The UEFA Women’s Euro 2025 semi-final clash between England Women and Italy Women kicks off at 19:00 GMT+0 on July 22, 2025, at the Stade de Genève in Geneva, Switzerland. Referee Ivana Martincic from Croatia will oversee this high-stakes encounter, where a spot in the final is up for grabs.
England, the reigning champions, have battled through a rocky tournament, surviving a penalty shootout against Sweden to reach this stage, while Italy, the surprise package, rode a late Cristiana Girelli goal to upset Norway. Both teams bring distinct strengths, with England leaning on experience and Italy thriving on momentum, setting up a match that could hinge on fine margins.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
Get ready for a deep dive into England Women vs Italy Women prediction today, where we unpack recent form and head-to-head clashes. England’s resilience has carried them through tough moments, but their inconsistent play raises questions. Italy, meanwhile, have defied expectations with gritty wins, making them a dangerous underdog. We’ll look at their latest results to spot trends that could shape this semi-final. These insights will help you see why certain factors, like key players or tactical shifts, might decide the outcome.
England Women Results
England’s journey to the semi-finals has been a rollercoaster, marked by flashes of brilliance and moments of vulnerability. Sarina Wiegman’s squad started with a stumble but found their footing in the group stage, only to face a scare against Sweden. Their ability to grind out results under pressure keeps them in the hunt.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 17/07/25 | EUR | Sweden W vs England W | 2-3 | W |
| 13/07/25 | EUR | England W vs Wales W | 6-1 | W |
| 09/07/25 | EUR | England W vs Netherlands W | 4-0 | W |
| 05/07/25 | EUR | France W vs England W | 2-1 | L |
| 29/06/25 | FI | England W vs Jamaica W | 7-0 | W |
England’s form shows a team that can dominate but isn’t bulletproof. Their loss to France exposed defensive frailties, particularly against quick transitions, which Italy might exploit. However, their 6-1 thrashing of Wales and 4-0 rout of the Netherlands highlight their attacking firepower when clicking. The Sweden win, via penalties, proves they can handle pressure, but their early deficit in that game raises concerns about slow starts. With four wins in five, they’re still a force, especially at set pieces, where Lucy Bronze thrives.
Italy Women Results
Italy have been the tournament’s Cinderella story, reaching their first semi-final since 1997 with a blend of grit and clutch moments. Andrea Soncin’s side has shown they can compete with top teams, even if their group stage wasn’t flawless. Cristiana Girelli’s heroics have been pivotal, giving them belief as they face England.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 16/07/25 | EUR | Norway W vs Italy W | 1-2 | W |
| 11/07/25 | EUR | Italy W vs Spain W | 1-3 | L |
| 07/07/25 | EUR | Portugal W vs Italy W | 1-1 | D |
| 03/07/25 | EUR | Belgium W vs Italy W | 0-1 | W |
| 03/06/25 | UNL | Wales W vs Italy W | 1-4 | W |
Italy’s results reveal a team that’s tough to break down but not without flaws. Their upset win over Norway, thanks to Girelli’s late header, shows they can seize big moments. The loss to Spain exposed vulnerabilities against possession-heavy sides, which England might mimic. Their draw with Portugal and narrow win over Belgium suggest consistency issues, yet three wins in five games signal growing confidence. Girelli’s scoring form makes them a threat, especially in tight games.
England Women vs Italy Women Head-to-Head
Past meetings between England and Italy offer a glimpse into their rivalry, with the Lionesses holding a clear edge. These clashes often produce goals, but England’s dominance in recent years is hard to ignore. Let’s check the last five encounters to see how they stack up.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 27/02/24 | FI | Italy W vs England W | 1-5 |
| 19/02/23 | ACC | England W vs Italy W | 2-1 |
| 07/04/17 | FI | England W vs Italy W | 1-1 |
| 05/03/14 | IT | England W vs Italy W | 2-0 |
| 06/03/13 | IT | England W vs Italy W | 4-2 |
England’s 4-1 record in these matchups screams dominance, with their 5-1 thrashing in 2024 highlighting their attacking edge. Italy’s lone draw in 2017 shows they can hang tough, but they’ve struggled to match England’s physicality and depth. The data suggests England’s system overwhelms Italy’s defense, especially in open play.
Predicted Lineups for England Women vs Italy Women Football Match
As England Women and Italy Women gear up for their UEFA Women’s Euro 2025 semi-final clash on July 22, 2025, the starting lineups will be crucial in determining who advances to the final. Below, we outline the likely starting elevens for both teams, based on recent performances, tactical preferences, and player availability. These selections reflect England’s consistent approach under Sarina Wiegman and Italy’s potential shift to a more defensive setup under Andrea Soncin.
England Women Predicted Lineup
England’s manager Sarina Wiegman tends to stick with a reliable core, especially in high-stakes matches, assuming key players like Leah Williamson pass fitness tests.
Hampton (GK), Bronze (DF), Williamson (DF), Carter (DF), Greenwood (DF), Toone (MF), Walsh (MF), Stanway (MF), James (FW), Hemp (FW), Russo (FW)
Italy Women Predicted Lineup
Italy’s Andrea Soncin may opt for a back-three system to counter England’s attacking threat, bringing back key players to bolster their defense.
Giuliani (GK), Lenzini (DF), Salvai (DF), Linari (DF), Oliviero (MF), Caruso (MF), Giugliano (MF), Severini (MF), Boattin (MF), Cantore (FW), Girelli (FW)
Key Factors to Watch
As we break down this England Women vs Italy Women match prediction, several elements could tilt the scales. Injuries, form, and recent trends all play a role in shaping the outcome. Here’s what you need to keep an eye on:
- Leah Williamson’s fitness: England’s captain limped off against Sweden with an ankle issue, and her absence could weaken their backline;
- Cristiana Girelli’s scoring streak: Italy’s star has three goals in four Euro matches, making her a constant danger in the box;
- England’s slow starts: Conceding early against Sweden and France shows vulnerability that Italy’s counterattacks could exploit;
- Italy’s defensive setup: Switching to a back three could stifle England’s wing play but risks exposing gaps if pressed;
- Set-piece battles: England’s Lucy Bronze is lethal on corners, while Italy’s defense has leaked goals from dead balls;
- Fatigue factor: England’s grueling penalty shootout might leave them leggy compared to Italy’s late-game heroics;
- Tactical flexibility: Sarina Wiegman’s steady lineups contrast with Andrea Soncin’s willingness to tweak formations;
- Mental edge: England’s experience in big games gives them a psychological advantage over Italy’s less-tested squad.
Free Tips on England Women vs Italy Women
As England Women face Italy Women in the UEFA Women’s Euro 2025 semi-final, smart betting requires a sharp look at the numbers and trends that shape this matchup. These tips, rooted in recent performances and historical data, will help you spot key angles for this clash. Here’s a focused list to guide your England Women vs Italy Women betting tips.
- Head-to-Head Edge: England have won four of their last five matches against Italy, including a 5-1 rout in 2024, suggesting their attacking style exploits Italy’s defense consistently.
- Home vs. Away Dynamics: England’s strong performances at neutral venues, like their 4-0 win over Sweden in 2022, contrast with Italy’s mixed away record, which could tilt the advantage toward the Lionesses.
- Referee Tendencies: Ivana Martincic’s strict officiating often leads to more cards, so betting on over 2.5 cards could be a savvy move given the high stakes.
- Player Fatigue from Schedules: England’s grueling penalty shootout against Sweden might sap their energy, while Italy’s knack for late goals hints at better stamina in crunch moments.
- Pitch and Weather Impact: The Stade de Genève’s natural grass, potentially slick from Geneva’s July rain, could favor Italy’s counterattacking pace over England’s possession play.
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England Women vs Italy Women Prediction 2025
For this England Women vs Italy Women prediction 2025, I’m backing England to win 2-1 in a tightly contested semi-final. England’s experience in high-pressure matches, like their 2022 Euro triumph, gives them an edge, even if their form has been patchy. Their 5-1 friendly win over Italy in 2024 showed how their attacking depth, led by Lauren Hemp and Alessia Russo, can overwhelm Italy’s backline. Italy’s reliance on Girelli is a strength but also a weakness, as England’s defenders, like Jess Carter, are adept at shutting down focal points. The England Women vs Italy Women odds reflect this, with England favored due to their pedigree and head-to-head dominance. Italy’s recent upset over Norway proves they can punch above their weight, but their loss to Spain exposed cracks against top-tier teams. England’s ability to grind out results, as seen in their penalty shootout against Sweden, suggests they’ll find a way through, likely via a set-piece goal or a late strike from a substitute like Chloe Kelly. Italy will keep it close, but England’s depth should prevail.
Our Prediction: England Women 2-1 Italy Women
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | England Win | 1.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.77 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.65 |
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