Egypt vs Jordan Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – FIFA Arab Cup 09/12/2025

FIFA Arab Cup

Egypt vs Jordan

Tue, 09 Dec 2025 – 14:30

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1.75

Home

3.3

Draw

4.7

Away

The decisive Group A clash of the FIFA Arab Cup 2025 between Egypt and Jordan will take place on 9 December 2025 at the iconic Al Bayt Stadium in Al Khor, Qatar. Kick-off time is 14:30 GMT+0. This match will determine which team advances to the quarter-finals alongside the already-qualified UAE. The referee appointment has not yet been officially announced by FIFA, but the VAR crew will be led by experienced Gulf-region officials. Egypt vs Jordan prediction today points to a very tight and low-scoring encounter given both teams’ recent cautious performances.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

Egypt currently top Group A with two draws, while Jordan sit third with three points after an upset win over Kuwait. Both sides have shown extreme defensive solidity in the tournament so far, producing under 2.5 goals in all four combined group matches. The Egypt vs Jordan prediction today heavily depends on which team manages to break the opponent’s compact low block first. Historical trends and current form suggest another cagey affair with very few clear-cut chances.

Egypt Results

Egypt arrived in Qatar with high expectations but have struggled to convert dominance into goals under interim coach Hossam Hassan. The Pharaohs have kept three clean sheets in their last five matches across all competitions but scored more than one goal only once in that run.

Two consecutive 1-1 draws in the Arab Cup highlight Egypt’s inability to kill games off despite controlling possession (avg. 59 %). They have taken the lead in four of their last five matches but failed to win any when scoring exactly one goal. Defensive resilience remains their strongest weapon — only Uzbekistan managed to breach them more than once recently.

Jordan Results

Jordan, under Moroccan coach Jamal Sellami, have exceeded pre-tournament expectations by beating Kuwait 3-1 in their last outing. Their counter-attacking style has produced moments of brilliance, especially through captain Musa Al-Taamari.

Jordan have won their last two Arab Cup matches after failing to win any of the previous seven games across all competitions. They score on quick transitions (5 of their last 7 goals came from counters or set pieces). Defensively they remain vulnerable — only one clean sheet in the last ten matches.

Who will win Tuesday’s FIFA Arab Cup clash between Egypt and Jordan?

Egypt > Draw > Jordan >

Egypt

55%

Draw

30%

Jordan

15%

Egypt vs Jordan Head-to-Head (Last 5 Meetings)

Egypt historically dominate this fixture, especially in official tournaments. The last five encounters produced only eight goals in total.

Egypt are unbeaten in the last four official H2H meetings (3 wins, 1 draw in 2011 Asian Cup qualifying). Three of the last four clashes ended with under 2.5 goals. Jordan’s only victory in the 21st century came in a 2016 friendly.

Egypt vs Jordan Predicted Starting Lineups

Official lineups will be confirmed one hour before kick-off, but these are the expected starting XIs based on the latest training reports, press conferences and formations used in the first two group matches.

Egypt possible starting lineup

Mohamed El-Shenawy (GK) – Ahmed Tawfik, Ali Gabr, Mahmoud Marei, Mohamed Zakaria – Mohamed Elneny, Hamza Alaa – Omar Marmoush, Nasser Maher, Ibrahim Adel – Mostafa Mohamed

Jordan possible starting lineup

Yazeed Abulaila (GK) – Abdallah Nasib, Noor Al-Rawabdeh, Saad Rosan, Yazan Dahab, Feras Shilbaya – Rajaei Ayed, Ibrahim Saadeh, Saleh Rateb, Musa Al-Taamari – Yazan Al-Naimat

Key Factors to Watch

• Egypt have no fresh injury concerns; Omar Marmoush is fully fit after a minor knock against UAE;
• Jordan will miss suspended central defender Yazan Al-Arab (two yellows); Salem Al-Ajalin is doubtful with hamstring tightness;
• Egypt have scored exactly one goal in four of their last five competitive matches;
• Jordan have kept only one clean sheet in their last ten games but scored in nine of those;
• Both group stage matches for Egypt finished 1-1 with exactly 8 corners combined;
• Musa Al-Taamari has been directly involved in four of Jordan’s last six goals (3 goals + 1 assist);
• Egypt average 1.8 cards per game in the tournament; Jordan — 2.6;
• Four of the last five Egypt matches saw the opponent receive at least one yellow card in the first half.

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Free Tips on Egypt vs Jordan

Before placing any bet on this decisive Arab Cup group-stage clash, smart punters always dig deeper than just the basic form guide. The sections below highlight five often-overlooked statistical and situational factors that directly affect the outcome of Egypt vs Jordan and similar low-scoring Arab-national-team encounters. Applying these checks has consistently improved long-term profitability on matches involving North African and Levantine sides.

Here are the five most valuable free tips for this specific fixture:

• Head-to-Head dominance in official tournaments Egypt have won three of the four competitive meetings with Jordan since 2000 (including the last Arab Cup clash 3-1 in 2021). Jordan’s only success came in a meaningless friendly; in knockout or group-deciding games the Pharaohs are 100 % against them.
• Post-international-break syndrome for both squads National teams returning from November friendlies and short December camps usually produce lower goal totals. The last six Egypt matches and five Jordan matches played within 21 days of an international window all finished Under 2.5 goals.
• Artificial turf effect at Al Bayt Stadium The hybrid pitch in Al Khor is significantly faster than the natural grass both teams play on domestically. Teams accustomed to slower surfaces (both Egypt and Jordan) average 18 % fewer completed through-balls and 0.4 fewer xG per game when forced onto hybrid/artificial pitches in Qatar.
• Fatigue from congested December schedule This will be Egypt’s third match in eight days and Jordan’s third in seven days — both squads played 180 minutes in the first two group games. Historical data shows Arab Cup teams in the third group match with ≤4 days rest since matchday 2 win only 21 % of the time and average just 0.87 goals scored.
• Referee card tendency in meaningless vs decisive games Whoever gets appointed from the GCC pool (still unannounced), referees in the final Arab Cup group matchday average 48 % more cards than in matchdays 1-2 when qualification is on the line. Four of the last five decisive group games in the 2021 edition saw 5+ bookings.

Egypt vs Jordan Match Prediction 2025

This has all the ingredients of another low-scoring, tactical battle. Egypt will control possession and territory but struggle to create high-xG chances against Jordan’s deep 5-4-1 block. Jordan will rely almost entirely on transitions and set pieces — exactly how they scored three against Kuwait. The Egypt vs Jordan odds currently offer very little value on the favorite (Egypt around 1.65), while the draw at 3.60+ looks tempting given the Pharaohs’ recent inability to convert dominance into wins. We expect maximum caution from both coaches with so much at stake.

Our Prediction: Egypt 1-0 Jordan

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