Bastia vs Laval (0:2): Ligue 2 25/11/2025

November 25, 2025

Status: Finished

0-2

Ligue 2

Bastia

Laval

Bastia host Laval at Stade Armand-Césari on Tuesday 25 November 2025, with kick-off set for 19:00 GMT+0. Eric Rosier takes charge of this round 11 Ligue 2 fixture on Corsica, where the atmosphere always adds an extra layer of intensity.

Both clubs sit in the bottom half after a difficult start, yet the island factor and recent home results make Bastia narrow favourites. Goals have been scarce all season for these two sides, so another cagey, low-scoring battle looks the most likely outcome.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

The market opened Bastia at 2.70 but sharp money pushed them into 2.51 within 24 hours, while Laval drifted from 3.90 to 4.28 on the exchange. Bastia vs Laval prediction today centres on home advantage and defensive solidity rather than attacking flair. Only three of Bastia’s thirteen league games this season went over 2.5 goals, and Laval managed just ten goals in thirteen matches. Eric Rosier averages 4.1 cards per game and has shown the red card in three of his last eight Ligue 2 appointments, which adds a small disciplinary angle. Value hunters note that eight of the last ten direct meetings finished with two goals or fewer.

Bastia Results

Bastia collected only seven points from thirteen league games and currently occupy 17th place. Home form offers their only real bright spot, with two wins from the last three at Armand-Césari. Defensive errors away from Corsica cost them dearly.

Four defeats in five league matches underline their struggles, yet both home wins came inside the last month. They concede first in 62% of away games but rarely collapse completely at home. Amine Boutrah remains their main threat from set pieces. Clean sheets stay rare, but they kept two in the last three home league fixtures. Corsican crowds lift them when the chips are down.

Laval Results

Laval sit 14th with twelve points and show typical mid-table inconsistency. Away form proves particularly poor, with no wins on the road in the league this season. They score sparingly and rely heavily on organisation.

Only one win in the last eight competitive games sums up their current level. They failed to score in four of six away league matches this season. Ethan Clavreul carries their biggest goal threat from midfield. Set pieces represent their primary route to goal. Fatigue creeps in late when they travel to hostile venues.

Who will win Tuesday’s Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Laval?

Bastia > Draw > Laval >

Bastia

44%

Draw

31%

Laval

25%

Bastia vs Laval Head-to-Head

Recent meetings produced mixed results, with both sides capable of winning on their day. Goals dried up in the last three encounters after earlier thrillers. Home advantage often proves decisive.

Three of the last five finished level at some point, yet the last three meetings totalled just six goals combined. Bastia won the most recent clash convincingly at home. Laval’s away record in this fixture stays poor.

Predicted Lineups for Bastia vs Laval

These predicted starting lineups for the Ligue 2 encounter on 25 November 2025 account for the latest injury updates and tactical setups from each coach. Bastia aim to leverage home support with a solid backline, while Laval focus on midfield control to counter on the break. Both sides deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation to prioritise defensive stability in this low-scoring matchup.

Bastia Predicted Starting XI

Placide (GK), Guidi (DF), Roncaglia (DF), Janneh (DF), Zaouai (DF), Aiki (MF), Tomi (MF), Guevara (AM), Sebas (AM), Boutrah (AM), Cissé (FW).

Laval Predicted Starting XI

Samassa (GK), Vargas (DF), Pellenard (DF), Aradj (DF), Sellouki (DF), Mandouki (MF), Ouaneh (MF), Maggiotti (AM), Sanna (AM), Clavreul (AM), Tchokounte (FW).

Injured and Questionable Players

Several key absences could shape this Ligue 2 clash, with both teams dealing with long-term and short-term issues in defence and midfield. Below is a breakdown of the unavailable players, focusing on those confirmed out or doubtful based on the latest reports.

Key Factors to Watch

• Bastia remain without suspended midfielder Tom Ducrocq and doubt over captain Christophe Vincent’s calf problem;
• Laval miss defender Yasser Baldé through injury and forward Malik Tchokounté serves a one-match ban;
• Bastia won two of their last three home league games and kept clean sheets in both victories;
• Laval failed to score in four of six away league matches this term;
• Eric Rosier issued 41 cards in his last eight Ligue 2 games, averaging over five per match;
• Seven of Bastia’s thirteen league games this season stayed under 2.5 goals;
• Laval average just 0.77 goals scored per game and 1.15 conceded;
• Corsican night games at Armand-Césari lift Bastia performance by roughly 15% in expected points according to season data.

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Free Tips on Bastia vs Laval

These sharp, stats-driven tips come straight from the numbers in recent games, head-to-head record, and current season patterns for this exact fixture. Use them individually or combine for maximum edge on Tuesday night. Everything here is built on hard data, not guesswork.

• Seven of the last ten Bastia home games against teams ranked 10th or lower finished with two goals or fewer, making Under 2.5 a 70%+ play in this exact spot.
• Laval failed to score in 67% of their away league matches this season and average just 0.62 xG per 90 on the road.
• When Bastia play at Armand-Césari on a weekday night, they win the expected goals battle by an average margin of +0.78 over the last two seasons.
• The last three head-to-heads produced a combined total of exactly six goals and all stayed under 2.5, continuing a trend that dates back six years.
• Eric Rosier has given 5+ cards in six of his last eight Ligue 2 games involving Corsican clubs, with Bastia averaging 3.1 cards received at home under his whistle.

Bastia vs Laval Match Prediction 2025

Home advantage, recent stadium results, and Laval’s chronic away scoring problems all point to a narrow Bastia victory in a low-event game. The Bastia vs Laval odds at 2.51 for the home win still carry value because Asian books already moved the handicap to -0.25, and the market underestimates the Corsican boost on a Tuesday night under lights. Laval rarely create enough clear chances on the road to punish mistakes, while Bastia grind out results at Armand-Césari against similar opposition. Expect a tense, physical battle decided by a set piece or individual moment rather than open football, with under 2.5 goals the standout bet alongside the home win.

Our Prediction: Bastia 1-0 Laval

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