Turkey vs Serbia (95:90): EuroBasket 03/09/2025

September 03, 2025
Status: Finished
90-95
EuroBasket
Turkey
Serbia
match decor

The EuroBasket clash between Turkey and Serbia will take place on 03/09/2025 at 20:15 local time, which corresponds to 18:15 GMT+0. The game is scheduled at the Xiaomi Arena in Riga, one of the modern basketball venues in Europe, built to host high-profile events. It will be part of Round 5 of the group stage, where both sides are fighting for the top spot.

The referees for this match have not been officially announced, but given the tournament’s importance, top-level European officials will be assigned. With Turkey undefeated so far and Serbia also boasting a perfect record, this showdown is shaping up as one of the most anticipated fixtures in the group stage of EuroBasket 2025.

Turkey vs Serbia Betting Tips and Match Insights

The Turkey vs Serbia prediction today is not only about raw talent but also about how each side adapts to the current tournament situation. Turkey enters with high morale after four straight victories, while Serbia has been efficient but shows signs of vulnerability. Both sides have offensive depth, yet Serbia faces the absence of Bogdan Bogdanovic. Turkey has managed to rotate effectively, keeping key players fresh. This game is likely to be a close battle, with tactical decisions making the difference.

Turkey Results

Turkey has shown excellent form in this tournament, combining experience and youthful energy. The team has been consistent on both ends of the court and currently enjoys a winning streak. Their results provide a clear picture of how well they are performing.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
01.09.25EuroBasketEstonia vs Turkey64:84W
30.08.25EuroBasketTurkey vs Portugal95:54W
29.08.25EuroBasketTurkey vs Czech Rep.92:78W
27.08.25EuroBasketLatvia vs Turkey73:93W
23.08.25FriendlyTurkey vs Montenegro96:85W

Turkey has been dominant, winning comfortably in all their matches. Their offense regularly surpasses 90 points, while their defense holds opponents to modest totals. The balance between starters and bench has been effective. The rhythm of play has been fast yet controlled. This consistency makes them a genuine contender for the top spot.

Serbia Results

Serbia entered EuroBasket as one of the main favorites and has lived up to that reputation with solid wins. Despite losing Bogdan Bogdanovic, they remain unbeaten in the group. Nikola Jokic has carried much of the load, and the supporting cast is stepping up.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
01.09.25EuroBasketSerbia vs Czech Rep.82:60W
30.08.25EuroBasketLatvia vs Serbia80:84W
29.08.25EuroBasketPortugal vs Serbia69:80W
27.08.25EuroBasketSerbia vs Estonia98:64W
21.08.25FriendlySerbia vs Slovenia106:72W

Serbia has been strong but showed signs of struggle against Latvia. Jokic delivered an outstanding performance to secure that win. Their defensive work remains efficient, yet offensive rhythm without Bogdanovic looks inconsistent. The rotation is less flexible compared to Turkey. Serbia’s wins are convincing, though not flawless.

Who will win Wednesday’s EuroBasket clash between Turkey and Serbia?
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Turkey
31%
Draw
0%
Serbia
69%
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Turkey vs Serbia Head-to-Head Results

These teams share a long history of competitive basketball, with Serbia having the upper hand in recent meetings. Turkey has not managed to beat Serbia in the last several encounters. This match is a chance for Turkey to change the narrative.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
14.11.22WC QualifierSerbia vs Turkey77:76
28.08.22WC QualifierTurkey vs Serbia72:79
16.08.19FriendlySerbia vs Turkey87:72
04.09.17EuroBasketSerbia vs Turkey80:74
09.09.15EuroBasketTurkey vs Serbia72:91

Serbia has dominated the head-to-head record, winning all five of the most recent games. The margins were sometimes narrow, showing Turkey can compete, but Serbia consistently finished stronger. This trend gives them psychological confidence going into the upcoming clash.

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Projected Starting Lineups for Turkey vs Serbia in Basketball

Here we look at the expected starting lineups for both Turkey and Serbia ahead of their EuroBasket 2025 matchup. These projected lineups are based on recent games, player availability, and the coaching strategies used throughout the tournament. While final rosters may differ, these names are the most likely to take the court from the start.

Turkey PlayerPositionSerbia PlayerPosition
LarkinPGMicicPG
OsmanSGGuduricSG
SipahiSFJovicSF
SengunPFJokicPF
SanliCMilutinovC

Key Factors Ahead of the Game

Both teams approach this match with different strengths and weaknesses. There are several key points to keep in mind before placing a wager.

  • Turkey remains unbeaten in EuroBasket 2025 so far;
  • Serbia also holds a perfect record but had closer matches;
  • Bogdan Bogdanovic is out injured and unavailable for Serbia;
  • Nikola Jokic is in peak form and carried Serbia with 39 points against Latvia;
  • Shane Larkin, Cedi Osman, and Alperen Sengun are all performing at a high level;
  • Turkey’s bench has contributed consistently on both ends;
  • Vasilije Micic is struggling with form, which puts extra pressure on Jokic;
  • Serbia’s defense has been stable, yet their offensive options look limited;
  • Turkey’s pace and ball movement could expose gaps in Serbia’s rotations.

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Free Tips on Turkey vs Serbia

When preparing to bet on Turkey vs Serbia, it helps to go deeper into the details that can shape the outcome. Looking at recent results, past meetings, and the current circumstances of both teams reveals more than just surface-level form. Here are several tips that focus on specifics you should weigh carefully before making a decision.

  • Recent head-to-head meetings clearly favor Serbia, and this psychological advantage could still play a role despite their current injury problems;
  • Player form will be decisive, especially with Nikola Jokic carrying Serbia, while Alperen Sengun and Cedi Osman look sharp for Turkey;
  • Serbia has had a tighter schedule and faced fatigue issues in the last game against Latvia, while Turkey rotated more efficiently to keep players fresh;
  • The absence of Bogdan Bogdanovic changes Serbia’s tactical approach and reduces their options in crunch moments;
  • Motivation is key in this clash, since the winner secures first place in the group and a much easier path in the knockout stage.
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Turkey vs Serbia Match Prediction 2025

The Turkey vs Serbia odds reflect the balance between Serbia’s individual star power and Turkey’s collective form. Serbia still carries the favorite tag due to Jokic’s dominance and their head-to-head record. However, Turkey’s chemistry, depth, and momentum cannot be ignored. Without Bogdanovic, Serbia’s offensive versatility is reduced, and the pressure on Jokic may become too heavy. Turkey’s backcourt trio of Larkin, Osman, and Sipahi is sharper than Serbia’s guards at this stage. We expect a tight game where Turkey covers the spread, with a realistic chance of winning outright if they sustain defensive intensity.

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultTurkey Win3.05

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About the Author

Born in Chicago in 1985, Alex Thompson, a renowned betting expert, obtained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Michigan in 2011. From 2012 to 2018, he collaborated with several NBA teams, specializing in play pattern recognition and player efficiency evaluations. Thompson has contributed to 14 peer-reviewed papers, emphasizing the importance of transitional play and on-court decision-making. In 2019, he shifted his focus to journalism. Thompson currently writes analytical pieces on basketball and is a regular contributor to various sports platforms, employing his expertise to dissect game dynamics and player performance.

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