Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – UEFA Champions League 12/03/2025

UEFA Champions League
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid
Wed, 12 March 2025 – 20:00
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2.52
Home
3.55
Draw
2.68
Away

On March 12, 2025, at the Wanda Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid, Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid are set to square off the much awaited UEFA Champions League round of sixteen match. Following the first leg, Real Madrid won 2-1 at home, thereby gaining a little edge. Atletico will have to turn the deficit in front of their home supporters, so the second leg seems to be an exciting challenge. Antonio Mateu Lahoz officiating the game, the match is scheduled to commence at 20:00 GMT+0. The choice of which of these two Spanish giants advances to the quarterfinals will depend much on their interaction.

After the first leg Real Madrid has a tiny advantage, Atletico Madrid will have to fight hard for a win possibly with a multi-goal triumph to ensure their position in the next round. The defensive system of Real Madrid will be tested since Atletico will most certainly be aggressive from the first whistle. Given everything on the line, this Champions League match will probably be a tactical struggle as both sides want to control possession and seize opportunities.

Current UEFA Champions League Standings for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid March 12, 2025

The present standings in UEFA Champions League are crucial in determining the stakes of the game as Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid get ready for this much awaited meeting. While Real Madrid wants to confirm their top position, Atletico will be trying to catch up to their local rivals. These are the clubs’ league standings before this pivotal clash.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

The forecast for this much awaited game, Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid, today points to a close-knit and fierce clash. While Real Madrid will be trying to hang onto their slight edge, Atletico Madrid has shown to be resilient especially at home. The betting recommendations for Atletico Madrid against Real Madrid suggest to both teams having a defensive attitude; Real Madrid might use counterattacks but otherwise. Given the match’s stakes, initially take a cautious strategy but keep both sides able of explosive attacking capability. Today’s Atletico Madrid versus Real Madrid forecast mostly relies on Atletico’s capacity to attack set pieces and undermine the Madrid defence.

Atletico Madrid Results

With great prediction in La Liga and the Champions League, Atletico Madrid has been running often recently. Especially at home, their defensive solidity and ability to score vital goals in pivotal events make them challenging opponent. If they wish to progress in the Champions League, though, their previous performances have exposed a propensity to struggle against elite clubs, which will have to be changed.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
05/03/2025La LigaAtletico Madrid vs Villarreal2-0W
28/02/2025UEFA Champions LeagueAtletico Madrid vs Real Madrid1-2L
24/02/2025La LigaAtletico Madrid vs Sevilla3-1W
17/02/2025La LigaAtletico Madrid vs Getafe2-1W
10/02/2025La LigaAtletico Madrid vs Valencia1-1D

Having won three of the past five games, Atletico Madrid’s current form indicates that the team is in fair shape. Their defensive performance has been consistent; their attacking ability has been rising gradually. But the loss to Real Madrid in the first leg was a shock, thus they now have to concentrate on overcoming that obstacle. The team has especially displayed tenacity against lower-tier clubs but has suffered in high-stakes situations.

Real Madrid Results

Currently in terrific condition overall, Real Madrid will be trying to defend their slender lead from the first leg. Leading by Karim Benzema, the team’s attacking power and strong defense anchored by Thibaut Courtois provide them a clear advantage. Having the expertise required in major events, the Real Madrid team will be sure going into this second leg.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
05/03/2025La LigaReal Madrid vs Granada4-0W
28/02/2025UEFA Champions LeagueReal Madrid vs Atletico Madrid2-1W
24/02/2025La LigaReal Madrid vs Real Sociedad3-0W
17/02/2025La LigaReal Madrid vs Celta Vigo2-1W
10/02/2025La LigaReal Madrid vs Espanyol1-0W

With five wins in their past five games across all divisions, Real Madrid’s current performance exhibits supremacy. Though Thibaut Courtois gives the squad a strong defensive basis, its attacking line-up which includes Karim Benzema and Vinicius Jr. keeps shining. They are thus a formidable opponent in the second leg of the tie since they will probably keep their eye on counterattacking and game management.

Who will win Wednesday’s UEFA Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid?
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Atletico Madrid
45%
Draw
15%
Real Madrid
40%
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Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head

Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid have had closely contested recent meetings whereby both sides have shared losses and victories. Real Madrid has an advantage since they have lately outperformed Atletico Madrid, although Atletico has always been difficult to defeat at home. Determining who will advance to the UEFA Champions League’s quarterfinals will rely mostly on this game.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
28/02/2025UEFA Champions LeagueReal Madrid vs Atletico Madrid2-1
15/12/2024La LigaReal Madrid vs Atletico Madrid3-1
12/09/2024La LigaAtletico Madrid vs Real Madrid1-1
02/05/2024La LigaAtletico Madrid vs Real Madrid0-0
08/01/2024La LigaReal Madrid vs Atletico Madrid2-0

With three wins in the past five meetings, Real Madrid has the better head-to-head record. With a tie and a limited loss, Atletico Madrid has been able to keep things under control though. The games have been tough, hence Atletico will want to leverage their home advantage to change things.

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Atletico Madrid Possible Starting Lineup:

Formation: 4-4-2

  • Goalkeeper: Jan Oblak
  • Defenders: Nahuel Molina, Jose Maria Gimenez, Axel Disasi, Javi Galan
  • Midfielders: Rodrigo De Paul, Marcos Llorente, Antoine Griezmann, Samuel Lino
  • Forwards: Alvaro Morata, Joao Felix
Atletico Madrid possible starting lineup for the match against Real Madrid

Real Madrid Possible Starting Lineup:

Formation: 4-3-3

  • Goalkeeper: Thibaut Courtois
  • Defenders: Dani Carvajal, Antonio Rudiger, David Alaba, Ferland Mendy
  • Midfielders: Aurelien Tchouameni, Eduardo Camavinga, Jude Bellingham
  • Forwards: Rodrygo Goes, Vinicius Jr., Karim Benzema
Real Madrid possible starting lineup for the match against Atletico Madrid

Injured and Questionable Players

Injuries and suspensions always play a crucial role in shaping the outcome of matches, especially when high-profile players are involved. Here’s a list of the players who may be unavailable for Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid for this second leg of the Champions League.

TeamPlayerInjury
Atletico MadridStefan SavicHamstring injury
Atletico MadridKokeKnee injury
Real MadridFerland MendyCalf injury
Real MadridEder MilitaoKnee injury
Real MadridDani CarvajalSuspension (yellow cards)

Both teams have notable absences, especially in defense. Atletico will miss Stefan Savic and Koke, while Real Madrid will have to cope without Dani Carvajal due to suspension and Eder Militao who is still recovering from a knee injury.

Key Points to Consider

Ahead of the Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid clash, there are several key factors to consider:

  • Atletico’s home advantage: Atletico has been strong at Wanda Metropolitano;
  • Real Madrid’s counterattacking strength: Real Madrid excels in quick transitions and exploiting spaces;
  • Karim Benzema’s form: The Real Madrid striker has been in excellent form recently;
  • Thibaut Courtois’ solid defense: The Belgian goalkeeper continues to be a key figure;
  • Injuries: Both teams have some key players missing, which could influence the match;
  • Set-piece opportunities: Atletico is known for being dangerous on set-pieces;
  • Tactical approach: Atletico will likely press high, while Real Madrid will look to counter;
  • Recent form: Both teams are in good form, making this a tough contest.

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Free Tips on Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid

Examining the second leg of the UEFA Champions League between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid requires one to take important statistical observations and elements influencing the result of the game into account. Examining current team performance, past performance, player conditions, and outside variables like weather helps us to better forecast what might happen on matchday. These few pointers should assist you in guiding your forecasts and betting choices for this much awaited game.

  • Home Advantage for Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid has been a formidable force at Wanda Metropolitano, where their passionate fanbase and tactical approach often give them the edge. In their last 10 Champions League matches at home, Atletico has secured 6 wins and 2 draws, proving their strength in familiar surroundings. Real Madrid, though experienced in high-pressure away games, could struggle with the hostile atmosphere and pressure to defend their narrow lead.
  • Fatigue from Recent Schedule Both teams are involved in a packed fixture schedule, but Real Madrid may be more vulnerable to fatigue. Atletico Madrid has fewer mid-week commitments compared to Real Madrid, who have been fighting on multiple fronts in La Liga and the Champions League. With this in mind, Atletico’s fresher legs could be crucial, especially in the later stages of the game.
  • Head-to-Head: Real Madrid’s Recent Dominance Historically, Real Madrid has had the upper hand in recent encounters against Atletico, winning 3 of the last 5 meetings. This trend could provide a psychological boost to Carlo Ancelotti’s squad, as they’ve consistently managed to perform well under pressure in such matches. However, Atletico’s resilience at home is undeniable, so Real Madrid must remain vigilant throughout the match to avoid any surprises.
  • Player Form: Key Performers to Watch Karim Benzema has been a standout performer for Real Madrid, scoring in most of their recent matches. His clinical finishing could be the difference in a tight game, especially in a match where Atletico will likely push high for goals. For Atletico, Antoine Griezmann and Joao Felix will need to be at their best to break down the defensive setup of Real Madrid and capitalize on any defensive lapses.

By considering these factors, you’ll have a clearer picture of what to expect during this exciting second-leg encounter between two Madrid giants.

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Match Prediction: Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid

Although Atletico Madrid has the means to turn around their deficit at home, the odds for this game point to Real Madrid as the minor favourite. Although Real Madrid has a small edge, Atletico Madrid’s home supporters and fighting attitude could prove to be vital in the highly fierce tactical struggle. Atletico Madrid is predicted to win 2-1, which would bring the game into extra time. Current odds for Atletico Madrid against Real Madrid show this close fight.

Our Prediction: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Full-time resultAtletico Madrid to win2.52
Total GoalsOver 2.5 goals1.66
Both teams to scoreYes1.53

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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