Kick-off is set for 18:30 GMT+0 on Monday at Estadio El Plantío (Burgos; capacity 12,194). The fixture belongs to LaLiga2, Round 6. Referee information has not been specified at the time of writing; check match-day updates for the assigned crew. This football clash pairs a steady mid-table host against a shaky traveler seeking its first league win of the season.
Burgos arrive with encouraging early-season returns and a strong home reputation, while Granada’s issues have centered on defensive leakage and fragile game-state management. Historically, Granada edge the limited head-to-head sample (two wins in four), but both meetings last season finished level including a 2-2 draw at this venue.
BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS
Expect a pragmatic opening half-hour with Burgos controlling territory and Granada searching for compactness. The Burgos vs Granada prediction today tilts toward the hosts thanks to better form and fewer structural errors. Granada’s trend of conceding two or more in every game raises total-goals potential, though Burgos often manage risk at home. Transition defense and set-piece execution should prove decisive. H2H history matters, but current momentum weighs heavier.
Burgos Results
Burgos have opened with a solid mix of resilience and opportunism. Luis Miguel Ramis’ side tend to keep matches controlled at El Plantío and punish errors in transition. Shot volume can be modest, but efficiency has spiked in key moments.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 14.09.25 | LL2 | Gijon vs Burgos CF | 2-3 | W |
| 07.09.25 | LL2 | Burgos CF vs Las Palmas | 0-0 | D |
| 31.08.25 | LL2 | Andorra vs Burgos CF | 2-1 | L |
| 24.08.25 | LL2 | Dep. La Coruna vs Burgos CF | 0-0 | D |
| 15.08.25 | LL2 | Burgos CF vs Cultural Leonesa | 5-1 | W |
A 2-2-1 sequence includes a 3-2 away win despite being second-best on xG speaking to clinical finishing. Two clean sheets in five illustrate defensive stability against mid-tier attacks. The 5-1 opening home victory highlights ceiling in front of their fans. Draws at Depor and vs Las Palmas show patience in tight contests. Burgos are generally reliable front-runners once ahead.
Granada Results
Granada’s early run has been alarming: one point from five and recurring defensive breakdowns. The team has conceded at least two in every match so far, undermining otherwise serviceable phases in possession.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 14.09.25 | LL2 | Granada CF vs Leganes | 0-2 | L |
| 06.09.25 | LL2 | Malaga vs Granada CF | 2-2 | D |
| 31.08.25 | LL2 | Granada CF vs Mirandes | 1-2 | L |
| 22.08.25 | LL2 | Eibar vs Granada CF | 3-0 | L |
| 16.08.25 | LL2 | Granada CF vs Dep. La Coruna | 1-3 | L |
The pattern reads 0-1-4 with 12 conceded pressure is mounting on Pacheta. Even when Granada score, containment falters late. Home losses stack the narrative, but road vulnerabilities persist in transitional defense. The inability to protect the box on crosses and second balls is a recurring theme. Urgent structural fixes are needed to stop the slide.
Head-to-Head: Burgos vs Granada
The sample is short but instructive: Granada historically have the edge, yet the two most recent meetings ended level. The 2-2 draw here last season hints at goal potential if control slips.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 10.01.25 | LL2 | Granada CF vs Burgos CF | 0-0 |
| 29.09.24 | LL2 | Burgos CF vs Granada CF | 2-2 |
| 04.03.23 | LL2 | Burgos CF vs Granada CF | 1-3 |
| 11.12.22 | LL2 | Granada CF vs Burgos CF | 0-1 |
Recent parity tempers the historical tilt, but present form gaps keep the hosts favored.
Predicted lineups for Burgos vs Granada
Projected XIs based on the provided formations; check match-day sheets for late updates and tactical tweaks.
Burgos (4-2-3-1): Cantero (GK), Lizancos (DF), Córdoba Kerejeta (DF), Sierra Pérez (DF), Miguel (DF), Morante (MF), Atienza (MF), González Ballesteros (MF), Curro (MF), Appin (MF), Niño (FW)
Granada (4-1-4-1): Zidane L. (GK), Casadesús P. (DF), Lama M. (DF), Williams L. (DF), Sola A. (DF), Oppong O. (MF), Sáenz P. (MF), Ruiz S. (MF), Alemán P. (MF), Faye S. (MF), Pascual J. (FW)
Unavailable players
Absence lists influence squad balance and in-game rotation options; monitor final updates one hour before kick-off.
| Player | Team | Reason | Status |
| Aitor Buñuel | Burgos | Eye injury | Out |
| Iván Chapela | Burgos | Injury | Out |
| Marcelo Expósito | Burgos | Injury | Out |
| Iñigo Córdoba | Burgos | Muscle injury | Out (listed) |
| Baila Diallo | Granada | Injury | Out |
| Mohamed Bouldini | Granada | Ankle | Doubtful |
Key factors before kick-off
Three angles frame this matchup: contrasting early-season trajectories, Granada’s defensive frailty, and Burgos’ ability to manage state at home. Keep these elements in view when weighing pre-match and live markets:
- Burgos have lost only once in five league matches;
- Hosts produced a 5-1 home win already, signaling scoring upside when momentum swings their way;
- Two clean sheets in five underline solid defensive phases against structured opponents;
- Granada are winless (0-1-4), conceding 2+ in every outing so far;
- Pressure on Pacheta can prompt conservative choices that blunt attacking ambition;
- Set-piece defense has been a soft spot for Granada; Burgos profit from restarts at home;
- H2H last season finished with two draws, one of them 2-2 at El Plantío game can open up if control slips;
- Squad availability favors Burgos; Granada’s doubtful striker reduces counterpunch potential.
Free Tips on Burgos vs Granada
This list adapts broad betting principles to the concrete dynamics of Burgos vs Granada, offering deeper, match-specific guidance:
- Lineup confirmation and pivot balance: verify Burgos’ double pivot (Morante/Atienza). If both start, expect stronger central control and safer progression enhancing host-leaning markets like Burgos Draw No Bet and reducing BTTS risk during the first hour.
- Granada’s shape under stress: if Granada persist with a lone holding midfielder, watch for overloads between the lines; live angles such as Burgos team total Over 0.5 (2nd half) gain traction once the visitors begin to chase.
- Set-piece leverage vs aerial defense: track early corners/free-kicks. Granada’s second-ball coverage has been erratic; prop markets on Burgos corners and shots on target from center-backs/AMs can benefit.
- Game-state triggers: should Burgos score first, consider hedging toward Draw as a saver only if Granada introduce a second striker; otherwise, the hosts are adept at freezing tempo.
- Schedule and substitutions: Granada’s late defensive fades invite interest in “Burgos to score last” or late-goal props, especially if the bench skews toward runners rather than ball-winners.
- Stadium effect: El Plantío’s tight feel enhances Burgos’ compact press; this favors hosts in 50/50 duels and set-piece pressure, supporting micro-markets like “Most Corners – Burgos.”
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Match Prediction 2025: Burgos vs Granada
On current evidence, Burgos possess the steadier structure, cleaner defensive rotations, and superior game-state control at home. Granada’s concession profile two or more in every match reflects disorganization on crosses and transitional moments, and unless Pacheta introduces a sturdier midfield screen, those weaknesses will persist. Burgos’ capability to manage tempo at El Plantío, plus their early efficiency in decisive moments (see Gijón 3-2), tilts this contest toward a home result. While H2H history is modest and includes two draws last season, the present trajectory is harder to ignore. Markets will price in Granada’s “bounce-back” narrative, but value still leans host-side when aligning team form with situational edges. In short, Burgos vs Granada odds point to a narrow but deserved home win, with totals live for 2-3 goals depending on whether Granada are forced to chase after the interval. Expect Burgos to protect a one-goal margin through structured pressing, selective countering, and set-piece pressure.
Our Prediction: Burgos 2-1 Granada
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Both Teams To Score | Yes | 2.04 |
| 1X2 | Burgos Win | 2.1 |
You can place your bet on the match Burgos vs Granada at bc.game. Consider combining a host-leaning position with totals in the 2-3 goal corridor to reflect Granada’s defensive volatility while acknowledging Burgos’ control at home. Always validate pre-match ideas with live patterns before adding exposure.
