Brazil vs Colombia (2:1): World Championship Qualification 21/03/2025

March 21, 2025
Status: Finished
2-1
World Championship Qualification
Brazil
Colombia
match decor

Set to take place on March 21, 2025, at 00:45 GMT+0, in the Estádio Nacional Mané Garrincha in Brasília, with a capacity of 72,789, Brazil and Colombia are much awaited rivals. Referee Herrera A. from Venezuela will officiate this game, which is part of the CONMEBOL World Championship Qualification Round 13, bringing even more mystery to this football clash between two South American powerhouses fighting for a ticket in the World Cup finals for 2026.

Though Brazil sits in fifth place and Colombia in fourth, both teams have gone on a rollercoaster ride; still, the enlarged qualification system guarantees that the top six teams move straight forward. While Colombia will aim to replicate their rare triumph from November 2023, the Selecao has always dominated this game at home. This makes this a fascinating football match full of tactical skirmishes and great stakes.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

Get ready for a deep dive into the Brazil vs Colombia prediction today, where key statistics and recent performances will guide our insights. This part prepares one to grasp the form of both teams, their head-to-history, and important elements influencing the result. We’ll look at how Brazil’s home dominance compares to Colombia’s current hardships. Analysing their most recent performance and past meetings will help you to better understand what to expect. To improve your betting viewpoint, let us dissect the figures and trends.

Brazil Results

Under Dorival Junior, Brazil’s qualifying effort has been a mixed bag with flashes of genius tempered by inconsistency. Although the Selecao have battled to match their former supremacy, recent victories point to development. This game against Colombia is absolutely must-win if they are to keep their top-six ranking given a vital encounter against Argentina looms.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
20.11.24WCBrazil vs Uruguay1-1D
14.11.24WCVenezuela vs Brazil1-1D
16.10.24WCBrazil vs Peru4-0W
11.10.24WCChile vs Brazil1-2W
11.09.24WCParaguay vs Brazil1-0L

The table reveals Brazil’s inconsistent run, with only two wins in their last five games. Their home form remains a strength, as seen in the 4-0 thrashing of Peru, but draws against Uruguay and Venezuela highlight defensive vulnerabilities. Losses away to Paraguay expose a struggle on the road, yet their eight points from the last four games suggest a slight upturn. Colombia will face a Brazil side eager to capitalize on their unbeaten home record against them.

Colombia Results

Under Nestor Lorenzo, Colombia launched their campaign beautifully, but a recent drop in performance begs questions. Their six-point buffer in the top six leaves them in a solid position even if losses in three of their past four games have seen them drop from second to fourth. For a side yearning to get back on track, this journey to Brazil tests greatly.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
20.11.24WCColombia vs Ecuador0-1L
16.11.24WCUruguay vs Colombia3-2L
15.10.24WCColombia vs Chile4-0W
10.10.24WCBolivia vs Colombia1-0L
10.09.24WCColombia vs Argentina2-1W

Colombia’s recent form paints a worrying picture, with three defeats in four games exposing frailties. The home loss to Ecuador, despite 26 shots, underscores their wastefulness, while the Bolivia defeat in altitude was a tactical misstep. Their 4-0 win over Chile shows attacking potential, but conceding late in Uruguay highlights defensive lapses. Facing Brazil at home will demand a sharper performance than recent outings suggest.

Who will win Friday’s World Championship Qualification clash between Brazil and Colombia?
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poll
Brazil
56%
Draw
27%
Colombia
17%
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Brazil vs Colombia Head-to-Head

With Brazil historically in the upper hand, particularly at home, the rivalry between Brazil and Colombia has created some unforgettable meetings. The November 2023 Colombian breakthrough victory still stands out in the annals of this game. Let’s look at their most recent five meetings in search of trends.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
03.07.24CABrazil vs Colombia1-1
17.11.23WCColombia vs Brazil2-1
12.11.21WCBrazil vs Colombia1-0
11.10.21WCColombia vs Brazil0-0
24.06.21CABrazil vs Colombia2-1

With three victories and a tie in the last five overall, Brazil’s perfect home record versus Colombia in 14 games stands out. Driven by Luis Diaz’s genius, Colombia’s 2023 triumph was an anomaly. With three of five concluding 1-0 or 1-1, the trend is towards close, low-scoring games.

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Predicted Football Lineups for Brazil vs Colombia

Based on current form, injuries, and tactical preferences, this section forecasts both teams’ potential starting elevens. Knowing possible lineups helps one project the course of the game.

Brazil Predicted Lineup: Alisson (GK), Vanderson (DF), Marquinhos (DF), Gabriel (DF), Alex Sandro (DF), Gerson (MF), Bruno Guimaraes (MF), Rodrygo (MF), Raphinha (MF), Vinicius Junior (MF), Cunha (FW)

Brazil national football team predicted lineup for World Cup Qualifier against Colombia on March 21, 2025.

Colombia Predicted Lineup: Vargas (GK), Munoz (DF), Lucumi (DF), Sanchez (DF), Mojica (DF), Lerma (MF), Rios (MF), Arias (MF), James (MF), Diaz (MF), Duran (FW)

Colombia national football team predicted lineup for World Cup Qualifier against Brazil on March 21, 2025.

Unavailable Players

Injuries and absences will play a significant role in this match. Here’s a breakdown of key players missing for both sides.

TeamPlayerReason
BrazilNeymarInjury
BrazilEder MilitaoInjury
BrazilBremerInjury
BrazilDaniloInjury
BrazilEderson MoraesInjury
BrazilRicharlisonInjury
BrazilLucas PaquetaOmitted
ColombiaNo major absences reported

Key Factors to Watch in Brazil vs Colombia

Two teams with different fortunes are brought together by this collision; many factors could swing the balances. These elements will determine the result from team dynamics to individual excellence. Let’s stress the important elements under observation.

  • Brazil’s Home Dominance: Unbeaten in 14 home games against Colombia, the Selecao thrive in Brasília;
  • Colombia’s Poor Form: Three losses in four games signal a lack of confidence and finishing woes;
  • Neymar’s Absence: Brazil lose a game-changer, putting pressure on Vinicius Junior and Rodrygo;
  • Luis Diaz’s Struggles: The Liverpool star’s dip in form could blunt Colombia’s attack;
  • Recent Wins for Brazil: Eight points from four games show a resurgence, unlike Colombia’s slide;
  • Defensive Injuries: Brazil’s backline is depleted, potentially exposing them to counters;
  • James Rodriguez’s Impact: The veteran’s leadership could inspire an upset if he finds his 2014 spark;
  • Motivation Levels: Brazil need a win before facing Argentina, while Colombia aim to halt their decline.

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Free Tips on Brazil vs Colombia

These tips focus on practical insights tailored to Brazil vs Colombia, drawn from statistics and trends. They aim to give you an edge without overlapping with the key factors above. Here’s what to consider for this specific matchup.

  • Focus on First-Half Goals: Four of Brazil’s last five home qualifiers saw goals before halftime, so consider betting on over 0.5 goals in the first 45 minutes for a fast start at the Mané Garrincha;
  • Monitor Substitution Impact: With Brazil’s squad depth and Colombia’s reliance on stars like James, late changes could shift momentum look at live betting options around the 60-minute mark;
  • Expect a Tight Contest: Three of the last five head-to-heads ended with a one-goal margin or draw, suggesting a close battle worth exploring in the “draw no bet” market;
  • Leverage Corners Market: Brazil average 6.2 corners at home, while Colombia’s counter-style yields fewer over 9.5 total corners could be a solid pick;
  • Card Count Potential: Referee Herrera A. averages 4.8 cards per game, and with tensions high, over 4.5 cards is a realistic bet;
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Brazil vs Colombia Match Prediction 2025

Brazil are favored to edge out Colombia in a tightly contested match, with a predicted scoreline of 2-1. The Selecao’s unbeaten home record against Los Cafeteros in 14 meetings is a towering statistic, and despite their inconsistent campaign, their recent uptick eight points from four games suggests they’re finding form at the right time. Colombia, meanwhile, have faltered, losing three of their last four, including against 10-man sides, exposing a lack of clinical finishing and defensive resilience. Brazil’s attacking trio of Vinicius Junior, Rodrygo, and Cunha should exploit a Colombian backline that’s conceded in every game of this skid. The Brazil vs Colombia odds reflect this, likely listing the hosts as favorites around 1.70, with Colombia’s struggles away from home (no wins in Brazil in qualifiers) tilting the balance. Neymar’s absence is a blow, but Colombia’s own star, Luis Diaz, is off-form, reducing their threat. The visitors may nick a goal perhaps through James Rodriguez but Brazil’s home advantage and urgency before facing Argentina next should see them through. Historical trends of low-scoring affairs (three of five recent H2Hs under 2.5 goals) are noted, but Brazil’s recent 4-0 home win over Peru hints at a slight goal spike here.

Our Prediction: Brazil 2-1 Colombia

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultBrazil to Win1.71
Total GoalsOver 2.5 Goals2.22
Both Teams to ScoreYes2.17

This prediction aligns with Brazil’s home strength and Colombia’s vulnerability, offering a mix of safety and value. Don’t miss out on the action place your bet on BC Game for a thrilling experience. The Brazil vs Colombia odds make this a prime opportunity to back the Selecao, and you can do it seamlessly at bc.game, where competitive rates and live betting options await. Whether you’re chasing the match result or exploring goal markets, BC Game has you covered for this South American showdown.

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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