Real Madrid vs Olympiacos (89:77): Euroleague 02/10/2025

October 02, 2025
Status: Finished
89-77
Euroleague
Real Madrid
Olympiacos
match decor

The highly anticipated clash between Real Madrid and Olympiacos is set to tip off at 20:45 local time in Madrid, which corresponds to 18:45 GMT+0, on October 2, 2025. This game will take place at the Movistar Arena, a venue known for its electric atmosphere and capacity to host over 12,000 fans, providing a significant home advantage for the Spanish side. Referee assignments for this matchup have not been officially announced yet, but Euroleague officials typically appoint experienced crews for such high-profile games in the regular season.

As part of the Euroleague’s regular season, this encounter marks an early test for both teams in what promises to be a competitive campaign. Real Madrid, the defending champions from recent seasons, will look to assert dominance at home, while Olympiacos aims to build on their strong preseason form despite challenges. The stage is the opening rounds of the league, where positioning for playoffs begins to take shape, adding extra intrigue to this rematch of past playoff rivals.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

Diving into the betting landscape for this Euroleague showdown, enthusiasts should focus on recent performances and historical data to inform their wagers. Understanding how each team has fared in their latest outings can reveal patterns in scoring, defense, and overall momentum. Head-to-head encounters often highlight stylistic clashes that could influence the outcome. Real Madrid vs Olympiacos prediction today leans toward a close contest given the talent on both sides. By examining these elements, bettors can gain valuable insights into potential value plays.

Real Madrid Results

Real Madrid enters this Euroleague matchup with a mix of recent results from domestic and preseason games, showcasing their depth but also areas for improvement. The team has been adjusting to potential absences and integrating new pieces under their coaching staff. Their performances in the Spanish Supercup and earlier friendlies provide a snapshot of their current capabilities.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
28.09.25SUPReal Madrid vs Valencia94-98L
27.09.25SUPReal Madrid vs Tenerife72-71W
06.09.25CFReal Madrid vs Alba Berlin90-65W
25.06.25ACBValencia vs Real Madrid70-81W
22.06.25ACBReal Madrid vs Valencia102-96W

Real Madrid’s recent loss to Valencia exposed vulnerabilities in their defense, allowing high scoring from opponents. However, narrow victories like against Tenerife demonstrate resilience in close games. Preseason dominance over Alba Berlin highlights their offensive firepower when healthy. Success in the ACB finals series shows championship pedigree that could translate to Euroleague. Overall, the team appears poised for a strong start if they minimize turnovers.

Olympiacos Results

Olympiacos approaches this game on a positive note, having secured multiple wins in preseason and early competitions, building confidence for the Euroleague grind. The Greek side has emphasized defensive intensity and quick transitions in their recent outings. Their form suggests a well-oiled machine ready to challenge top teams away from home.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
30.09.25EURBaskonia vs Olympiacos96-102W
27.09.25SCOlympiacos vs Promitheas92-83W
26.09.25SCOlympiacos vs AS Karditsas89-56W
21.09.25CFCrvena Zvezda vs Olympiacos83-86W
19.09.25CFOlympiacos vs Olimpia Milano76-71W

Olympiacos’ victory over Baskonia in their Euroleague opener underscores their ability to perform on the road against tough foes. Dominant wins in the Greek Supercup reflect a balanced attack and solid bench contributions. Preseason triumphs against Crvena Zvezda and Olimpia Milano indicate adaptability in international play. The team’s scoring efficiency has been consistent across competitions. This streak positions them as a formidable opponent despite travel fatigue.

Real_Madrid
Olympiacos
Who will win Thursday’s Euroleague clash between Real Madrid and Olympiacos?
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Real Madrid
62%
Draw
0%
Olympiacos
38%
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Real Madrid vs Olympiacos Head-to-Head

The rivalry between Real Madrid and Olympiacos has produced thrilling encounters in recent Euroleague seasons, often decided by slim margins. These teams know each other’s tactics well from playoff battles, adding layers of strategy to every meeting. Reviewing their past clashes can uncover trends in scoring and defensive matchups.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
01.05.25EURReal Madrid vs Olympiacos84-86
29.04.25EURReal Madrid vs Olympiacos80-72
25.04.25EUROlympiacos vs Real Madrid77-71
23.04.25EUROlympiacos vs Real Madrid84-72
16.01.25EURReal Madrid vs Olympiacos86-96

Olympiacos holds a slight edge in these recent meetings, winning three of five, which suggests they can exploit Real Madrid’s weaknesses effectively.

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Predicted Starting Lineups for Real Madrid vs Olympiacos

This section outlines the projected starting lineups for the Euroleague basketball matchup between Real Madrid and Olympiacos on October 2, 2025, at Movistar Arena. With injuries impacting both teams, these lineups reflect likely rotations based on recent performances, player availability, and tactical preferences. The table below compares the anticipated starters for each team, highlighting their positions to give insight into how the teams may match up on the court.

Real Madrid PlayerPositionOlympiacos PlayerPosition
Alberto AbaldeGuardEvan FournierGuard
Gabriel DeckForwardSasha VezenkovForward
Facundo CampazzoGuardThomas WalkupGuard
Mario HezonjaForwardTyler DorseyGuard/Forward
Edy TavaresCenterNikola MilutinovCenter

Key Factors to Consider

As we break down this matchup, several elements beyond basic stats warrant attention for a comprehensive view. Injuries and form play pivotal roles in shaping team dynamics and potential outcomes. Recent successes or setbacks can also influence morale and execution on the court.

  • Olympiacos will miss key guards Shaquille McKissic, Frank Ntilikina, and Keenan Evans due to injuries, weakening their backcourt depth;
  • Center Moustapha Fall is also sidelined for Olympiacos, impacting their interior defense and rebounding;
  • Real Madrid’s Theo Maledon is out indefinitely with a thigh injury, affecting their playmaking options;
  • Real Madrid’s mixed form includes a recent domestic loss, highlighting defensive lapses against high-scoring teams;
  • Olympiacos rides a five-game winning streak, boosting confidence despite the absences;
  • Real Madrid boasts a strong home record in Euroleague, often fueled by fan support at Movistar Arena;
  • No major scandals have surfaced for either team recently, allowing focus on gameplay;
  • Olympiacos’ road resilience was evident in their recent Euroleague win over Baskonia;
  • Key players like Real Madrid’s stars must step up to cover for Maledon, while Olympiacos relies on remaining guards for scoring.

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Free Tips for Real Madrid vs Olympiacos

This list provides essential betting tips tailored for the Euroleague clash between Real Madrid and Olympiacos on October 2, 2025, at Movistar Arena. Drawing from recent team performances and historical matchups, these insights aim to guide bettors toward informed decisions. Consider these factors to better understand the dynamics of this high-stakes encounter.

  • Leverage Recent Team Momentum: Olympiacos boasts a five-game winning streak, including a 102-96 road win against Baskonia, signaling strong confidence and offensive rhythm. Real Madrid, however, stumbled in their latest Spanish Supercup game, losing 94-98 to Valencia, which may dent their morale. This contrast suggests Olympiacos could maintain their edge, but Real Madrid’s home resilience might counterbalance.
  • Study Head-to-Head Patterns: In their last five meetings, Olympiacos won three, including two close victories in Madrid (84-86 and 80-72 in May 2025), indicating their ability to challenge Real Madrid on the road. These games often feature tight margins, suggesting value in betting on close spreads. Historical scoring trends point to competitive, high-scoring affairs.
  • Account for Home and Away Dynamics: Real Madrid thrives at Movistar Arena, where fan support often fuels comebacks, as seen in their 72-71 win over Tenerife. Olympiacos, meanwhile, has shown road tenacity, evidenced by their recent win over Crvena Zvezda (83-86). Bettors should weigh Real Madrid’s home advantage against Olympiacos’ proven away performance.
  • Monitor Key Player Contributions: With injuries impacting both teams, individual performances become critical. Real Madrid’s stars must compensate for Theo Maledon’s absence, while Olympiacos relies on players who drove their 102-point outburst against Baskonia. Betting on player-specific props, like points or rebounds, could offer value based on recent form.
  • Consider Schedule Fatigue: Both teams face tight schedules, with Real Madrid playing two games in late September and Olympiacos competing four times in 11 days. Fatigue could lead to defensive lapses, particularly for Olympiacos with a depleted roster. Look for potential under bets on total points if either team struggles late.
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Real Madrid vs Olympiacos Match Prediction 2025

In wrapping up our assessment, the probable outcome favors Real Madrid securing a home victory in this Euroleague clash. This prediction stems from several compelling factors: Olympiacos faces significant setbacks with multiple key players sidelined, including guards Shaquille McKissic, Frank Ntilikina, Keenan Evans, and center Moustapha Fall, which severely hampers their backcourt and interior presence. Real Madrid, despite missing Theo Maledon due to a thigh injury, benefits from playing at Movistar Arena, where the home crowd often provides a crucial boost in tight games. Their depth and championship experience from recent seasons give them an edge in adapting to absences, allowing stars like their forwards and remaining guards to exploit Olympiacos’ weakened lineup. Historically, while Olympiacos has won three of the last five head-to-heads, those victories came with a healthier roster; current circumstances tilt the balance toward the hosts. Real Madrid’s recent mixed results show resilience in close contests, such as their narrow win over Tenerife, contrasting with Olympiacos’ impressive streak that may falter under fatigue from a congested schedule and injuries. Betting markets reflect this, with Real Madrid vs Olympiacos odds listing the home team as favorites around 1.75 to win, implying a 57% implied probability, while spreads hover at -2.5 to -5.5 points, suggesting a moderate margin of victory. This setup points to Real Madrid controlling the tempo and capitalizing on defensive mismatches, potentially leading to a 85-78 type scoreline. Overall, the combination of home advantage, opponent injuries, and tactical familiarity supports backing Real Madrid for the win in what could be a gritty, low-scoring affair under 160 total points.

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
WinnerReal Madrid1.79

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About the Author

Born in Chicago in 1985, Alex Thompson, a renowned betting expert, obtained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Michigan in 2011. From 2012 to 2018, he collaborated with several NBA teams, specializing in play pattern recognition and player efficiency evaluations. Thompson has contributed to 14 peer-reviewed papers, emphasizing the importance of transitional play and on-court decision-making. In 2019, he shifted his focus to journalism. Thompson currently writes analytical pieces on basketball and is a regular contributor to various sports platforms, employing his expertise to dissect game dynamics and player performance.

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