The Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea match will take place on 24 December 2025 at Stade Mohamed V in Casablanca, with a capacity of 45,891. Kick-off is scheduled for the evening local time (exact hour to be confirmed closer to the date). Egyptian referee Maarouf Eid M. will officiate this Group E opener of the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON). Neither side enters the tournament as a favourite, but both teams have a history of exceeding expectations at continental level.
BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS
This Group E opener promises a tense and tactical battle between two well-organised African sides. Burkina Faso arrive in excellent form, while Equatorial Guinea carry less momentum but possess proven AFCON pedigree. Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea prediction today focuses on their contrasting recent trends, head-to-head record and key individual battles. Expect a low-scoring affair given both teams’ defensive discipline and slow starts in tournament openers. Our betting tips will highlight value in goals timing and match scenarios.
Burkina Faso Results
Burkina Faso enter AFCON 2025 in outstanding shape, having remained unbeaten in their last six internationals. They have scored heavily in several recent matches, showing sharp attacking intent. This form gives them confidence despite their historical struggles in tournament openers.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 18.11.25 | FI | Burkina Faso vs Benin | 3-0 | W |
| 14.11.25 | FI | Burkina Faso vs Niger | 3-2 | W |
| 12.10.25 | WC | Burkina Faso vs Ethiopia | 3-1 | W |
| 08.10.25 | WC | Sierra Leone vs Burkina Faso | 0-1 | W |
| 09.09.25 | WC | Burkina Faso vs Egypt | 0-0 | D |
Burkina Faso have been ruthless in front of goal, netting exactly three times in each of their last three internationals. Their defence has also been solid, conceding just three goals across the last five matches. Late goals have become a trademark, with Pierre Landry Kaboré particularly dangerous after the 55th minute. They remain unbeaten in their last six games, building strong momentum heading into the tournament. The only slight concern is their tendency to start slowly in AFCON openers.
Equatorial Guinea Results
Equatorial Guinea qualified for AFCON 2025 on merit for only the third time in their history. They have a reputation for overachieving at the continental stage, reaching the quarter-finals on three occasions. However, recent results show a clear dip in form compared to Burkina Faso.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 17.11.25 | FI | Madagascar vs Equatorial Guinea | 2-0 | L |
| 14.11.25 | FI | Kenya vs Equatorial Guinea | 0-1 | W |
| 13.10.25 | WC | Equatorial Guinea vs Liberia | 1-1 | D |
| 09.10.25 | WC | Malawi vs Equatorial Guinea | 3-0 | L |
| 08.09.25 | WC | Equatorial Guinea vs Tunisia | 0-1 | L |
Equatorial Guinea have struggled for consistency, winning just one of their last five internationals. Defensive solidity has been an issue, especially away from home. They have failed to score in three of their last five matches. The recent player strike and coaching uncertainty have left lingering doubts. Still, their ability to grind out results in AFCON group stages remains a dangerous trait.
Head-to-Head Record (Last 3 Matches)
Burkina Faso hold a perfect record against Equatorial Guinea, remaining unbeaten across all three previous encounters. All meetings have been low-scoring, with no more than one goal in total. This history suggests a tight, cagey affair once again.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 13.10.23 | FI | Equatorial Guinea vs Burkina Faso | 0-0 |
| 21.01.15 | AFCON | Equatorial Guinea vs Burkina Faso | 0-0 |
| 03.09.11 | FI | Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea | 1-0 |
Burkina Faso have kept clean sheets in every meeting and have never conceded against Equatorial Guinea. The matches have consistently been low on goals and high on tactical discipline. Recent history points to another tight contest with few clear chances.
Predicted Lineups for Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea
These are our predicted starting lineups for the AFCON 2025 Group E opener between Burkina Faso and Equatorial Guinea. They are based on recent team selections, current form, tactical preferences of the coaches and the absence of any major reported injuries. Note that final lineups will be confirmed closer to kick-off.
Burkina Faso possible starting lineup:
Koffi (GK); Kabore (DF), Tapsoba (DF), Djiga (DF), Kouassi (DF); Zougrana (MF); Ouattara (MF), Ouedraogo (MF), I Toure (MF), Irie (FW); B Traore (FW)
Equatorial Guinea possible starting lineup:
Owono (GK); Akapo (DF), Obiang (DF), Coco (DF), Ndong (DF); Ganet (MF), Eneme (MF); Asue (MF), Salvador (MF), Nabil (FW); Nsue (FW)
KEY MATCH FACTORS TO WATCH
Both teams arrive with strong defensive foundations, but Burkina Faso carry significantly more attacking momentum. Equatorial Guinea’s recent struggles make them underdogs, yet their AFCON experience could keep them competitive. Here are the most important points:
- Burkina Faso are unbeaten in their last six internationals (W5 D1);
- Equatorial Guinea have won just one of their last five games (L3 D1);
- Pierre Landry Kaboré has scored six goals in Burkina Faso’s last three internationals;
- Emilio Nsue remains Equatorial Guinea’s biggest goal threat and often scores the opening goal;
- Burkina Faso have historically been slow starters in AFCON openers (only 1 win in 13);
- Equatorial Guinea drew two of their last three AFCON openers 1-1;
- No major injury concerns reported for either side;
- Head-to-head meetings have always produced under 2.5 goals.
Free Tips on Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea
This section provides practical, match-specific betting advice based on the statistical trends and team dynamics surrounding this AFCON 2025 Group E opener. We have selected the most relevant factors that can help you make a more informed decision when placing bets on the Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea clash. These tips are tailored to the current form, historical data and situational context of this particular encounter.
- Late goals are a recurring pattern for Burkina Faso — They have scored exactly three goals in each of their last three internationals, with Pierre Landry Kaboré netting four of his six recent strikes after the 55th minute. This makes second-half or 60+ minute goal markets particularly attractive.
- Equatorial Guinea rarely produce high-scoring games — None of their last four completed matches have gone over 2.5 goals, and their recent AFCON openers have frequently ended 1-1. This supports under 2.5 goals as a strong statistical lean.
- Burkina Faso dominate the head-to-head narrative — The Stallions have never conceded a goal against Equatorial Guinea across three meetings (W1 D2), all of which finished with a maximum of one goal. Clean-sheet bets on Burkina Faso or “no both teams to score” carry solid value.
- Expect a slow start from both sides — Burkina Faso have won only one of their last 13 AFCON openers, while Equatorial Guinea have drawn two of their last three tournament openers 1-1. First-half under 0.5 goals or a goalless first half offers good odds.
- Referee Maarouf Eid M. tends to keep games disciplined — The Egyptian official is known for a measured approach and average card count. This reduces the likelihood of a high number of bookings in what is expected to be a tactical, low-tempo match.
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BURKINA FASO VS EQUATORIAL GUINEA MATCH PREDICTION
Burkina Faso enter this match as clear favourites thanks to their excellent recent form and attacking firepower. They have scored heavily in their last three internationals and possess a dangerous late-game threat in Pierre Landry Kaboré. Equatorial Guinea, despite their AFCON pedigree, lack consistency and have struggled to score regularly. The head-to-head record strongly favours Burkina Faso, who have never conceded against Equatorial Guinea. Expect a cagey first half followed by Burkina Faso gradually taking control after the break. Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea odds reflect their superiority, yet the low-scoring history suggests value lies in goals timing rather than outright result. Our main prediction is a narrow Burkina Faso victory, most likely with the decisive goal coming in the second half.
Our Prediction: Burkina Faso 2-0 Equatorial Guinea
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Burkina Faso to win | 1.84 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 goals | 1.51 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.63 |
| Correct Score | 2-0 Burkina Faso | 2.1 |
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