Atletico Mineiro vs River Plate Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – Copa Libertadores Semi-finals 23/10/2024

Match prediction for the Atletico Mineiro vs River Plate game at Copa Libertadores 2024.

Set to take place on October 23, 2024 at the MRV Arena in Belo Horizonte, Brazil, the much awaited first leg of the 2024 Copa Libertadores semi-finals between Atletico Mineiro and River Plate is between Jose Valenzuela from Venezuela will be assigned as the match referee and the game starts at 00:30 local time. Given both sides have shown themselves to be strong contenders all through the tournament, this battle seems to be an exciting meeting. While River Plate offers their undefeated tournament record, Atletico Mineiro will depend on their home advantage.

Fans should expect a fierce fight for a place in the final when the South American football powers square off in the semi-finals. While River Plate shows great performance, particularly in away games, Atletico Mineiro arrives to the game with a perfect home record in this year’s Libertadores. The historical background of these teams convening at this level lends even more mystery to what will definitely be an amazing competition.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

Considering the current form of both teams and their head-to-strength record is absolutely vital for anyone wishing to make an informed Atletico Mineiro against River Plate prediction today. With strong home performances as a highlight, Atletico Mineiro arrives to the game undefeated in their last five outings across all competitions. River Plate has had some fluctuation in their local league, but they have been perfect in the Libertadores this year.

In past major Copa Libertadores matches, the two teams have squared off; Atletico Mineiro had the upper hand in their most recent matchups. Home advantage will be very important since River Plate has been known to shine in away semi-finals while Mineiro has not lost a single home game in the tournament this season.

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Atletico Mineiro Recent Results

Atletico Mineiro has shown resilience in recent matches, both in the Copa Libertadores and domestic competitions. Below is a table summarizing their last five matches:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
19.10.2024Copa do BrasilVasco vs Atletico-MG1-1D
17.10.2024Serie AFortaleza vs Atletico-MG1-1D
09.10.2024Serie AAtletico-MG vs Gremio2-1W
05.10.2024Serie AAtletico-MG vs Vitoria2-2D
02.10.2024Copa do BrasilAtletico-MG vs Vasco2-1W

Although Atletico Mineiro has been challenging to surpass, they have also suffered a few ties even though they have secured important home triumphs. Their defense has been really good, especially in the Copa do Brasil and Libertadores where they have regularly reduced goals lost. Once more in the forthcoming semi-final against River Plate, the club will be trying to take most of their home advantage.

River Plate Recent Results

River Plate has faced a challenging few weeks, with mixed results in their domestic league but maintaining solid performances in the Libertadores. Here are their last five results:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
19.10.2024Liga ProfesionalRiver Plate vs Velez Sarsfield1-1D
06.10.2024Liga ProfesionalPlatense vs River Plate0-0D
29.09.2024Liga ProfesionalRiver Plate vs Talleres Cordoba0-1L
25.09.2024Copa LibertadoresRiver Plate vs Colo-Colo1-0W
21.09.2024Liga ProfesionalBoca Juniors vs River Plate0-1W

With just one victory in their past five, River Plate’s current form reveals a difficulty to find consistency in their home games. Still a powerful side, nevertheless, they are undefeated and defensively strong in the Copa Libertadores. Their most recent 1-0 victory over Colo-Colo shows their capacity to produce vital results when it counts most.

Atletico Mineiro vs River Plate Head-to-Head Matches

Here’s a summary of the last five head-to-head encounters between Atletico Mineiro and River Plate:

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
19.08.2021Copa LibertadoresAtletico-MG vs River Plate3-0
12.08.2021Copa LibertadoresRiver Plate vs Atletico-MG0-1
08.10.2019FriendlyAtletico-MG vs River Plate2-1
24.05.2018Copa LibertadoresRiver Plate vs Atletico-MG2-0
11.04.2018Copa LibertadoresAtletico-MG vs River Plate1-1

Atletico Mineiro has had the upper hand in recent clashes, winning their last two encounters in the 2021 Copa Libertadores. River Plate will be aiming to reverse this trend, but Atletico’s strong home record will be a tough hurdle for the Argentine side to overcome.

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Atletico Mineiro Probable Lineup

Atletico Mineiro is expected to field a strong lineup for their crucial semi-final match against River Plate. With a solid defensive setup and a potent attack led by key players, this probable lineup will aim to maintain their impressive home record in the Copa Libertadores.


Everson (GK), Lyanco (DF), Battaglia (DF), Alonso (DF), Scarpa (MF), Franco (MF), Vera (MF), Arana (MF), Bernard (FW), Deyverson (FW), Hulk (FW)

Predicted lineup for Atletico Mineiro in the Copa Libertadores 2024 semi-final match.

River Plate Probable Lineup

River Plate, known for their attacking prowess and tactical flexibility, is likely to field a balanced lineup. Despite some injuries, they will look to maintain their unbeaten run in the tournament and secure a favorable result in this semi-final first leg.


Armani (GK), Bustos (DF), Pezzella (DF), Gonzalez Pirez (DF), Acuna (DF), Lanzini (MF), Bareiro (MF), Fernandez (MF), Meza (FW), Borja (FW), Colidio (FW)

Predicted lineup for River Plate in the Copa Libertadores 2024 semi-final match.

Injured and Questionable Players

The course of each football game is much shaped by injuries and player availability. The players listed below are either confirmed to be injured or dubious for the forthcoming game between Atletico Mineiro and River Plate. The main omissions that might affect tactical decisions and team performance are given here in a summary.

TeamPlayerInjury/IssueStatus
Atletico MineiroMatias ZarachoHerniaOut
Atletico MineiroBernardKnee InjuryDoubtful
Atletico MineiroCaduKnee InjuryDoubtful
River PlatePity MartinezACL InjuryOut
River PlateRodrigo AliendroShoulder InjuryDoubtful
River PlateAgustin Sant’AnnaKnee InjuryOut

These absences could significantly impact team strategies, especially with key players like Zaracho and Martinez unavailable, potentially shifting the balance of power in the match.

Key Factors to Watch

When evaluating this Atletico Mineiro vs River Plate prediction 2024, here are several key aspects to consider:

  • Atletico Mineiro is unbeaten in their last five matches and has a perfect home record in the Libertadores this season;
  • River Plate has struggled domestically but remains unbeaten in the 2024 Copa Libertadores;
  • Atletico Mineiro has won three of their last four meetings against River Plate in the Libertadores;
  • River Plate has won crucial away semi-final matches in the past, including a 2-0 win over Palmeiras in 2020;
  • Key players missing: Matias Zaracho for Atletico due to injury; River Plate could be without Pity Martinez (ACL injury);
  • Atletico Mineiro’s goalkeeper Everson kept a clean sheet in their last home Libertadores match;
  • River Plate has not trailed at any point in the 2024 Libertadores;
  • Atletico Mineiro’s Deyverson scored a brace in their quarter-final second-leg match against Fluminense.
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Free Tips on Atletico Mineiro vs River Plate

Examining the forthcoming semi-final match between Atletico Mineiro and River Plate requires more investigation of the statistics, team performance, and particular elements influencing the result. Based on past performance and present circumstances, this list offers some important insights that will enable you to bet on this thrilling Copa Libertadores more sensibly. By focusing on team performances, player form, and tactical nuances, these tips can give you a clearer perspective.

  • Team Form and Winning Streaks: Atletico Mineiro has been in solid form recently, especially at home, while River Plate has struggled to find consistency in their domestic matches. Teams in better form often carry more confidence into crucial matches like this one.
  • Head-to-Head Performance: Atletico Mineiro has won three of their last four encounters with River Plate, including the two most recent Copa Libertadores meetings. Historical dominance can be a significant indicator of which team might have the psychological edge.
  • Home vs. Away Performance: Atletico Mineiro remains undefeated at home in the 2024 Libertadores, while River Plate has shown their strength in away semi-final matches. However, this might tilt the advantage slightly toward Mineiro given their home advantage and passionate crowd at the MRV Arena.
  • Managerial Strategy and Tactical Play: Atletico Mineiro’s attacking strategy, combined with River Plate’s more balanced but sometimes defensive approach, suggests we might see a tightly contested match. Understanding how these teams’ styles of play match up can provide insights into the number of goals or potential outcomes.
  • Recent Player Performances: Players in top form, like Deyverson for Atletico Mineiro, could be key factors in this match. On the other hand, River Plate has key injuries to consider, such as Pity Martinez, which might weaken their attacking options.

Each of these tips can help guide your betting strategy as you approach this crucial semi-final match.

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Atletico Mineiro vs River Plate Match Prediction 2024

All things considered, this looks to be a fiercely contested game in which both sides bring great qualities. Given their performance at the MRV Arena this season, Atletico Mineiro’s home advantage and strong form in the Libertadores make them somewhat favorites. The prediction is complicated by River Plate’s undefeated run in the tournament and capacity to perform in away semi-finals; but, their recent domestic performance raises questions. A limited victory for Atletico Mineiro looks most likely in this Atletico Mineiro against River Plate prediction.

Our Prediction: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 River Plate

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultAtletico Mineiro to Win2.36
Both Teams to ScoreYes2.35
Total GoalsOver 2.5 Goals2.8

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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