AEK Larnaca vs Pafos (2:4): Cyprus League 05/10/2025

October 05, 2025
Status: Finished
2-4
Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
match decor

Get ready for a thrilling Cyprus First Division clash as AEK Larnaca host Pafos at AEK Arena – George Karapatakis on October 5, 2025, at 16:00 GMT+0, with Cypriot referee Marios Christoforou overseeing the action. This First Division encounter, set in the 8,058-capacity venue in Larnaca, pits two competitive sides vying for supremacy in a tightly contested league.

AEK Larnaca, riding a wave of three straight wins, aim to leverage their home strength, while Pafos, with four victories in five, seek to continue their impressive form. With both teams showcasing attacking flair, AEK Larnaca vs Pafos betting tips will focus on who can capitalize on defensive gaps in this high-stakes showdown.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

To craft a sharp AEK Larnaca vs Pafos prediction today, you need to unpack their recent form and extensive head-to-head history. AEK’s home dominance meets Pafos’s road resilience, promising a lively contest. Their 27 meetings, with AEK winning 12 and Pafos 7, suggest tight battles. The stats below dive into performances to guide your bets. Expect a game where both sides’ attacking intent creates opportunities.

AEK Larnaca Results

AEK Larnaca have been in top form, winning three straight games across all competitions. Their 4-0 routs of AZ Alkmaar in the Europa Conference League and Krasava in the First Division highlight their attacking prowess. The AEK Arena remains a fortress, making them tough to beat.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
02/10/2025ECLAEK Larnaca vs AZ4-0W
27/09/2025CLKrasava vs AEK Larnaca0-4W
22/09/2025CLAEK Larnaca vs Aris3-2W
17/09/2025CLOmonia vs AEK Larnaca1-0L
13/09/2025CLAnorthosis vs AEK Larnaca1-1D

AEK’s three wins in five, including a 4-0 thrashing of AZ, show their attacking bite, averaging 1.79 goals per game. Their 1-0 loss to Omonia is a rare blip. Conceding just 0.8 goals per game highlights defensive solidity. Miličević’s three goals add firepower. Pafos’s strong attack will test their robust defense.

Pafos Results

Pafos have been a force, winning four of their last five games across all competitions. Their 3-0 win over Enosis and 2-0 victory at Omonia Aradippou showcase their road strength. Despite a 1-5 loss to Bayern Munich, they remain dangerous in the First Division.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
30/09/2025CLPafos vs Bayern Munich1-5L
27/09/2025CLPafos vs Ol. Nicosia2-1W
24/09/2025CLPafos vs Enosis3-0W
21/09/2025CLOmonia Aradippou vs Pafos0-2W
17/09/2025CLOlympiakos Piraeus vs Pafos0-0D

Pafos’s four wins in five, scoring eight goals in the First Division, underline their attacking prowess, averaging 1.31 goals per game. Their 1-5 loss to Bayern exposed defensive frailties in Europe. Three straight league wins show consistency. Conceding 0.4 goals per game is impressive. AEK’s home form will challenge their road resilience.

AEK Larnaca
Pafos fc
Who will win Sunday’s Cyprus League clash between AEK Larnaca and Pafos?
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AEK Larnaca
33%
Draw
31%
Pafos
36%
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AEK Larnaca vs Pafos Head-to-Head

AEK Larnaca and Pafos have a competitive history, with AEK winning 12 and Pafos 7 of their 27 meetings. Recent clashes, including Pafos’s 2-0 win in May 2025, show their growing threat. Three of the last five games saw one team keep a clean sheet, suggesting tight battles.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
24/05/2025CUPAEK Larnaca vs Pafos0-0
18/05/2025CLPafos vs AEK Larnaca2-0
13/04/2025CLAEK Larnaca vs Pafos2-2
22/12/2024CLPafos vs AEK Larnaca0-1
01/09/2024CLAEK Larnaca vs Pafos0-2

AEK’s 12 wins in 27 meetings give them a historical edge, but Pafos’s two victories in the last five show their rise. The 0-0 cup draw in 2025 and 2-2 league stalemate suggest parity. Three clean sheets in five games point to defensive battles. Pafos’s recent 2-0 win adds intrigue. This history suggests a close, low-scoring affair.

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Probable Lineups for AEK Larnaca vs Pafos Football Match

The Cyprus First Division clash at AEK Arena – George Karapatakis on October 5, 2025, sees AEK Larnaca take on Pafos in a battle for league supremacy. Below are the predicted starting lineups, aligned with both teams’ 4-2-3-1 formations, based on recent performances, player availability, and tactical setups. These selections reflect how both managers might approach this high-stakes encounter to gain an edge.

AEK Larnaca Predicted Lineup

Pirić (GK), Tomović (DF), González (DF), Milenković (DF), García (DF), Mamas (MF), Pons (MF), Faraj (AM), Miličević (AM), Gnali (AM), Lopes (FW)

Pafos Predicted Lineup

Ivušić (GK), Goldar (DF), Kvida (DF), Rus (DF), Melluso (DF), Dragicevic (MF), Name (MF), Oršić (AM), Tanković (AM), Valakari (AM), Jairo (FW)

Injured and Questionable Players

Both AEK Larnaca and Pafos face challenges with key players sidelined for this October 5, 2025, First Division match, with injuries and other absences impacting their squads. The table below lists players unavailable for the clash, detailing their team and reason for absence. These absences could influence the game’s dynamics, particularly in attack and defense.

TeamPlayerReason
AEK LarnacaYousef AmynInactive
AEK LarnacaKarol AngielskiMuscle Injury
AEK LarnacaEnzo CabreraInjury
AEK LarnacaJairo IzquierdoInactive
AEK LarnacaGodswill EkpoloInjury
PafosPedraoKnee Injury

Key Factors to Watch

To craft sharp AEK Larnaca vs Pafos betting tips, focus on the elements that could tip this First Division clash. Form, player contributions, and home advantage will shape the outcome at AEK Arena. Here’s what to keep an eye on for October 5, 2025:

  • AEK’s Home Strength: Three straight wins, including a 4-0 over AZ, show their dominance at AEK Arena;
  • Pafos’s Road Form: Three wins in four away games, conceding just 0.4 goals per game, highlight resilience;
  • Miličević’s Scoring: AEK’s top scorer with three goals could exploit Pafos’s defense;
  • Injuries: AEK miss Amyn, Angielski, Cabrera, and others; Pafos lack Pedrao;
  • Oršić’s Threat: Pafos’s forward, with two goals, adds attacking bite;
  • AEK’s Defensive Record: Conceding 0.8 goals per game gives them an edge;
  • No Scandals: Both teams are focused, with no off-field distractions reported;
  • Tankovic’s Playmaking: Pafos’s two assists from Tankovic could unlock AEK’s backline.

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Free Tips on AEK Larnaca vs Pafos

To boost your AEK Larnaca vs Pafos match prediction for this Cyprus First Division clash on October 5, 2025, at AEK Arena – George Karapatakis, dive into the stats and context shaping this encounter. This list highlights critical angles, from historical clashes to external factors, to sharpen your betting strategy. Here are five tips to guide your wagers for this competitive showdown.

  • Head-to-Head Balance: AEK’s 12 wins in 27 meetings give them a slight edge, but Pafos’s two victories in the last five, including a 2-0 in 2025, show their growing threat;
  • Home vs Away Dynamics: AEK’s three straight home wins, including a 4-0 rout, contrast with Pafos’s three away wins in four, suggesting a tight battle;
  • Pitch Conditions: AEK Arena’s natural grass, likely pristine in October’s mild weather, favors AEK’s attacking style over Pafos’s defensive resilience;
  • Referee Tendencies: Marios Christoforou’s average of 4.0 cards per First Division game makes over 3.5 cards a solid bet for a feisty match;
  • Fan Influence: AEK’s passionate home crowd could pressure Pafos, especially in a close game’s final moments.
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AEK Larnaca vs Pafos Match Prediction 2025

For the AEK Larnaca vs Pafos prediction 2025, I’m backing a 1-0 AEK Larnaca win, driven by their home dominance. AEK’s three straight wins, including a 4-0 rout of AZ, showcase their form, averaging 1.79 goals per game. Pafos’s four wins in five, including a 2-0 at Omonia Aradippou, make them dangerous, but their 1-5 loss to Bayern exposed vulnerabilities. The AEK Larnaca vs Pafos odds likely favor AEK around 3.15, reflecting their 12 wins in 27 head-to-heads and home strength. Pafos’s 2-0 win in May 2025 shows their threat, but AEK’s 0-1 victory in 2024 at Pafos tilts the balance. Miličević’s three goals face Tankovic’s creativity, but AEK’s 0.8 goals conceded per game suggests a shutout. Expect a tight game, with AEK’s defense holding firm for a narrow victory.

Our Prediction: AEK Larnaca 1-0 Pafos

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultAEK Larnaca Win2.78
Both Teams to ScoreNo1.78
Total GoalsUnder 2.51.59

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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