Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo (0:0): Brazil Copa do Brasil Quarter-finals 13/09/2024

Match prediction for the Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo game at Copa do Brasil 2024

On September 13, 2024, Atlético Mineiro and São Paulo will play in the Copa do Brasil quarterfinals in Belo Horizonte’s MRV Arena. Abatti Abel R. will officiate the match, which is scheduled to begin at 00:45 UTC. With both sides vying for a berth in the semi-finals, the game is crucial to the tournament, and the enthusiastic home fans will undoubtedly create an exciting environment.

Both sides will need to play at their very best in this tactical match between these two Brazilian titans. With a 1-0 victory in the away leg, Atlético Mineiro enters this encounter with momentum and a small edge. São Paulo, nevertheless, will be driven to overcome the deficit and carry on in the esteemed competition.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

This section will examine both teams’ performance in the run-up to this crucial match. Today’s prediction between Atlético Mineiro and São Paulo is based on a number of variables, such as team news, past head-to-head outcomes, and current performances. São Paulo will need to find consistency if they are to advance, but Atlético Mineiro’s strong form at home may give them the advantage. There won’t be much separating the two teams in this match, thus it will be hotly contested.

São Paulo has struggled for consistency, especially away from home, while Atlético Mineiro has won important games in their recent fixtures. Both teams have had inconsistent outcomes. You should anticipate a fiercely contested match because there is a lot on the line, including a spot in the Copa do Brasil semifinals.

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Atlético Mineiro Results

Despite having an inconsistent season, Atlético Mineiro appears to be rising just in time for their quarterfinal matchup. A rundown of their last five games is provided below:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
01.09.24SAGremio vs Atlético-MG2-3W
29.08.24COPSão Paulo vs Atlético-MG0-1W
25.08.24SAAtlético-MG vs Fluminense0-2L
21.08.24COPAtlético-MG vs San Lorenzo1-0W
17.08.24SAAtlético-MG vs Cuiaba1-1D

Atlético Mineiro’s recent results highlight their ability to win crucial matches, particularly their away victory against São Paulo in the first leg. However, their inconsistency in the league is concerning, as seen in their defeat to Fluminense. Despite this, they have proven themselves resilient in knockout competitions, especially at home.

São Paulo Results

São Paulo has experienced a turbulent run of form in recent weeks, with inconsistency being their primary issue. Below is a breakdown of their last five matches:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
01.09.24SAFluminense vs São Paulo2-0L
29.08.24COPSão Paulo vs Atlético-MG0-1L
25.08.24SASão Paulo vs Vitoria2-1W
22.08.24COPSão Paulo vs Nacional2-0W
18.08.24SAPalmeiras vs São Paulo2-1L

São Paulo has had difficulty travelling, as seen by their defeats to Palmeiras and Fluminense, which exposed their weaknesses on defence. Even if they have defeated Vitoria and Nacional at home, they have shown flashes of brilliance when playing away from home, which is still a big worry.

Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo Head-to-Head Results

In recent times, Atlético Mineiro and São Paulo have maintained a fierce rivalry, with Atlético Mineiro holding a tiny advantage in their most recent meetings. Here are their head-to-head records from the last five games:

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
29.08.24COPSão Paulo vs Atlético-MG0-1
12.07.24SAAtlético-MG vs São Paulo2-1
02.12.23SAAtlético-MG vs São Paulo2-1
06.08.23SASão Paulo vs Atlético-MG0-2
01.11.22SASão Paulo vs Atlético-MG2-2

Recent games between Atlético Mineiro and São Paulo have seen the former win four of the last five meetings. Their victory in this fixture has largely been attributed to their solid defensive performance and ability to take advantage of São Paulo’s errors.

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Atlético Mineiro Probable Lineup

When Atletico Mineiro plays São Paulo in the Copa do Brasil quarterfinal, it is anticipated that they will field a formidable lineup. Given the form of a few important players, Atlético will probably strive for a strong showing at home to guarantee their trip to the semi-finals.

Everson (GK), Renzo Saravia (DF), Battaglia (DF), Alonso (DF), Guilherme Arana (DF), Otavio (MF), Franco (MF), Gustavo Scarpa (MF), Bernard (MF), Hulk (FW), Paulinho (FW)

Predicted lineup for Atlético Mineiro in the Copa do Brasil 2024 match against São Paulo

São Paulo Probable Lineup

São Paulo will head into the match needing to overturn a 1-0 deficit from the first leg. Despite injuries, they are expected to put forth a competitive lineup to challenge Atlético Mineiro in this critical away fixture.

Rafael (GK), Rafinha (DF), Robert Arboleda (DF), Sabino (DF), Welington (DF), Luiz Gustavo (MF), Bobadilla (MF), Wellington Rato (MF), Lucas Moura (FW), Luciano (FW), Jonathan Calleri (FW)

Predicted lineup for São Paulo in the Copa do Brasil 2024 match against Atlético Mineiro

Players Who Will Not Play

A few important players are sidelined for Atlético Mineiro and São Paulo because of injuries and suspensions. The way both teams approach the game may be greatly impacted by these players’ absences.

Atlético Mineiro PlayerReasonSão Paulo PlayerReason
Igor RabelloInjuryRodrigo NestorSuspension
Alan KardecInjuryAlissonInjury
VargasSuspensionBeraldoInjury

These players are confirmed to be unavailable and their absence might force both teams to make tactical adjustments.

Key Match Insights

Several important factors could determine the outcome of this match. Here are the key insights you should consider:

  • Key injuries: São Paulo is missing several key players in defense, which could leave them vulnerable;
  • Atletico Mineiro has a home edge because they have a strong home record;
  • Recent results: São Paulo has struggled away from home, while Atlético Mineiro has won three of their previous five games;
  • Dominance in head-to-head matches: In the last four meetings between the teams, Atlético Mineiro has prevailed;
  • São Paulo’s shortcomings on defence: in their last three away games, they have given up six goals;
  • Attacking potential of Atletico Mineiro: In their most recent game against Gremio, they scored three goals;
  • Factor motivating: Qualifying for the Copa do Brasil semifinals increases pressure and drive;
  • Tactical adjustments: Both teams will need to make key tactical changes following the first leg result.
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Free Tips on Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo

When analyzing the upcoming quarter-final match between Atlético Mineiro and São Paulo in the Copa do Brasil, it’s essential to consider various statistical and tactical elements. These aspects will help you gain a better understanding of the teams’ current form, their head-to-head dynamics, and other factors that could influence the outcome. Below, we offer several tips based on recent team performances, key player availability, and tactical setups.

  • Team Form: Atlético Mineiro has shown strong form at home, winning crucial matches in recent weeks. Meanwhile, São Paulo has struggled on the road, particularly in key games against higher-ranked opponents. This could give Atlético Mineiro a significant edge in this high-stakes encounter.
  • Head-to-Head Record: Historically, Atlético Mineiro has had the upper hand in this fixture, winning four of the last five encounters. This dominance in direct meetings suggests that they might have a psychological advantage heading into the match.
  • Injuries & Suspensions: São Paulo’s defensive lineup has been weakened due to key injuries, which could leave gaps for Atlético Mineiro’s attackers to exploit. Keeping track of the final team news before placing a bet is crucial to understanding how this will impact São Paulo’s ability to hold off their opponents.
  • Home vs. Away Performance: Atlético Mineiro has been formidable at home, while São Paulo’s away form has been inconsistent, with several losses in recent away matches. The home advantage for Atlético Mineiro could play a pivotal role in this match.
  • Team Motivation: With a spot in the semi-finals of the Copa do Brasil at stake, both teams will be highly motivated. However, Atlético Mineiro, with the advantage of the first-leg victory, will be looking to secure their progression with confidence, while São Paulo faces the pressure of needing to overturn the deficit.

These tips are tailored to help you make a more informed decision when placing your bets on this match.

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Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo Match Prediction 2024

Given the factors outlined, the Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo odds slightly favor Atlético Mineiro due to their home advantage and recent dominance in head-to-head clashes. São Paulo will need to show significant improvement, particularly in defense, if they hope to overturn the 1-0 deficit. Based on current form, injuries, and tactical setups, Atlético Mineiro is expected to secure a place in the semi-finals with another narrow victory.

Our Prediction: Atlético Mineiro 2-1 São Paulo

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultAtlético Mineiro to win2.2
Total GoalsOver 2.5 Goals2.6
Both Teams to ScoreYes2.25

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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