Brazil vs Peru (4:0): World Cup Qualification 16/10/2024

October 16, 2024
Status: Finished
4-0
World Cup Qualification
Brazil
Peru
match decor

Brazil will square Peru in the CONMEBOL World Cup Qualification, Round 10 on October 16, 2024. With a 72,788 spectator capacity, Estádio Nacional Mané Garrincha, Brasília, is set to host the game. Ostojich E. from Uruguay will referee this match. The stakes are great as Brazil wants to confirm their place in the automatic qualification spots and takes on a faltering Peru, who is now second to last in the standings.

Brazil will be seeking to keep up their five-match winning run against Peru in head-to-head meetings. Still, pressure on Brazil’s manager, Dorival Júnior, who needs another triumph to allay worries about squad consistency, even with their recent triumph over Chile. Conversely, Peru pulled off their first campaign victory in their last game against Uruguay, giving the team fresh hope as they seek to ascend from the bottom of the standings.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

Given their recent performance and historical domination in head-to-head meetings, Brazil clearly is the preferred coming into this game when compared to Peru. Brazil’s recent late victory over Chile shown resiliency; Peru’s poor performance away from home still causes issues. Brazil also boasts a remarkable tradition of making it to every World Cup final; they will want to build on this with a great performance tonight. Peru’s better performance against Uruguay should not be disregarded, though, and they might fight despite their underprivileged situation.

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Brazil Results

Brazil’s recent form has been inconsistent, but they managed a crucial win against Chile in their previous match. Below is a table summarizing their last five competitive fixtures:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
11.10.2024WCQChile vs Brazil1-2W
11.09.2024WCQParaguay vs Brazil1-0L
07.09.2024WCQBrazil vs Ecuador1-0W
07.07.2024Copa AmericaUruguay vs Brazil1-0L
03.07.2024Copa AmericaBrazil vs Colombia1-1D

Despite a mixed record, Brazil managed two wins in their last five matches, with a notable victory against Chile. However, the loss to Paraguay has left Brazil needing more consistent performances. Their defense has been relatively solid, but scoring efficiency remains an issue, as they’ve managed only six goals in five matches.

Peru Results

Peru has struggled in their qualification campaign, but their victory against Uruguay offers a glimmer of hope. Below is a summary of their last five competitive matches:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
12.10.2024WCQPeru vs Uruguay1-0W
10.09.2024WCQEcuador vs Peru1-0L
07.09.2024WCQPeru vs Colombia1-1D
30.06.2024Copa AmericaArgentina vs Peru2-0L
25.06.2024Copa AmericaPeru vs Canada0-1L

Peru has managed just one win in their last five matches, with a notable victory over Uruguay. However, they continue to struggle in front of goal, scoring only two goals in five matches. Their defensive setup may help them hold off stronger teams, but their attack has been largely ineffective.

Brazil vs Peru Head-to-Head Results

Brazil has historically dominated this fixture, winning all of their last five encounters. Below is a breakdown of their recent meetings:

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
13.09.2023WCQPeru vs Brazil0-1
10.09.2021WCQBrazil vs Peru2-0
05.07.2021Copa AmericaBrazil vs Peru1-0
18.06.2021Copa AmericaBrazil vs Peru4-0
14.10.2020WCQPeru vs Brazil2-4

Brazil has been dominant in head-to-head matches, winning all five games, and outscoring Peru significantly. Peru has struggled to find the back of the net, managing just two goals across these five matches, while Brazil has netted an impressive 12 goals. Brazil’s historical superiority in this fixture indicates they are heavy favorites for this matchup.

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Brazil Probable Lineup

Brazil is expected to field a strong lineup despite a few key absences. Below is the likely starting eleven for Brazil, featuring a mix of experienced players and in-form talents who have been instrumental in their recent matches.


Ederson (GK), Danilo (DF), Marquinhos (DF), Gabriel (DF), Abner (DF), Bruno Guimaraes (MF), Andre (MF), Raphinha (MF), Luiz Henrique (MF), Igor Jesus (FW), Rodrygo (FW)

Projected starting lineup for Brazil in the World Cup Qualifiers match against Peru.

Peru Probable Lineup

Peru will look to build on their recent victory against Uruguay, even though they face the challenge of missing several key players. Below is the predicted lineup for Peru, with a defense-heavy formation to counter Brazil’s attacking threat.


Gallesse (GK), Polo (DF), Araujo (DF), Zambrano (DF), Abram (DF), Callens (DF), Sonne (MF), Castillo (MF), Pena (MF), Valera (FW), Flores (FW)

Predicted starting lineup for Peru in the World Cup Qualifiers match against Brazil.

INJURED AND QUESTIONABLE PLAYERS

Injuries and suspensions play a major role in determining which players will be available for any given match. Both Brazil and Peru have key players who will miss the game, which could impact their respective strategies. Below is a list of players who will not feature in the match due to injuries or suspensions.

Brazil PlayerReasonPeru PlayerReason
Vinicius JuniorInjuryRenato TapiaInjury
Lucas PaquetaSuspensionYoshimar YotunInjury
AlissonInjuryGianluca LapadulaInjury
Miguel TraucoInjury
Anderson SantamariaInjury

Key Factors to Watch

Heading into this Brazil vs Peru prediction 2024, there are several crucial factors that could impact the outcome of the match:

  • Brazil’s Injuries: Key players like Vinicius Junior and Alisson remain sidelined, potentially affecting Brazil’s attack and defense;
  • Brazil’s Form: Brazil has won only three of their last 10 competitive matches, far below their usual standards;
  • Peru’s Offensive Struggles: Peru has scored just three goals in their qualification campaign so far;
  • Peru’s Away Form: Peru has only won one of their last seven away matches, struggling to perform outside of home;
  • Brazil’s H2H Dominance: Brazil has won their last five head-to-head encounters with Peru, and Peru has failed to score in their last four meetings;
  • Peru’s Injuries: Peru is missing several key players, including Renato Tapia, Yoshimar Yotun, and Gianluca Lapadula, which weakens their lineup;
  • Brazil’s Tactical Changes: Manager Dorival Júnior is likely to rely on Igor Jesus and Luiz Henrique, both in form after their performances against Chile;
  • Momentum Shift for Peru: After their win against Uruguay, Peru might come into the game with renewed confidence, though their defensive approach will likely limit their attacking opportunities.
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Free Tips on Brazil vs Peru

Examining the forthcoming game between Brazil and Peru requires looking at the main statistics and patterns that can affect the result. Think about several elements like recent team performance, head-to-head performance, and tactical strategies to make the best informed betting choice. These few basic ideas based on past performance and present circumstances will allow you to direct your projections for this World Cup qualification game.

  • Team Form and Momentum: Brazil may have been inconsistent in their last 10 matches, but their ability to secure crucial victories, such as the late winner against Chile, shows they can handle pressure. Peru, on the other hand, has struggled with only one win in their last five matches, which could affect their confidence going into this game.
  • Head-to-Head Dominance: Historically, Brazil has been dominant in this fixture, having won the last five encounters against Peru. This strong track record in head-to-head matches suggests Brazil holds a clear psychological and tactical advantage going into this game.
  • Home vs Away Performance: Brazil’s home-field advantage should not be overlooked. Playing at Estádio Nacional Mané Garrincha in front of a large crowd, Brazil will be buoyed by their supporters, while Peru has struggled significantly in away matches, having won only once in their last seven road trips.
  • Injuries and Suspensions: Both teams are dealing with significant absences. Brazil will be without key players like Vinicius Junior and Lucas Paqueta, but Peru is arguably more impacted with key midfielders Renato Tapia and Yoshimar Yotun out, along with striker Gianluca Lapadula. These injuries may heavily influence the game dynamics, particularly for Peru.
  • Recent Player Form: Keep an eye on players like Igor Jesus and Luiz Henrique, who have been in excellent form for Brazil. Their ability to perform in critical moments, as seen in the last match against Chile, makes them potential game-changers in this encounter.
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Brazil vs Peru Match Prediction 2024

Based on the Brazil against Peru odds, Brazil is the clear favourite and a home triumph appears somewhat certain. Clear markers of Brazil’s advantage in this match include their better squad depth, tactical acumen, and past success over Peru. Although Peru’s recent victory against Uruguay was remarkable, their general performance and injury problems point to difficulties obtaining a result in this encounter. With a 2-0 or 3-0 scoreline a likely result, we forecast a quite simple win for Brazil.

Our Prediction: Brazil 2-0 Peru

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Full-Time ScoreBrazil to Win1.24
Total Goals Under 2.5 goals2.0

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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