Arsenal vs Newcastle Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – EFL Cup 07/01/2025

EFL Cup
Arsenal vs Newcastle
Tue, 07 January 2025 – 20:00
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1.69
Home
4.0
Draw
4.7
Away

Arsenal and Newcastle’s much awaited collision is scheduled on January 7, 2025, at the Emirates Stadium in London. Both sides want an early edge, since this game represents the opening leg of the Carabao Cup semi-finals. Starting in front of a 60,704 maximum audience, Craig Pawson will be the referee guaranteeing fairness and discipline. Two in-form clubs, Arsenal and Newcastle, provide an interesting challenge in their quest of a Carabao Cup final slot.

While Newcastle is aiming to build on momentum and return to the final for the second time in two years, Arsenal seeks to break their trophy drought in this tournament, so the stakes are high. Two of England’s most fierce teams will square off for an exciting fight that fans should not miss.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

Several elements affect our Arsenal vs Newcastle prediction today. Both clubs have shown extraordinary form; Newcastle shines on the road while Arsenal maintains an amazing undefeated run at home. Arsenal has a psychological advantage as they dominate Newcastle at the Emirates in previous years. Newcastle’s offensive potency and recent triumph against Spurs, meanwhile, prove they are not to be underappreciable. The opening leg is probably a closely fought match where home advantage and recent momentum could be key.

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Arsenal Results

Arsenal has displayed strong performances across various competitions in recent weeks. Their results reflect a blend of resilience and tactical execution under Mikel Arteta’s management.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
04.01.24Premier LeagueBrighton vs Arsenal1-1D
01.01.24Premier LeagueBrentford vs Arsenal1-3W
27.12.23Premier LeagueArsenal vs Ipswich1-0W
21.12.23Premier LeagueCrystal Palace vs Arsenal1-5W
18.12.23EFL CupArsenal vs Crystal Palace3-2W

Arsenal has been consistent, with three victories in their last five matches. They have shown defensive discipline while maintaining their attacking edge, highlighted by big wins against Crystal Palace and Brentford. The draw against Brighton, however, indicates occasional lapses in finishing key opportunities.

Newcastle Results

Newcastle enters this match on the back of an incredible run of form, with dominant performances in both domestic leagues and cup competitions.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
04.01.24Premier LeagueTottenham vs Newcastle1-2W
30.12.23Premier LeagueManchester Utd vs Newcastle0-2W
26.12.23Premier LeagueNewcastle vs Aston Villa3-0W
21.12.23Premier LeagueIpswich vs Newcastle0-4W
18.12.23EFL CupNewcastle vs Brentford3-1W

Having at least two goals in every game, Newcastle’s six-game winning run highlights their offensive ability. Their defensive arrangement has also been outstanding; their most recent games include many clean sheets.

Who will win Tuesday’s EFL Cup clash between Arsenal and Newcastle?
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Arsenal
80%
Draw
13%
Newcastle
7%
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Arsenal vs Newcastle Head-to-Head Matches

Arsenal and Newcastle have a history of intense encounters, with Arsenal generally having the upper hand in recent years.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
02.11.24Premier LeagueNewcastle vs Arsenal1-0
24.02.24Premier LeagueArsenal vs Newcastle4-1
04.11.23Premier LeagueNewcastle vs Arsenal1-0
07.05.23Premier LeagueNewcastle vs Arsenal0-2
03.01.23Premier LeagueArsenal vs Newcastle0-0

Arsenal has enjoyed success at home in this fixture, including a commanding 4-1 victory in their last meeting at the Emirates. However, Newcastle’s recent 1-0 victory at St. James’ Park adds intrigue to this upcoming clash.

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Arsenal Probable Lineup

As Arsenal prepares for the Carabao Cup semi-final against Newcastle, Mikel Arteta is likely to field a strong starting XI, aiming to capitalize on their home advantage and extend their unbeaten streak at the Emirates. Here’s the probable lineup for Arsenal:

Raya (GK), Timber (DF), Saliba (DF), Gabriel (DF), Lewis-Skelly (DF), Odegaard (MF), Partey (MF), Rice (MF), Martinelli (FW), Jesus (FW), Trossard (FW)

Predicted Arsenal starting lineup for the Carabao Cup Semi-Final 2025 against Newcastle.

Newcastle United Probable Lineup

Newcastle, under Eddie Howe, will look to continue their remarkable run of form and build on their recent success against top opposition. Despite some key absences, they are expected to field a competitive lineup for this crucial first leg:

Dubravka (GK), Trippier (DF), Kelly (DF), Burn (DF), Hall (DF), Longstaff (MF), Tonali (MF), Joelinton (MF), Murphy (FW), Isak (FW), Gordon (FW)

Predicted Newcastle starting lineup for the Carabao Cup Semi-Final 2025 against Arsenal.

INJURED AND QUESTIONABLE PLAYERS

Player availability is a crucial factor in predicting match outcomes, and both teams face significant absences due to injuries and suspensions. Below are the players confirmed or likely to miss this match:

TeamPlayerReason
ArsenalBukayo SakaHamstring Injury
ArsenalKai HavertzIllness
ArsenalTakehiro TomiyasuKnee Injury
ArsenalRaheem SterlingKnee Injury
NewcastleFabian ScharSuspension
NewcastleBruno GuimaraesSuspension
NewcastleNick PopeKnee Injury
NewcastleCallum WilsonThigh Injury
NewcastleJamaal LascellesKnee Injury

These absences could significantly influence both teams’ strategies and the dynamics of the match.

Key Points to Consider

Both teams face challenges and opportunities that could influence the outcome of this match:

  • Arsenal’s unbeaten home record this season boosts their confidence;
  • Gabriel Jesus leads the Carabao Cup scoring chart for Arsenal with four goals;
  • Newcastle’s Anthony Gordon has been a clutch performer, often scoring key goals;
  • Injuries to key players like Kai Havertz and Bukayo Saka might limit Arsenal’s options;
  • Newcastle will be without Fabian Schar and Bruno Guimaraes due to suspensions;
  • Newcastle’s attack has scored at least two goals in their last eight matches;
  • Arsenal’s solid defensive record at home makes them hard to break down;
  • Both teams will look to leverage set-pieces, with Arsenal’s headers being particularly effective.
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Free Tips on Arsenal vs Newcastle Match

Careful study of statistics and other elements can greatly improve your forecasts while getting ready for the Arsenal at Newcastle game. Two clubs in great form for this next Carabao Cup semi-final first leg mean that history patterns, present dynamics, and situational factors must all be taken into account. Based on past performance, team statistics, and other important factors, the following are some basic guidelines to assist in your educated projections.

  • Recent Head-to-Head Performance: Arsenal has historically dominated Newcastle at the Emirates, winning 12 of their last 13 home encounters. This strong record could give Arsenal a psychological edge, but Newcastle’s recent away win over Tottenham shows they are capable of defying history. Head-to-head data suggests a closely fought battle where small margins may decide the result.
  • Impact of Injuries and Suspensions: Both teams face crucial absences that could tilt the balance. Newcastle will miss key players Fabian Schar and Bruno Guimaraes due to suspension, potentially weakening their defense and midfield control. Arsenal’s potential unavailability of Bukayo Saka and Kai Havertz could hinder their attacking depth, emphasizing the importance of tactical adjustments.
  • Team Form and Momentum: Newcastle comes into the game with six consecutive wins across all competitions, showcasing confidence and attacking flair. Arsenal, while unbeaten in 13 matches, recently dropped points against Brighton, raising questions about their consistency under pressure. Momentum will be crucial as both teams look to assert themselves early in the tie.
  • Home vs Away Dynamics: Arsenal’s unbeaten home record this season underscores their dominance at the Emirates. In contrast, Newcastle has won four of their last six away games, including against top-tier opposition. The home advantage may play a pivotal role, especially with the support of a packed Emirates Stadium.
  • Managerial Tactics and Adaptability: Mikel Arteta and Eddie Howe are known for their tactical acumen, often tailoring strategies to exploit opponent weaknesses. Arteta’s ability to maintain possession and control the tempo could counter Newcastle’s counter-attacking threat. However, Howe’s knack for exploiting defensive lapses might lead to a high-stakes tactical battle.

These revelations provide insightful angles from which to view the forthcoming collision between Arsenal and Newcastle. Examining the interactions of these elements helps you to create a more complete forecast for this crucial semi-final contact.

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Arsenal vs Newcastle Prediction 2025

Considering Arsenal’s home supremacy and Newcastle’s current performance, this first leg looks to be interesting. Newcastle’s offensive depth and confidence might put pressure on Arsenal, but the Gunners have a little advantage because of their defensive power and flawless record at the Emirates. Given the predicted tight struggle of the Arsenal vs Newcastle forecast, a limited Arsenal victory looks most plausible.

Our Prediction: Arsenal 2-1 Newcastle United

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultArsenal to Win1.69
Total GoalsOver 2.5 Goals1.65
Both Teams to ScoreYes1.65

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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