The highly anticipated second leg of the Copa Betano do Brasil Round of 16 clash between Athletico-PR and São Paulo is set to ignite the Ligga Arena in Curitiba. With São Paulo holding a narrow 2-1 advantage from the first leg, this match promises intense drama as both teams vie for a spot in the quarterfinals.
Kick-off is scheduled for 22:30 GMT+0 on August 6, 2025, at the Ligga Arena, which has a capacity of 42,372. The referee for this match has not been officially confirmed, but the high stakes of this Copa Betano do Brasil knockout stage encounter ensure a tightly officiated game, with both teams needing to balance aggression and discipline.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
To craft an informed Athletico-PR vs São Paulo prediction today, we must dive into recent performances and historical data. Both teams have shown resilience in their respective leagues, but their form in the Copa Betano do Brasil adds extra intrigue. The head-to-head record favors São Paulo, yet Athletico-PR’s home advantage at Ligga Arena cannot be overlooked. This section sets the stage for a detailed look at recent results and key factors influencing the Athletico-PR vs São Paulo match prediction. Understanding these elements is crucial for effective betting strategies.
Athletico-PR Results
Athletico-PR, known as Furacão, have been inconsistent in their recent outings, struggling to secure wins. Their home form at Ligga Arena remains a strong point, but recent draws and losses highlight vulnerabilities. Below is a summary of their last five matches across all competitions.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 04/08/25 | Série B | Athletico-PR vs Paysandu PA | 1-1 | D |
| 01/08/25 | Copa | São Paulo vs Athletico-PR | 2-1 | L |
| 28/07/25 | Série B | America MG vs Athletico-PR | 2-2 | D |
| 23/07/25 | Série B | Athletico-PR vs Ferroviária | 1-1 | D |
| 20/07/25 | Série B | Volta Redonda vs Athletico-PR | 3-2 | L |
Athletico-PR’s recent form shows a pattern of draws and narrow losses, with only one goal separating them in their defeats. Their inability to convert chances, as seen in the 2-1 loss to São Paulo, suggests offensive struggles. However, their home games often yield goals, with three of their last five matches at Ligga Arena ending in draws. Defensive lapses, particularly against stronger sides, have cost them points. This trend indicates a need for a more clinical approach against São Paulo’s robust defense.
São Paulo Results
São Paulo, the Tricolor Paulista, are in fine form, riding a wave of victories in Série A and the Copa Betano do Brasil. Their attacking prowess and defensive solidity make them formidable opponents. Below are their last five matches.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 04/08/25 | Série A | Internacional vs São Paulo | 1-2 | W |
| 01/08/25 | Copa | São Paulo vs Athletico-PR | 2-1 | W |
| 27/07/25 | Série A | São Paulo vs Fluminense | 3-1 | W |
| 25/07/25 | Série A | Juventude vs São Paulo | 0-1 | W |
| 20/07/25 | Série A | São Paulo vs Corinthians | 2-0 | W |
São Paulo’s five-match winning streak across all competitions underscores their current dominance. Their ability to score consistently, with at least one goal in each game, highlights their attacking depth. Defensively, they’ve been solid, conceding only two goals in their last five matches. The 2-1 victory over Athletico-PR in the first leg demonstrates their edge in tight contests. This momentum makes them favorites, but they must navigate the hostile environment of Ligga Arena.
Athletico-PR vs São Paulo Head-to-Head Results
The rivalry between Athletico-PR and São Paulo has been fiercely competitive, with São Paulo holding a slight edge in recent encounters. Their head-to-head matches often produce goals and tight margins. Below are the last five meetings.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 01/08/25 | Copa | São Paulo vs Athletico-PR | 2-1 |
| 10/11/24 | Série A | São Paulo vs Athletico-PR | 2-1 |
| 04/07/24 | Série A | Athletico-PR vs São Paulo | 1-2 |
| 29/10/23 | Série A | Athletico-PR vs São Paulo | 1-1 |
| 22/06/23 | Série A | São Paulo vs Athletico-PR | 2-1 |
São Paulo have won four of the last five encounters, with Athletico-PR managing only a single draw. The consistent 2-1 scoreline in São Paulo’s favor suggests their tactical superiority. However, the 1-1 draw at Ligga Arena in 2023 indicates Athletico-PR can hold their own at home.
Athletico-PR Possible Starting Lineup
Santos (GK), Lucas Belezi (DF), Habraao (DF), Leo (DF), Gaston Benavidez (DF), Diogo Riquelme (MF), Patrick (MF), Dudu (MF), Fernando (FW), Giuliano (FW), Alan Kardec (FW).
São Paulo Possible Starting Lineup
Jandrei (GK), Alan Franco (DF), Sabino (DF), Robert Arboleda (DF), Cedric Soares (MF), Rodriguinho (MF), Marcos Antonio (MF), Pablo Maia (MF), Wendell (MF), Andre Silva (FW), Ferreirinha (FW).
Key Factors to Watch
To make an accurate Athletico-PR vs São Paulo prediction 2025, several critical elements must be considered. Both teams bring distinct strengths and weaknesses to this pivotal Copa Betano do Brasil clash. Below are the key points that could sway the outcome.
- Athletico-PR’s home form: Despite recent draws, they remain tough to beat at Ligga Arena, scoring in every home game this season;
- São Paulo’s winning streak: Five consecutive victories showcase their confidence and attacking rhythm;
- Injuries for Athletico-PR: Key midfielder Erick is doubtful due to a hamstring issue, potentially weakening their midfield control;
- São Paulo’s attacking depth: Forwards Luciano and Calleri have scored in recent matches, posing a constant threat;
- Defensive concerns for Athletico-PR: Conceding in each of their last five games highlights vulnerabilities against São Paulo’s potent attack;
- São Paulo’s away form: Three win in their last five away games show resilience, though they’ve conceded in two of those;
- First-leg momentum: São Paulo’s 2-1 lead gives them a psychological edge, but a one-goal deficit is surmountable for Athletico-PR;
- Tactical discipline: Athletico-PR’s high-pressing style could disrupt São Paulo, but risks leaving gaps for counterattacks.
Free Tips on Athletico-PR vs São Paulo
Crafting effective Athletico-PR vs São Paulo betting tips requires a deep dive into unique factors beyond the core match dynamics. The following tips focus on specific elements that could influence the outcome at Ligga Arena. These insights are tailored to enhance your understanding of this Copa Betano do Brasil clash.
- Pitch condition impact: Ligga Arena’s natural grass pitch, if affected by Curitiba’s frequent rain, could slow play, favoring São Paulo’s controlled passing over Athletico-PR’s aggressive pressing.
- Referee tendencies: If a card-heavy referee is appointed, expect a high number of bookings, as both teams’ physical styles often lead to fouls in intense knockout matches.
- Player form focus: São Paulo’s Luciano, with three goals in his last five games, is in top scoring form, increasing the likelihood of him finding the net.
- Fan influence: The passionate Athletico-PR supporters at Ligga Arena could boost their team’s energy, potentially forcing São Paulo into defensive errors.
- Recent schedule fatigue: Athletico-PR’s congested Série B schedule may lead to tired legs, impacting their high-intensity approach against a fresher São Paulo.
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Athletico-PR vs São Paulo Match Prediction
For the Athletico-PR vs São Paulo match prediction, São Paulo are slight favorite due to their superior form and head-to-head dominance. The Tricolor’s five-match winning streak, coupled with their 2-1 first-leg victory, gives them a clear advantage. Athletico-PR, however, are a different beast shade darker at Ligga Arena, where their passionate crowd and aggressive pressing could unsettle São Paulo. The absence of Athletico’s midfielder Erick may hinder their ability to control the tempoKusque, and their recent defensive lapses suggest São Paulo’s attackers, like Luciano and Calleri, could exploit gaps. São Paulo’s disciplined defense, conceding just two goals in five games, contrasts with Athletico-PR’s leakier backline. The Athletico-PR vs São Paulo odds reflect this, with São Paulo priced as marginal favorites. Given the tight margins in recent head-to-heads, a low-scoring game is likely, but São Paulo’s momentum and clinical finishing tilt the scales in their favor. We predict a narrow São Paulo victory, advancing them on aggregate.
Our Prediction: Athletico-PR 0-1 São Paulo
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | São Paulo to Win | 2.7 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 Goals | 1.43 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.62 |
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