Besiktas vs Fenerbahce Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – Turkey Super Lig 17/06/2026

Turkey Super Lig
Besiktas vs Fenerbahce
Wed, 17 June 2026 – 18:00
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2.65
Home
Draw
1.45
Away

Besiktas host Fenerbahce on 17/06/2026, 18:00 GMT+0 at BJK Akatlar Sports Complex in Istanbul. This is the next game in the Turkey Super Lig Finals, and the series is now fully alive after two very different matches. Besiktas shocked Fenerbahce 88:80 in Game 1, but Fenerbahce answered with a clear 93:68 win in Game 2.

The official referee crew has not been publicly confirmed at the time of writing, so that detail should be checked closer to tip off. This Besiktas vs Fenerbahce prediction 2026 is built around the same question the whole series now asks: was Game 1 a real shift in power, or did Game 2 show the true gap? For Besiktas vs Fenerbahce match prediction and Besiktas vs Fenerbahce betting tips, the focus should be on defensive response, rotation depth and how Besiktas handle Fenerbahce’s physicality after being held to only 68 points. Besiktas vs Fenerbahce prediction today still gives the edge to Fenerbahce, but the home court makes the margin harder to price.

Besiktas vs Fenerbahce Last Matches

Besiktas
Last 5 matches
L W W W L
Wins: 3/5 (60%)
Draws: 0/5 (0%)
Losses: 2/5 (40%)
163.40Total points
42%Win probability
80.80Points scored
82.60Points conceded
2.38Fair win odds
80%Under 169.5 points
15.06.26 · Fenerbahce 93:68 Besiktas · L
13.06.26 · Fenerbahce 80:88 Besiktas · W
10.06.26 · Besiktas 80:71 Bahcesehir Kol. · W
08.06.26 · Bahcesehir Kol. 71:73 Besiktas · W
06.06.26 · Bahcesehir Kol. 98:95 Besiktas · L
Fenerbahce
Last 5 matches
W L W L W
Wins: 3/5 (60%)
Draws: 0/5 (0%)
Losses: 2/5 (40%)
172.80Total points
58%Win probability
88.20Points scored
84.60Points conceded
1.72Fair win odds
60%Under 169.5 points
15.06.26 · Fenerbahce 93:68 Besiktas · W
13.06.26 · Fenerbahce 80:88 Besiktas · L
07.06.26 · Anadolu Efes 93:102 Fenerbahce · W
05.06.26 · Anadolu Efes 102:93 Fenerbahce · L
03.06.26 · Fenerbahce 73:72 Anadolu Efes · W

Besiktas vs Fenerbahce: Head to Head (H2H)

Head to Head
Besiktas vs Fenerbahce · Turkey Super Lig Finals
Besiktas
2
wins in last 5 H2H
Fenerbahce
3
wins in last 5 H2H
Besiktas Win42%
Draw0%
Fenerbahce Win58%
167.80Total points per game
40%Both teams 80 plus
80%Under 169.5 points
80.40Besiktas points
87.40Fenerbahce points
1.72Fenerbahce fair odds
15.06.26 · Fenerbahce 93:68 Besiktas
13.06.26 · Fenerbahce 80:88 Besiktas
13.05.26 · Fenerbahce 72:85 Besiktas
22.02.26 · Fenerbahce 91:74 Besiktas
04.01.26 · Besiktas 87:101 Fenerbahce

Besiktas: Team News

Besiktas have already proved they can hurt Fenerbahce in this final. The 88:80 away win in Game 1 was not a fluke result built only on hot shooting. They competed physically, found a surprise scoring lift from Berk Ugurlu and forced Fenerbahce into uncomfortable possessions. That win gave them belief and showed that the title favorite can be pushed.

The problem is what happened next. Game 2 was a harsh correction, with Besiktas held to 68 points and beaten by 25. That brings the pressure back onto their guards and shot creators. Devon Dotson needs to create cleaner looks after an uneven first game, Jonah Mathews has to lift his scoring volume, and Yigit Arslan must give them more efficiency. The injury situation also matters. Brynton Lemar, Ante Zizic and Ismael Kamagate missed Game 1, with Lemar viewed as the most realistic possible return. If Besiktas remain short in the frontcourt, their rebounding and rim protection will again be under stress.

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Fenerbahce: Team News

Fenerbahce looked shaken after losing Game 1 at home, but their answer in Game 2 was exactly what Sarunas Jasikevicius needed. The 93:68 win brought their defensive identity back into the series. After allowing Besiktas too many comfortable actions in the opener, Fenerbahce raised the contact level, protected the paint better and turned the match into a game played on their terms.

The attacking spread also looks better when Wade Baldwin does not have to carry every tough shot. Tarik Biberovic, Talen Horton Tucker, Nicolo Melli and the rest of the rotation give Fenerbahce several ways to score, especially if they clean up their free throws and improve shot selection from deep. Jilson Bango is injured, which reduces some interior depth, but Fenerbahce still have more high level options than Besiktas. Their main task now is to bring the same defensive focus into a tougher road setting. If they start slowly, Besiktas can feed off the crowd quickly.

Key Stats and Performance Indicators

Team ranking
A score reflecting the team’s overall strength, based on their league position, historical results, goals scored and conceded, and the competitive level of their division.
2.38
1.72
Assessment of form
Reflects the team’s current momentum based on recent matches. Accounts for results, goals, and expected goals over the last several games.
2.15
1.70
xG Expected Goals
The statistical volume of scoring chances created and conceded. Calculated from shot quality and quantity, a higher value indicates more dangerous attacking play.
-5%
+6%
xG Predictability
Shows how consistently the team’s actual in-game xG aligns with pre-match xG forecasts. A higher value means the team’s matches tend to follow expected patterns.
54%
63%
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Besiktas vs Fenerbahce Predicted Starting Lineups

Below are the expected starting lineups for this basketball final. Final fives can still change close to tip off, especially because Besiktas are managing important rotation questions and Fenerbahce are likely to adjust after seeing both extremes in the first two games. Besiktas need stronger guard scoring and more physical control inside, while Fenerbahce will try to repeat the defensive pressure that decided Game 2.

Besiktas PlayerPositionFenerbahce PlayerPosition
DotsonGuardBaldwinGuard
MathewsGuardHorton TuckerGuard
ArslanForwardBiberovicForward
MorganForwardMelliForward
BirchCenterSanliCenter
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Besiktas vs Fenerbahce Match Prediction

This is a difficult game to price because the series has already shown two very different versions of the matchup. Besiktas won the opener with toughness and belief, then Fenerbahce responded by turning the second game into a defensive statement. On neutral quality, Fenerbahce still look like the better team. They have more creators, more size across the rotation and a higher ceiling when Baldwin and Biberovic get support.

Besiktas at home should be much more competitive than they were in Game 2. The crowd will help, and their first win in the series gives them a clear tactical reference. Still, scoring only 68 points last time is a concern. If Fenerbahce control the glass and keep Dotson away from easy passing angles, Besiktas may again struggle to reach the mid 80s. Looking at Besiktas vs Fenerbahce odds, fair odds make Fenerbahce the slight favorite. Our pick is Fenerbahce to win a tighter road game.

1.45
Result
Fenerbahce Win
69 Votes
78
1.42
Total Points
Under 169.5
56 Votes
61
1.95
Both teams to score 80
Yes
47 Votes
40
1.62
First quarter
Fenerbahce to win
39 Votes
68

You can place your bet on the match – Besiktas vs Fenerbahce at bc.game. Fenerbahce to win is the main angle, while Under 169.5 points also fits the recent H2H profile and the pressure of a finals game.

About the Author

Born in Chicago in 1985, Alex Thompson, a renowned betting expert, obtained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Michigan in 2011. From 2012 to 2018, he collaborated with several NBA teams, specializing in play pattern recognition and player efficiency evaluations. Thompson has contributed to 14 peer-reviewed papers, emphasizing the importance of transitional play and on-court decision-making. In 2019, he shifted his focus to journalism. Thompson currently writes analytical pieces on basketball and is a regular contributor to various sports platforms, employing his expertise to dissect game dynamics and player performance.

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