The forthcoming collision between Stade Malherbe Caen and Metz seems to be an interesting event in the French Ligue 2. Given both teams fighting for vital points, this game might have a big effect on their position going forward.
Set for April 5, 2025 at 12:00 GMT+0, the game will take place at Stade Michel d’Ornano in Caen, a 20,300 capacity arena. Landry R. from France is the referee for this Ligue 2 match; his rulings could be quite important in this Ligue 2 clash. Part of the continuous 2024/25 Ligue 2 campaign, Metz is chasing promotion while Caen struggles to get out of the relegation zone.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
For those looking to place informed bets, this section sets the stage for a deep dive into the Caen vs Metz matchup. Here, we’ll unpack the critical details that shape our predictions, from recent form to historical clashes. The Caen vs Metz prediction today hinges on understanding how both teams have performed in their latest outings. By examining their last five matches and head-to-head results, we can pinpoint trends and key factors. Let’s break it down to give you the edge you need.
Caen Results
Caen’s season in Ligue 2 has been a struggle, with the team currently languishing in 18th place after 10 matches. Their record of 1 win, 8 losses, and 1 draw reflects a side desperate for a turnaround. The upcoming match against Metz is a chance to leverage their home advantage at Stade Michel d’Ornano.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 31/03/25 | L2 | Paris FC vs Caen | 4-2 | L |
| 14/03/25 | L2 | Amiens vs Caen | 2-1 | L |
| 07/03/25 | L2 | Caen vs Laval | 0-1 | L |
| 28/02/25 | L2 | Clermont vs Caen | 0-1 | W |
| 22/02/25 | L2 | Caen vs Pau FC | 2-2 | D |
Caen’s lone victory came against Clermont, a rare bright spot in an otherwise dismal run. Their home form is particularly concerning, with only one win and a tendency to concede late, as seen in the Laval defeat. The 4-2 loss to Paris FC exposed defensive frailties, with Caen leaking goals at an average of 1.4 per game. The draw against Pau FC showed some fight, but their inability to hold leads is a recurring issue. Metz will likely exploit these weaknesses, especially given Caen’s slow scoring pace of 40.9 minutes per goal at home.
Metz Results
Metz, sitting in 2nd place, have been a force in Ligue 2 this season, boasting 8 wins from 10 matches. Their attacking prowess and solid away form make them favorite heading into this fixture. The team’s confidence is high after a string of convincing victories.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 28/03/25 | L2 | Metz vs Troyes | 2-1 | W |
| 15/03/25 | L2 | Dunkerque vs Metz | 2-3 | W |
| 08/03/25 | L2 | Metz vs Annecy | 5-1 | W |
| 01/03/25 | L2 | Amiens vs Metz | 1-2 | W |
| 22/02/25 | L2 | Metz vs AC Ajaccio | 0-1 | L |
Metz’s recent form is formidable, with four straight wins before this clash. The 5-1 thrashing of Annecy showcased their attacking depth, while narrow victories over Dunkerque and Amiens highlight resilience. Their only stumble was a 1-0 loss to AC Ajaccio, a rare off-day defensively. Away from home, they’ve scored consistently, averaging 47.4 minutes per goal. This momentum makes them a tough proposition for a faltering Caen side.
Caen vs Metz Head-to-Head (Last 5 Matches)
The rivalry between Caen and Metz has produced competitive battles over the years, with 31 meetings in total. Metz holds a slight edge with 12 wins to Caen’s 9, alongside 10 draws. Here’s how their last five encounters unfolded.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 09/11/24 | L2 | Metz vs Caen | 1-0 |
| 13/02/23 | L2 | Metz vs Caen | 0-0 |
| 08/08/22 | L2 | Caen vs Metz | 1-0 |
| 21/04/18 | L1 | Metz vs Caen | 1-1 |
| 07/02/18 | CDF | Metz vs Caen | 2-3 |
Recent head-to-heads suggest tight contests, with three of the last five ending in one-goal margins or draws. Metz’s 1-0 win in November 2024 could set the tone, but Caen’s 1-0 home victory in 2022 shows they can hold their own.
Caen Possible Starting Lineup
Caen’s lineup reflects their need to stabilize a shaky defense while hoping to spark some attacking life at home. Here’s how they might line up:
Clementia (GK), Maucketou (DF), Traore (DF), Debohi (DF), Henry (DF), Grandsir (MF), Brahimi (MF), Lebreton (MF), Lecoeuche (MF), Benrahou (FW), Mendy (FW)
Metz Possible Starting Lineup
Metz, riding a wave of strong form, are likely to field a balanced side with an emphasis on their potent attack. Their predicted lineup is as follows:
Bodart (GK), Udol (DF), Mbaula (DF), Sane (DF), Kauao (DF), Hein (MF), Deminguet (MF), Toure (MF), Jallow (MF), Sabaly (FW), Gueye (FW).
Key Factors to Watch
To craft a reliable prediction, we need to zoom in on the details that could sway this match. Both teams bring distinct strengths and vulnerabilities to the table. Here are the critical elements to consider:
- Injuries: Caen’s defense may be depleted if key center-backs remain sidelined, while Metz’s attack hinges on their star striker’s fitness;
- Caen’s Form: One win in 10 games signals a team low on confidence and struggling to convert chances;
- Metz’s Form: Eight wins in 10, including four away, underline their consistency and attacking threat;
- Home Advantage: Caen’s Stade Michel d’Ornano has been more of a liability than a fortress this season;
- Scoring Trends: Metz nets 1.1 goals per game on average, while Caen concedes 1.4 at home;
- Defensive Stability: Metz’s +3 goal difference contrasts sharply with Caen’s -6;
- Recent Success: Metz’s four-game win streak dwarfs Caen’s solitary victory;
- Head-to-Head Edge: Metz’s narrow win in their last meeting adds psychological weight.
Free Tips on Caen vs Metz
Understanding the dynamics of the Caen vs Metz match on April 5, 2025, requires a sharp focus on historical data and current trends. This section offers free betting tips derived from statistics of previous matches and team meetings, giving you a clearer picture of what to expect. Here’s how to approach this Ligue 2 clash with confidence.
- Historical Performance Trends: Metz have won 12 of their 31 encounters with Caen, including a 1-0 victory in their most recent meeting on November 9, 2024, suggesting a slight edge in direct matchups. Caen’s 9 wins and 10 draws indicate competitiveness, but their goal difference of 30-37 against Metz points to a struggle in finishing. Look for Metz to leverage this trend, especially given their current scoring form.
- Home vs. Away Dynamics: Caen’s home record this season is shaky, with just 1 win in 5 recent home games and a 30% both-teams-to-score rate, while Metz have secured 4 away wins in their last 5 road trips. Stade Michel d’Ornano hasn’t been a fortress, which could tilt the advantage toward Metz’s stronger away performances. Consider this disparity when eyeing match outcome bets.
- Player Impact and Availability: Check for updates on key players Caen’s defense could crumble further if injuries persist, while Metz’s attack relies heavily on their leading scorer, who’s netted 6 goals in 10 games. A single absence could shift the balance, as seen when Caen conceded 4 against Paris FC without their full backline. Player form and fitness will be decisive here.
- Match Context and Motivation: Metz, sitting 2nd, are pushing for promotion, giving them high stake in every game, whereas Caen, at 18th, are scrapping to avoid relegation. This desperation gap often fuels tighter matches, but Metz’s superior form (8 wins in 10) suggests they’re better equipped to capitalize. Motivation could spark Caen, but stats favor Metz’s execution.
- Pitch and Referee Influence: Stade Michel d’Ornano’s natural grass pitch, if wet from April rain, might slow play, favoring Metz’s counter-attacking style over Caen’s sluggish build-up. Referee Landry R.’s tendencies aren’t widely documented, but Ligue 2 refs average 4.2 cards per game watch for potential bookings if tensions rise. These subtle factors could shape the game’s flow.
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Caen vs Metz Match Prediction
As we approach the April 5 clash, Metz emerge as the clear favorites based on form, stats, and momentum. Caen’s dismal run 1 win in 10, with 8 losses suggests a team in freefall, particularly at home, where they’ve managed just one victory. Their defense has been porous, conceding 14 goals in 10 matches, and their attack lacks the punch to trouble a Metz side that’s scored 11 times in the same span. Metz’s recent 5-1 demolition of Annecy and their ability to grind out results away (e.g., 2-1 at Amiens) highlight a squad firing on all cylinders. The Caen vs Metz odds reflect this disparity, likely favoring an away win around 1.80-1.90, with value in Metz’s superior xG and finishing efficiency. Caen’s slow scoring pace (40.9 minutes per goal) won’t match Metz’s quicker transitions (47.4 minutes). Historical data backs this up Metz won their last meeting 1-0, and Caen’s lone head-to-head win in the past five came over two years ago. Unless Caen muster a defensive miracle, Metz’s momentum should carry them to a 2-0 or 2-1 victory, capitalizing on Caen’s fragility and their own clinical edge.
Our Prediction: Caen 0-2 Metz
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Full-Time Result | Metz to Win | 1.81 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.87 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.78 |
Ready to bet? You can place your bet on the Caen vs Metz match at bc.game, where competitive odds and a seamless platform await. Don’t miss out on backing Metz to extend their impressive run!
