Udine host Brescia at PalaCarnera on 19/10/2025 (20:00 CET) in Lega Basket Serie A, Round 3. The officiating crew is Grigioni V., Perciavalle A., Nicolini A. Expect a disciplined, half-court brand of basketball that emphasizes shot quality and foul control.
For a newly promoted side, Udine have already proved stubborn defensively, while Brescia arrive 2-0 with a proven core. With Round 3 stakes in Italy’s top flight and a supportive home crowd in Udine, margins should be tight and possessions valuable.
Betting Tips
Before digging into recent form and meetings, frame your Udine vs Brescia prediction today around tempo control, lineup stability, and how each team’s shot profile travels. Brescia’s structured offense and Udine’s rim protection tilt the game toward methodical possessions. Keep an eye on referee tendencies and how early fouls may alter rotations. Finally, consider how each side closes games both have played tight finishes lately.
Udine last five matches
Udine enter Round 3 off two narrow top-flight results, including overtime versus Virtus. Their A2 run-in shows scoring pop, but Serie A pace has been notably slower. Defensive rebounding and paint protection remain the identity.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 11/10/2025 | LBA | Udine vs Virtus Bologna | 80-82 (72-72) | D/L |
| 05/10/2025 | LBA | Reggiana vs Udine | 76-71 | L |
| 27/04/2025 | A2 | Udine vs Basket Torino | 108-101 (91-91) | D/W |
| 19/04/2025 | A2 | Pesaro vs Udine | 82-84 | W |
| 13/04/2025 | A2 | Udine vs Rimini | 95-86 | W |
Udine’s recent step up to LBA brought down the pace and totals versus A2. Even in defeat, the Virtus game showed they can grind elite opponents. The paint defense and board work limit second chances. Offensive variance increases against structured half-court defenses. Overall, this is a team comfortable in tight, lower-possession contests.
Brescia last five matches
Brescia kept their core together and opened the league with authority. Their schedule mixes home and away wins with one setback versus Milano. Expect disciplined pace, inside-out execution through Bilan, and perimeter shot creation from Della Valle/Ivanovic.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 11/10/2025 | LBA | Brescia vs Trento | 72-63 | W |
| 05/10/2025 | LBA | Treviso vs Brescia | 100-102 (84-84) | D/W |
| 28/09/2025 | LBA | Brescia vs Olimpia Milano | 76-90 | L |
| 27/09/2025 | LBA | Trento vs Brescia | 75-88 | W |
| 10/09/2025 | Club Fr. | Brescia vs Rytas | 93-75 | W |
Brescia’s defense locked down Trento at home, reflecting strong half-court control. The narrow road win at Treviso shows late-game composure. Against Milano, shot quality dipped under pressure. Bench contributions appear steady, sustaining pace without run-and-gun. Overall form suggests reliability rather than volatility.
Udine vs Brescia head-to-head record
These clubs meet in Serie A for the first time, so there’s no top-flight sample to benchmark. That raises uncertainty in stylistic matchups and places more weight on each side’s current profiles. Treat any small-sample friendlies as non-predictive versus league intensity.
Projected starting fives
Below are indicative starting units to set expectations for roles and matchups. Starters can change close to tip based on fitness and coaching strategy.
| Udine (Player) | Pos | Brescia (Player) | Pos |
| Aubrey Dawkins | G/F | David Cournooh / D. Rivers* | G/F |
| Eimantas Bendžius | F | Maurice Ndour | F/C |
| Chinanu Mekowulu | C | Miro Bilan | C |
| DJ Brewton | G | Amedeo Della Valle | G |
| Andrea Calzavara | G | Nikola Ivanovic | G |
*If Rivers starts; rotation guard spot may vary.
Injury/availability report
Below is the current snapshot; statuses may update on game day.
| Team | Player | Status | Notes |
| Udine | Shakur Juiston | Out (season) | Serious summer injury, long-term absence |
| Udine | Anthony Hickey | Available | Returns to lineup, boosts ball handling |
| Brescia | C.J. Massinburg | Questionable | Monitoring fitness; role wing/guard |
| Brescia | Jason Burnell | Questionable | Reported mid-week issues; game-time call possible |
Udine regain control in the backcourt with Hickey’s return but remain without Juiston’s two-way versatility. For Brescia, late decisions on Massinburg/Burnell affect wing size and second-unit shot creation; even if active, minutes could be managed.
Key factors shaping the market and matchup
Before staking, consider how these context levers can tilt totals and spreads. Udine’s defensive identity and Brescia’s structured offense suggest controlled possessions, but a few variables can shift the needle quickly:
- Udine’s rim protection vs Bilan’s post efficiency in a half-court setting;
- Foul discipline of Udine’s bigs; early bonus would inflate free throws;
- Brescia’s perimeter accuracy (Della Valle/Ivanovic) versus Udine’s close-outs;
- Bench stability if Massinburg/Burnell are limited or sit;
- Udine’s turnover control with Hickey back handling pressure;
- Pace drag from set plays on both sides (fewer transition points);
- Home-court edges at PalaCarnera (boards, energy plays, whistle nuance);
- Late-game execution in two-possession scenarios (ATO sets, matchup hunting).
Free Tips on Udine vs Brescia
This shortlist distills practical angles you can apply pre-match or live. It focuses on pace, roles, and leverage situations rather than raw narratives. Use it to sanity-check your staking plan and to time entries if lines drift:
- Game Pace Check: If early possessions show walk-up sets and deep clocks, unders gain value avoid chasing overs unless transition spikes.
- Matchup Lever: If Brescia establish Bilan on the block against single coverage, look for Udine’s help rotations; kick-outs can swing quarter totals briefly great for in-play micro-unders after made threes.
- Bench Impact: Track Brescia’s wing depth; a shortened rotation without Massinburg/Burnell favors lower totals and first-half unders.
- Foul Watch (Live): If Udine’s centers collect 2+ early fouls, expect rising FTA and a possible in-play over adjustment otherwise, baseline under remains live.
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Udine vs Brescia Match Prediction 2025
Given profiles and current form, this projects as a possession-managed contest with selective three-point creation. Udine’s defensive glass and size can blunt second-chance spikes, while Brescia’s structured half-court (Ivanovic as primary, Bilan interior gravity, Della Valle off movement) suppresses volatility. Referee crew tendencies further point to control rather than track-meet. While Udine vs Brescia odds may shade toward Brescia’s experience, the stronger angle is the total: both sides prefer set offenses, and Udine’s recent LBA scores indicate suppressed pace. Unless whistle patterns escalate free throws unusually early, scoring should stay under common market numbers. Brescia’s composure in late possessions gives them a marginal win probability edge, but the clearest value remains on the total staying below mid-160s, especially if Massinburg/Burnell minutes are capped.
Predictions & Markets
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Total Points | Under 164.5 | 1.72 |
| Moneyline | Brescia to Win | 1.8 |
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