Eibar host Castellón at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua on 12/10/2025 (14:15 GMT) in LaLiga2 Round 9. The compact Ipurua venue (capacity 8,164) is set to welcome referee Morilla A. (ESP). Expect a tight football encounter where set pieces and first goal probability carry outsized weight.
Both teams are level on points after eight rounds (3W-2D-3L), but Eibar’s home profile is the differentiator: unbeaten in six league matches here and only two goals conceded in four LaLiga2 home games this season. Castellón travel well and score regularly, yet their recurring defensive leaks shape a low-margin, home-leaning match dynamic in football terms.
BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS
Before diving into recent form and head-to-heads, frame your card around context. Ipurua’s edge and Castellón’s concessions anchor the Eibar vs Castellón prediction today. Market sentiment often tightens toward the hosts, while the visitors’ transition game argues for narrow scorelines. Discipline and dead-balls may swing the balance under a modest total expectation. Late confirmed line-ups can nudge totals and BTTS pricing monitor news up to kickoff.
Eibar Results
Eibar’s recent run mixes strong home control with low-event scorelines. Their defensive baseline at Ipurua (0.50 GA per home game this season) underpins the plan; margins tend to be small.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 03.10.2025 | LL2 | Ceuta vs Eibar | 1-0 | L |
| 27.09.2025 | LL2 | Eibar vs Dep. La Coruña | 1-1 | D |
| 21.09.2025 | LL2 | Eibar vs Real Sociedad B | 2-1 | W |
| 13.09.2025 | LL2 | Cádiz CF vs Eibar | 1-0 | L |
| 08.09.2025 | LL2 | Eibar vs Andorra | 2-0 | W |
Two clean-sheet home wins, a home draw, and a pair of 0-1 away losses point to control at Ipurua and tighter margins on the road. Three of five landed Under 2.5, reinforcing a low-total slant. Across the sample: 5 scored, 4 conceded, with the home-field factor clearly positive. The 1-1 vs Dépor stalled momentum without undermining solidity. Overall bias: small home edge.
Castellón Results
Castellón arrive on an uptick, blending controlled possession phases with direct vertical attacks and late productivity.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 05.10.2025 | LL2 | Castellón vs Gijón | 3-1 | W |
| 29.09.2025 | LL2 | Leganés vs Castellón | 0-1 | W |
| 20.09.2025 | LL2 | Cultural Leonesa vs Castellón | 1-3 | W |
| 14.09.2025 | LL2 | Castellón vs Ceuta | 3-3 | D |
| 05.09.2025 | LL2 | Córdoba vs Castellón | 2-1 | L |
Three straight wins (two away) spotlight road competence. They’ve scored 11 and conceded 7 here, typically in higher-variance game states. Defensive concessions remain frequent, which is the core risk at Ipurua. Momentum is good; structural stability is the question.
Eibar vs Castellón Head-to-Head recent meetings
Older results favor Castellón overall, but the modern sample is split by the home side: each of the last two was a home win to nil.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 15.02.2025 | LL2 | Castellón vs Eibar | 2-0 |
| 17.08.2024 | LL2 | Eibar vs Castellón | 1-0 |
| 14.06.2009 | LL2 | Castellón vs Eibar | 4-0 |
| 18.01.2009 | LL2 | Eibar vs Castellón | 0-1 |
| 03.09.2008 | CDR | Castellón vs Eibar | 1-0 |
Recent pattern highlights home-field control in the latest era, while pre-2010 history has limited predictive value.
Probable Line-Ups football starting XIs
Below are projected elevens using provided team information; positions in parentheses indicate primary roles.
Eibar (4-2-3-1) projected: Magunagoitia (GK), Cubero (DF), Moreno (DF), Nolaskoain (DF), Arrillaga (DF), Álvarez (MF), Garrido (MF), Alkain (MF), Magunazelaia Argoitia (MF), Ares (MF), Bautista (FW)

Castellón (4-2-3-1) projected: Matthys (GK), Mellot (DF), Ruiz (DF), Jiménez (DF), Alcázar (DF), Barri (MF), Doue (MF), Cipenga (MF), Calatrava (MF), Mamah (MF), Jakobsen (FW)

Players Unavailable pre-match status
Below is the current unavailable list supplied for both teams.
| Team | Player | Reason/Status |
| Eibar | Arambarri A. | Hamstring injury |
| Eibar | Buta L. | Red card |
| Eibar | Corpas J. | Yellow cards (ban) |
| Eibar | Madariaga A. | Knee injury |
| Castellón | Aurelio D. | Knee injury |
| Castellón | Brignani F. | Injury |
| Castellón | Gil O. | Injury |
| Castellón | Sienra A. | Injury |
Eibar’s right-side rotation loses thrust without Corpas/Buta, pushing emphasis to compact spacing and set-pieces. Castellón’s absences at the back can dilute aerial presence and first-phase build-up under pressure.
Key Factors Before You Bet
We begin with the macro picture, then pinpoint what actually moves prices. Focus on totals trends, home/away splits, and first-goal dynamics. Also consider refereeing style and the pitch’s impact on tempo:
- Eibar: unbeaten in six home league games; only 2 conceded in 4 home matches this season;
- Three of Eibar’s last five finished Under 2.5; away losses were both 0-1;
- Castellón: three wins in the last four, but conceded in most recent matches;
- H2H (latest two): both were home wins to nil (1-0, 2-0);
- Referee Morilla A. can lower chaos, aiding Eibar’s compact game state;
- Ipurua’s tight dimensions favor duels and second balls supports the hosts’ style;
- Personnel: Eibar short on the right flank options; Castellón also missing pieces in defense;
- Likely match profile: low-scoring, with Eibar’s structure better suited to protect a lead.
Free Tips on Eibar vs Castellón
Below are practical, match-specific pointers derived from broader betting principles, tailored to Ipurua and these squads. They are deeper, action-oriented applications rather than repeats of the key factors:
- Re-check confirmed line-ups one hour before kick-off. If Eibar start a more conservative right-sided wide player due to absences, downgrade crossing volume and lean further into Under/BTTS-No pricing. Conversely, if a natural crosser starts, modestly upgrade “Eibar to score first.”
- Exploit home/away performance splits for value. Ipurua compresses space and tempo; this structurally enhances “Eibar Draw No Bet/Asian (0)” and “Eibar Win to Nil” in low-total scripts. Price-shop; small ticks matter in narrow games.
- Cards market via referee profile and venue. Tight pitch plus midfield duels can inflate fouls; if the pre-line is soft, “Over Cards” or “Home Cards ≤ Away Cards” can be justified given Castellón’s pressing triggers.
- Schedule and in-game fatigue. If Castellón’s press fades by 25-30’, live-enter Eibar (0) at a better number; the hosts stabilize games once they settle possession and second balls.
- Finishing form for first-goal leverage. With Bautista leading the line, Eibar’s first-goal probability rises in low-tempo scenarios; partial hedge with “Eibar to score first” pairs well with Under 2.5.
- Weather-pitch interaction. Any precipitation at Ipurua further slows circulation and lifts set-piece equity consider shaving exposure toward Under 2.5 and trimming corners overs if conditions deteriorate.
$ 0.00
$ 0.00
Match Prediction 2025: Eibar vs Castellón
Eibar’s home resilience, defensive baseline, and venue fit point toward a controlled, low-margin match. Castellón’s momentum is real, but consistent concessions collide with a host that rarely gifts central space at Ipurua. As Eibar vs Castellón odds compress toward kick-off, the most robust entry remains the safety of Eibar (0), with secondary alignment to Under 2.5. If Eibar strike first, their compact 4-2-3-1 is well-suited to manage the remainder through set-piece discipline and territorial control; Castellón’s chance creation typically needs transitions that are harder to sustain on this pitch. Expect a narrow home success or, at minimum, home protection against a late swing. Value improves live if early phases are cagey and the market drifts.
Our Prediction: Eibar 1-0 Castellón
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Eibar to Win | 2.44 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.87 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 2.12 |
You can place your bet on the match – Eibar vs Castellón at bc.game. Consider spreading your stake between the main result and total-goals markets to balance variance, and always confirm late team news to capture the best closing prices.