Azerbaijan faces a tough challenge as they host Ukraine in a Group D World Cup Qualifying match, desperate to snap their winless streak. Ukraine, eager to rebound from an opening loss, aims to capitalize on their stronger form to climb the group standings.
The match starts at 16:00 GMT+0 at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium in Baku, with 31,200 fans expected to create a lively atmosphere. Referee Vasilios Fotias from Greece will oversee this World Cup Qualifying group stage clash, where both teams have much to prove.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
To place smart bets on this matchup, you need to dive into recent results and historical clashes that reveal key trends. Azerbaijan vs Ukraine prediction today focuses on form and past encounters to uncover betting value. Azerbaijan’s struggles contrast with Ukraine’s mixed but more promising performances, like a team stuck in a rut versus one with bursts of quality. Head-to-head data adds another layer, showing Ukraine’s dominance. Let’s unpack the stats to guide your picks.
Azerbaijan Results
Azerbaijan’s campaign kicked off with a heavy defeat, and their ongoing winless run paints a grim picture. Under Fernando Santos, they’re battling to find any spark, like a boxer taking too many hits without landing a punch. Their home form offers little hope for an upset.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L/D |
| 05/09/2025 | WC | Iceland vs Azerbaijan | 5-0 | L |
| 10/06/2025 | FI | Azerbaijan vs Hungary | 1-2 | L |
| 07/06/2025 | FI | Latvia vs Azerbaijan | 0-0 | D |
| 25/03/2025 | FI | Azerbaijan vs Belarus | 0-2 | L |
| 22/03/2025 | FI | Azerbaijan vs Haiti | 0-3 | L |
Azerbaijan’s 5-0 loss to Iceland exposed their defensive frailties, conceding late in the first half and collapsing after the break. Their winless streak stretches to 11 games, with nine defeats, showing a team low on confidence. Home games haven’t helped, with five losses in six, including recent shutouts against Belarus and Haiti. Failing to score in six of seven matches highlights an impotent attack. This trend suggests they’ll struggle to hold Ukraine’s offense.
Ukraine Results
Ukraine’s qualifying opener ended in defeat, but their recent form shows flashes of quality that could trouble Azerbaijan. Sergiy Rebrov’s side has the firepower to exploit weak defenses, like a striker eyeing an open goal. Their away form, though inconsistent, offers promise.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L/D |
| 05/09/2025 | WC | Ukraine vs France | 0-2 | L |
| 11/06/2025 | FI | New Zealand vs Ukraine | 1-2 | W |
| 07/06/2025 | FI | Canada vs Ukraine | 4-2 | L |
| 23/03/2025 | UNL | Belgium vs Ukraine | 3-0 | L |
| 20/03/2025 | UNL | Ukraine vs Belgium | 3-1 | W |
Ukraine’s loss to France was a setback, but wins over New Zealand and Belgium show they can bounce back. Scoring at least two goals in three of their last four away games signals attacking intent. However, conceding 10 goals in four matches points to defensive leaks, much like a dam with cracks. Their mixed away record, with two wins and two losses, keeps them unpredictable. Still, their quality should overwhelm Azerbaijan’s fragile setup.
Azerbaijan vs Ukraine Head-to-Head
Historical clashes between these two lean heavily toward Ukraine, with Azerbaijan struggling to compete. Their last meeting in 2006 was a rout, though a later draw showed rare resilience from the hosts. It’s like a minnow facing a shark in these encounters.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 15/08/2006 | FI | Ukraine vs Azerbaijan | 6-0 |
| 28/02/2006 | FI | Azerbaijan vs Ukraine | 0-0 |
Ukraine’s 6-0 thrashing in 2006 highlights their dominance, while the 0-0 draw later that year is Azerbaijan’s only bright spot in this matchup.
Predicted Lineups for Azerbaijan vs Ukraine Football Match
As Azerbaijan and Ukraine prepare for their World Cup Qualifying clash on September 9, 2025, at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, the starting lineups will be crucial in shaping the outcome. These predicted elevens, based on recent team news and performances, offer a glimpse into how each manager might set up to gain the upper hand. It’s like seeing the tactical cards each coach is ready to play in this Group D battle.
Azerbaijan Predicted Lineup
Fernando Santos is likely to stick with a defensive setup, relying on Badalov and Mustafazada to hold the backline while hoping Emreli can spark the attack.
Mahammadaliev (GK), Badalov (DF), Mustafazada (DF), Dashdamirov (DF), Huseynov (DF), Abdullazada (DF), Makhmudov (MF), Ibrahimli (MF), Cafarquliyev (MF), Akhundzade (FW), Emreli (FW)
Ukraine Predicted Lineup
Sergiy Rebrov banks on Dovbyk’s goal-scoring threat, with Zinchenko and Sudakov pulling the strings to exploit Azerbaijan’s weak defense.
Trubin (GK), Konoplia (DF), Zabarnyi (DF), Matviyenko (DF), Zinchenko (DF), Kalyuzhnyi (MF), Yarmolyuk (MF), Sudakov (MF), Zubkov (FW), Dovbyk (FW), Hutsuliak (FW)
Key Factors to Watch
Before betting, focus on the elements that could tilt this qualifier. From Azerbaijan’s defensive woes to Ukraine’s attacking potential, these points shape the outcome, like pieces of a puzzle falling into place. Here’s what matters for this clash.
- Azerbaijan’s defense has conceded at least two goals in nine of their last 11 games;
- Ukraine’s Artem Dovbyk is a consistent goal threat, boosting their attack;
- Azerbaijan’s 11-game winless streak across competitions shows low morale;
- Ukraine hasn’t kept a clean sheet in eight matches, hinting at defensive issues;
- No major injuries reported for either side, keeping key players available;
- Azerbaijan’s home losses pile up, with four straight defeats at Tofiq Bahramov;
- Ukraine’s recent away wins over New Zealand and Belgium add confidence;
- No off-field scandals distract either team, keeping focus on the game.
Free Tips on Azerbaijan vs Ukraine
To sharpen your bets for the Azerbaijan vs Ukraine World Cup Qualifying match on September 9, 2025, dive into the stats and trends that highlight where the advantage lies. This list pulls from past performances and head-to-head data to guide your picks at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium. It’s like having a playbook to spot the winning angles in this Group D clash.
- Ukraine’s Historical Dominance: Ukraine crushed Azerbaijan 6-0 in their 2006 meeting, signaling a clear edge in past encounters;
- Azerbaijan’s Home Struggles: Five losses in their last six home games, including a 3-0 defeat to Haiti, show Baku isn’t a fortress;
- Ukraine’s Away Scoring Form: Scoring at least two goals in three of their last four away matches, Ukraine’s attack is potent on the road;
- Referee’s Style: Vasilios Fotias tends to keep games flowing with fewer stoppages, favoring bets on total goals over cards;
- Pitch Advantage for Ukraine: Tofiq Bahramov’s grass pitch suits Ukraine’s quick-passing game, potentially exposing Azerbaijan’s defensive gaps.
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Azerbaijan vs Ukraine Match Prediction 2025
Ukraine is likely to secure a 2-0 victory, capitalizing on Azerbaijan’s dismal form and defensive frailties. Azerbaijan’s 5-0 loss to Iceland and 11-game winless streak, including four consecutive home defeats, make them vulnerable, like a team stuck in quicksand. Ukraine, despite their loss to France, showed scoring prowess in recent away wins, with Dovbyk’s presence adding a sharp edge. Azerbaijan’s failure to score in six of seven games suggests they’ll struggle against Ukraine’s attack, led by Zubkov and Hutsuliak. Ukraine’s defensive leaks, conceding 10 in four, might give Azerbaijan hope, but the hosts’ lack of shots against Iceland points to a toothless offense. The 6-0 thrashing in their last head-to-head underlines Ukraine’s superiority, even if the 2006 draw shows Azerbaijan can occasionally frustrate. Azerbaijan vs Ukraine odds favor the visitors, with value in betting on a Ukraine win and under 2.5 goals, given Azerbaijan’s scoring drought. Ukraine’s mixed away form won’t derail them against a side this out of sorts, ensuring three points in Baku.
Our Prediction: Azerbaijan 0-2 Ukraine
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Ukraine Win | 1.51 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.82 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.92 |
Jump into the action with confidence, as this qualifier offers clear betting opportunities. Bet on match – Azerbaijan vs Ukraine you can make at bc.game.
