominic Calvert-Lewin. The absence of these players can significantly weaken their respective squads, potentially changing the dynamics of the game.
  • Home vs. Away Performance: Everton will enjoy the home advantage at Goodison Park, where the atmosphere created by the fans can provide a psychological edge. However, Southampton has proven they can get results at Goodison, which could neutralize the advantage somewhat. Historically, both teams perform differently in home and away fixtures, making this factor important when considering the outcome.
  • Weather Conditions and Pitch State: The weather and the condition of the pitch can play a vital role in how the game unfolds. Wet conditions, for example, could make the ball travel faster on the Goodison Park pitch, favoring fast-paced counter-attacks, which Southampton may look to exploit. Keep an eye on the weather forecast as it could sway the game in one team’s favor.

By considering these factors, you can make more informed predictions and betting decisions for the Everton vs Southampton match.

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Everton vs Southampton Match Prediction 2024

Although this meeting in the EFL Cup Round of 16 could be a turning point for either side, based on recent performance and Everton against Southampton chances it is difficult to identify a clear winner. Although Everton will gain from home advantage and a fervent audience at Goodison Park, Southampton’s great cup competition record and recent success against Everton could provide them the edge. With both teams rotating their squads, this could be a low-scoring match perhaps decided by a single goal or penalties.

Our Prediction: Everton 2-1 Southampton

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Final ScoreEverton to win1.93
Both Teams to ScoreYes1.7
Total GoalsOver 2.5 goals1.78

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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