On Sunday, August 17, 2025, at 19:00 GMT, Atletico Mineiro will play Gremio at MRV Arena in Belo Horizonte. This is the 20th round of the Serie A Betano. The stadium can hold 47,465 people, and a lot of people are expected to show out for this important football game. Gomes Stefano A. from Brazil is the referee for the game.
This game is very vital for both teams. Atletico Mineiro wants to keep their home advantage, while Gremio is desperate to halt a bad streak of road games. Because both clubs are in different forms, this game could be important for their momentum in the current football season.
BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS
The Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio prediction today is built on contrasting trends. At home, Atlético has been strong, winning all of their recent Serie A games at MRV Arena. Gremio, on the other hand, has had a hard time winning games away from home, losing their last four league games on the road. This game has been competitive in the past, but Atlético has the upper hand right now because they are on a roll. Expect a close fight, although Atletico Mineiro will probably be in charge of things.
Atletico Mineiro Results
Atletico Mineiro has been playing well at home but not so well away from home. Their recent run demonstrates that they are tough, especially in European contests. They have been hard to beat in Belo Horizonte, which makes them more likely to win this game.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 15.08.25 | Copa Sudamericana | Atlético-MG vs Godoy Cruz | 2-1 | W |
| 10.08.25 | Serie A | Vasco vs Atlético-MG | 1-1 | D |
| 07.08.25 | Copa Sudamericana | Atlético-MG vs Flamengo RJ | 0-1 (pen. 4-3) | L/W |
| 04.08.25 | Serie A | Atlético-MG vs Bragantino | 2-1 | W |
| 01.08.25 | Copa Sudamericana | Flamengo RJ vs Atlético-MG | 0-1 | W |
Atletico Mineiro have shown strength in knockout competitions, eliminating Flamengo with an away victory. Their home form remains reliable, with two recent wins in Belo Horizonte. However, inconsistency is evident with mixed results across tournaments. The team has scored in nearly every game, showing attacking depth. Their balance between defense and attack makes them a dangerous opponent.
Gremio Results
Gremio’s form is worrisome, especially since they can’t get success away from Porto Alegre. Their weak defense and lack of offensive production have cost them important points in Serie A.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 11.08.25 | Serie A | Gremio vs Sport Recife | 0-1 | L |
| 03.08.25 | Serie A | Fluminense vs Gremio | 1-0 | L |
| 30.07.25 | Serie A | Gremio vs Fortaleza | 2-1 | W |
| 27.07.25 | Serie A | Palmeiras vs Gremio | 1-0 | L |
| 24.07.25 | Copa Sudamericana | Gremio vs Alianza Lima | 1-1 | D |
Gremio has lost three of their previous five games, giving up critical goals at bad times. The only time they won was at home against Fortaleza. The road games are especially worrying because they lost two in a row against Fluminense and Palmeiras. The fact that they aren’t consistent shows how hard it is for them to gain momentum. Their problems on offense also show how much pressure is on the defense.
Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio Head-to-Head
Atletico Mineiro and Gremio share a competitive history, with neither side dominating over the last few years. Goals are often guaranteed, with many of their recent encounters producing high-scoring results.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 29.03.25 | Serie A | Gremio vs Atlético-MG | 2-1 |
| 10.10.24 | Serie A | Atlético-MG vs Gremio | 2-1 |
| 01.09.24 | Serie A | Gremio vs Atlético-MG | 2-3 |
| 26.11.23 | Serie A | Atlético-MG vs Gremio | 3-0 |
| 23.07.23 | Serie A | Gremio vs Atlético-MG | 1-0 |
The history of head-to-head matches indicates that both teams have won and lost. Atletico Mineiro has been better at home, where they have scored a lot in recent games. But Gremio was able to beat Atlético earlier this season. The games tend to be open, which means there could be more than one goal again.
Predicted lineups for Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio football match
Here are the expected lineups for both teams based on current squad news and available players.
Atletico Mineiro (4-3-3): Everson (GK), Natanael (DF), Lyanco (DF), Alonso (DF), Guilherme Arana (DF), Gabriel Menino (MF), Franco (MF), Gustavo Scarpa (MF), Hulk (FW), Rony (FW), Cuello (FW)
Gremio (4-3-3): Tiago Volpi (GK), Camilo Reijers (DF), Wagner Leonardo (DF), Walter Kannemann (DF), Marlon (DF), Dodi (MF), Villasanti (MF), Freitas dos Santos R. (MF), Alysson (FW), Olivera (FW), Carlos Vinicius (FW)
Unavailable players
Several key absences could influence the outcome of this match. Atletico Mineiro will miss Cadu, Caio Maia, Renzo Saravia and Fausto Vera due to injuries. Gremio face a longer list, including André Henrique, Gustavo Martins, João Lucas, Miguel Monsalve, João Pedro, Rodrigo Ely and others with various muscle, ankle and knee injuries.
The absence of key defenders for Gremio weakens their backline further. Atletico Mineiro’s injuries are concentrated in midfield, but they still retain offensive firepower. Gremio’s attacking options are reduced, which could make them more predictable. These absences create an imbalance that favors Atlético.
Key Factors to Watch Before Betting
Before placing a bet on this match, it is important to note the following aspects:
- This season, Atletico Mineiro has not lost a home game in Serie A;
- Gremio has lost their last four away league games;
- Gremio has given up 24 goals, making them one of the weakest defenses in Serie A;
- Atletico Mineiro recently knocked Flamengo out of the Copa Sudamericana;
- Gremio has only scored 16 goals this season, making them the fourth-lowest attack in the league;
- Conflicts between Gremio’s coach and players hurt their morale;
- Hulk keeps scoring important goals for Atletico Mineiro, but Gremio has trouble beating opponents that play well at home.
Free Tips on Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio
Based on form, statistics, and the tactical situation, here are some more in-depth betting tips for this match:
- Home Advantage: Atletico Mineiro has not lost at home all season, which makes them the clear favorites, especially because Gremio has had trouble playing away;
- Gremio’s defense is unstable: They are likely to give up goals because they are missing several players and already have one of the weakest backlines in the league;
- Hulk’s Impact: The seasoned striker has always been important, and his ability to score under duress might change the outcome;
- Motivational Edge: Atletico Mineiro is feeling better after moving on in continental competition, while Gremio is in the middle of a crisis at home;
- In the last five head-to-head games, there were a lot of goals, which means that markets like “over 2.5 goals” or “both teams to score” would be worth looking into.
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Match Prediction 2025: Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio
The Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio odds clearly point towards the home team, reflecting both form and statistical patterns. Atlético has been strong at MRV Arena, with a sturdy defense and reliable attacking play from Hulk and Cuello. Gremio, on the other hand, has bad away form, problems with their defense, and a long list of players who won’t be there, which makes them much less competitive. The balance of quality, confidence, and momentum is in favor of Atletico Mineiro. The home team will set the tempo of the game, take advantage of Gremio’s mistakes, and win a big game to keep their great Serie A season going.
Our Prediction: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Gremio
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Winner | Atletico Mineiro | 1.73 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.74 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.69 |
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