The highly anticipated clash between Al Nassr and Al Ittihad in the Saudi Arabia King Cup promises fireworks, as two of the league’s powerhouses vie for supremacy in this knockout stage encounter. With Al Nassr riding high on recent successes and Al Ittihad eager to rebound from a mixed run, this match could define their paths in the tournament. Fans are buzzing about the potential for star-studded action, especially with Cristiano Ronaldo leading the charge for the hosts.
Scheduled for October 28, 2025, at 18:00 GMT+0, the game will unfold at the King Saud University Stadium in Riyadh, a venue with a capacity of 26,100 that often roars to life for derbies like this. This is the Round of 16 in the prestigious King Cup, where every pass and tackle carries extra weight in the quest for silverware. No specific referee details have been announced yet, but expect a top-tier official from the Saudi Pro League panel to handle this intense fixture, ensuring fair play amid the rivalry’s heat.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
As we gear up for this electrifying Saudi showdown, understanding the undercurrents will sharpen your edge on the Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad prediction today. Delving into recent form and historical battles reveals patterns that could sway the outcome. Bettors should note how Al Nassr’s attacking flair clashes with Al Ittihad’s resilient setup. These insights pave the way for smarter wagers, blending stats with on-pitch realities. Stay tuned as we unpack the latest results and head-to-head drama.
Al Nassr Results
Al Nassr enters this King Cup tie with momentum, having strung together a series of dominant performances that highlight their offensive prowess under Jorge Jesus. The team’s blend of international stars and local talent has been clicking, making them a formidable force at home. Recent outings show a clear upward trajectory, setting the stage for what could be another statement win.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Al Nassr |
| 25/10/2025 | SPL | Al Hazem vs Al Nassr | 0-2 | W |
| 22/10/2025 | CL2 | Goa vs Al Nassr | 1-2 | W |
| 18/10/2025 | SPL | Al Nassr vs Al Fateh | 5-1 | W |
| 01/10/2025 | CL2 | Al Zawraa vs Al Nassr | 0-2 | W |
| 26/09/2025 | SPL | Al Ittihad vs Al Nassr | 0-2 | W |
Al Nassr’s flawless run of five straight victories underscores their current dominance, averaging over two goals per game while keeping clean sheets in four of those. This streak has boosted confidence, particularly in away fixtures turning into triumphs. Ronaldo’s influence shines through, with the squad’s xG metrics hitting 2.5 per match on average. Defensively, they’ve been rock-solid, conceding just 0.4 goals per outing. Such form positions them as clear favorites heading into the cup clash.
Al Ittihad Results
Al Ittihad’s recent slate tells a tale of inconsistency, with flashes of brilliance overshadowed by defensive lapses that have cost them points. Despite their pedigree as league champions last season, the team is navigating a transitional phase under new influences. These results offer clues on vulnerabilities that Al Nassr might exploit.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Al Ittihad |
| 24/10/2025 | SPL | Al Ittihad vs Al Hilal | 0-2 | L |
| 20/10/2025 | CL | Al Shorta vs Al Ittihad | 1-4 | W |
| 17/10/2025 | SPL | Al Fayha vs Al Ittihad | 1-1 | D |
| 30/09/2025 | CL | Al Ittihad vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 0-1 | L |
| 26/09/2025 | SPL | Al Ittihad vs Al Nassr | 0-2 | L |
Al Ittihad’s mixed bag two losses, a draw, and a pair of wins highlights their struggle for consistency, especially at home where they’ve dropped points unexpectedly. The 4-1 continental romp shows attacking potential, but league defeats expose backline frailties, conceding 1.2 goals per game lately. Benzema’s form remains a bright spot, yet the team’s PPDA has risen, indicating softer pressing. This patchy streak could spell trouble against a surging opponent. Overall, it paints a picture of a side capable of upsets but prone to errors.
Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad Head-to-Head
The rivalry between Al Nassr and Al Ittihad runs deep, with encounters often delivering high drama and goals aplenty. Over the years, these Jeddah-Riyadh clashes have produced memorable moments, tilting lately toward the Knights of Al-Aal. Historical data shows Al Nassr edging the recent narrative, fueling expectations for another thriller.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 26/09/2025 | SPL | Al Ittihad vs Al Nassr | 0-2 |
| 19/08/2025 | SC | Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad | 2-1 |
| 07/05/2025 | SPL | Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad | 2-3 |
| 06/12/2024 | SPL | Al Ittihad vs Al Nassr | 2-1 |
| 27/05/2024 | SPL | Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad | 4-2 |
Al Nassr holds a commanding edge in the last five meetings, securing four victories with high-scoring affairs averaging 3.4 goals total. Ittihad’s lone win came via a late rally, but Nassr’s home dominance unbeaten in three stands out. Trends favor over 2.5 goals in four of these, pointing to open play. This lopsided run bolsters Nassr’s psychological upper hand. Expect the pattern to influence tactics here.
Al Nassr Possible Starting Lineup
Al Nassr, under Jorge Jesus, is likely to deploy a 4-4-2 formation, leveraging their attacking depth led by Cristiano Ronaldo, with a solid defensive core to counter Al Ittihad’s threats:
Nawaf Al-Aqidi (GK), Sultan Al-Ghannam (DF), Abdulelah Al-Amri (DF), Iñigo Martínez (DF), Nawaf Al-Boushal (DF), Abdullah Al-Khaibari (MF), Ali Al-Hassan (MF), Sadio Mané (MF), Joao Felix (MF), Wesley Teixeira (MF), Cristiano Ronaldo (FW).
Al Ittihad Possible Starting Lineup
Al Ittihad, managed by Laurent Blanc, is expected to opt for a 4-4-2 setup, banking on Karim Benzema’s finishing and N’Golo Kanté’s midfield dynamism to challenge Al Nassr’s dominance:
Predrag Rajković (GK), Danilo Pereira (DF), Ahmed Al Julaydan (DF), Saad Al-Mousa (DF), Mario Mitaj (DF), N’Golo Kanté (MF), Fabinho (MF), Mahamadou Doumbia (MF), Moussa Diaby (MF), Karim Benzema (FW), Ahmed Al-Ghamdi (FW).
Key Factors to Watch
In a match of this caliber, several elements could tip the scales, from personnel availability to tactical nuances. Both squads boast star power, but underlying issues like injuries and form dips add layers of intrigue. As we break down the essentials, keep an eye on how these dynamics unfold on the pitch.
- Al Nassr’s Winning Streak: Undefeated in five, with 14 goals scored, signaling peak attacking rhythm led by Ronaldo’s 6 goals in that span;
- Al Ittihad’s Defensive Woes: Conceded in four of last five, averaging 1.4 goals against, exposing vulnerabilities in transitions;
- Injuries for Al Nassr: Marcelo Brozovic out with injury, impacting midfield control; Saad Al-Nasser and Saad Haqawi also sidelined, thinning the bench;
- Al Ittihad Injury Concerns: Abdulrahman Al-Obood, Hasan Kadesh, and Muath Faqeehi unavailable, weakening the backline depth;
- Ronaldo vs Benzema Duel: CR7 in scintillating form (5 goals last month); Benzema returning from hamstring tweak, hungry for impact;
- Recent Successes: Al Nassr’s continental wins boost morale; Ittihad’s league draw shows grit but lacks killer instinct;
- No Major Scandals: Clean sheets on off-field noise, allowing focus on football amid a heated rivalry;
- Player Form Highlight: Joao Felix’s creativity (4 assists) for Nassr; Kanté’s return bolsters Ittihad’s press, but execution falters;
- Home Advantage: Nassr unbeaten in last 7 at King Saud, with crowd energy amplifying their press.
Free Tips on Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad
As Al Nassr and Al Ittihad prepare to lock horns in the Saudi Arabia King Cup on October 28, 2025, bettors can gain an edge by diving into key statistical and contextual factors specific to this matchup. The following tips, grounded in historical data and team dynamics, highlight critical aspects to consider for informed wagering. These pointers focus on elements that could shape the outcome at King Saud University Stadium.
- Historical Scoring Trends: Study the goal output in past Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad clashes, where four of the last five meetings produced over 2.5 goals, averaging 3.4 goals per game, suggesting a high likelihood of an open, attacking contest.
- Venue-Specific Performance: Al Nassr’s unbeaten streak in their last seven home games at King Saud University Stadium, coupled with a 2.6 goals-per-game average, gives them a clear edge over Al Ittihad’s inconsistent away form (1 win in last 3 away matches).
- Referee Tendencies: Check the appointed referee’s history, as some Saudi Pro League officials average higher card counts (4.5 per game), which could impact bets on bookings, especially in a heated derby like this.
- Fixture Congestion Effects: Al Nassr’s lighter schedule (one game per week recently) contrasts with Al Ittihad’s busier calendar, including a midweek continental match, potentially leading to fatigue and reduced sharpness.
- Pitch and Weather Impact: With Riyadh’s October weather typically dry but cooling (around 25°C), the natural grass at King Saud should favor Al Nassr’s quick-passing style, while Al Ittihad’s counter-attacking approach may struggle if the pitch is pristine.
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Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad Match Prediction 2025
In our Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad match prediction, we back the hosts to edge a thriller 2-1, advancing in the King Cup. Al Nassr’s blistering form five wins on the trot, boasting a 2.8 xG average overwhelms Ittihad’s shaky defense, which has shipped goals in 80% of recent games. Ronaldo’s predatory instincts, combined with home soil dominance (unbeaten in 7), tilt the scales despite Brozovic’s absence. Ittihad’s counter-threat via Benzema poses danger, but their injury-hit backline (three key outs) struggles against Nassr’s pace. Head-to-head favors Nassr (4/5 wins), and current Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad odds list them at 1.75 for victory, offering value in a high-stakes cup tie. Expect over 2.5 goals too, given the rivalry’s firepower last four H2H averaged 3.5 tallies. This isn’t just a prediction; it’s rooted in metrics showing Nassr’s 65% win probability. Ittihad’s resilience might snag a goal, but Nassr’s depth seals it. Bettors, eye the Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad odds for live in-play shifts as the game heats up.
Our Prediction: Al Nassr 2-1 Al Ittihad
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Al Nassr Win | 1.49 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.62 |
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