With start set for 19:45, Belgium and Italy square battle on November 14, 2024 in a pivotal UEFA Nations League game at the King Baudouin Stadium in Brussels. Romanian referee Radu Petrescu will handle this pivotal League A game; both clubs have their sights on a positive outcome to raise their Group 2 standings. Fighting to save their League A classification, Belgium will visit an Italy squad needing just a draw to guarantee a quarter-final place in this tournament, where the stakes remain strong for both teams.
Aiming to halt their protracted run against Italy, which spans back to 1972 in competitive events, the host team will try to overcome its previous challenges as they approach this encounter. Italy has been in good form under Luciano Spalletti meantime; they enter the game as group leaders after an undefeated record in current Nations League cycle, therefore placing the Azzurri in a strong position to prolong their excellent run. We explore the main betting observations and what to anticipate in our Belgium vs Italy forecast today below.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
In preparation for this Belgium vs Italy prediction today, let’s break down recent performances and head-to-head history to set the stage. Belgium has struggled recently, managing just one win in their last six matches, while Italy comes in undefeated in this Nations League phase. Italy’s solid away form, combined with Belgium’s inconsistent home results, gives a unique perspective on their competitive strengths. The high stakes for both teams will likely bring out intense gameplay as Belgium aims to salvage their standing, while Italy’s focus remains on securing at least one point. This match has all the components of a tightly contested showdown in Brussels.
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Belgium Results
Belgium’s recent form has been inconsistent, with a mix of results across their last few games. Here is an overview of their latest performances:
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 14.10.24 | UNL | Belgium vs France | 1-2 | L |
| 10.10.24 | UNL | Italy vs Belgium | 2-2 | D |
| 09.09.24 | UNL | France vs Belgium | 2-0 | L |
| 06.09.24 | UNL | Belgium vs Israel | 3-1 | W |
| 01.07.24 | EUR | France vs Belgium | 1-0 | L |
Belgium’s recent record reflects a challenging stretch, including close losses to France and a resilient draw with Italy. Their only win came against Israel, highlighting inconsistencies in their campaign. The team has faced tough competition and struggled to maintain consistency, an aspect they must address as they aim to keep their League A position.
Italy Results
Italy has been on a strong run under Spalletti, going unbeaten in their Nations League matches. Here’s a summary of their recent games:
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 14.10.24 | UNL | Italy vs Israel | 4-1 | W |
| 10.10.24 | UNL | Italy vs Belgium | 2-2 | D |
| 09.09.24 | UNL | Israel vs Italy | 1-2 | W |
| 06.09.24 | UNL | France vs Italy | 1-3 | W |
| 29.06.24 | EUR | Switzerland vs Italy | 0-2 | W |
Italy’s record has been outstanding; they have four victories and one tie in their last five games. Their defence and assault have been in time, shown by a commanding triumph over Israel and a return success over France. Italy is a strong opponent approaching this game with tactical depth and a flexible team.
Belgium vs Italy Head-to-Head
Belgium and Italy have a well-documented history, with Italy holding the upper hand in recent encounters. Here’s how the last five matches between these two teams turned out:
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 10.10.24 | UNL | Italy vs Belgium | 2-2 |
| 10.10.21 | UNL | Italy vs Belgium | 2-1 |
| 02.07.21 | EUR | Belgium vs Italy | 1-2 |
| 13.06.16 | EUR | Belgium vs Italy | 0-2 |
| 13.11.15 | FI | Belgium vs Italy | 3-1 |
Italy has dominated in recent competitive games against Belgium, with the Belgians last securing a win in a friendly back in 2015. The Azzurri have taken control in UEFA competitions, demonstrating their edge in key matches.
Belgium Probable Lineup
Here is the predicted starting lineup for Belgium as they prepare to face Italy in this high-stakes UEFA Nations League encounter. This lineup is structured to capitalize on Belgium’s attacking capabilities, with Lukaku leading the line in the absence of Kevin De Bruyne.
Casteels (GK), Castagne (DF), Debast (DF), Faes (DF), Theate (DF), Mangala (MF), Onana (MF), Vermeeren (MF), Bakayoko (FW), Lukaku (FW), Trossard (FW)
Italy Probable Lineup
Italy’s expected lineup showcases a balanced approach, combining defensive solidity with midfield creativity and forward precision. Spalletti’s men will aim to maintain their unbeaten run in this Nations League campaign.
Donnarumma (GK), Di Lorenzo (DF), Buongiorno (DF), Bastoni (DF), Cambiaso (DF), Barella (MF), Locatelli (MF), Tonali (MF), Dimarco (MF), Raspadori (FW), Retegui (FW)
INJURED AND QUESTIONABLE PLAYERS
Injuries and other factors have impacted both squads, with key players from each team set to miss the match. Below is a list of confirmed absentees for Belgium and Italy.
| Belgium Player | Reason | Italy Player | Reason |
| Kevin De Bruyne | Injury | Gianluca Scamacca | Injury |
| Youri Tielemans | Injury | Giorgio Scalvini | Injury |
| Charles De Ketelaere | Injury | Riccardo Calafiori | Injury |
| Thomas Meunier | Injury | Samuele Ricci | Injury |
| Malick Fofana | Injury | Lorenzo Pellegrini | Dropped |
These absences could influence each team’s tactics, with both sides relying on other key players to fill in the gaps.
Key Points to Watch
Both teams enter this match with notable absences and form considerations. Here are some key factors likely to impact the outcome:
- Belgium Injuries: Key players like Kevin De Bruyne, Youri Tielemans, and Charles De Ketelaere are absent;
- Italy Injuries: Italy misses Scamacca and Scalvini, with substitutes like Locatelli stepping up;
- Belgium’s Form: Belgium has won just one of their last six matches, adding pressure on coach Domenico Tedesco;
- Italy’s Away Form: Italy has a strong away record, including wins against France and Israel;
- Head-to-Head Advantage: Italy has historically dominated, especially in competitive games;
- Belgium’s Defense: Belgium has struggled defensively, particularly against high-caliber teams;
- Tactical Approaches: Italy’s flexibility under Spalletti offers them a strategic advantage;
- Offensive Key Players: Lukaku’s form for Belgium and Retegui’s form for Italy will be critical in this game;
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Free Tips on Belgium vs Italy
To help you make informed decisions for the upcoming Belgium vs Italy match, we’ve compiled essential tips based on recent form, head-to-head statistics, and other influential factors. These insights are derived from careful analysis of each team’s current status, playing style, and the unique circumstances surrounding this UEFA Nations League fixture. Whether you’re looking at recent matchups or player performances, these tips will give you a solid foundation.
- Head-to-Head Advantage: Italy has a strong record against Belgium in recent years, with multiple wins in competitive settings. When analyzing this fixture, it’s worth considering Italy’s historical edge, which may give them a psychological advantage going into the game.
- Home vs. Away Performance: Belgium tends to perform better at home, while Italy has been reliable on the road during this Nations League cycle. The location of the match in Brussels could play a crucial role in Belgium’s approach and level of motivation.
- Injury Impact: Belgium will miss several key players due to injuries, including Kevin De Bruyne, which could hinder their midfield control and offensive creativity. Italy, on the other hand, is mostly intact, giving them a tactical edge in terms of lineup stability.
- Weather Conditions on Match Day: Weather in Brussels can impact gameplay, especially with rain or wind affecting ball control and speed. Both teams should be ready to adapt their styles depending on the pitch conditions, which may favor Italy’s adaptable playstyle.
- Recent Schedule and Fatigue: With a packed fixture list, Belgium may face fatigue issues, especially after recent intense matches against high-ranking teams. Italy has managed its squad well, potentially giving them more energy and resilience in the final stages of the game.
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Belgium vs Italy Match Prediction 2024
Given their great record and Belgium’s difficulties with consistency and injuries, considering all elements in our Belgium vs Italy odds preview, Italy seems more likely to have a good outcome. Still a tie as Belgium’s home-field advantage and need to win will probably improve their performance. Italy has the advantage in this game, however, from their defensive depth and game management.
Our Prediction: Belgium 1-2 Italy
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Italy Win | 2.75 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.7 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.95 |
You can place your bet on the Belgium vs Italy match on bc.game and enjoy the thrill as these two teams clash in a memorable UEFA Nations League showdown.
