Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – LaLiga 13/03/2026

LaLiga

Alaves vs Villarreal

Fri, 13 March 2026 – 20:00

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3.3

Home

3.35

Draw

2.16

Away

Alaves host Villarreal at Estadio Mendizorrotza in Vitoria-Gasteiz on Friday 13 March 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 GMT+0. This fixture forms part of the regular LaLiga season, in a crucial phase for both sides. No referee details have been confirmed yet for this evening clash.

Alaves sit in 16th place, just two points above the relegation zone after a run of poor results. Villarreal occupy fourth spot, level on points with third-placed Atletico Madrid and chasing a top-four finish. This Alaves vs Villarreal prediction today leans toward the visitors thanks to their stronger form, better attacking options and solid away record against lower-table teams.

Current La Liga standings for Alaves vs Villarreal March 13, 2026

Alaves and Villarreal head into their Friday evening LaLiga clash with sharply contrasting ambitions in the 2025-26 season. Alaves are fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone from 16th place, while Villarreal sit firmly in the top-four battle and are looking to close the gap on the European places.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

This Alaves vs Villarreal match prediction today centres on Villarreal’s superior quality and recent scoring consistency against struggling sides. Alaves rely on home resilience to grind out points but lack cutting edge in attack lately. Villarreal generate chances through wide play and quick combinations. Defensive discipline will be crucial for Alaves to stay in the game. Expect Villarreal to control possession and create more high-quality opportunities.

Alaves Results

Alaves approach this fixture amid a worrying slump that has left them deep in relegation trouble. They have failed to win in their last five league matches. Home form remains their main source of points this season.

Alaves collected no wins, two draws and three defeats across these five fixtures. Home games produced goals but no victories lately. The draw against Girona showed fight but defensive lapses. Scoring stays low and inconsistent. Current run highlights urgent need for improvement at home.

Villarreal Results

Villarreal head into the game after a valuable win that keeps them firmly in the top-four race. They show strong attacking output in recent matches. Away performances remain reliable against mid-to-lower table opposition.

Villarreal secured three wins and two defeats in these five outings. Away games delivered two victories and narrow losses. The win over Elche highlighted clinical finishing. Defensive issues appeared against top sides. Overall trajectory supports their push for European places.

Who will win Friday’s LaLiga clash between Alaves and Villarreal?

Alaves > Draw > Villarreal >

Alaves

29%

Draw

28%

Villarreal

43%

Alaves vs Villarreal Head-to-Head (Last 5 Matches)

Recent meetings between these sides deliver competitive scorelines with goals at both ends in several cases. Villarreal hold edge in most recent encounters. Draws appear alongside narrow wins.

Villarreal won twice, Alaves once, and two draws occurred in the last five. Three of five fixtures produced over 2.5 goals total. Home advantage helped both sides in past ties. Recent trend shows Villarreal dominance. Pattern suggests competitive, goal-involved games.

Predicted Lineups for Alaves vs Villarreal

Predicted lineups provide a realistic projection of how both managers are likely to set up their teams for this LaLiga match on 13 March 2026. These selections are based on the most recent starting XIs, current player form, typical tactical setups used this season, and the formations most commonly deployed by each coach. Official confirmed lineups are usually released about an hour before kick-off, so treat these as well-informed estimates.

Alaves Predicted Starting XI

Sivera (GK), Tenaglia (DF), Parada (DF), Otto (DF), Perez (MF), Ibanez (MF), Blanco (MF), Yusi (MF), Alena (MF), Boye (FW), Martinez (FW).

Villarreal Predicted Starting XI

Luiz Junior (GK), Mourino (DF), Navarro (DF), Veiga (DF), Cardona (DF), Pepe (MF), Comesana (MF), Gueye (MF), Moleiro (MF), Lopez (FW), Mikautadze (FW).

Injured and Questionable Players

The following players are confirmed unavailable or highly doubtful for this LaLiga fixture due to injury, suspension, or other issues. This list reflects the latest team news and does not include players already omitted from the predicted lineups above.

Key Match Factors to Consider

Multiple variables influence the likely flow and result of this LaLiga fixture. Current form trajectories, home/away splits and individual contributions all play roles. No major scandals or extended streaks dominate headlines currently.

• Alaves endure winless run of five straight league matches;
• Villarreal sit fourth and chase top-three spot with strong away record;
• Alaves keep solid home points tally but struggle to convert chances;
• Villarreal show clinical finishing in recent victories;
• Both teams post BTTS in several recent league games;
• Villarreal average higher shot volume and better conversion away;
• Alaves concede late goals in domestic outings lately;
• Fixture timing allows Villarreal full squad freshness after lighter schedule.

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Free Tips on Alaves vs Villarreal

This list compiles targeted, stats-based betting angles specifically for the Alaves vs Villarreal LaLiga match on 13 March 2026.

Each tip is pulled straight from the teams’ recent goal patterns, home/away splits and the consistent head-to-head record rather than broad generalities.

They highlight repeatable statistical edges that have appeared frequently in games involving these sides at Mendizorrotza.

• Keep in mind that Villarreal have won three of the last five head-to-head meetings and scored in every one of those fixtures, underlining their consistent attacking edge whenever they face Alaves;
• Notice Alaves have failed to win any of their last five league matches and conceded in four of those games, creating reliable value in markets expecting Villarreal to score at least once;
• Pay attention to Villarreal’s strong away scoring record against bottom-half teams this season, where they average more than 1.5 goals per road game, supporting bets on “Villarreal over 1.5 team goals” or similar lines;
• Consider Alaves’ tendency to concede late goals in recent domestic outings (multiple goals against in the final stages of several matches), opening potential value in “goals after 75 minutes” or “Villarreal to score in the second half”;
• Look at the BTTS trend in recent Alaves home games (both teams scoring in three of the last five league matches at Mendizorrotza), reinforcing the likelihood of an open, goal-involved contest against Villarreal’s potent attack.

Alaves vs Villarreal Match Prediction 2026

Villarreal hold reasonable claim to edge this one out, backed by superior current form, attacking quality and solid away metrics against lower-table opposition. They generate consistent chances through wide play and convert efficiently. Alaves show fight at home but lack cutting edge and defensive stability lately. Alaves vs Villarreal odds tilt toward the visitors without huge value on the win line alone, yet the goal trend supports an open outcome. Villarreal should control key periods and exploit spaces in transitions. A single goal may prove decisive, likely through better organisation and individual moments. Villarreal win emerges as the clearest call, supported by venue stats and underlying numbers showing positive regression for the visitors.

Our Prediction: Alaves 1-2 Villarreal

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