Al Ahly vs El Gaish Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – Egypt Premier League 05/03/2025

Egypt Premier League
Al Ahly vs El Gaish
Wed, 05 March 2025 – 19:00
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1.44
Home
4.00
Draw
8.40
Away

March 5, 2025 is the much expected collision between Al Ahly and El Gaish in the Egypt Premier League. As both sides fight for vital points to raise their position in one of Africa’s premier leagues, this Gameweek 17 game promises to provide high stakes and fierce rivalry.

Starting at 19:00 GMT+0, the game takes place at Al Salam Stadium, sometimes known as WE Al-Ahly Stadium, with 30,000 capacity. The Egypt Premier League’s reputation for strict officiating guarantees that every decision will be crucial even though the referee for this clash is yet unknown. While El Gaish wants to challenge the odds on the road in this tightly fought tournament stage, Al Ahly, the host side, will attempt to use their fortress-like record at this site.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

Prepare for a thorough exploration of the Al Ahly versus El Gaish prediction right now. Examining past events and current performance helps one to grasp the complexities of this match. We will dissect the main numbers and patterns influencing this match. Both teams present different weaknesses as well as strengths. Stay in as we dissect the statistics and stories guiding this Egypt Premier League clash.

Al Ahly Results

Al Ahly enters this match as one of the most dominant forces in Egyptian football. Their consistency at home and ability to grind out results make them a formidable opponent. Let’s take a closer look at their last five league outings.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
26/02/25PLHaras El Hodood vs Al Ahly0-1W
22/02/25PLAl Ahly vs Zamalek1-1D
16/02/25PLEl Ismaily vs Al Ahly0-4W
11/02/25PLAl Ahly vs Ghazl El Mahallah1-0W
06/02/25PLAl Ahly vs Petrojet2-1W

Four victories and one tie in their previous five games highlight Al Ahly’s unrelenting performance. Their defense has been especially frugal, giving just two goals across four games. El Ismaily’s 4-0 thrashing on the road highlights their attacking force. At home, they have had an undefeated record this season (5W-3D-0L), scoring 16 goals. With this momentum, they are big favorites approaching March 5.

El Gaish Results

El Gaish has had a mixed bag of results leading up to this fixture. Known for their resilience, they’ve struggled to convert draws into wins lately. Here’s how they’ve fared in their last five league matches.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
27/02/25PLEl Gaish vs National Bank Egypt2-2D
23/02/25PLPyramids vs El Gaish2-1L
18/02/25PLEl Gaish vs ZED1-0W
13/02/25PLModern Sport vs El Gaish0-0D
07/02/25PLEl Gaish vs El Gouna0-0D

One win, three draws, and one loss paint a picture of a gritty but inconsistent El Gaish side. Their away form (4W-1D-2L) is respectable, but scoring only eight goals in seven road games highlights offensive struggles. The 2-2 draw against National Bank Egypt shows they can compete with stronger teams. However, failing to capitalize on chances has cost them points. They’ll need a sharper edge to challenge Al Ahly.

Who will win Wednesday’s Egypt Premier League clash between Al Ahly and El Gaish?
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Al Ahly
50%
Draw
30%
El Gaish
20%
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Al Ahly vs El Gaish Head-to-Head 

The rivalry between Al Ahly and El Gaish has produced some memorable moments. Historically, Al Ahly has dominated this fixture. Let’s review their last five encounters.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
08/07/24PLAl Ahly vs El Gaish2-0
01/07/24PLEl Gaish vs Al Ahly0-4
26/05/23PLEl Gaish vs Al Ahly0-2
02/12/22PLAl Ahly vs El Gaish2-1
27/08/22PLEl Gaish vs Al Ahly1-0

Al Ahly’s 4-1 record in these matchups speaks volumes about their superiority. El Gaish’s lone victory in 2022 is a rare blemish on an otherwise one-sided history. The aggregate scoreline of 10-1 across the last four meetings favors Al Ahly heavily.

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Al Ahly Possible Starting Lineup

Al Ahly is expected to field a strong XI, blending defensive solidity with attacking flair to capitalize on their home advantage at Al Salam Stadium.

Oufa Shobeir (GK), El Debes (DF), El Aash (DF),  Rabia (DF),  Hany (DF), Ashour (MF), Reda (MF), Ateya (MF), Abou Ali (FW), Gradisar (FW), El Shahat (FW)

Predicted starting lineup for Al Ahly in their Egypt Premier League match against El Gaish.

El Gaish Possible Starting Lineup

El Gaish will likely opt for a resilient setup, aiming to frustrate Al Ahly while seeking opportunities on the counter.

Shaaban (GK), Awad (DF), Alaa (DF), Mohamed Camacho (DF), Meteb (DF), Mohareb (MF), Hamdi (MF), Khaled (MF), Wahid (MF), Okwara (FW), Omran (FW)

Predicted starting lineup for El Gaish in their Egypt Premier League match against Al Ahly.

Key Factors to Watch

This matchup hinges on several critical elements that could sway the outcome. Both teams have their strengths, but vulnerabilities and external factors will play a role. Here’s what to keep an eye on:

  • Al Ahly’s Home Dominance: Unbeaten in eight home games this season with a +9 goal difference;
  • El Gaish’s Defensive Resolve: Three clean sheets in their last five games show resilience;
  • Injury Concerns: Al Ahly’s squad depth can cover absences; El Gaish relies heavily on key starters;
  • Form of Key Players: Al Ahly’s forwards have netted 16 home goals; El Gaish’s attack lacks consistency;
  • Recent Success: Al Ahly’s four wins in five contrast with El Gaish’s single victory;
  • Fatigue Factor: Midweek scheduling could test both teams, but Al Ahly’s rotation options give an edge;
  • Head-to-Head Trend: Al Ahly’s near-perfect record against El Gaish is hard to ignore;
  • Motivation: Al Ahly chases the title; El Gaish fights for mid-table stability.

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Free Tips on Al Ahly vs El Gaish

Breaking down the Al Ahly vs El Gaish matchup requires more than just a glance at the standings. This section offers actionable insights derived from statistics, head-to-head records, and team dynamics specific to this Egypt Premier League clash on March 5, 2025. These free tips will sharpen your betting strategy for this high-stakes encounter.

  • Leverage Historical Edge: Al Ahly has won 4 of the last 5 meetings with El Gaish, outscoring them 10-1 since 2022. This trend strongly favors the home side, especially given their 2-0 and 4-0 victories in 2024, pointing to a likely dominant performance again.
  • Assess Home vs. Away Dynamics: Al Ahly boasts an unbeaten home record this season (5W-3D-0L), averaging 2 goals per game at Al Salam Stadium. El Gaish, while solid on the road (4W-1D-2L), scores just 1.14 goals per away match, suggesting they’ll struggle to breach Al Ahly’s defense.
  • Monitor Team Momentum: Al Ahly’s recent run of 4 wins and 1 draw in 5 games reflects a squad firing on all cylinders. In contrast, El Gaish’s 1 win and 3 draws in their last 5 outings indicate a team that competes but rarely converts chances, giving Al Ahly a clear confidence edge.
  • Factor in Pitch and Crowd: Al Salam Stadium’s natural grass surface suits Al Ahly’s fluid, attacking style, honed through years of dominance there. With 30,000 passionate fans behind them, the home side gains a tangible boost, while El Gaish may feel the pressure as visitors.
  • Check Referee Tendencies: Though the referee is unconfirmed, Egypt Premier League officials often lean strict. Given Al Ahly’s aggressive pressing and El Gaish’s counterattacking approach, expect a game with potential for cards worth considering for side bets like total bookings.
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Al Ahly vs El Gaish Match Prediction 2025

Al Ahly shows up in this conflict as overwhelming favorites, and the statistics supports this. They are a fortress at Al Salam Stadium with their perfect home record (5W-3D-0L) along with an amazing goal difference (16:7). Though he has a great away record (4W-1D-2L), El Gaish has struggled offensively averaging just 1.14 goals per trip game. Their one victory against Al Ahly in the past five meetings 1-0 in 2022 feels out of line against four clear losses, including a 4-0 beating in July 2024. Al Ahly’s present form four victories and a tie in five further tilts the scales; El Gaish’s three draws in five imply they can hang tough but rarely finish the job. With bookers preferring an easy home win, the Al Ahly vs El Gaish odds will probably reflect this difference. With El Gaish’s defensive discipline three clean sheets lately they might keep it tight early, but Al Ahly’s firepower should take front stage. Al Ahly is likely to win 2-0; their offense breaks through in the second half while El Gaish gets tired.

Our Prediction: Al Ahly 2-0 El Gaish

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultAl Ahly to win1.44
Both Teams to ScoreNo1.7
Total GoalsUnder 2.5 Goals1.81

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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