Benin vs Senegal (0:3): Africa Cup of Nations 30/12/2025

December 30, 2025
Status: Finished
0-3
Africa Cup of Nations
Benin
Senegal
match decor

The Benin vs Senegal clash takes place on 30 December 2025 at Stade Ibn Batouta in Tangier, Morocco, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 GMT+0. This decisive match concludes Group D in the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) 2025 group stage. Referee details remain unconfirmed at this stage, but expect a high-stakes encounter as both teams aim to secure their progression to the knockout rounds.

Benin, having secured their first-ever AFCON victory with a 1-0 win over Botswana, sit third in the group and need a positive result to boost their chances of advancing, potentially via third-place qualification. Senegal, the 2021 champions, top the group on four points after a 3-0 win over Botswana and a 1-1 draw with DR Congo. A victory here would confirm top spot and favorable knockout seeding.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

This Benin vs Senegal prediction today focuses on a contest where defensive solidity meets superior quality. Senegal’s dominance in recent H2H encounters and their strong form make them clear favorites, while Benin’s resilience offers value in low-scoring markets. Expect a tactical battle with limited goals, given Benin’s defensive streak and Senegal’s clean sheets in recent wins. Key factors include motivation, squad depth, and historical patterns favoring the Teranga Lions.

Benin Results

Benin have shown grit in their AFCON return, mixing solid defense with limited attacking output. Their recent performances highlight a team capable of frustrating opponents but struggling for consistency against elite sides.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
27.12.25AFCONBenin vs Botswana1-0W
23.12.25AFCONDR Congo vs Benin1-0L
18.11.25FriendlyBurkina Faso vs Benin3-0L
14.10.25WC Qual.Nigeria vs Benin4-0L
10.10.25WC Qual.Rwanda vs Benin0-1W

Benin have alternated wins and losses recently, securing a historic first AFCON victory against Botswana. Their defense has been compact, conceding just one goal in the tournament so far. However, attacking output remains low, with only two goals in five matches. This form suggests they can frustrate stronger sides but struggle to create chances against top opposition.

Senegal Results

Senegal remain unbeaten in the tournament, showcasing dominance and resilience. Their blend of experience and youth has produced consistent results, with clean sheets in multiple games.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
27.12.25AFCONSenegal vs DR Congo1-1D
23.12.25AFCONSenegal vs Botswana3-0W
18.11.25FriendlySenegal vs Kenya8-0W
15.11.25FriendlyBrazil vs Senegal2-0L
14.10.25WC Qual.Senegal vs Mauritania4-0W

Senegal have won four of their last five matches, conceding only three goals in that span. Their attack, led by Sadio Mané, remains potent, while the defense has been robust. This form positions them as favorites to extend their unbeaten run and secure group leadership.

Who will win Tuesday’s Africa Cup of Nations clash between Benin and Senegal?
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Benin
9%
Draw
20%
Senegal
71%
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Benin vs Senegal Head-to-Head

Senegal have dominated this fixture historically, with Benin failing to win since 1961.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
26.03.24FriendlySenegal vs Benin1-0
17.06.23AFCON Qual.Benin vs Senegal1-1
04.06.22AFCON Qual.Senegal vs Benin3-1
03.10.19WC Qual.Senegal vs Benin1-0
10.07.19AFCONSenegal vs Benin1-0

Senegal have won four of the last five meetings, with one draw. Three of these ended 1-0, highlighting low-scoring, tight affairs. The pattern favors Senegal’s defensive strength and ability to grind out results.

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Predicted Lineups for Benin vs Senegal

The following are the most likely starting lineups for the Benin vs Senegal match on 30 December 2025 in the Africa Cup of Nations group stage. These predictions are based on recent team selections, tactical preferences, and available squad information. Note that final lineups are subject to last-minute changes by the coaches.

Benin possible starting lineup:

Dandjinou (GK) Ouorou (DF) Verdon (DF) Tidjani (DF) Roche (DF) D’Almeida (MF) Dodo (MF) Imourane (MF) Tosin (MF) Olaitan (FW) Mounie (FW)

Benin predicted starting lineup – AFCON 2025 match against Senegal

Senegal possible starting lineup:

Mendy (GK) Jakobs (DF) Niakhate (DF) Koulibaly (DF) Diatta (DF) I. Ndiaye (MF) P. Gueye (MF) I. Gueye (MF) Mané (FW) Jackson (FW) I. Sarr (FW)

Senegal predicted starting lineup – AFCON 2025 match against Benin

Key Match Insights

Benin and Senegal approach this final group game with clear objectives. Here are the critical factors:

  • No fresh injury concerns for either side, with both squads at near full strength;
  • Benin’s historic first AFCON win against Botswana provides momentum, but they face a step up in opposition;
  • Senegal’s Sadio Mané has five goal involvements in four H2Hs against Benin (4 goals, 1 assist);
  • Benin have kept clean sheets in their last nine games without both teams scoring.
  • Senegal have five clean sheets in their last six wins;
  • Benin’s yellow cards all came in the second half, indicating late-game discipline issues;
  • Senegal committed 16+ fouls in each of their first two group games;
  • Tournament motivation: Senegal seek group-topping spot; Benin aim for third-place qualification;
  • Historical dominance: Senegal unbeaten in the last nine H2Hs.

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Free Tips on Benin vs Senegal

This section provides practical, match-specific betting tips based on the statistical patterns from Benin and Senegal’s recent form, head-to-head history, and key in-game trends. These insights are tailored to the Benin vs Senegal encounter on 30 December 2025 and focus on value opportunities rather than obvious favorites. Use these tips alongside your own research for smarter decisions.

  • Expect a low-scoring affair: Benin have not seen both teams score in any of their last nine matches, while Senegal have kept clean sheets in five of their last six wins. Combined with a tight H2H record (three 1-0 results in the last five meetings), under 2.5 goals offers strong value.
  • Senegal to win without conceding: The Teranga Lions have been dominant against Benin historically, winning four of the last five H2Hs with three clean sheets. Their current defensive record (only three goals conceded in five recent matches) makes a Senegal win to nil a solid option.
  • Focus on second-half discipline: All five of Benin’s yellow cards in the tournament have come after halftime, and Jodel Dossou has four of his five cautions in the second half. Senegal’s high foul count (16+ in both group games) could lead to late cards: consider second-half cards markets.
  • Look for Senegal to score first: Senegal have scored early in recent wins and possess superior attacking quality (Sadio Mané with five goal involvements vs Benin). Benin’s defensive setup often delays goals, making Senegal first goalscorer a reliable angle.
  • Avoid both teams to score: Benin’s last nine matches featured no BTTS, and Senegal have shut out opponents in most recent victories. The historical trend in this fixture (only one draw with both scoring in the last five) strongly supports BTTS No.

These tips highlight patterns that can help you find edges in the Benin vs Senegal betting markets. Always cross-check the latest team news and odds before placing wagers. Good luck!

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Benin vs Senegal Match Prediction 2025

Senegal hold a clear edge in quality, depth, and form, making them strong favorites. Their superior attack and defensive record suggest they will control proceedings, while Benin’s resilience may limit the scoreline. Expect Senegal to secure the win and top the group. Benin vs Senegal odds reflect this favoritism, with value in Senegal to win and under 2.5 goals given the low-scoring H2H trend.

Our Prediction: Benin 0-2 Senegal

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultSenegal Win1.3
Total GoalsUnder 2.5 Goals1.88
Both Teams to ScoreNo1.51

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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