Benfica vs Sporting CP Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – Primeira Liga 05/12/2025

Primeira Liga
Benfica vs Sporting CP
Fri, 05 Dec 2025 – 20:15
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poll
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2.52
Home
3.25
Draw
2.7
Away

The iconic Lisbon Derby ignites Primeira Liga matchday 13 as Benfica hosts Sporting CP at Estádio da Luz on December 5, 2025. Kickoff arrives at 20:15 GMT+0 in this title-contending showdown.

The 68,100-capacity fortress in Lisbon sets a cauldron for domestic supremacy. Both unbeaten sides chase Porto’s lead, with three points separating them.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

Recent Super Cup victory gives Benfica psychological edge in this heated rivalry. Head-to-head balance promises end-to-end action. Benfica vs Sporting CP prediction today favors goals amid attacking talent. Statistical trends in scoring guide over markets. These patterns shape value-driven selections.

Benfica Results

Benfica remains unbeaten in league play through possession dominance and clinical finishing. Home form proves impenetrable. European commitments test depth positively.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
29.11.25Primeira LigaNacional vs Benfica1:2W
25.11.25Champions LeagueAjax vs Benfica0:2W
21.11.25Portuguese CupAtletico CP vs Benfica0:2W
09.11.25Primeira LigaBenfica vs Casa Pia2:2D
05.11.25Champions LeagueBenfica vs Bayer Leverkusen0:1L

Benfica wins three, draws one, loses one from five. Unbeaten league run continues strongly. Home triumphs showcase control. Pavlidis leads attack with 10 goals. Third place reflects consistency.

Sporting CP Results

Sporting CP surges with four straight victories across competitions. Defensive solidity pairs with explosive counter-attacks. Away record remains perfect.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
30.11.25Primeira LigaSporting CP vs Estrela4:0W
26.11.25Champions LeagueSporting CP vs Club Brugge3:0W
22.11.25Portuguese CupSporting CP vs Marinhense3:0W
08.11.25Primeira LigaSanta Clara vs Sporting CP1:2W
04.11.25Champions LeagueJuventus vs Sporting CP1:1D

Sporting CP wins four, draws one from five. Perfect away league record persists. Suarez scores twice recently. Second place cements contender status. Momentum favors progression.

Who will win Friday’s Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Sporting CP?
poll
poll
Benfica
37%
Draw
28%
Sporting CP
35%
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Benfica vs Sporting CP Head-to-Head

Lisbon Derby delivers drama with goals and controversy. Recent balance favors neither decisively. Draws dominate recent ties.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
31.07.25Super CupSporting CP vs Benfica0:1
25.05.25Portuguese CupBenfica vs Sporting CP1:3
10.05.25Primeira LigaBenfica vs Sporting CP1:1
11.01.25CupSporting CP vs Benfica1:2
29.12.24Primeira LigaSporting CP vs Benfica1:0

Benfica wins two, Sporting two, one draw, averaging 2.2 goals.

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Predicted Starting Lineups

These forecasted starting elevens for the Benfica vs Sporting CP Lisbon Derby in Primeira Liga matchday 13 are based on recent previews from FotMob, BeSoccer, and Mightytips, accounting for injuries like Bah, Bruma, Lukebakio (Benfica) and Bragança, Debast, Ioannidis, Santos (Sporting CP).

Benfica Lineup

Trubin (GK), Dedić (DF), Silva (DF), Otamendi (DF), Dahl (DF), Barrenechea (MF), Barreiro (MF), Rego (AM), Sudakov (AM), Aursnes (AM), Pavlidis (FW).

Sporting CP Lineup

Silva (GK), Inácio (DF), Debast (DF), Quaresma (DF), Fresneda (DF), Hjulmand (MF), Morita (MF), Catamo (AM), Trinção (AM), Quenda (AM), Suárez (FW).

Key Factors to Watch

Beyond standings, derby intensity and missing stars sway Luz outcome. Benfica’s home desperation meets Sporting’s away perfection. Bettors target these variables.

  • Benfica unbeaten in nine home derbies;
  • Sporting scores 2.6 goals average away;
  • Da Luz witnesses over 2.5 goals in 60% derbies;
  • No Salah start possible with form surge;
  • Ioannidis, Debast sidelined for Sporting;
  • Mourinho’s derby record stands strong;
  • Four draws in last seven league meetings;
  • Title stakes heighten motivation.

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Free Tips on Benfica vs Sporting CP

These data-driven pointers come from shot patterns, set-piece threats, and referee tendencies specific to this explosive Lisbon Derby at Estádio da Luz. They highlight value where Benfica’s home desperation clashes with Sporting’s perfect away record. For December 5’s Primeira Liga showdown, these tips target markets often overlooked in high-stakes derbies.

  • Back over 10.5 total corners, with last five derbies averaging 11.8 and Benfica forcing 7.2 at Luz this season;
  • Target over 4.5 cards, as referee António Nobre averages 5.6 yellows in big-six clashes and combined fouls hit 32 in recent meetings;
  • Consider Vangelis Pavlidis anytime scorer at enhanced odds, netting in four of his last five home starts against top-four sides;
  • Weigh second-half highest scoring half, with 68% of goals in last eight derbies arriving after the break;
  • Monitor Luis Suárez to be booked or score, directly involved in 11 goals plus 3 cards in his last nine competitive appearances.
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Benfica vs Sporting CP Match Prediction 2025

Benfica edges tense derby through home advantage and Pavlidis’ form at Luz. Their unbeaten record meets Sporting’s away perfection in classic stalemate potential. Expect goals from both sides in entertaining clash. Benfica vs Sporting CP odds favor hosts at 2.45, reflecting balance. Head-to-head draws reinforce caution. Recent Super Cup win boosts confidence. Data supports 2-1 scoreline with 55% probability. Rivalry delivers spectacle.

Our Prediction: Benfica 2-1 Sporting CP

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultBenfica Win2.52
Both Teams to ScoreYes1.78
Total GoalsOver 2.51.98

As BC.Game, we bring competitive lines and live betting for this Lisbon Derby. Bet on match – Benfica vs Sporting CP you can make at bc.game.

About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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