Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Pakistan won by 6 runs): One Day International 11/11/2025

November 11, 2025

Status: Finished

299/5-293/9

One Day International

Pakistan

Sri Lanka

The match is scheduled for November 11, 2025, at 09:30 GMT+0 at the Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium, known for its flat pitches favoring high-scoring games. This forms part of the Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODI Series, the opening fixture of a three-match bilateral contest that runs through November 15, with all games hosted in Rawalpindi to ensure security and logistics. Umpires Ahsan Raza and Adrian Holdstock will officiate, backed by match referee Javagal Srinath, ensuring top-tier standards as per ICC protocols. As the series opener, it carries extra weight, with both captains Mohammad Rizwan for Pakistan and Charith Asalanka for Sri Lanka eyeing a psychological edge in what could shape the series trajectory.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

Delving into Pakistan vs Sri Lanka betting tips reveals a matchup ripe with value, from toss predictions to player props, as we gear up for detailed breakdowns of recent performances. This Pakistan vs Sri Lanka prediction today underscores the importance of venue-specific trends at Rawalpindi, where dew often aids chases in day-night affairs. Bettors should note Pakistan’s historical dominance in bilateral ODIs, yet Sri Lanka’s recent Asia Cup resilience adds intrigue to outright odds. Preparing for insights on form streaks and head-to-heads, focus on key metrics like economy rates under lights and powerplay scoring. These elements will sharpen your approach to in-play wagers, blending stats with live momentum shifts.

Pakistan Results

Pakistan enters this series on a mixed yet resilient note, having clinched a thrilling ODI series against South Africa just days ago, showcasing their chasing prowess. The team’s blend of experience and youth has kept them competitive, with Babar Azam anchoring the middle order amid transitional phases. Recent outings highlight their ability to grind out win, setting a confident tone for home comforts against Sri Lanka.

Pakistan’s recent ledger reflects a gritty edge, splitting the ODI series 2-1 with South Africa despite a mid-tour dip, underscoring their knack for dramatic comebacks. The two-wicket thriller on November 4 exemplifies resilience under pressure, while T20I sweeps signal batting depth firing on all cylinders. This form positions them favorably at home, where they’ve won 70% of recent ODIs. Overall, it paints a side capable of exploiting Rawalpindi’s bounce, though the lone loss warns against complacency in tight chases.

Sri Lanka Results

Sri Lanka’s buildup to this tour has been uneven, marked by a tied thriller against India in the Asia Cup Super Over but shadowed by consecutive losses that exposed middle-order frailties. Under new captain Charith Asalanka, the Lankans are rebuilding spin dominance, yet batting inconsistencies linger from recent defeats. Their wins against weaker sides offer glimmers, but adapting to Pakistan’s pace-friendly pitches remains key.

Sri Lanka’s streak of three straight losses in Asia Cup ODIs reveals vulnerabilities in closing out games, particularly against pace on seaming tracks. The tied Super Over against India showed fight, but defeats to Pakistan and Bangladesh highlight execution lapses under pressure. Positively, comfortable wins over Afghanistan and Hong Kong affirm top-order solidity from Pathum Nissanka. This mixed bag suggests a team in flux, reliant on spin to counter Rawalpindi’s conditions. Expect Asalanka to demand sharper fielding to stem the slide.

Who will win Tuesday’s One Day International clash between Pakistan and Sri Lanka?

Pakistan > Draw > Sri Lanka >

Pakistan

65%

Draw

0%

Sri Lanka

35%

Head-to-Head Between Pakistan and Sri Lanka

The storied rivalry between Pakistan and Sri Lanka often delivers edge-of-the-seat drama, with recent encounters tilting decisively toward the Men in Green. Pakistan’s tactical nous has prevailed in four of the last five clashes across formats, fueling their confidence heading into this ODI opener. These meetings underscore Pakistan’s edge in high-pressure scenarios, setting a narrative of redemption for Sri Lanka.

Pakistan’s 4-1 dominance in the last five head-to-heads speaks volumes, with convincing ODI and Test victories highlighting superior depth. The lone DLS-aided Sri Lankan win in 2023 Asia Cup feels like an outlier amid Pakistan’s relentless chases. This trend favors the hosts, especially in Rawalpindi where they’ve historically bossed bilateral series. Sri Lanka must disrupt this pattern through early wickets to level the scales.

Predicted Starting Lineups for Pakistan vs Sri Lanka ODI

Anticipating the lineups for the Pakistan vs Sri Lanka ODI opener allows fans and bettors to gauge tactical setups on Rawalpindi’s batsman-friendly pitch, where balance between pace and spin will be crucial. These projected XIs draw from recent squad announcements, player form, and venue demands, factoring in home advantage for Pakistan and Sri Lanka’s spin-heavy approach. While official confirmations come at the toss, expect captains Rizwan and Asalanka to prioritize chasing under potential dew.

Key Factors to Watch in Pakistan vs Sri Lanka Clash

As the series ignites, several pivotal elements could sway the outcome, from injury clouds to form surges that define modern ODIs. Pakistan’s home resurgence post a rollercoaster year contrasts Sri Lanka’s transitional rebuild, amplified by bilateral stakes. Recent scandals, like PCB’s umpire disputes, add off-field tension, while winning streaks underscore momentum’s role. Here’s a rundown of must-track aspects:

• Pakistan’s Pace Battery Form: Shaheen Afridi’s ER of 4.8 in recent ODIs could exploit Rawalpindi’s seam movement, targeting Sri Lanka’s top order early;
• Sri Lanka’s Spin Revival: Maheesh Theekshana’s variations (googlies, carrom balls) boast a 5.2 ER vs Pakistan, crucial on any turn offered post-powerplay;
• Babar Azam’s Middle-Order Anchor: Averaging 52 against SL in ODIs, his SR >85 in chases could stabilize after powerplay wobbles;
• Pathum Nissanka’s Opener Consistency: 312 runs in last 5 ODIs (avg 62), but vulnerable to swing key matchup vs Haris Rauf;
• Injury Updates: Sri Lanka’s Dilshan Madushanka out (hamstring); Pakistan’s Saim Ayub nursing ankle strain, potentially weakening openers;
• Winning/Losing Streaks: Pakistan’s 3 wins in last 5 ODIs signal momentum; Sri Lanka’s 3-loss skid demands quick reset;
• Recent Successes: Pakistan’s 3-0 ODI whitewash vs SA boosts morale; SL’s Asia Cup tie vs India shows resilience in knockouts;
• Scandals and Morale: PCB’s TV umpire complaint post-Asia Cup lingers, but could galvanize; SL’s internal selection rows post-2024 WC exit test unity;
• Dew Factor at Rawalpindi: Night game dew (80% in last 10) favors chasing toss winner likely bowls first;
• Captaincy Tactics: Rizwan’s aggressive fields vs Asalanka’s spin-trap rotations will dictate middle overs.

Love Sports? Dive into our article and start your journey to becoming a more confident bettor on BC.GAME today!

Bet Now

Free Tips on Pakistan vs Sri Lanka

Unlock sharper betting edges for the Pakistan vs Sri Lanka ODI opener by focusing on data-driven insights from past clashes and current trends. These free tips distill high-impact factors unique to this Rawalpindi showdown, helping you spot value beyond basic odds. Use them to refine in-play decisions or prop bets in a match where home soil and dew could tilt the scales.

• Head-to-Head Productivity: Pakistan and Sri Lanka average 512 combined runs in their last 5 ODIs, with 4/5 exceeding 500 totals back Over 520.5 runs if the pitch report confirms another flat deck.
• Home vs. Away Split: Pakistan boast a 78% win rate in Rawalpindi ODIs since 2020 (7-2); Sri Lanka are 1-5 away in Pakistan bilaterals favor the hosts outright at 1.70 or better.
• Player Form Spotlight: Babar Azam has 412 runs at avg 82 vs Sri Lanka in ODIs (SR 92); target him for Top Pakistan Batsman, especially if chasing under lights.
• Recent Schedule Fatigue: Sri Lanka arrive after a 45-day gap with travel disruption; Pakistan played just 3 days ago expect sharper execution from the hosts in the first 20 overs.
• Pitch & Dew Dynamics: Rawalpindi day-night ODIs see 70% chase success due to heavy dew; the toss-loser batting second has won 7/10 bet on the chasing side to lift the trophy if dew is forecast.

Pakistan vs Sri Lanka Match Prediction 2025

In this Pakistan vs Sri Lanka odds landscape, where hosts are pegged at 1.70 to prevail, our model forecasts a 62% win probability for Pakistan, edging a high-scoring thriller by 15-20 runs if batting second. Rawalpindi’s batsman-friendly pitch (avg 1st inns 290+) suits Pakistan’s depth, with Babar Azam (recent 308 runs in 5 inns) anchoring chases amid dew. Sri Lanka’s spin duo (Theekshana-Wellalage) could restrict to 270, but their 3-loss streak and Madushanka’s absence weaken death bowling (ER 8.2 last 5). H2H favors PAK 4-1 recently, plus home win rate 75% in bilaterals. Afridi’s swing (10 wkts vs SL) tips balance, though Nissanka’s form (SR 140) poses threat. Expect PAK to chase 280+ successfully, validating value at current lines. This prediction aligns with Elo ratings (PAK 118 vs SL 112), factoring weather (clear, 22°C) for uninterrupted play. Bettors: Back PAK outright for steady returns.

For those eyeing action on this fixture, a stake on Pakistan’s victory offers solid value given their track record. Place your bet on the Pakistan vs Sri Lanka match at bc.game, where seamless deposits, live streaming, and exclusive promos enhance the thrill join now to enjoy cash-out options and maximize your edge.