Get ready for a cracking clash as West Indies take on Australia in the third Test of the 2025 World Test Championship, a day-nighter that promises drama under the lights. With Australia leading 2-0, the West Indies are fighting for pride at home, and this pink-ball Test could shake things up. Our West Indies vs Australia prediction 2025 dives into the key factors, from player form to pitch quirks, to help you make sense of the betting landscape.
The match kicks off at 18:30 GMT+0 on July 12, 2025, at Sabina Park, Kingston, Jamaica, a venue known for its pace-friendly bounce. This is the final Test of the three-match series, part of the 2025-2027 World Test Championship, with no umpire details confirmed yet. Australia aim to seal a whitewash, while West Indies hope their fiery bowlers can exploit the pink ball’s swing to stage an upset.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
To nail your West Indies vs Australia betting tips, you need to know where both teams stand. The West Indies vs Australia prediction today hinges on recent form, head-to-head battles, and how players handle the unique pink-ball conditions. Australia’s batting has wobbled, but their bowlers have been relentless. West Indies, meanwhile, have shown fight with the ball but struggled to post big runs. Let’s unpack the numbers to see what’s cooking for this Test.
West Indies Results
West Indies have had a tough run, but their bowlers keep them in the hunt. The first two Tests against Australia exposed their batting frailties, yet their pace attack, led by Shamar Joseph, has been a handful. Let’s look at their last five matches to gauge their momentum.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 03/07/2025 | Test | West Indies vs Australia | Australia won by 133 runs | L |
| 25/06/2025 | Test | West Indies vs Australia | Australia won by 159 runs | L |
| 15/06/2025 | T20I | Ireland vs West Indies | West Indies won by 62 runs | W |
| 10/06/2025 | T20I | England vs West Indies | England won by 37 runs | L |
| 08/06/2025 | T20I | England vs West Indies | England won by 4 wickets | L |
West Indies are on a two-match losing streak in Tests, crumbling under pressure in chases. Their bowling, especially Shamar Joseph’s nine wickets in the first Test, remains a bright spot. Batting collapses, like scoring 141 and 143 in their last two fourth innings, show a lack of grit. The T20I win against Ireland hints at some fight, but Test cricket demands more consistency. They’ll need their top order to fire in Kingston to avoid another defeat.
Australia Results
Australia are in top gear, with their bowling attack steamrolling opponents. Despite batting hiccups, players like Travis Head and Alex Carey have delivered when it counts. Here’s how they’ve fared in their last five outings.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 03/07/2025 | Test | West Indies vs Australia | Australia won by 133 runs | W |
| 25/06/2025 | Test | West Indies vs Australia | Australia won by 159 runs | W |
| 11/06/2025 | Test | Australia vs South Africa | South Africa won by 5 wickets | L |
| 04/03/2025 | ICC | India vs Australia | India won by 4 wickets | L |
| 22/02/2025 | ICC | Australia vs England | Australia won by 5 wickets | W |
Australia’s back-to-back Test wins in this series highlight their dominance, even on tricky Caribbean pitches. Their loss to South Africa in the WTC Final exposed top-order frailties, but they’ve since tightened up. Travis Head’s 120 runs in the series show his knack for tough situations. The bowling trio of Starc, Hazlewood, and Cummins has been ruthless, taking 19 wickets combined in Grenada. They’re poised to keep the pressure on in Jamaica.
West Indies vs Australia Head-to-Head (Last 5 Matches)
The rivalry between West Indies and Australia is steeped in history, with Australia holding the upper hand lately. These head-to-head clashes reveal a pattern of Aussie dominance, though West Indies have sprung surprises. Let’s check the last five encounters.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 03/07/2025 | Test | West Indies vs Australia | Australia won by 133 runs |
| 25/06/2025 | Test | West Indies vs Australia | Australia won by 159 runs |
| 31/05/2024 | World Cup | West Indies vs Australia | West Indies won by 35 runs |
| 13/02/2024 | T20I | Australia vs West Indies | West Indies won by 37 runs |
| 11/02/2024 | T20I | Australia vs West Indies | Australia won by 34 runs |
Australia’s 4-1 edge in the last five meetings underscores their control, especially in Tests. West Indies’ wins in shorter formats show they can compete when their batters click. The Test losses highlight their struggle to sustain pressure over five encounters
Predicted Lineups for West Indies vs Australia Cricket Match
Before diving into our West Indies vs Australia match prediction, let’s look at the likely starting XIs for both sides in this third Test at Sabina Park on July 12, 2025. These predicted lineups reflect current form, injuries, and tactical tweaks, giving you a snapshot of who’s expected to take the field. With Australia aiming for a series whitewash and West Indies fighting for pride, the team selections could be pivotal.
| West Indies Player | Position | Australia Player | Position |
| Brathwaite | Batsman | Khawaja | Batsman |
| Anderson | Batsman | Konstas | Batsman |
| Carty | Batsman | Green | Batsman |
| King | Batsman | Smith | Batsman |
| Greaves | All-rounder | Head | Batsman |
| Chase | All-rounder | Webster | All-rounder |
| Hope | Wicketkeeper | Carey | Wicketkeeper |
| Layne | Bowler | Cummins | Bowler |
| Warrican | Bowler | Starc | Bowler |
| A Joseph | Bowler | Lyon | Bowler |
| Seales | Bowler | Hazlewood | Bowler |
Key Factors to Watch
Both teams have strengths and weaknesses that could swing this Test. From injuries to form, several elements will shape the outcome. Here’s what to keep an eye on.
- West Indies’ bowling form: Shamar Joseph’s 22 wickets against Australia at a strike rate of 23.5 balls are a massive threat;
- Australia’s top-order woes: Sam Konstas has scored 25 and 0 in Grenada, putting pressure on Khawaja and Green;
- Pink-ball conditions: Sabina Park’s pitch aids seamers, especially under lights, favoring Starc’s 74 wickets in day-nighters;
- West Indies’ batting collapses: Their last two fourth innings totaled 141 and 143, signaling weakness under pressure;
- Travis Head’s consistency: His 120 runs in the series make him a key figure on a bowler-friendly track;
- Injury concerns: Steve Smith is back for Australia, but West Indies may miss John Campbell, with Kevlon Anderson likely to step in;
- Weather impact: Rain is forecast for Kingston, potentially disrupting play and favoring a draw;
- Team morale: Australia’s 2-0 lead boosts confidence, while West Indies need a spark to avoid a whitewash.
Free Tips on West Indies vs Australia
The West Indies vs Australia clash on July 12, 2025, is a Test match loaded with betting potential, and a few smart tips can give you an edge. By digging into past stats and team dynamics, you can spot patterns that hint at how this pink-ball Test at Sabina Park might play out. Here are five practical pointers to guide your West Indies vs Australia betting tips, tailored to this specific showdown.
- Study head-to-head trends: Australia’s 4-1 record in the last five meetings, including two Test wins this series, suggests they thrive against West Indies, especially in longer formats;
- Check player-specific stats: Travis Head’s 120 runs in the series make him a solid bet for top run-scorer, while Shamar Joseph’s 22 wickets against Australia signal his wicket-taking threat;
- Factor in home advantage: West Indies have a strong record at Sabina Park, winning 2 of their last 3 Tests there, which could boost their morale despite the series deficit;
- Consider recent schedules: Australia’s packed tour, with back-to-back Tests, might cause fatigue, while West Indies, playing at home, have had more rest;
- Account for pitch type: Sabina Park’s natural grass pitch, known for its bounce, favors fast bowlers like Starc and Joseph, likely leading to a low-scoring, seamer-dominated game.
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West Indies vs Australia Match Prediction 2025
For our West Indies vs Australia prediction 2025, Australia start as favorites, but the pink-ball Test adds intrigue. The West Indies vs Australia odds heavily back the visitors, with bookmakers like 1xBet listing Australia at 1.067 and West Indies at 17 for the second Test. Sabina Park’s seaming track suits Australia’s pace attack, led by Mitchell Starc, who averages 18.14 in day-nighters. Pat Cummins and Josh Hazlewood’s relentless accuracy, with 19 wickets combined in the series, will test West Indies’ shaky batting. Travis Head’s form, averaging 42 in Tests since 2022, gives Australia an edge in posting competitive totals.
West Indies, though, aren’t out of it. Shamar Joseph’s fiery spells could exploit Australia’s top-order wobbles, especially Sam Konstas’ struggles. Brandon King’s 75 in Grenada shows potential, but their batting needs to step up against Australia’s disciplined attack. Rain forecasts might tilt things toward a draw, but Australia’s knack for grinding out wins, as seen in their 133-run victory in Grenada, makes them the safer bet. I’m backing Australia to clinch the series 3-0, likely wrapping it up by an innings or 100 runs, given their bowling depth and West Indies’ fourth-innings frailties.
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Australia Win | 1.16 |
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