The highly anticipated Carioca classic, Botafogo RJ vs Vasco da Gama, is set to ignite the Estádio Olímpico Nilton Santos in Rio de Janeiro on November 5, 2025, at 22:30 GMT+0. This clash, refereed by Bruno Arleu (RJ), is part of the 32nd round of Serie A Betano, with both teams vying for crucial points to solidify their positions in the league standings.
Botafogo, currently in the top six, are chasing a Libertadores spot, while Vasco aim to climb from their mid-table position. With a capacity of 46,931, the Nilton Santos stadium is expected to create an electric atmosphere, amplifying the stakes of this Botafogo RJ vs Vasco da Gama match prediction.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
The Botafogo RJ vs Vasco da Gama prediction today hinges on recent form, head-to-head records, and key player performances. Both teams have shown flashes of brilliance but also inconsistency, making this classic a tough one to call. Botafogo’s home advantage could play a pivotal role, yet Vasco’s attacking flair cannot be underestimated. Understanding their recent results and historical encounters provides critical context for informed betting. Below, we break down their performances to guide your Botafogo RJ vs Vasco da Gama betting tips.
Botafogo RJ Results
Botafogo RJ have had a mixed run in the 2025 Serie A season, balancing moments of dominance with frustrating setbacks. Sitting sixth with 48 points, they are under pressure to secure a win to maintain their Libertadores aspirations. Their recent performances reflect a team struggling to find consistency but capable of strong showings at home.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 01/11/2025 | Serie A | Mirassol vs Botafogo RJ | 0-0 | D |
| 26/10/2025 | Serie A | Botafogo RJ vs Santos | 2-2 | D |
| 20/10/2025 | Serie A | Ceará vs Botafogo RJ | 0-2 | W |
| 16/10/2025 | Serie A | Botafogo RJ vs Flamengo | 0-3 | L |
| 05/10/2025 | Serie A | Internacional vs Botafogo RJ | 2-0 | L |
Botafogo’s recent form shows two draws, one win, and two losses, highlighting their inconsistency. Their goalless draw against Mirassol exposed offensive struggles, with only one shot on target. However, their 2-0 win over Ceará showcased defensive solidity. At home, they’ve failed to win in their last two matches, raising concerns for coach Davide Ancelotti. The team’s ability to capitalize on home support will be crucial against Vasco.
Vasco da Gama Results
Vasco da Gama, positioned ninth in Serie A, have shown resilience, particularly in attack, but their defensive vulnerabilities have cost them points. Under Fernando Diniz, they’ve built momentum with a string of wins before a recent stumble. Their away form remains a concern as they prepare to face Botafogo.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 03/11/2025 | Serie A | Vasco vs São Paulo | 0-2 | L |
| 26/10/2025 | Serie A | Bragantino vs Vasco | 0-3 | W |
| 21/10/2025 | Serie A | Vasco vs Fluminense | 2-0 | W |
| 16/10/2025 | Serie A | Fortaleza vs Vasco | 0-2 | W |
| 05/10/2025 | Serie A | Vasco vs Vitória | 4-3 | W |
Vasco’s recent form includes four wins in their last five matches before a 2-0 loss to São Paulo. Their attacking output, with 11 goals in those five games, highlights their offensive potency. However, conceding five goals in their last two matches exposes defensive frailties. Their three consecutive away wins before the São Paulo defeat suggest they can challenge Botafogo. Philippe Coutinho’s creativity remains a key asset for Vasco.
Botafogo RJ vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head Results
The rivalry between Botafogo RJ and Vasco da Gama is steeped in history, with recent encounters showcasing tight battles and moments of brilliance. Their head-to-head record in 2025 has been evenly split, with both teams securing victories. Below are the last five meetings, providing insight into the Botafogo RJ vs Vasco da Gama prediction 2025.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 12/09/2025 | Copa do Brasil | Botafogo RJ vs Vasco | 1-1 (3-5 pens) |
| 28/08/2025 | Copa do Brasil | Vasco vs Botafogo RJ | 1-1 |
| 13/07/2025 | Serie A | Vasco vs Botafogo RJ | 0-2 |
| 23/02/2025 | Carioca | Vasco vs Botafogo RJ | 1-0 |
| 06/11/2024 | Serie A | Botafogo RJ vs Vasco | 3-0 |
The head-to-head record shows a balanced rivalry, with each team winning once, two draws, and Vasco advancing via penalties in the Copa do Brasil. Botafogo’s 3-0 win in 2024 at home highlights their potential dominance at Nilton Santos. However, Vasco’s recent penalty shootout victory adds psychological intrigue.
Botafogo RJ Possible Starting Lineup
Botafogo’s manager Davide Ancelotti is expected to field a strong side, leveraging their defensive solidity and home advantage.
Linck (GK), Cuiabano (DF), Barboza (DF), Ricardo (DF), Vitinho (DF), Rodriguez (MF), Danilo (MF), Newton (MF), Freitas (MF), Ramos (FW), Artur (FW).
Vasco da Gama Possible Starting Lineup
Vasco, under Fernando Diniz, will likely rely on their attacking flair despite a depleted squad due to injuries.
Jardim (GK), Rodriguez (DF), Cuesta (DF), Renan (DF), Piton (DF), Barros (MF), Coutinho (MF), Gomez (MF), Rayan (FW), Vegetti (FW), Estrella (MF).
Key Factors to Watch
To craft an accurate Botafogo RJ vs Vasco da Gama match prediction, several critical elements must be considered. Both teams bring unique strengths and weaknesses to this classic, influenced by form, injuries, and tactical setups. Below are the key factors that could decide the outcome.
- Botafogo’s Home Form: Botafogo have won three of their last four home games against Vasco across all competitions, but recent draws suggest inconsistency;
- Vasco’s Away Struggles: Despite three consecutive away wins before their São Paulo loss, Vasco have conceded 41 goals in Serie A, averaging 1.25 per match;
- Injuries for Botafogo: Muscular issues may sideline Philipe Sampaio, while Chris Ramos (head), Cuiabano (ankle), and Bastos (knee) are doubtful;
- Vasco’s Injury Crisis: Adson (broken tibia), Jair, Paulo Henrique, Tchê Tchê, and Thiago Mendes are out, with Carlos Cuesta ineligible for Copa do Brasil but available for Serie A;
- Botafogo’s Defensive Solidity: Conceding just 28 goals in 31 Serie A matches (0.9 per game), Botafogo boast one of the league’s best defenses;
- Vasco’s Attacking Flair: Led by Philippe Coutinho and Rayan (four Copa do Brasil goals), Vasco have scored 42 goals in Serie A;
- Recent Scandals: No major scandals have surfaced, but Botafogo’s Davide Ancelotti faces pressure after a lackluster attacking display against Mirassol;
- Match Motivation: Botafogo need a win to secure their top-six spot, while Vasco aim to close the six-point gap to the Libertadores places.
Free Tips on Botafogo RJ vs Vasco da Gama
To make informed betting decisions for the Botafogo RJ vs Vasco da Gama match on November 5, 2025, leveraging historical data and current team dynamics is essential. This section provides targeted betting tips derived from statistical insights and team-specific factors, ensuring you have a clear edge. Below are key considerations to guide your Botafogo RJ vs Vasco da Gama betting tips.
- Evaluate Historical Scoring Trends: Review the goal-scoring patterns in Botafogo and Vasco’s previous encounters, as three of their last five head-to-head matches produced under 2.5 goals, suggesting a tendency for low-scoring, tight games.
- Assess Player-Specific Impact: Focus on individual player form, particularly Botafogo’s Luiz Henrique, who has scored three goals in his last five Serie A matches, potentially exploiting Vasco’s weakened defense.
- Consider Pitch and Weather Conditions: The Nilton Santos stadium’s natural grass pitch, combined with Rio’s humid November weather, may slow down Vasco’s counter-attacking style, favoring Botafogo’s controlled possession game.
- Factor in Fixture Congestion: Vasco’s recent schedule, with three matches in 10 days, could lead to fatigue, especially with their injury-hit squad, potentially impacting their performance against a fresher Botafogo.
- Check Referee Tendencies: Referee Bruno Arleu averages 5.2 cards per game in Serie A, so betting on over 4.5 cards could be a smart move given the heated nature of this rivalry.
$ 0.00
$ 0.00
Botafogo RJ vs Vasco da Gama Match Prediction 2025
The Botafogo RJ vs Vasco da Gama prediction 2025 leans toward a closely contested match, with Botafogo holding a slight edge due to their home advantage and defensive strength. Botafogo’s robust defense, conceding only 0.9 goals per game, contrasts with Vasco’s leakier backline, which has allowed 1.25 goals per match. However, Vasco’s attacking trio of Coutinho, Rayan, and Andrés Gómez poses a significant threat, especially given their recent scoring form. Botafogo’s recent home draws and Vasco’s away resilience suggest a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 goals occurring in seven of Botafogo’s last 11 matches. The Botafogo RJ vs Vasco da Gama odds reflect Botafogo as favorites (1.95 on Betway), with a draw at 3.50 and Vasco at 4.45. Considering the injury concerns for both sides, particularly Vasco’s depleted midfield, Botafogo are likely to control possession and create more chances. We predict a narrow 1-0 victory for Botafogo, capitalizing on their home crowd and defensive discipline to edge out a determined but shorthanded Vasco side.
Our Prediction: Botafogo RJ 1-0 Vasco da Gama
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Full-Time Result | Botafogo RJ Win | 1.86 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 Goals | 1.77 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.95 |
Place your bet on the match – Botafogo RJ vs Vasco da Gama – at bc.game to take advantage of competitive odds and elevate your betting experience. With the stakes high in this Carioca classic, now is the perfect time to back your prediction and join the action.
