The stage is set for a critical clash in Barranquilla as Colombia face Bolivia in the CONMEBOL World Cup Qualifying campaign on September 4, 2025, at 23:30 GMT+0. Hosted at the Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez (capacity: 46,788) with referee Dario Herrera (Argentina) overseeing proceedings, this penultimate matchday could determine both teams’ fates in securing a spot for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Colombia, desperate to end a six-match winless streak in qualifiers, need a victory to lock in a top-six finish and automatic qualification, while Bolivia, buoyed by a recent win over Chile, aim to keep their play-off hopes alive. The stakes couldn’t be higher, with both sides knowing a slip-up could jeopardize their World Cup dreams.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
This Colombia vs Bolivia prediction today dives into the form, head-to-head history, and key factors shaping this pivotal encounter. Colombia’s home advantage and attacking firepower will be tested against Bolivia’s resilient counter-attacking style. Recent performances suggest a tight contest, with both teams showing vulnerabilities but also moments of brilliance. Understanding their latest results and historical matchups is crucial for informed betting decisions. Below, we break down the critical data to guide your Colombia vs Bolivia betting tips.
Colombia Results
Colombia’s recent form in World Cup qualifying has been inconsistent, with their last victory dating back to October 2024. The team has leaned heavily on their home advantage at Barranquilla, where the altitude and fervent crowd often unsettle opponents. However, suspensions and a lack of clinical finishing have hampered their campaign.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 11/06/25 | WC | Argentina vs Colombia | 1:1 | D |
| 06/06/25 | WC | Colombia vs Peru | 0:0 | D |
| 26/03/25 | WC | Colombia vs Paraguay | 2:2 | D |
| 21/03/25 | WC | Brazil vs Colombia | 2:1 | L |
| 20/11/24 | WC | Colombia vs Ecuador | 0:1 | L |
Colombia’s three consecutive draws highlight their resilience but also a struggle to convert chances, with only 4 goals scored in their last 5 matches. The goalless draw against Peru exposed their reliance on Luis Díaz for creativity. Losses to Brazil and Ecuador, both by narrow margins, suggest tactical discipline but a lack of cutting edge. Their home form remains strong, with only one loss in nine games, making Barranquilla a fortress. Bolivia will face a tough challenge breaking down Colombia’s organized defense.
Bolivia Results
Bolivia’s campaign has been a rollercoaster, with their recent victory over Chile providing a glimmer of hope. Playing away at high-altitude venues like Barranquilla poses a challenge, but their counter-attacking threat cannot be underestimated. The team’s inconsistency has been their Achilles’ heel, with defensive lapses costing them dearly.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 10/06/25 | WC | Bolivia vs Chile | 2:0 | W |
| 07/06/25 | WC | Venezuela vs Bolivia | 2:0 | L |
| 25/03/25 | WC | Bolivia vs Uruguay | 0:0 | D |
| 21/03/25 | WC | Peru vs Bolivia | 3:1 | L |
| 19/11/24 | WC | Bolivia vs Paraguay | 2:2 | D |
Bolivia’s win over Chile showcased their ability to capitalize on set pieces and quick transitions. However, their away form is concerning, with no victories in their last five road games. Conceding first-half goals in all five of their recent qualifying defeats highlights defensive fragility early in matches. The draw against Uruguay showed grit, but their loss to Peru exposed weaknesses against pacey wingers. Colombia’s attacking setup could exploit these gaps if Bolivia fail to tighten up.
Colombia vs Bolivia Head-to-Head Results
Historical matchups heavily favor Colombia, with Bolivia managing only one win in their last 12 encounters. The high-altitude conditions in La Paz gave Bolivia a rare edge in their most recent clash, but Barranquilla’s environment tilts the scales back. These results provide critical context for the Colombia vs Bolivia prediction 2025.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 10/10/24 | WC | Bolivia vs Colombia | 1:0 |
| 16/06/24 | FI | Colombia vs Bolivia | 3:0 |
| 25/03/22 | WC | Colombia vs Bolivia | 3:0 |
| 02/09/21 | WC | Bolivia vs Colombia | 1:1 |
| 23/03/17 | WC | Colombia vs Bolivia | 1:0 |
Colombia’s dominance in recent head-to-heads, particularly at home, underscores their superiority, with clean sheets in three of the last five meetings. Bolivia’s lone victory in 2024 was an outlier, driven by altitude and a red card to a Colombian player. Expect Colombia to leverage their home advantage and historical edge.
Colombia Predicted Lineup
With Daniel Muñoz and Kevin Castaño suspended, Colombia will adjust their lineup, relying on their attacking stars to secure a crucial win.
Mier (GK), Arias (DF), Sanchez (DF), Lucumi (DF), Borja (DF), Rios (MF), Lerma (MF), J. Arias (MF), James (AM), Cordoba (FW), Diaz (FW).
Bolivia Predicted Lineup
Bolivia, in good shape with no major injury concerns, will aim to balance defense and counter-attacking threats.
Viscarra (GK), Medina (DF), Haquin (DF), Morales (DF), Fernandez (DF), E. Vaca (MF), Robson Matheus (MF), Cuellar (MF), Paniagua (MF), Villamil (FW), Miguelito (FW).
Key Factors to Watch
This Colombia vs Bolivia match prediction hinges on several critical elements that could sway the outcome. Both teams face immense pressure, with qualification on the line, making tactical discipline and individual brilliance pivotal. Below are the key aspects to monitor for informed betting decisions.
- Colombia’s Home Form: Undefeated in eight of their last nine home games, with five wins, Barranquilla remains a fortress;
- Bolivia’s Away Struggles: No wins in their last five away qualifiers, with 10 first-half goals conceded in those defeats;
- Luis Díaz’s Impact: Colombia’s top scorer with seven goals, his pace and finishing could exploit Bolivia’s shaky defense;
- Bolivia’s Counter-Attacks: Miguelito’s six goals highlight their threat on the break, especially from set pieces;
- Suspensions for Colombia: Missing Daniel Muñoz and Kevin Castaño weakens their right flank and midfield pivot;
- Bolivia’s Defensive Lapses: Conceding early in matches (10 first-half goals in five losses) could prove costly;
- Referee Influence: Dario Herrera’s strict officiating may lead to cards, with Bolivia averaging 2.5 per game;
- Motivation Factor: Colombia’s need to end a six-match winless streak and Bolivia’s play-off chase heighten intensity.
Free Tips on Colombia vs Bolivia
For the Colombia vs Bolivia match, understanding statistical trends and unique match dynamics can sharpen your betting strategy. This section highlights key insights derived from past performances and team data to guide your wagers. Below are tailored tips to enhance your Colombia vs Bolivia betting tips.
- Pitch Conditions at Barranquilla: The natural grass at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez typically favors Colombia’s quick passing game, but humid conditions could slow play, potentially benefiting Bolivia’s counter-attacking style.
- Weather Impact: Barranquilla’s warm, humid climate (around 30°C) may challenge Bolivia’s players, unaccustomed to sea-level conditions, increasing fatigue in the second half.
- Recent Schedule Fatigue: Colombia’s congested fixture list, with three matches in 15 days, could lead to tired legs, while Bolivia’s lighter schedule gives them a slight freshness edge.
- Fan Influence: The passionate 46,788-strong crowd in Barranquilla often acts as Colombia’s “12th man,” potentially unsettling Bolivia’s less experienced players.
- League Position Context: Colombia’s sixth-place standing drives their urg
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Colombia vs Bolivia Match Prediction 2025
Colombia are favored to secure a narrow victory, likely 2-1, leveraging their home advantage and superior squad depth. The Colombia vs Bolivia odds reflect this, with bookmakers pricing Colombia as heavy favorite due to their 5-3-1 home record in qualifiers and Bolivia’s poor away form. Luis Díaz’s form at Bayern Munich (3 goals, 2 assists in 4 games) makes him a likely difference-maker, capable of exploiting Bolivia’s high defensive line. Bolivia’s recent win over Chile shows they can upset stronger sides, but their 10 first-half goals conceded in five away losses suggest vulnerability early on. Colombia’s missing players, Muñoz and Castaño, may disrupt their rhythm, but their bench strength, including players like James Rodríguez, should compensate. Bolivia’s reliance on Miguelito for goals limits their attacking options, and their lack of away wins since 2023 tilts the scales. Expect Colombia to control possession (averaging 55% at home) and capitalize on set pieces, where they’ve scored 30% of their goals. A disciplined performance should see them clinch qualification.
Our Prediction: Colombia 2-1 Bolivia
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Outcome | Colombia Win | 1.12 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.41 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 2.48 |
Place your bets on this thrilling encounter with confidence. The stake is high, and the Colombia vs Bolivia betting tips point to a home win driven by tactical superiority and key individual performances. Your bet on the match – Colombia vs Bolivia – can be placed at bc.game for a seamless betting experience.
