APOEL vs AEK Larnaca Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – Cyprus League 08/02/2026

Cyprus League
APOEL vs AEK Larnaca
Sun, 8 Feb 2026 – 14:00
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2.68
Home
3.0
Draw
2.54
Away

APOEL face AEK Larnaca at the GSP Stadium in Nicosia on February 8, 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 GMT+0. The match is part of the regular season of the Cyprus League (First Division), a key fixture as APOEL sit in sixth place while AEK Larnaca hold second. Referee Christodoulou I. (Cyprus) will take charge of this Nicosia derby.

This encounter pits a home side chasing points to climb the table against a strong second-placed AEK Larnaca who have dominated recent head-to-heads. APOEL have shown resilience at home while AEK Larnaca boast a high win percentage in the league. The rivalry and current standings promise a tactical battle with potential for few goals.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

This Cyprus League clash carries significant weight given the gap in the standings and historical trends. APOEL vs AEK Larnaca prediction today focuses on a low-scoring affair based on recent defensive patterns and head-to-head data. APOEL perform better at home while AEK Larnaca have struggled to convert dominance into big wins away. The last few meetings often ended with under 2.5 goals. Bettors should consider under markets and double chance options.

APOEL Results

APOEL sit in mid-table and rely on home form to push upward. The team has shown flashes of quality in recent outings. Defensive organisation has improved lately.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
04.02.26Cyprus LeaguePafos vs APOEL2-0L
31.01.26Cyprus LeagueOl. Nicosia vs APOEL0-2W
23.01.26Cyprus LeagueAPOEL vs Omonia Aradippou1-1D
18.01.26Cyprus LeagueApollon vs APOEL2-1L
10.01.26Cyprus LeagueAPOEL vs Chloraka2-1W

APOEL have won two of their last five matches with one draw and two defeats. Home games produce more points and goals. Losses came against stronger opponents away. Defensive solidity stands out in recent fixtures. Momentum at GSP Stadium offers hope.

AEK Larnaca Results

AEK Larnaca hold second place and show strong consistency this season. The team boasts a high win rate in the league. Away performances remain solid.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
31.01.26Cyprus LeagueAEK Larnaca vs Paralimni5-0W
25.01.26Cyprus LeaguePafos vs AEK Larnaca1-2W
18.01.26Cyprus LeagueAEK Larnaca vs Krasava2-1W
14.01.26Cyprus CupOmonia vs AEK Larnaca2-1L
10.01.26Cyprus LeagueAris vs AEK Larnaca1-0L

AEK Larnaca have won three of their last five games with two defeats. Away victories highlight road strength. Losses came in cup and against tough opposition. Attacking output remains impressive. Overall form supports their high table position.

APOEL
AEK Larnaca
Who will win Sunday’s Cyprus League clash between APOEL and AEK Larnaca?
poll
poll
APOEL
35%
Draw
28%
AEK Larnaca
37%
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APOEL vs AEK Larnaca Head-to-Head (Last 5 Matches)

Head-to-head clashes favour AEK Larnaca in recent seasons. APOEL have struggled to break down AEK’s defence. Matches tend to stay low-scoring.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
27.10.25Cyprus LeagueAEK Larnaca vs APOEL1-1
04.05.25Cyprus LeagueAEK Larnaca vs APOEL3-0
02.04.25Cyprus LeagueAPOEL vs AEK Larnaca0-1
20.01.25Cyprus LeagueAEK Larnaca vs APOEL2-1
06.10.24Cyprus LeagueAPOEL vs AEK Larnaca0-1

AEK Larnaca won four of the last five meetings with one draw. Goals stayed under 2.5 in most encounters. APOEL failed to score in four of five games. The pattern shows AEK dominance. This history weighs heavily on expectations.

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Predicted Lineups for APOEL vs AEK Larnaca

The lineups below represent the most likely starting elevens for the Cyprus League match between APOEL and AEK Larnaca on February 8, 2026, at GSP Stadium. They are based on recent team selections, current form, tactical preferences shown by both coaches and confirmed player availability. In Cypriot league derbies, coaches tend to rely on trusted starters, though minor adjustments for fatigue or specific match-ups are possible.

APOEL Projected Starting Lineup

Belec (GK), Kargas (DF), Dvali (DF), Kostadinov (DF), Susic (DF), Villafañez (MF), Gabriel (MF), Gomes (MF), El-Arbi (MF), Donis (FW), De Camargo (FW)

AEK Larnaca Projected Starting Lineup

Piric (GK), Ros (DF), Milicevic (DF), Trujillano (DF), Garcia (DF), Pons (MF), Garcia M. (MF), Garcia J. (MF), Trichkovski (MF), Cisotti (MF), Conrado (FW)

These projected lineups reflect the core group most likely to take the field from kick-off. In a high-stakes Nicosia derby, expect limited early changes unless injuries or tactical needs arise during the game.

Injured and Questionable Players

The following players are confirmed unavailable or listed as doubtful for the APOEL vs AEK Larnaca match. These absences may influence depth options and tactical choices, particularly in midfield and attack for both sides.

TeamPlayerStatus / Reason
APOELDegenek M.Inactive
APOELMancini D.Inactive
APOELSotiriou P.Injury
APOELMeyer M.Inactive
AEK LarnacaChacon Y.Knee Injury
AEK LarnacaJimmy SuarezInactive
AEK LarnacaNaoum G.Inactive
AEK LarnacaRohden M.Inactive
AEK LarnacaRubio W.Inactive
AEK LarnacaGarcia A.Inactive
AEK LarnacaMiramonInactive

Key Match Factors to Watch

Both teams bring contrasting momentum into this Cyprus League derby with AEK in strong position and APOEL chasing points at home. Tactical discipline and key absences will shape the outcome. Focus falls on defensive organisation and set-piece threats.

  • APOEL sit in sixth place with 36 points and need home wins to climb;
  • AEK Larnaca hold second place with 43 points and a 65% win rate;
  • AEK Larnaca won four of the last five head-to-head clashes;
  • APOEL failed to score in four of their last five meetings with AEK;
  • Recent matches between them averaged under 2.5 goals;
  • APOEL have 50% of home games with both teams scoring;
  • AEK Larnaca score in 50% of away games with both teams finding the net;
  • The GSP Stadium crowd gives APOEL a notable boost in Nicosia.

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Free Tips on APOEL vs AEK Larnaca

This section provides practical, data-backed tips drawn strictly from recent statistical trends, goal patterns and head-to-head numbers ahead of the Cyprus League clash on February 8, 2026 at GSP Stadium. The pointers highlight concrete edges visible in the last 10 league games for both teams and their direct meetings. They aim to sharpen focus on likely goal totals and outcome probabilities for this Nicosia derby.

  • AEK Larnaca have won four of the last five head-to-head meetings against APOEL, including three straight victories in league play, showing clear recent superiority in this fixture;
  • Four of the last five direct clashes between APOEL and AEK Larnaca produced under 2.5 goals, with APOEL failing to score in four of those games;
  • APOEL have kept clean sheets in three of their last five home league matches, underlining growing defensive strength at GSP Stadium;
  • AEK Larnaca boast a 65% win rate in the Cyprus League this season and have scored in 50% of their away games while conceding in the same proportion;
  • Recent matches between these sides average under 2.5 goals overall, with both teams to score failing in the majority of their last five encounters.
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APOEL vs AEK Larnaca Match Prediction 2026

AEK Larnaca hold the edge through superior league position, strong away record and dominance in recent head-to-heads. APOEL show fight at home but struggle to break down AEK defensively. Expect a cautious game where AEK control possession and limit chances. APOEL vs AEK Larnaca odds reflect AEK favoritism with value in under 2.5 goals given low-scoring trends. AEK’s tactical discipline and counter-attack threat should see them secure at least a point. APOEL may frustrate but lack cutting edge in attack. A narrow AEK win or draw fits patterns from their meetings. Defensive solidity from both sides supports low total goals.

Our Prediction: APOEL 1-0 AEK Larnaca

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultAEK Larnaca Win2.54
Both Teams to ScoreNo1.78
Total GoalsUnder 2.51.61

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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