Cruzeiro vs Corinthians (3:0): Serie A Betano 23/11/2025

November 23, 2025

Status: Finished

3-0

Serie A Betano

Cruzeiro

Corinthians

The match kicks off at 23:30 GMT+0 on November 23, 2025, at the iconic Mineirão Stadium in Belo Horizonte, which holds 61,927 spectators. This Round 35 fixture of the 2025 Brasileirão Betano could have direct implications on the fight for Libertadores spots. The game will be officiated by referee Gomes Stefano A., who averages 5.1 yellow cards per match this season and has already sent off players from both clubs in previous encounters.

This clash pits two historic Brazilian giants against each other in a late-season battle where every point matters. Cruzeiro vs Corinthians prediction today points toward a tense, low-scoring affair given recent trends and defensive approaches from both sides.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

The Cruzeiro vs Corinthians prediction today heavily depends on current form, home/away splits, and historical context at Mineirão. Recent weeks have shown both teams prioritizing defensive structure over open football. Key absences and tactical adjustments will likely dictate the tempo. Direct encounters in Belo Horizonte have rarely been goal-fests. Let’s dive into the numbers that actually matter.

Cruzeiro Results

Cruzeiro arrive unbeaten in their last five league matches and have kept three clean sheets in the previous four home games. The Raposa have turned Mineirão into a fortress again this season. Defensive solidity has been the main factor behind their climb into the top-6 conversation.

Only one defeat in the last ten league games speaks volumes about their resilience. Cruzeiro have conceded just 2 goals in their last four home matches. Draws have become a recurring theme when facing top-half sides. The 3-3 thriller away at Juventude remains the only recent game where they truly lost control defensively. Overall, they remain extremely tough to break down at Mineirão.

Corinthians Results

Corinthians have been wildly inconsistent away from Neo Química Arena, winning just two of their last eight road trips. The Timão rely heavily on home form and have struggled to impose their game on the road. Defensive errors have cost them crucial points in recent weeks.

Three defeats in the last five away matches underline their travel sickness. Corinthians have scored only 3 goals across those five road games. The 3-1 home win over São Paulo was an outlier driven by individual brilliance rather than system. They continue to leak goals from set-pieces when playing away against organized defenses. The team has failed to keep a clean sheet in seven consecutive away fixtures.

Who will win Sunday’s Serie A Betano clash between Cruzeiro and Corinthians?

Cruzeiro > Draw > Corinthians >

Cruzeiro

61%

Draw

24%

Corinthians

15%

Cruzeiro vs Corinthians Head-to-Head

Personal meetings between these two have historically been cagey and decided by fine margins. Four of the last five clashes produced under 2.5 goals. Cruzeiro hold the edge at Mineirão in recent years.

At Mineirão specifically, Corinthians have won only once in the last six visits since 2019. Three of the last four H2H ended with exactly one team scoring or a goalless draw. The 3-0 Cruzeiro win in 2024 remains the only high-scoring exception in recent memory.

Cruzeiro vs Corinthians Predicted Starting Lineups

Official lineups will be confirmed roughly 75 minutes before kick-off, but based on latest training reports, press-conference hints and rotational patterns of both managers, these are the most probable XIs for the Matchday 35 clash at Mineirão.

Cruzeiro

Cássio (GK) — Kaiki (DF), Villalba (DF), Fabricio Bruno (DF), Zé Iio Furtado (DF) Lucas Pereira (MF), Christian (MF) Álvaro Silvia (MF), Lucas Romero (MF), Gabriel Arroya (FW) Kaio Jorge (FW)

Corinthians

Hugo Longo (GK) — Matheuzinho (DF), Pedro Henrique (DF), Félix Angileri (DF), Caetano (DF) Damián Martinez (MF), Breno Bidon (MF) Yuri Alberto (MF), Rodrigo Garro (MF), Memphis Depay (FW) Negão (FW)

Key Match Facts You Can’t Ignore

• Cruzeiro will miss suspended right-back William (accumulated 5 yellow cards) and striker Kaio Jorge remains doubtful (muscle overload — didn’t train on Thursday or Friday).
• Corinthians are without influential playmaker Rodrigo Garro (ankle ligament injury) and suspended left-back Matheus Bidu (red card vs Bragantino).
• Cruzeiro boast the best home defensive record in 2025 Serie A — only 7 goals conceded in 17 matches at Mineirão (0.41 per game).
• Corinthians failed to score in 5 of their last 8 away games against teams currently in the top 8.
• Four of Cruzeiro’s last five league matches ended Under 2.5 goals.
• Corinthians average just 0.87 goals scored per away match across the entire 2025 campaign.
• Referee Gomes Stefano issued 8 cards in the last Cruzeiro home game he took charge of and averages 5.8 bookings in matches involving either side this season.
• Match-day conditions at Mineirão: 24 °C, 15 % chance of light rain — hybrid grass pitch in perfect condition, favouring quick passing football.

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Free Tips on Cruzeiro vs Corinthians

Before placing any bet on this Serie A clash at Mineirão, these five data-driven angles give you a clear edge over the average punter. They are built strictly on verifiable 2025 season patterns, home/away splits and head-to-head trends — no generic fluff. Use them to sharpen your final decision.

• Home vs Away disparity is brutal this season — Cruzeiro have lost only once in 17 home league games in 2025 (W10 D6 L1) and conceded just 0.41 goals per game at Mineirão, while Corinthians away are W4 D4 L9 with a miserable 0.87 goals scored per match. Backing the home side or under goals has been profitable all year for exactly this reason.
• Recent Head-to-Head at Mineirão screams low-scoring — the last four meetings in Belo Horizonte produced 1-1, 3-0, 1-1 and the most recent one in July 2024 finished 0-0 away. Three of those four stayed under 2.5 goals and the only exception was Cruzeiro’s 3-0 blowout when Corinthians arrived with heavy rotation.
• Corinthians’ chronic away goal drought against top-8 sides — in 2025 Timão failed to score in five of their eight away games against current top-8 teams and averaged 0.6 xG per match in those fixtures. Cruzeiro rank 3rd for home xGA — this is a textbook “fail to score” spot for the visitors.
• Referee Gomes Stefano loves cards in big atmospheres — he averages 5.8 yellows in matches involving Cruzeiro or Corinthians this season and showed 7+ cards in three of his last five games at Mineirão. With both teams fighting for Libertadores spots and the crowd expected near capacity, over 4.5 or 5.0 cards line carries serious value.
• Congested November schedule hits Corinthians harder — Timão played on Thursday night against São Paulo (traveling back from Itaquera to Belo Horizonte in under 72 hours), while Cruzeiro had a full week to prepare after their away draw at Juventude. Fatigue has cost Corinthians points in three previous mid-week → weekend away scenarios this season.

Cruzeiro vs Corinthians Match Prediction and Best Bets

The data screams low-scoring battle. Cruzeiro’s rock-solid home defense against Corinthians’ chronic away scoring problems creates clear value on the under market. Current Cruzeiro vs Corinthians odds heavily overestimate goals — bookmakers still price this fixture based on historical reputation rather than 2025 reality. We see maximum two goals and a high probability of Cruzeiro keeping another clean sheet at Mineirão.

Our Prediction: Cruzeiro 1-0 Corinthians

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