Chelsea vs Benfica (1:0): Champions League 30/09/2025

September 30, 2025
Status: Finished
1-0
Champions League
Chelsea
Benfica
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Get ready for a blockbuster Champions League clash as Chelsea welcome Benfica to Stamford Bridge on September 30, 2025, at 19:00 GMT+0, with German referee Daniel Siebert overseeing the action. This Matchday 2 encounter, set in the 40,341-capacity venue in London, marks a homecoming for Benfica’s Jose Mourinho, facing his former club in a high-stakes battle.

Chelsea, reeling from a poor run, aim to leverage their home fortress to kickstart their European campaign, while Benfica, under Mourinho’s fresh leadership, seek to upset the odds after a shaky start. With injuries plaguing both sides, Chelsea vs Benfica betting tips will focus on who can navigate their absences and seize control in this electric showdown.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

To craft a sharp Chelsea vs Benfica prediction today, you need to dive into their recent form and storied head-to-head history. Chelsea’s home invincibility in the Champions League group stage contrasts with Benfica’s struggles against English sides. Their past meetings favor Chelsea, but Mourinho’s nous adds intrigue. The stats below unpack performances and trends to guide your bets. Expect a game where Chelsea’s grit meets Benfica’s attacking spark.

Chelsea Results

Chelsea have hit a rough patch in the 2025-26 season, with three losses in their last four games across all competitions. Their 3-1 Champions League defeat to Bayern Munich exposed defensive frailties, and a red card against Brighton cost them dearly. Enzo Maresca’s side leans on Stamford Bridge’s aura to turn things around.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
27/09/2025PLChelsea vs Brighton1-3L
23/09/2025EFLLincoln vs Chelsea1-2W
20/09/2025PLManchester Utd vs Chelsea2-1L
17/09/2025CLBayern Munich vs Chelsea3-1L
13/09/2025PLBrentford vs Chelsea2-2D

Chelsea’s one win in five, a 2-1 EFL Cup victory over Lincoln, shows flickers of resilience, but three losses highlight inconsistency. Their 3-1 loss to Bayern, despite Palmer’s goal, exposed defensive gaps. A 3-1 defeat to Brighton, sparked by Chalobah’s red card, underscores discipline issues. Stamford Bridge’s unbeaten UCL group-stage record since 2019 offers hope. Benfica’s attacking threat will test their shaky backline.

Benfica Results

Benfica, under Jose Mourinho’s new regime, have shown promise in the Primeira Liga but faltered in their Champions League opener. Their 2-1 win over Gil Vicente highlights attacking potential, but a 3-2 loss to Qarabag exposed defensive lapses. The Eagles aim to soar against English opposition.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
26/09/2025LPBenfica vs Gil Vicente2-1W
23/09/2025LPBenfica vs Rio Ave1-1D
20/09/2025LPAFS vs Benfica0-3W
16/09/2025CLBenfica vs Qarabag2-3L
12/09/2025LPBenfica vs Santa Clara1-1D

Benfica’s two wins in five, including a 3-0 rout of AFS, show attacking flair under Mourinho. Their 2-3 home loss to Qarabag, blowing a 2-0 lead, highlights defensive frailty. Two draws in the Primeira Liga suggest resilience but inconsistency. Pavlidis’s seven goals this season make him a threat. Chelsea’s depleted defense could be their chance to strike.

Who will win Tuesday’s Champions League clash between Chelsea and Benfica?
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Chelsea
58%
Draw
24%
Benfica
18%
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Chelsea vs Benfica Head-to-Head

Chelsea have dominated Benfica in recent competitive clashes, winning all three since 2012, including the 2013 Europa League final. Their latest meeting, a 4-1 Chelsea win in the 2025 Club World Cup, reinforces their edge. Benfica’s inability to beat English sides in seven straight UEFA games adds pressure.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
28/06/2025CWCBenfica vs Chelsea1-4
15/05/2013ELBenfica vs Chelsea1-2
04/04/2012CLChelsea vs Benfica2-1
27/03/2012CLBenfica vs Chelsea0-1

Chelsea’s three straight competitive wins, scoring eight goals to Benfica’s three, show their superiority. The 4-1 Club World Cup thrashing in 2025 highlights their attacking edge at Stamford Bridge. Benfica’s seven-game winless run against English sides in UEFA play is a major hurdle. No draws in their history suggest a decisive outcome. This points to a Chelsea-favored, goal-heavy clash.

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Probable Lineups for Chelsea vs Benfica Football Match

The Champions League Matchday 2 clash at Stamford Bridge on September 30, 2025, sees Chelsea face Benfica in a high-stakes battle under the lights. Below are the predicted starting lineups, aligned with Chelsea’s 4-2-3-1 and Benfica’s 4-2-3-1 formations, based on recent performances, player availability, and tactical setups. These selections reflect how Enzo Maresca and Jose Mourinho might approach this crucial encounter to gain an edge.

Chelsea Predicted Lineup

Sanchez (GK), James (DF), Hato (DF), Chalobah (DF), Cucurella (DF), Santos (MF), Caicedo (MF), Estêvão (AM), Fernandez (AM), Neto (AM), Pedro (FW)

Benfica Predicted Lineup

Trubin (GK), Dedic (DF), Silva (DF), Otamendi (DF), Dahl (DF), Barrenechea (MF), Rios (MF), Lukebakio (AM), Sudakov (AM), Aursnes (AM), Pavlidis (FW)

Injured and Questionable Players

Both Chelsea and Benfica face significant challenges with key players sidelined for this September 30, 2025, Champions League match, with injuries and other absences impacting their squads. The table below lists players unavailable for the clash, detailing their team and reason for absence. These gaps could influence the game’s dynamics, particularly in defense and attack.

TeamPlayerReason
ChelseaTosin AdarabioyoCalf Injury
ChelseaLevi ColwillKnee Injury
ChelseaLiam DelapHamstring Injury
ChelseaDario EssugoThigh Injury
ChelseaWesley FofanaConcussion
ChelseaMykhaylo MudrykSuspended
ChelseaCole PalmerGroin Injury
ChelseaRaheem SterlingInactive
BenficaAlexander BahKnee Injury
BenficaBrumaAchilles Tendon Injury
BenficaNuno FelixKnee Injury
BenficaManu SilvaKnee Injury
BenficaGianluca PrestianniInternational Duty

Key Factors to Watch

To craft sharp Chelsea vs Benfica betting tips, focus on the elements that could tip this Champions League clash. Injuries, form, and key players like Pavlidis will shape the outcome at Stamford Bridge. Here’s what to keep an eye on for September 30, 2025:

  • Chelsea’s Injury Crisis: Missing Palmer, Colwill, Delap, Essugo, Adarabioyo, Fofana, and Mudryk thins their squad;
  • Benfica’s Attacking Form: Pavlidis’s seven goals, including a brace against Gil Vicente, make him a major threat;
  • Chelsea’s Home Fortress: Unbeaten in UCL group-stage home games since 2019 gives them confidence;
  • Benfica’s Defensive Woes: Conceding three to Qarabag shows vulnerability against quick transitions;
  • Mourinho’s Return: His tactical nous could inspire Benfica, but his 0-3 record vs Chelsea adds pressure;
  • Chalobah’s Availability: Cleared from his Premier League red card, he bolsters Chelsea’s defense;
  • No Scandals: Both teams are focused, with no off-field distractions reported;
  • Barrenechea’s Return: Benfica’s midfielder adds steel after his suspension.

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Free Tips on Chelsea vs Benfica

To boost your Chelsea vs Benfica match prediction for this Champions League Matchday 2 clash on September 30, 2025, at Stamford Bridge, dive into the stats and context shaping this encounter. This list highlights critical angles, from historical dominance to external factors, to sharpen your betting strategy. Here are five tips to guide your wagers for this high-stakes showdown.

  • Head-to-Head Dominance: Chelsea’s three straight competitive wins over Benfica, including a 4-1 rout in 2025, give them a clear historical edge;
  • Home vs Away Dynamics: Chelsea’s unbeaten UCL group-stage home record since 2019 contrasts with Benfica’s seven-game winless streak against English sides in UEFA play;
  • Pitch Conditions: Stamford Bridge’s natural grass, likely pristine in September’s mild weather, favors Chelsea’s fast-paced style over Benfica’s transitional play;
  • Referee Tendencies: Daniel Siebert’s average of 4.6 cards per UCL game makes over 4.0 cards a tempting bet for a heated match;
  • Fan Influence: Chelsea’s passionate home crowd could unsettle Benfica, especially in a tight game’s closing moments.
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Chelsea vs Benfica Match Prediction 2025

For the Chelsea vs Benfica prediction 2025, I’m backing a 2-1 Chelsea win, leaning on their home strength despite injuries. Chelsea’s unbeaten UCL group-stage home record since 2019 and three straight wins over Benfica, including a 4-1 in 2025, give them a clear edge. Benfica’s 2-3 loss to Qarabag exposed defensive cracks, while their seven-game winless run against English sides in UEFA play adds doubt. The Chelsea vs Benfica odds likely favor the hosts around 1.70, reflecting their historical dominance and Stamford Bridge’s aura. Chelsea’s recent 3-1 losses to Bayern and Brighton show vulnerabilities, but Benfica’s Pavlidis, with seven goals, could exploit their depleted defense. Chelsea’s Lavia and Garnacho could spark the attack, while Benfica’s absences, like Bruma and Silva, limit their depth. Mourinho’s tactics may keep it close, but Chelsea’s home edge should prevail. Expect a tight game, with both teams scoring but Chelsea nicking it.

Our Prediction: Chelsea 2-1 Benfica

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultChelsea Win1.62
Both Teams to ScoreYes1.66
Total GoalsOver 2.51.63

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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