El Ismaily vs El Gouna prediction 2025 brings together two sides sitting at opposite ends of Group B, with the hosts needing points to stay in contention and the visitors already looking comfortable at the top. This midweek cup clash offers a classic contrast between a historically strong club fighting inconsistency and an ambitious promoted side punching above their weight.
The match kicks off at 18:00 GMT+0 on Wednesday at Borg El Arab Stadium in Alexandria, a neutral venue frequently used for Egyptian cup games due to its large capacity of 86,000. No referee has been officially confirmed yet, though domestic officials in the League Cup average 4.7 cards and 0.26 penalties per game. Sitting in the group stage of the 2025/26 Egypt League Cup, three points here could prove decisive for quarter-final qualification.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
El Ismaily vs El Gouna match prediction revolves around the visitors’ superior recent momentum and defensive organisation against a home side that struggles to convert dominance into goals. Both teams favour compact 4-4-2 shapes, suggesting a midfield battle with limited space for flair players. Recent trends point toward low-scoring affairs when these two meet. Home advantage at a neutral venue loses some bite in cup competition. El Ismaily vs El Gouna prediction today identifies clear value in the away side on the draw-no-bet line.
##245 El Ismaily Results
El Ismaily continues to show flashes of quality mixed with frustrating inconsistency, typical of a club transitioning after years of mid-table finishes. Their cup campaign started poorly, and league form has been patchy at best. Scoring remains the biggest issue.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Ismaily |
| 01/12/2025 | Egypt Cup | Haras El Hodood vs Ismaily | 1-1 | D |
| 01/11/2025 | Premier League | Ismaily vs Kahrabaa Ismailia | 2-1 | W |
| 26/10/2025 | Premier League | Pharco vs Ismaily | 1-0 | L |
| 18/10/2025 | Premier League | Ismaily vs Haras El Hodood | 3-1 | W |
| 03/10/2025 | Premier League | Smouha vs Ismaily | 2-0 | L |
El Ismaily managed only two wins in their last five across all competitions, scoring sparingly outside home league games. Defensive lapses away from home cost crucial points, conceding in four consecutive matches. The cup draw exposed finishing problems despite controlling play. Two victories came against lower-tier opposition, inflating perception slightly. Overall form sits at a mediocre 40% win rate recently.
El Gouna Results
El Gouna has carried strong early-season league form into the cup, displaying organisation and clinical finishing that belies their modest budget. Their away record remains respectable, built on quick transitions and set-piece threat. Confidence flows freely.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | El Gouna |
| 04/12/2025 | Egypt Cup | El Gouna vs Asyut Petroleum | 2-1 | W |
| 23/11/2025 | Premier League | Al Ittihad vs El Gouna | 0-2 | W |
| 01/11/2025 | Premier League | El Gouna vs Pharco | 0-1 | L |
| 27/10/2025 | Premier League | Smouha vs El Gouna | 0-1 | W |
| 18/10/2025 | Premier League | El Gouna vs National Bank | 0-3 | L |
El Gouna secured three victories in five recent outings, including two clean-sheet away wins that highlight defensive solidity. Goals dried up in home league games against stronger presses, yet road results impress. The cup win over Asyut showed character when reduced to ten men late. Only one defeat came by more than one goal in this sample. Current momentum gives them a clear edge heading into midweek.
Head-to-Head El Ismaily vs El Gouna
Historical meetings between these clubs usually deliver cautious, low-scoring battles, with both managers prioritising structure over risk. El Gouna claimed a rare victory last season, but Ismaily still holds the overall advantage. Four of the last five produced under 2.5 goals.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 25/05/2025 | Premier League | El Ismaily vs El Gouna | 3-0 |
| 12/02/2025 | Premier League | El Gouna vs El Ismaily | 2-0 |
| 22/07/2024 | Premier League | El Ismaily vs El Gouna | 1-1 |
| 26/02/2024 | Premier League | El Gouna vs El Ismaily | 0-0 |
| 28/07/2022 | Premier League | El Gouna vs El Ismaily | 0-3 |
El Ismaily dominates the longer-term record, yet recent results show growing competitiveness from El Gouna. Three of the last four meetings stayed under 2.5 goals, reinforcing defensive tendencies. Home advantage for Ismaily produced mixed outcomes lately. The 3-0 win in May remains an outlier rather than trend.
Predicted Lineups for El Ismaily vs El Gouna
Both managers are expected to stick with their trusted 4-4-2 systems for this crucial Egypt League Cup Group B clash at Borg El Arab Stadium. With no fresh injury concerns reported, rotations should be minimal and both coaches can field their strongest available XIs.
El Ismaily Predicted Starting XI
Adel (GK), Sobhy (DF), Nasr (DF), El Mohamady (DF), Ayman (DF), Hamdy (MF), El Said (MF), Bayoumi (MF), Ramadan (MF), Magdy (FW), Hamdi (FW).
El Gouna Predicted Starting XI
Masoud (GK), El Gazzar (DF), Wael (DF), Lahmer (DF), Sobhy (DF), Amer (MF), Shika (MF), Randrianantenaina (MF), Hossam (MF), Moka (FW), Gaber (FW).
Key Factors to Watch
Several elements could tilt this Group B encounter, from tactical familiarity to current confidence levels after contrasting weekends. Both squads arrive with full availability, placing emphasis purely on form and execution. Cup progression adds extra motivation for the chasing pack.
- El Gouna arrives on a three-match unbeaten away run across all competitions;
- Ismaily kept just one clean sheet in their last seven home games;
- Both managers have faced each other four times previously, producing one win each and two draws;
- El Gouna scores 65% of goals in the second half this season;
- Ismaily averages only 0.9 goals per game at neutral venues in cup play;
- Set pieces account for 40% of El Gouna’s total goals;
- Mild Alexandria evening forecast around 18°C with no wind or rain expected;
- No suspensions or injury concerns reported for either side.
Free Tips on El Ismaily vs El Gouna
With both teams locked in 4-4-2 systems and recent head-to-heads rarely exceeding two goals, the data screams caution and discipline rather than fireworks. El Gouna’s three away wins this season all came with clean sheets, while Ismaily have failed to score in four of their last seven neutral-venue cup games. These five sharp, statistic-first tips are built purely from form, patterns and market edges.
- El Gouna draw-no-bet at evens or better stands out, they are unbeaten in five of their last six away matches across all competitions;
- Under 2.5 goals has landed in eight of the last ten head-to-head meetings and in 70% of El Gouna’s away games this term;
- Second-half highest scoring half offers value, 68% of El Gouna’s league goals and 61% of Ismaily’s conceded goals arrived after the break;
- El Gouna over 3.5 corners looks solid, they average 5.1 corners won on the road and Ismaily concede 5.4 per home/neutral game;
- Zero cards in first 20 minutes at plus money, the last six H2H meetings averaged just 0.8 cards in the opening quarter of the match.
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El Ismaily vs El Gouna Match Prediction 2025
El Ismaily vs El Gouna odds list the hosts as slight favourites around 2.40, yet current form and defensive metrics strongly favour the visitors on draw-no-bet or double chance. El Gouna’s superior away record, combined with three clean sheets in their last five road trips, points to a controlled performance that exploits Ismaily’s wastefulness in the final third. Expect a patient game where the team in blue capitalises late for a 0-1 or 0-2 victory that strengthens their grip on Group B. Ismaily created just 0.87 xG per game in recent home cup ties, while El Gouna’s counter-threat sits at 1.4 xG away against mid-table opposition. History and data align on another low-scoring affair, making under 2.5 goals the standout play alongside El Gouna +0.5 Asian handicap.
Our Prediction: El Ismaily 0-1 El Gouna
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | El Gouna Win | 3.6 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.72 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.6 |
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